The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Schwarber, Kyle in signal, the comp in amber.
PHI · bats L · 599 PA
Ranked comps for Schwarber, Kyle
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Rice, Ben NYY · L · 584 PA | 0.53 | Barrel rateChase rateFly-ball rate | Ground-ball rate +1.6zIn-zone contact +1.4zStrikeout rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Ohtani, Shohei LAD · L · 594 PA | 0.47 | xwOBA on contactHard-hit rateSweet-spot rate | Ground-ball rate +2.0zSprint speed +1.5zStrikeout rate -1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Stowers, Kyle MIA · L · 425 PA | 0.45 | Fly-ball rateIn-zone contactAvg exit velocity | Swing length -1.7zSweet-spot rate -1.6zWalk rate -1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Muncy, Max LAD · L · 491 PA | 0.43 | Chase rateFly-ball ratePull rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.8zxwOBA on contact -1.6zBat speed -1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Lowe, Brandon PIT · L · 579 PA | 0.42 | Fly-ball rateIn-zone contactWhiff rate | Walk rate -1.7zxwOBA on contact -1.6zChase rate +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Bauers, Jake MIL · L · 509 PA | 0.42 | Bat speedFly-ball rateAvg exit velocity | Oppo rate +2.3zGround-ball rate +1.7zPull rate -1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 557 PA | 0.40 | In-zone contactFly-ball rateWhiff rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.9zxwOBA on contact -1.7zWalk rate -1.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Crow-Armstrong, Pete CHC · L · 621 PA | 0.39 | Ground-ball rateIsolated powerSwing length | Sprint speed +2.9zChase rate +1.4zIn-zone contact +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 534 PA | 0.39 | Bat speedWhiff rateBarrel rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.6zChase rate +1.4zGround-ball rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Mayo, Coby BAL · R · 376 PA | 0.38 | Strikeout rateHard-hit rateBat speed | Walk rate -2.3zSweet-spot rate -1.7zSprint speed +1.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Hernández, Heriberto MIA · R · 400 PA | 0.38 | Oppo rateWhiff rateIn-zone contact | Sprint speed +2.2zSweet-spot rate -2.2zGround-ball rate +1.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Olson, Matt ATL · L · 615 PA | 0.37 | Hard-hit rateAvg exit velocitySwing length | Pull rate -2.2zSweet-spot rate -1.9zOppo rate +1.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.