The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Schwarber, Kyle in signal, the comp in amber.

PHI · bats L · 725 PA

Ranked comps for Schwarber, Kyle

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Ohtani, Shohei LAD · L · 662 PA 0.53 Whiff rateMax exit velocityxwOBA on contact Ground-ball rate +1.7zSprint speed +1.6zOppo rate +1.5z
02 Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 560 PA 0.50 Bat speedWhiff rateBarrel rate Walk rate -1.3zSprint speed +1.3zChase rate +1.2z
03 Mayo, Coby BAL · R · 468 PA 0.46 Barrel rateMax exit velocityBat speed Walk rate -2.3zSprint speed +1.7zPull rate -1.4z
04 Muncy, Max LAD · L · 603 PA 0.46 Barrel rateChase rateFly-ball rate Bat speed -1.6zMax exit velocity -1.5zSwing length -1.4z
05 Rice, Ben NYY · L · 710 PA 0.45 Hard-hit rateSweet-spot rateAvg exit velocity Max exit velocity -2.0zPull rate -1.4zGround-ball rate +1.3z
06 Bauers, Jake MIL · L · 631 PA 0.45 Avg exit velocityBat speedBarrel rate Oppo rate +2.2zPull rate -2.1zGround-ball rate +1.5z
07 Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 650 PA 0.43 Whiff rateIn-zone contactBarrel rate Walk rate -1.9zMax exit velocity -1.5zxwOBA on contact -1.3z
08 Crow-Armstrong, Pete CHC · L · 742 PA 0.43 Ground-ball rateSweet-spot rateBarrel rate Sprint speed +3.0zChase rate +1.3zWalk rate -1.2z
09 Stowers, Kyle MIA · L · 517 PA 0.40 Strikeout rateAvg exit velocityIn-zone contact Sweet-spot rate -1.8zSwing length -1.8zWalk rate -1.7z
10 Lowe, Brandon PIT · L · 672 PA 0.38 In-zone contactBarrel rateFly-ball rate Max exit velocity -2.1zWalk rate -1.9zChase rate +1.2z
11 Goodman, Hunter COL · R · 599 PA 0.36 In-zone contactMax exit velocityWhiff rate Walk rate -2.4zChase rate +2.3zSweet-spot rate -1.8z
12 Alonso, Pete BAL · R · 723 PA 0.35 Fly-ball rateChase rateSweet-spot rate Pull rate -3.0zOppo rate +1.7zGround-ball rate +1.6z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.