The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (288+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Torkelson, Spencer in signal, the comp in amber.

DET · bats R · 546 PA

Ranked comps for Torkelson, Spencer

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Suárez, Eugenio CIN · R · 438 PA 0.75 Swing lengthPull rateWalk rate Chase rate +1.1zBarrel rate -0.8zBat speed -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Adames, Willy SF · R · 517 PA 0.66 Ground-ball rateIn-zone contactPull rate Chase rate +1.6zWalk rate -1.1zSweet-spot rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Greene, Riley DET · L · 515 PA 0.65 In-zone contactIsolated powerSprint speed Swing length -1.3zxwOBA on contact +1.1zMax exit velocity +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 557 PA 0.65 Sprint speedBat speedStrikeout rate Sweet-spot rate -2.1zChase rate +1.1zMax exit velocity +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Manzardo, Kyle CLE · L · 378 PA 0.61 xwOBA on contactWhiff rateHard-hit rate Sweet-spot rate -1.6zChase rate +1.5zOppo rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Bleday, JJ CIN · L · 467 PA 0.59 Bat speedSweet-spot rateChase rate Strikeout rate -1.5zMax exit velocity +1.4zSwing length -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 533 PA 0.58 Chase rateBat speedxwOBA on contact Swing length -1.3zMax exit velocity +1.1zWhiff rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Stephenson, Tyler CIN · R · 415 PA 0.58 Barrel rateChase rateWalk rate Pull rate -1.9zOppo rate +1.6zIn-zone contact +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Wells, Austin NYY · L · 338 PA 0.58 Walk rateIn-zone contactPull rate Sweet-spot rate -2.1zBarrel rate -1.4zIsolated power -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Soler, Jorge LAA · R · 381 PA 0.57 Isolated powerAvg exit velocityHard-hit rate Sweet-spot rate -1.5zFly-ball rate -1.4zIn-zone contact -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Steer, Spencer CIN · R · 405 PA 0.56 Isolated powerxwOBA on contactBarrel rate Ground-ball rate +1.6zSprint speed +1.6zStrikeout rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Rice, Ben NYY · L · 588 PA 0.55 Swing lengthBat speedSprint speed Isolated power +1.6zGround-ball rate +1.2zxwOBA on contact +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.