The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (292+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Lopez, Otto in signal, the comp in amber.

MIA · bats R · 605 PA

Ranked comps for Lopez, Otto

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Garcia, Maikel KC · R · 319 PA 0.66 Hard-hit rateIn-zone contactxwOBA on contact Chase rate -1.5zWalk rate +1.1zSwing length +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Bohm, Alec PHI · R · 567 PA 0.65 Oppo rateBat speedStrikeout rate Sprint speed -1.5zMax exit velocity -1.2zChase rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Ortiz, Joey MIL · R · 374 PA 0.62 Whiff rateOppo rateGround-ball rate Swing length +1.7zWalk rate +1.5zSweet-spot rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 380 PA 0.61 xwOBA on contactIsolated powerBat speed Oppo rate -1.5zSprint speed -1.2zGround-ball rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Gonzales, Nick PIT · R · 558 PA 0.57 xwOBA on contactChase rateGround-ball rate Swing length +1.5zBarrel rate -1.3zIsolated power -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Vaughn, Andrew MIL · R · 321 PA 0.55 Isolated powerWhiff rateSweet-spot rate Sprint speed -2.1zWalk rate +1.8zChase rate -1.6z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Contreras, William MIL · R · 572 PA 0.54 Max exit velocityIsolated powerxwOBA on contact Sprint speed -1.9zGround-ball rate -1.5zWalk rate +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Rengifo, Luis MIL · L · 374 PA 0.53 Bat speedWhiff rateStrikeout rate Walk rate +1.5zMax exit velocity -1.3zSprint speed -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Cortes, Carlos ATH · L · 339 PA 0.52 Avg exit velocityFly-ball rateIsolated power Sprint speed -1.8zIn-zone contact -1.8zSweet-spot rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Benge, Carson NYM · L · 568 PA 0.52 Oppo rateIsolated powerAvg exit velocity Sweet-spot rate +2.1zStrikeout rate +1.4zIn-zone contact -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Church, Nathan STL · L · 408 PA 0.52 Sprint speedFly-ball rateWhiff rate Chase rate +1.7zAvg exit velocity -1.6zHard-hit rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Turner, Trea PHI · R · 624 PA 0.52 Sweet-spot ratePull ratexwOBA on contact Swing length +2.1zStrikeout rate +1.4zWhiff rate +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.