The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (288+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Duran, Ezequiel in signal, the comp in amber.

TEX · bats R · 513 PA

Ranked comps for Duran, Ezequiel

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Peña, Jeremy HOU · R · 382 PA 0.75 Ground-ball rateFly-ball rateBarrel rate Oppo rate -1.2zSwing length +1.0zSweet-spot rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Marsh, Brandon PHI · L · 530 PA 0.74 Chase rateBat speedStrikeout rate Sweet-spot rate +1.6zHard-hit rate +0.7zGround-ball rate -0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 403 PA 0.72 In-zone contactxwOBA on contactMax exit velocity Chase rate -1.1zIsolated power -0.9zSwing length +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Turner, Trea PHI · R · 615 PA 0.71 Ground-ball rateAvg exit velocityHard-hit rate Sweet-spot rate -1.5zSwing length +1.2zIsolated power -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Benge, Carson NYM · L · 559 PA 0.70 Walk rateGround-ball rateBarrel rate Chase rate -1.5zSwing length -1.3zxwOBA on contact +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Pages, Andy LAD · R · 573 PA 0.67 Isolated powerOppo rateBarrel rate Swing length +1.4zIn-zone contact +1.1zGround-ball rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 372 PA 0.66 Hard-hit rateBat speedGround-ball rate Sprint speed -1.5zStrikeout rate -1.0zIn-zone contact +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Rafaela, Ceddanne BOS · R · 585 PA 0.66 In-zone contactSprint speedGround-ball rate Oppo rate +1.5zChase rate +1.3zWalk rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Arozarena, Randy SEA · R · 585 PA 0.65 Whiff rateOppo rateBarrel rate In-zone contact -1.6zSprint speed -1.4zChase rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Peraza, Oswald LAA · R · 355 PA 0.65 In-zone contactxwOBA on contactOppo rate Isolated power -1.4zWalk rate -1.1zSwing length +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Young, Jacob WSH · R · 435 PA 0.64 Walk rateBarrel rateSwing length Chase rate -1.6zStrikeout rate -1.2zBat speed -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
12 O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 419 PA 0.64 Isolated powerPull rateWalk rate Sprint speed -1.5zMax exit velocity -1.3zFly-ball rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.