The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Ozuna, Marcell in signal, the comp in amber.

PIT · bats R · 299 PA

Ranked comps for Ozuna, Marcell

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Baty, Brett NYM · L · 430 PA 0.69 Isolated powerxwOBA on contactWalk rate Sprint speed +1.6zSweet-spot rate -1.1zGround-ball rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Aranda, Jonathan TB · L · 598 PA 0.60 Max exit velocityGround-ball rateChase rate Whiff rate -1.6zFly-ball rate +1.1zBat speed -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Bailey, Patrick CLE · L · 299 PA 0.59 Barrel rateIsolated powerAvg exit velocity Sweet-spot rate -2.2zGround-ball rate +1.7zPull rate +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Wells, Austin NYY · L · 335 PA 0.56 Ground-ball rateIn-zone contactBarrel rate Sweet-spot rate -1.9zPull rate +1.8zOppo rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
05 McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 326 PA 0.56 Whiff rateBat speedOppo rate Sweet-spot rate -2.0zHard-hit rate +1.4zPull rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Suárez, Eugenio CIN · R · 434 PA 0.53 xwOBA on contactMax exit velocityGround-ball rate Isolated power +1.8zPull rate +1.6zStrikeout rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Freeman, Freddie LAD · L · 593 PA 0.52 Fly-ball rateSweet-spot ratePull rate Strikeout rate -2.0zSwing length -1.6zWhiff rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Larnach, Trevor MIN · L · 416 PA 0.52 Hard-hit rateWhiff rateWalk rate Strikeout rate -1.8zOppo rate -1.6zSprint speed +1.5z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Busch, Michael CHC · L · 626 PA 0.51 Oppo rateMax exit velocityHard-hit rate Bat speed -1.9zSweet-spot rate -1.4zFly-ball rate +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Machado, Manny SD · R · 584 PA 0.51 Fly-ball rateOppo ratexwOBA on contact Sweet-spot rate -2.1zIsolated power +1.4zSwing length +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Caratini, Victor MIN · L · 362 PA 0.50 Isolated powerAvg exit velocityWalk rate In-zone contact +1.7zGround-ball rate +1.5zMax exit velocity -1.5z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Torkelson, Spencer DET · R · 543 PA 0.50 Avg exit velocityWhiff rateBat speed Fly-ball rate +1.6zPull rate +1.5zIsolated power +1.5z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.