The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (208+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Keith, Colt in signal, the comp in amber.

DET · bats L · 294 PA

Ranked comps for Keith, Colt

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Young, Cole SEA · L · 411 PA 0.73 Walk rateFly-ball ratexwOBA on contact Chase rate +1.2zSweet-spot rate -1.1zMax exit velocity -1.0z
02 Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 347 PA 0.71 Chase rateBat speedPull rate Walk rate +1.3zIsolated power +1.1zStrikeout rate +1.0z
03 Karros, Kyle COL · R · 347 PA 0.64 xwOBA on contactHard-hit rateSweet-spot rate Walk rate +1.7zOppo rate +1.4zSprint speed -0.9z
04 Nimmo, Brandon TEX · L · 406 PA 0.62 Bat speedGround-ball rateFly-ball rate Max exit velocity -1.3zxwOBA on contact +1.2zPull rate -1.1z
05 Baty, Brett NYM · L · 349 PA 0.62 xwOBA on contactAvg exit velocityBarrel rate Swing length +1.3zStrikeout rate +1.1zSprint speed -1.0z
06 Stott, Bryson PHI · L · 375 PA 0.62 Pull rateOppo rateIsolated power Sweet-spot rate -1.8zChase rate +1.6zSwing length +1.0z
07 Wetherholt, JJ STL · L · 426 PA 0.60 Isolated powerBat speedGround-ball rate Max exit velocity -1.9zSwing length +1.7zWalk rate +1.1z
08 Young, Jacob WSH · R · 310 PA 0.59 Walk rateIsolated powerWhiff rate Max exit velocity -1.4zBat speed -1.3zSweet-spot rate -1.2z
09 Steer, Spencer CIN · R · 382 PA 0.59 In-zone contactSweet-spot rateHard-hit rate Max exit velocity -1.8zSwing length +1.3zIsolated power +1.1z
10 Benge, Carson NYM · L · 404 PA 0.57 Isolated powerWhiff rateAvg exit velocity Oppo rate +1.9zMax exit velocity -1.5zPull rate -1.4z
11 Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 214 PA 0.57 Isolated powerFly-ball rateHard-hit rate Max exit velocity -1.9zSprint speed -1.2zSwing length +0.9z
12 Springer, George TOR · R · 316 PA 0.57 Strikeout rateWhiff rateBarrel rate Sweet-spot rate -1.9zSwing length +1.5zWalk rate +1.2z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.