Mithrandir Metrics

HITS 2026-07-10 · saved artifact ROWS 68 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist

Lane Health 2026-09-01

Palantir 673 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Hits

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Hits board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	Prop	Hits proj	Line prob	PA	Recent	Pitch mix	Best line
01	Seiya SuzukiCHC	CHC vs CIN	P 2.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	97.5%Under prob · Palantir	32.3%no-vig	+97.48%	1+ Hitline	0.318count	97.5%selected	1.6role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
02	Kyle TeelCWS	CWS vs ATH	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	36.4%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.268count	98.0%selected	1.31role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 350 avg 1 books
03	Taylor WallsTB	TB vs SEA	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	43.5%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.218count	98.0%selected	1.23role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 500 avg 1 books
04	Michael MasseyKC	KC vs BAL	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	35.7%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.319count	98.0%selected	1.32role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
05	Jj BledayCIN	CIN vs CHC	P 8.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	91.9%Under prob · Palantir	37.7%no-vig	+91.88%	1+ Hitline	0.525count	91.9%selected	2.89role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 360 avg 1 books
06	Dylan CrewsWSH	WSH vs NYY	P 13.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	87.0%Under prob · Palantir	28.6%no-vig	+87.02%	1+ Hitline	0.677count	87.0%selected	3.44role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
07	Pete Crow-ArmstrongCHC	CHC vs CIN	P 12.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	87.3%Under prob · Palantir	31.2%no-vig	+87.29%	1+ Hitline	0.653count	87.3%selected	3.5role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
08	Junior CamineroTB	TB vs SEA	P 19.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.0%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+81.02%	2+ Hitsline	0.823count	81.0%selected	3.86role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
09	Carson KellyCHC	CHC vs CIN	P 11.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	89.0%Under prob · Palantir	36.4%no-vig	+88.98%	1+ Hitline	0.619count	89.0%selected	3.27role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
10	Randy ArozarenaSEA	SEA vs TB	P 19.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.1%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+80.06%	2+ Hitsline	0.848count	80.1%selected	4.14role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
11	Shea LangeliersATH	ATH vs CWS	P 19.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.0%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+81.03%	2+ Hitsline	0.823count	81.0%selected	3.93role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
12	Victor RoblesSEA	SEA vs TB	P 12.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	87.9%Under prob · Palantir	35.7%no-vig	+87.90%	1+ Hitline	0.651count	87.9%selected	2.72role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
13	Dominic CanzoneSEA	SEA vs TB	P 18.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.8%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+81.77%	2+ Hitsline	0.804count	81.8%selected	3.54role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
14	Gabriel AriasCLE	CLE vs MIA	P 10.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	90.0%Under prob · Palantir	40.0%no-vig	+90.00%	1+ Hitline	0.588count	90.0%selected	2.96role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 400 avg 1 books
15	Colson MontgomeryCWS	CWS vs ATH	P 10.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	89.2%Under prob · Palantir	38.5%no-vig	+89.22%	1+ Hitline	0.612count	89.2%selected	3.34role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 360 avg 1 books
16	Noelvi MarteCIN	CIN vs CHC	P 14.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	85.5%Under prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+85.52%	2+ Hitsline	0.719count	85.5%selected	3.44role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
17	Jacob WilsonATH	ATH vs CWS	P 22.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.7%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+77.74%	2+ Hitsline	0.906count	77.7%selected	3.57role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
18	Michael BuschCHC	CHC vs CIN	P 16.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.9%Under prob · Palantir	73.0%no-vig	+83.90%	2+ Hitsline	0.748count	83.9%selected	4.25role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
19	Chase MeidrothCWS	CWS vs ATH	P 21.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.0%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+79.03%	2+ Hitsline	0.874count	79.0%selected	4.19role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
20	James WoodWSH	WSH vs NYY	P 22.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.8%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+77.77%	2+ Hitsline	0.905count	77.8%selected	4.21role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
21	Bryson StottPHI	PHI vs DET	P 17.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.2%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+82.16%	2+ Hitsline	0.794count	82.2%selected	3.78role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
22	Colt KeithDET	DET vs PHI	P 19.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.5%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+80.49%	2+ Hitsline	0.837count	80.5%selected	3.85role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
23	Steven KwanCLE	CLE vs MIA	P 28.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	28.3%Over prob · Palantir	60.8%no-vig	+71.72%	1+ Hitline	1.049count	28.3%selected	4.47role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 390 avg 1 books
24	Jacob YoungWSH	WSH vs NYY	P 16.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.7%Under prob · Palantir	74.4%no-vig	+83.70%	2+ Hitsline	0.768count	83.7%selected	3.31role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
25	Daylen LileWSH	WSH vs NYY	P 24.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.0%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+76.00%	2+ Hitsline	0.948count	76.0%selected	3.77role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
26	Alex BregmanCHC	CHC vs CIN	P 20.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.9%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+79.87%	2+ Hitsline	0.853count	79.9%selected	4.26role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
27	Cedric MullinsTB	TB vs SEA	P 14.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	85.6%Under prob · Palantir	37.0%no-vig	+85.59%	1+ Hitline	0.701count	85.6%selected	3.89role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 340 avg 1 books
28	Dansby SwansonCHC	CHC vs CIN	P 16.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.5%Under prob · Palantir	75.0%no-vig	+83.53%	2+ Hitsline	0.758count	83.5%selected	4.08role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
29	Francisco AlvarezNYM	NYM vs BOS	P 11.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	89.0%Under prob · Palantir	41.7%no-vig	+89.03%	1+ Hitline	0.618count	89.0%selected	3.18role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 480 avg 1 books
30	Brandon MarshPHI	PHI vs DET	P 20.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.8%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+79.81%	2+ Hitsline	0.854count	79.8%selected	3.87role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
31	Matt McLainCIN	CIN vs CHC	P 13.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	86.2%Under prob · Palantir	39.2%no-vig	+86.24%	1+ Hitline	0.683count	86.2%selected	3.54role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 400 avg 1 books
32	Alec BohmPHI	PHI vs DET	P 23.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.5%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+76.50%	2+ Hitsline	0.936count	76.5%selected	4.21role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
33	Kyle SchwarberPHI	PHI vs DET	P 17.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	82.8%Under prob · Palantir	35.7%no-vig	+82.83%	1+ Hitline	0.769count	82.8%selected	4.67role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
34	Jonathan ArandaTB	TB vs SEA	P 22.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.8%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+77.84%	2+ Hitsline	0.903count	77.8%selected	3.92role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
35	Tyler SoderstromATH	ATH vs CWS	P 18.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.2%Under prob · Palantir	74.4%no-vig	+81.16%	2+ Hitsline	0.82count	81.2%selected	3.74role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
36	Lane ThomasKC	KC vs BAL	P 17.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	82.6%Under prob · Palantir	35.1%no-vig	+82.59%	1+ Hitline	0.782count	82.6%selected	3.58role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
37	Spencer SteerCIN	CIN vs CHC	P 22.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.7%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+77.72%	2+ Hitsline	0.906count	77.7%selected	4.39role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
38	J.t. RealmutoPHI	PHI vs DET	P 18.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.8%Under prob · Palantir	75.6%no-vig	+81.81%	2+ Hitsline	0.803count	81.8%selected	3.63role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
39	Spencer TorkelsonDET	DET vs PHI	P 16.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.9%Under prob · Palantir	77.8%no-vig	+83.87%	2+ Hitsline	0.748count	83.9%selected	4.04role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 350 avg 1 books
40	Bobby Witt Jr.KC	KC vs BAL	P 34.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	65.0%Under prob · Palantir	59.2%no-vig	+65.05%	2+ Hitsline	1.203count	65.0%selected	4.41role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 145 avg 1 books
41	Tyler StephensonCIN	CIN vs CHC	P 16.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	83.3%Under prob · Palantir	37.0%no-vig	+83.32%	1+ Hitline	0.763count	83.3%selected	3.87role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 350 avg 1 books
42	Jeff McNeilATH	ATH vs CWS	P 16.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.2%Under prob · Palantir	77.8%no-vig	+83.21%	2+ Hitsline	0.781count	83.2%selected	3.49role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 350 avg 1 books
43	Daniel SchneemannCLE	CLE vs MIA	P 15.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	85.0%Under prob · Palantir	40.0%no-vig	+85.03%	1+ Hitline	0.717count	85.0%selected	3.54role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 410 avg 1 books
44	Riley GreeneDET	DET vs PHI	P 24.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.9%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+75.87%	2+ Hitsline	0.951count	75.9%selected	4.3role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
45	Kyle ManzardoCLE	CLE vs MIA	P 17.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.9%Under prob · Palantir	77.8%no-vig	+82.92%	2+ Hitsline	0.774count	82.9%selected	3.83role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 350 avg 1 books
46	Vinnie PasquantinoKC	KC vs BAL	P 25.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	74.8%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+74.82%	2+ Hitsline	0.976count	74.8%selected	4.31role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
47	Ian HappCHC	CHC vs CIN	P 17.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	82.1%Under prob · Palantir	37.7%no-vig	+82.11%	1+ Hitline	0.788count	82.1%selected	4.56role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 370 avg 1 books
48	Keibert RuizWSH	WSH vs NYY	P 19.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.8%Under prob · Palantir	76.2%no-vig	+80.84%	2+ Hitsline	0.828count	80.8%selected	3.78role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
49	Brett BatyNYM	NYM vs BOS	P 13.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	86.8%Under prob · Palantir	82.8%no-vig	+86.83%	2+ Hitsline	0.683count	86.8%selected	3.49role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 480 avg 1 books
50	Trea TurnerPHI	PHI vs DET	P 30.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	69.5%Under prob · Palantir	65.5%no-vig	+69.52%	2+ Hitsline	1.102count	69.5%selected	4.67role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 190 avg 1 books
51	Zach McKinstryDET	DET vs PHI	P 20.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.0%Under prob · Palantir	76.2%no-vig	+80.02%	2+ Hitsline	0.849count	80.0%selected	4.07role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
52	Isaac CollinsKC	KC vs BAL	P 16.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.4%Under prob · Palantir	79.6%no-vig	+83.37%	2+ Hitsline	0.777count	83.4%selected	3.44role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 390 avg 1 books
53	Elly De La CruzCIN	CIN vs CHC	P 27.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	72.4%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+72.40%	2+ Hitsline	1.032count	72.4%selected	4.71role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
54	Salvador PerezKC	KC vs BAL	P 24.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.9%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+75.87%	2+ Hitsline	0.951count	75.9%selected	4.14role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
55	Luke RaleySEA	SEA vs TB	P 16.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.2%Under prob · Palantir	80.0%no-vig	+83.22%	2+ Hitsline	0.78count	83.2%selected	3.46role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 400 avg 1 books
56	Bo BichetteNYM	NYM vs BOS	P 28.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	71.9%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+71.88%	2+ Hitsline	1.046count	71.9%selected	4.29role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
57	Nico HoernerCHC	CHC vs CIN	P 29.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	70.8%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+70.78%	2+ Hitsline	1.071count	70.8%selected	4.66role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
58	Kerry CarpenterDET	DET vs PHI	P 22.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.0%Under prob · Palantir	75.0%no-vig	+78.02%	2+ Hitsline	0.899count	78.0%selected	4.05role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
59	Cj AbramsWSH	WSH vs NYY	P 26.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	26.8%Over prob · Palantir	66.1%no-vig	+73.19%	1+ Hitline	1.015count	26.8%selected	4.33role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
60	Cal RaleighSEA	SEA vs TB	P 19.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.6%Under prob · Palantir	77.8%no-vig	+80.63%	2+ Hitsline	0.833count	80.6%selected	4.45role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 350 avg 1 books
61	Nick KurtzATH	ATH vs CWS	P 25.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	25.5%Over prob · Palantir	64.9%no-vig	+74.48%	1+ Hitline	0.985count	25.5%selected	4.38role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
62	Juan SotoNYM	NYM vs BOS	P 25.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	74.8%Under prob · Palantir	31.2%no-vig	+74.83%	1+ Hitline	0.973count	74.8%selected	4.79role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
63	Josh NaylorSEA	SEA vs TB	P 28.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	28.9%Over prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+71.12%	1+ Hitline	1.064count	28.9%selected	4.39role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
64	Chandler SimpsonTB	TB vs SEA	P 31.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	68.9%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+68.87%	2+ Hitsline	1.115count	68.9%selected	4.36role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
65	Bryce HarperPHI	PHI vs DET	P 27.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	72.1%Under prob · Palantir	29.4%no-vig	+72.10%	1+ Hitline	1.039count	72.1%selected	4.74role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
66	Lawrence ButlerATH	ATH vs CWS	P 18.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 1.5 2 of 2	18.2%Over prob · Palantir	16.9%no-vig	+81.84%	2+ Hitsline	0.802count	18.2%selected	3.89role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 490 avg 1 books
67	Francisco LindorNYM	NYM vs BOS	P 26.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 1.5 2 of 2	26.2%Over prob · Palantir	25.0%no-vig	+73.81%	2+ Hitsline	0.998count	26.2%selected	4.69role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
68	Jorge PolancoNYM	NYM vs BOS	P 18.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	18.8%Over prob · Palantir	59.2%no-vig	+81.24%	1+ Hitline	0.818count	18.8%selected	4.19role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 450 avg 1 books