The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Cortes, Carlos in signal, the comp in amber.
ATH · bats L · 334 PA
Ranked comps for Cortes, Carlos
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 367 PA | 0.75 | Isolated powerHard-hit rateMax exit velocity | In-zone contact +1.3zOppo rate -0.9zSweet-spot rate -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Bohm, Alec PHI · R · 558 PA | 0.73 | Isolated powerBarrel rateGround-ball rate | In-zone contact +1.4zWhiff rate -1.0zPull rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Bailey, Patrick CLE · L · 299 PA | 0.73 | Avg exit velocityOppo rateBarrel rate | Strikeout rate +1.3zSweet-spot rate -1.0zPull rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Vaughn, Andrew MIL · R · 314 PA | 0.72 | Bat speedIsolated powerGround-ball rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.3zIn-zone contact +1.2zHard-hit rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Caratini, Victor MIN · L · 362 PA | 0.72 | Barrel rateAvg exit velocitySwing length | In-zone contact +1.3zSprint speed -1.2zMax exit velocity -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Kelly, Carson CHC · R · 375 PA | 0.71 | Isolated powerPull rateStrikeout rate | In-zone contact +1.6zSweet-spot rate -1.5zMax exit velocity -0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Karros, Kyle COL · R · 424 PA | 0.70 | Swing lengthAvg exit velocityWhiff rate | Sweet-spot rate +1.2zIn-zone contact +1.1zWalk rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Smith, Dominic ATL · L · 302 PA | 0.69 | Sprint speedBarrel ratexwOBA on contact | Fly-ball rate +1.6zIn-zone contact +1.1zGround-ball rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Ballesteros, Moisés CHC · L · 287 PA | 0.69 | Ground-ball rateIsolated powerSwing length | Chase rate +1.2zHard-hit rate +1.2zSweet-spot rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Freeman, Freddie LAD · L · 593 PA | 0.68 | Oppo rateBat speedMax exit velocity | xwOBA on contact +1.6zSweet-spot rate +1.3zFly-ball rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Contreras, William MIL · R · 559 PA | 0.67 | Chase rateIsolated powerSprint speed | Sweet-spot rate -1.2zIn-zone contact +1.0zHard-hit rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Arozarena, Randy SEA · R · 580 PA | 0.67 | Pull rateBat speedSweet-spot rate | In-zone contact -1.3zIsolated power +1.1zxwOBA on contact +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.