The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (288+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Bauers, Jake in signal, the comp in amber.
MIL · bats L · 512 PA
Ranked comps for Bauers, Jake
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 387 PA | 0.69 | Fly-ball rateAvg exit velocityWhiff rate | Isolated power -1.3zPull rate -1.1zWalk rate -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Ohtani, Shohei LAD · L · 594 PA | 0.66 | Isolated powerAvg exit velocityGround-ball rate | Chase rate +1.3zOppo rate -1.1zIn-zone contact -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Rice, Ben NYY · L · 588 PA | 0.65 | Fly-ball rateStrikeout rateGround-ball rate | Oppo rate -1.4zMax exit velocity -1.3zBat speed -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Greene, Riley DET · L · 515 PA | 0.64 | Barrel ratexwOBA on contactBat speed | Isolated power -1.4zWalk rate -1.1zSwing length -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Alonso, Pete BAL · R · 621 PA | 0.64 | Ground-ball rateWhiff rateMax exit velocity | Pull rate -1.5zSprint speed -1.4zWalk rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Harper, Bryce PHI · L · 598 PA | 0.61 | xwOBA on contactSprint speedIn-zone contact | Chase rate +1.9zHard-hit rate -1.2zFly-ball rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Kurtz, Nick ATH · L · 452 PA | 0.59 | Ground-ball rateBarrel rateOppo rate | In-zone contact -1.7zPull rate -1.3zWhiff rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Trout, Mike LAA · R · 550 PA | 0.58 | Strikeout rateBarrel rateSweet-spot rate | Pull rate -1.7zIsolated power -1.2zSprint speed +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Olson, Matt ATL · L · 619 PA | 0.56 | xwOBA on contactAvg exit velocityStrikeout rate | Walk rate -1.9zSprint speed -1.2zMax exit velocity -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | De La Cruz, Elly CIN · L · 556 PA | 0.56 | Bat speedOppo rateWhiff rate | Pull rate -1.6zWalk rate -1.5zSprint speed +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 534 PA | 0.53 | xwOBA on contactBat speedStrikeout rate | Chase rate +2.1zWalk rate -1.4zHard-hit rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Vargas, Miguel CWS · R · 618 PA | 0.53 | Chase rateIn-zone contactPull rate | Ground-ball rate -1.7zStrikeout rate -1.3zWhiff rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.