The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Nimmo, Brandon in signal, the comp in amber.

TEX · bats L · 575 PA

Ranked comps for Nimmo, Brandon

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 419 PA 0.73 Strikeout rateSweet-spot rateWalk rate Avg exit velocity -1.0zSprint speed -1.0zxwOBA on contact -0.9z
02 Steer, Spencer CIN · R · 405 PA 0.68 Strikeout rateIn-zone contactSprint speed Pull rate +1.6zHard-hit rate -1.0zAvg exit velocity -1.0z
03 Keith, Colt DET · L · 406 PA 0.67 Bat speedGround-ball rateSprint speed Max exit velocity +1.3zSweet-spot rate +1.3zAvg exit velocity -1.0z
04 Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 627 PA 0.65 Strikeout rateSprint speedIn-zone contact Pull rate +1.4zxwOBA on contact -1.1zBarrel rate -0.9z
05 Chourio, Jackson MIL · R · 474 PA 0.65 xwOBA on contactWalk rateAvg exit velocity Oppo rate +1.1zMax exit velocity +1.0zPull rate -0.9z
06 Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 403 PA 0.65 Sprint speedWalk rateStrikeout rate Barrel rate -1.6zHard-hit rate -1.1zSwing length +1.1z
07 Aranda, Jonathan TB · L · 598 PA 0.65 Whiff rateChase rateStrikeout rate Sprint speed -1.9zOppo rate +1.4zFly-ball rate +1.0z
08 Wetherholt, JJ STL · L · 600 PA 0.65 In-zone contactSweet-spot rateWhiff rate Swing length +1.3zChase rate -1.2zxwOBA on contact -1.0z
09 Merrill, Jackson SD · L · 582 PA 0.64 xwOBA on contactBarrel rateMax exit velocity Chase rate +1.6zSwing length +1.3zWhiff rate +1.0z
10 Baldwin, Drake ATL · L · 526 PA 0.64 Sweet-spot rateStrikeout rateHard-hit rate Sprint speed -1.7zBat speed +1.0zOppo rate +1.0z
11 Jung, Josh TEX · R · 409 PA 0.64 Walk ratePull rateIsolated power Sprint speed -1.8zSweet-spot rate +1.2zBarrel rate -1.0z
12 Pages, Andy LAD · R · 573 PA 0.63 Walk rateSweet-spot rateSprint speed Swing length +1.6zAvg exit velocity -1.3zOppo rate +1.2z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.