The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Ortiz, Joey in signal, the comp in amber.

MIL · bats R · 453 PA

Ranked comps for Ortiz, Joey

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Gonzales, Nick PIT · R · 626 PA 0.71 Oppo rateGround-ball rateChase rate Sweet-spot rate +1.6zMax exit velocity -0.9zBat speed -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Cronenworth, Jake SD · L · 464 PA 0.69 Barrel rateWhiff rateIn-zone contact Max exit velocity -1.2zSwing length -1.1zBat speed -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Turner, Trea PHI · R · 735 PA 0.68 xwOBA on contactStrikeout rateOppo rate Fly-ball rate +1.2zWhiff rate +1.2zGround-ball rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Lopez, Otto MIA · R · 703 PA 0.67 Ground-ball rateOppo rateChase rate Swing length -1.7zStrikeout rate -1.2zWalk rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Taveras, Leody BAL · L · 496 PA 0.66 Walk rateMax exit velocityxwOBA on contact Ground-ball rate -1.2zFly-ball rate +1.2zPull rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Rengifo, Luis MIL · L · 374 PA 0.65 Sweet-spot rateAvg exit velocityHard-hit rate Sprint speed -1.5zPull rate +1.3zStrikeout rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Chapman, Matt SF · R · 364 PA 0.65 Hard-hit rateSwing lengthOppo rate Pull rate +1.4zChase rate -1.1zIn-zone contact -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Winn, Masyn STL · R · 549 PA 0.62 xwOBA on contactPull rateBarrel rate Chase rate -1.5zMax exit velocity -1.3zSweet-spot rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Garcia, Maikel KC · R · 354 PA 0.61 Oppo ratexwOBA on contactIsolated power Chase rate -1.6zSweet-spot rate +1.3zSprint speed -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Herrera, Iván STL · R · 725 PA 0.60 Bat speedMax exit velocityFly-ball rate Sprint speed -2.3zPull rate +1.1zOppo rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Peraza, Oswald LAA · R · 387 PA 0.59 Fly-ball rateGround-ball rateHard-hit rate Strikeout rate +1.6zWalk rate -1.4zWhiff rate +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Duran, Ezequiel TEX · R · 612 PA 0.59 Sprint speedOppo rateAvg exit velocity Sweet-spot rate +1.8zPull rate +1.2zIn-zone contact -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.