The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Ortiz, Joey in signal, the comp in amber.

MIL · bats R · 364 PA

Ranked comps for Ortiz, Joey

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Taveras, Leody BAL · L · 442 PA 0.70 xwOBA on contactBarrel rateMax exit velocity Ground-ball rate -1.2zStrikeout rate +1.1zPull rate +1.0z
02 Gonzales, Nick PIT · R · 547 PA 0.66 Ground-ball rateFly-ball rateHard-hit rate Sweet-spot rate +1.9zMax exit velocity -0.9zWalk rate -0.9z
03 Cronenworth, Jake SD · L · 351 PA 0.66 In-zone contactWalk rateFly-ball rate Max exit velocity -1.2zSweet-spot rate +1.1zSwing length -1.0z
04 Rengifo, Luis MIL · L · 374 PA 0.66 Walk rateChase rateHard-hit rate Sprint speed -1.5zPull rate +1.3zMax exit velocity -1.1z
05 Chapman, Matt SF · R · 364 PA 0.66 Sweet-spot rateFly-ball rateHard-hit rate Pull rate +1.5zBat speed +1.1zGround-ball rate -1.1z
06 Lopez, Otto MIA · R · 593 PA 0.63 Ground-ball rateWhiff rateOppo rate Swing length -1.7zWalk rate -1.5zSweet-spot rate +1.0z
07 Turner, Trea PHI · R · 611 PA 0.62 Isolated powerBat speedxwOBA on contact Whiff rate +1.3zSweet-spot rate +1.2zWalk rate -1.0z
08 Winn, Masyn STL · R · 507 PA 0.60 Pull rateWalk rateHard-hit rate Sweet-spot rate +1.6zMax exit velocity -1.4zGround-ball rate -1.2z
09 Garcia, Maikel KC · R · 319 PA 0.59 Isolated powerFly-ball rateBarrel rate Sweet-spot rate +1.6zChase rate -1.2zAvg exit velocity +1.1z
10 Herrera, Iván STL · R · 620 PA 0.59 Max exit velocityStrikeout rateBat speed Sprint speed -2.3zPull rate +1.3zOppo rate -1.2z
11 Triolo, Jared PIT · R · 336 PA 0.58 xwOBA on contactHard-hit rateGround-ball rate Sweet-spot rate +1.4zMax exit velocity -1.3zPull rate +1.3z
12 Crawford, Justin PHI · L · 417 PA 0.55 Hard-hit rateStrikeout ratexwOBA on contact Bat speed -1.5zSwing length -1.3zGround-ball rate +1.2z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.