The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (290+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Raleigh, Cal in signal, the comp in amber.

SEA · bats L · 454 PA

Ranked comps for Raleigh, Cal

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Montgomery, Colson CWS · L · 574 PA 0.62 Oppo rateSwing lengthSweet-spot rate Fly-ball rate -1.8zWalk rate -1.5zPull rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 560 PA 0.56 Barrel rateIn-zone contactWhiff rate Fly-ball rate -2.0zChase rate -1.3zGround-ball rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Lowe, Brandon PIT · L · 585 PA 0.47 Barrel rateStrikeout rateChase rate Swing length -1.9zFly-ball rate -1.8zWalk rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Manzardo, Kyle CLE · L · 378 PA 0.44 Avg exit velocityOppo rateStrikeout rate Fly-ball rate -1.9zBat speed -1.6zMax exit velocity -1.5z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Hoskins, Rhys CLE · R · 336 PA 0.44 Avg exit velocityGround-ball rateWhiff rate Chase rate -2.4zFly-ball rate -2.3zOppo rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Mayo, Coby BAL · R · 380 PA 0.43 Sweet-spot rateStrikeout rateWhiff rate Walk rate -1.8zFly-ball rate -1.6zSprint speed +1.5z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Soler, Jorge LAA · R · 381 PA 0.43 xwOBA on contactIsolated powerSprint speed Fly-ball rate -2.9zGround-ball rate +1.8zChase rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Lewis, Royce MIN · R · 447 PA 0.41 Bat speedxwOBA on contactSweet-spot rate Fly-ball rate -2.8zWalk rate -1.6zPull rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Suárez, Eugenio CIN · R · 438 PA 0.41 xwOBA on contactSprint speedSwing length Fly-ball rate -2.2zPull rate -1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Wells, Austin NYY · L · 341 PA 0.40 Sprint speedSweet-spot rateHard-hit rate Fly-ball rate -2.0zBarrel rate -1.6zMax exit velocity -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 534 PA 0.38 Swing lengthBarrel rateAvg exit velocity Fly-ball rate -2.9zGround-ball rate +1.8zxwOBA on contact +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Neto, Zach LAA · R · 616 PA 0.38 Strikeout rateAvg exit velocityIsolated power Swing length -1.9zMax exit velocity -1.7zSprint speed +1.5z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.