The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Baty, Brett in signal, the comp in amber.
NYM · bats L · 490 PA
Ranked comps for Baty, Brett
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Riley, Austin ATL · R · 677 PA | 0.80 | xwOBA on contactSwing lengthHard-hit rate | Sprint speed +0.9zSweet-spot rate -0.9zStrikeout rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 390 PA | 0.76 | Whiff rateOppo rateChase rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.4zPull rate +0.9zMax exit velocity -0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R · 509 PA | 0.75 | Bat speedChase rateHard-hit rate | Isolated power +1.1zOppo rate +0.9zWalk rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Baldwin, Drake ATL · L · 666 PA | 0.73 | Walk rateBat speedOppo rate | Hard-hit rate +1.0zIsolated power +0.9zChase rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Hernández, Teoscar LAD · R · 539 PA | 0.72 | Avg exit velocityBarrel rateFly-ball rate | Sprint speed +1.2zIn-zone contact -1.0zIsolated power +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Crews, Dylan WSH · R · 453 PA | 0.71 | Ground-ball rateIn-zone contactHard-hit rate | Sprint speed +1.9zWalk rate -0.9zOppo rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Tawa, Tim AZ · R · 370 PA | 0.69 | In-zone contactBarrel ratePull rate | Oppo rate -1.2zSwing length -1.2zMax exit velocity -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Bell, Josh MIN · L · 650 PA | 0.69 | Chase rateMax exit velocityBarrel rate | Whiff rate -1.2zSwing length +1.1zStrikeout rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Walker, Christian HOU · R · 657 PA | 0.68 | Whiff rateFly-ball rateSwing length | Isolated power +1.4zSweet-spot rate -1.4zxwOBA on contact -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Alvarez, Francisco NYM · R · 432 PA | 0.68 | Walk rateAvg exit velocityMax exit velocity | Sprint speed -1.1zGround-ball rate +1.0zSweet-spot rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Machado, Manny SD · R · 713 PA | 0.67 | Ground-ball rateBarrel rateChase rate | Isolated power +1.2zSprint speed -1.1zSweet-spot rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 492 PA | 0.67 | Swing lengthIsolated powerChase rate | Barrel rate -1.4zMax exit velocity -1.0zSprint speed +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.