The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (208+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Keith, Colt in signal, the comp in amber.
DET · bats L · 294 PA
Ranked comps for Keith, Colt
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Young, Cole SEA · L · 411 PA | 0.73 | Walk rateFly-ball ratexwOBA on contact | Chase rate +1.2zSweet-spot rate -1.1zMax exit velocity -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 347 PA | 0.71 | Chase rateBat speedPull rate | Walk rate +1.3zIsolated power +1.1zStrikeout rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Karros, Kyle COL · R · 347 PA | 0.64 | xwOBA on contactHard-hit rateSweet-spot rate | Walk rate +1.7zOppo rate +1.4zSprint speed -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Nimmo, Brandon TEX · L · 406 PA | 0.62 | Bat speedGround-ball rateFly-ball rate | Max exit velocity -1.3zxwOBA on contact +1.2zPull rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Baty, Brett NYM · L · 349 PA | 0.62 | xwOBA on contactAvg exit velocityBarrel rate | Swing length +1.3zStrikeout rate +1.1zSprint speed -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Stott, Bryson PHI · L · 375 PA | 0.62 | Pull rateOppo rateIsolated power | Sweet-spot rate -1.8zChase rate +1.6zSwing length +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Wetherholt, JJ STL · L · 426 PA | 0.60 | Isolated powerBat speedGround-ball rate | Max exit velocity -1.9zSwing length +1.7zWalk rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Young, Jacob WSH · R · 310 PA | 0.59 | Walk rateIsolated powerWhiff rate | Max exit velocity -1.4zBat speed -1.3zSweet-spot rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Steer, Spencer CIN · R · 382 PA | 0.59 | In-zone contactSweet-spot rateHard-hit rate | Max exit velocity -1.8zSwing length +1.3zIsolated power +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Benge, Carson NYM · L · 404 PA | 0.57 | Isolated powerWhiff rateAvg exit velocity | Oppo rate +1.9zMax exit velocity -1.5zPull rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 214 PA | 0.57 | Isolated powerFly-ball rateHard-hit rate | Max exit velocity -1.9zSprint speed -1.2zSwing length +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Springer, George TOR · R · 316 PA | 0.57 | Strikeout rateWhiff rateBarrel rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.9zSwing length +1.5zWalk rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.