The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Duran, Ezequiel in signal, the comp in amber.

TEX · bats R · 612 PA

Ranked comps for Duran, Ezequiel

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 492 PA 0.77 Sweet-spot ratexwOBA on contactMax exit velocity Chase rate -1.0zOppo rate -0.9zSwing length +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Turner, Trea PHI · R · 735 PA 0.75 Hard-hit rateOppo rateIn-zone contact Swing length +1.2zSweet-spot rate -1.1zPull rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 474 PA 0.71 Barrel ratePull rateBat speed Sprint speed -1.5zOppo rate -1.1zStrikeout rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Griffin, Konnor PIT · R · 353 PA 0.70 Avg exit velocityHard-hit rateSweet-spot rate Swing length +1.3zBat speed +1.0zFly-ball rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Marsh, Brandon PHI · L · 593 PA 0.70 Bat speedChase rateStrikeout rate Sweet-spot rate +1.9zFly-ball rate +0.8zGround-ball rate -0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Pages, Andy LAD · R · 625 PA 0.68 Max exit velocityOppo rateIsolated power Swing length +1.4zGround-ball rate -1.3zIn-zone contact +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Ewing, A.J. NYM · L · 494 PA 0.68 Sweet-spot rateGround-ball rateWhiff rate Swing length -1.6zChase rate -1.6zIsolated power -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Taveras, Leody BAL · L · 496 PA 0.67 Sprint speedPull rateWhiff rate Sweet-spot rate -1.6zAvg exit velocity -1.3zIsolated power -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Benge, Carson NYM · L · 668 PA 0.67 Hard-hit rateWalk rateAvg exit velocity Chase rate -1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.3zSwing length -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Rafaela, Ceddanne BOS · R · 605 PA 0.67 Sprint speedWhiff rateIsolated power Chase rate +1.5zWalk rate -1.2zOppo rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Tawa, Tim AZ · R · 370 PA 0.67 Strikeout rateWalk rateBat speed Oppo rate -1.8zBarrel rate +1.0zSprint speed -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 719 PA 0.66 Max exit velocityStrikeout ratexwOBA on contact Oppo rate -1.8zPull rate +1.1zChase rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.