The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Steer, Spencer in signal, the comp in amber.

CIN · bats R · 405 PA

Ranked comps for Steer, Spencer

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Clemens, Kody MIN · L · 601 PA 0.72 Barrel rateWhiff rateStrikeout rate Sweet-spot rate -1.4zChase rate +1.1zWalk rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
02 O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 472 PA 0.69 Strikeout rateHard-hit rateAvg exit velocity Sprint speed -1.4zBarrel rate -1.2zPull rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 719 PA 0.69 Strikeout rateGround-ball rateSwing length Sweet-spot rate -1.2zBarrel rate -1.2zFly-ball rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Carrigg, Cole COL · L · 380 PA 0.69 Pull rateSweet-spot rateSprint speed Chase rate +1.7zBarrel rate -1.4zGround-ball rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Yastrzemski, Mike ATL · L · 433 PA 0.66 Hard-hit rateWhiff rateChase rate Barrel rate -1.5zSweet-spot rate -1.4zSprint speed -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Mead, Curtis WSH · R · 343 PA 0.65 Hard-hit ratePull rateChase rate Isolated power +1.3zSprint speed -1.1zIn-zone contact +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Beavers, Dylan BAL · L · 368 PA 0.65 Bat speedSwing lengthFly-ball rate Ground-ball rate -1.4zBarrel rate -1.2zPull rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Dingler, Dillon DET · R · 627 PA 0.65 Strikeout rateHard-hit ratexwOBA on contact Pull rate -1.3zChase rate +1.2zWalk rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Nimmo, Brandon TEX · L · 675 PA 0.64 xwOBA on contactOppo rateStrikeout rate Pull rate -1.6zHard-hit rate +1.0zFly-ball rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Marsh, Brandon PHI · L · 593 PA 0.63 Bat speedHard-hit rateWhiff rate Chase rate +1.6zBarrel rate -1.0zSweet-spot rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 675 PA 0.63 Avg exit velocityOppo ratexwOBA on contact Chase rate +1.7zSweet-spot rate -1.2zGround-ball rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Wetherholt, JJ STL · L · 633 PA 0.63 Avg exit velocityBat speedMax exit velocity Isolated power -1.5zPull rate -1.4zBarrel rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.