Mithrandir Metrics

HITS 2026-07-31 · saved artifact ROWS 61 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist

Lane Health 2026-09-01

Palantir 673 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Hits

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Hits board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	Prop	Hits proj	Line prob	PA	Recent	Pitch mix	Best line
01	Lars NootbaarSTL	STL vs TOR	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	40.8%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.208count	98.0%selected	1.19role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 440 avg 1 books
02	Kyle StowersMIA	MIA vs NYM	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	35.1%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.272count	98.0%selected	1.42role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
03	Seiya SuzukiCHC	CHC vs NYY	P 3.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	96.8%Under prob · Palantir	32.3%no-vig	+96.81%	1+ Hitline	0.357count	96.8%selected	1.6role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
04	Taylor WallsTB	TB vs CWS	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	44.4%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.232count	98.0%selected	1.23role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 600 avg 1 books
05	Ben RiceNYY	NYY vs CHC	P 4.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	95.1%Under prob · Palantir	31.2%no-vig	+95.10%	1+ Hitline	0.443count	95.1%selected	2.3role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
06	Trent GrishamNYY	NYY vs CHC	P 6.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	93.1%Under prob · Palantir	37.7%no-vig	+93.07%	1+ Hitline	0.482count	93.1%selected	2.9role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 380 avg 1 books
07	Otto LopezMIA	MIA vs NYM	P 14.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	85.7%Under prob · Palantir	65.5%no-vig	+85.68%	2+ Hitsline	0.715count	85.7%selected	3.32role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 190 avg 1 books
08	Dylan CrewsWSH	WSH vs ATL	P 12.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	87.7%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+87.72%	2+ Hitsline	0.657count	87.7%selected	3.23role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
09	Gabriel MorenoAZ	AZ vs CLE	P 14.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	85.2%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+85.22%	2+ Hitsline	0.727count	85.2%selected	3.12role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
10	Pete Crow-ArmstrongCHC	CHC vs NYY	P 15.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.4%Under prob · Palantir	66.1%no-vig	+84.42%	2+ Hitsline	0.734count	84.4%selected	3.5role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 195 avg 1 books
11	Liam HicksMIA	MIA vs NYM	P 12.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	87.9%Under prob · Palantir	32.3%no-vig	+87.92%	1+ Hitline	0.651count	87.9%selected	3.34role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
12	Jordan WalkerSTL	STL vs TOR	P 11.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	88.6%Under prob · Palantir	34.5%no-vig	+88.61%	1+ Hitline	0.63count	88.6%selected	3.24role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
13	Jake MangumPIT	PIT vs CIN	P 22.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.8%Under prob · Palantir	64.9%no-vig	+77.76%	2+ Hitsline	0.905count	77.8%selected	3.91role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 185 avg 1 books
14	Joey BartPIT	PIT vs CIN	P 9.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	91.0%Under prob · Palantir	42.6%no-vig	+91.04%	1+ Hitline	0.554count	91.0%selected	2.9role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 470 avg 1 books
15	Jj BledayCIN	CIN vs PIT	P 11.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	88.6%Under prob · Palantir	40.0%no-vig	+88.65%	1+ Hitline	0.612count	88.6%selected	3.75role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 410 avg 1 books
16	Junior CamineroTB	TB vs CWS	P 21.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.0%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+79.01%	2+ Hitsline	0.874count	79.0%selected	3.86role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
17	Bryan ReynoldsPIT	PIT vs CIN	P 18.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.5%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+81.55%	2+ Hitsline	0.81count	81.5%selected	4.1role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
18	Paul GoldschmidtNYY	NYY vs CHC	P 19.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.4%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+80.44%	2+ Hitsline	0.838count	80.4%selected	3.91role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
19	Michael BuschCHC	CHC vs NYY	P 19.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.4%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+80.36%	2+ Hitsline	0.84count	80.4%selected	4.25role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
20	Francisco AlvarezNYM	NYM vs MIA	P 13.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	86.4%Under prob · Palantir	78.3%no-vig	+86.35%	2+ Hitsline	0.696count	86.4%selected	3.18role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 360 avg 1 books
21	Brandon LowePIT	PIT vs CIN	P 15.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.1%Under prob · Palantir	76.2%no-vig	+84.14%	2+ Hitsline	0.741count	84.1%selected	3.98role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
22	Kyle SchwarberPHI	PHI vs BAL	P 20.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.3%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+79.31%	2+ Hitsline	0.861count	79.3%selected	4.67role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
23	Xavier EdwardsMIA	MIA vs NYM	P 23.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.4%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+76.41%	2+ Hitsline	0.938count	76.4%selected	4.17role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
24	Noelvi MarteCIN	CIN vs PIT	P 10.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	90.0%Under prob · Palantir	44.4%no-vig	+89.99%	1+ Hitline	0.588count	90.0%selected	3.13role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 500 avg 1 books
25	Jacob YoungWSH	WSH vs ATL	P 13.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	86.2%Under prob · Palantir	78.7%no-vig	+86.21%	2+ Hitsline	0.7count	86.2%selected	2.92role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 370 avg 1 books
26	Carson KellyCHC	CHC vs NYY	P 13.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	86.4%Under prob · Palantir	79.2%no-vig	+86.36%	2+ Hitsline	0.696count	86.4%selected	3.27role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 380 avg 1 books
27	Colson MontgomeryCWS	CWS vs TB	P 16.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.1%Under prob · Palantir	76.2%no-vig	+83.14%	2+ Hitsline	0.768count	83.1%selected	3.79role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
28	Alec BurlesonSTL	STL vs TOR	P 22.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.7%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+77.69%	2+ Hitsline	0.907count	77.7%selected	4.12role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
29	James WoodWSH	WSH vs ATL	P 25.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	74.9%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+74.88%	2+ Hitsline	0.975count	74.9%selected	4.39role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
30	Ryan O'HearnPIT	PIT vs CIN	P 18.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.0%Under prob · Palantir	75.0%no-vig	+81.05%	2+ Hitsline	0.823count	81.0%selected	3.96role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
31	J.t. RealmutoPHI	PHI vs BAL	P 22.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.0%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+78.01%	2+ Hitsline	0.899count	78.0%selected	3.63role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
32	Marcus SemienNYM	NYM vs MIA	P 23.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	23.8%Over prob · Palantir	60.8%no-vig	+76.15%	1+ Hitline	0.945count	23.8%selected	4.21role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 420 avg 1 books
33	Tyler StephensonCIN	CIN vs PIT	P 12.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	87.6%Under prob · Palantir	44.4%no-vig	+87.62%	1+ Hitline	0.643count	87.6%selected	3.63role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 500 avg 1 books
34	Masyn WinnSTL	STL vs TOR	P 12.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	87.2%Under prob · Palantir	82.1%no-vig	+87.23%	2+ Hitsline	0.671count	87.2%selected	3.35role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 460 avg 1 books
35	Brandon MarshPHI	PHI vs BAL	P 24.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.7%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+75.66%	2+ Hitsline	0.956count	75.7%selected	3.87role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
36	Matt McLainCIN	CIN vs PIT	P 10.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	89.8%Under prob · Palantir	46.5%no-vig	+89.78%	1+ Hitline	0.594count	89.8%selected	3.43role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 600 avg 1 books
37	Nolan ArenadoAZ	AZ vs CLE	P 20.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.9%Under prob · Palantir	75.0%no-vig	+79.86%	2+ Hitsline	0.853count	79.9%selected	3.8role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
38	Keibert RuizWSH	WSH vs ATL	P 21.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.0%Under prob · Palantir	74.4%no-vig	+79.04%	2+ Hitsline	0.873count	79.0%selected	3.86role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
39	Cedric MullinsTB	TB vs CWS	P 16.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	84.0%Under prob · Palantir	39.2%no-vig	+84.01%	1+ Hitline	0.745count	84.0%selected	3.89role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 400 avg 1 books
40	Chase MeidrothCWS	CWS vs TB	P 22.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.6%Under prob · Palantir	73.0%no-vig	+77.62%	2+ Hitsline	0.909count	77.6%selected	3.94role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
41	Jonathan ArandaTB	TB vs CWS	P 24.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.5%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+75.54%	2+ Hitsline	0.959count	75.5%selected	3.92role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
42	Bryson StottPHI	PHI vs BAL	P 21.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.4%Under prob · Palantir	74.4%no-vig	+78.43%	2+ Hitsline	0.889count	78.4%selected	3.78role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
43	Chandler SimpsonTB	TB vs CWS	P 34.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	34.2%Over prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+65.84%	1+ Hitline	1.185count	34.2%selected	4.36role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
44	Marcell OzunaPIT	PIT vs CIN	P 17.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.0%Under prob · Palantir	79.2%no-vig	+83.02%	2+ Hitsline	0.771count	83.0%selected	4.16role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 380 avg 1 books
45	Daylen LileWSH	WSH vs ATL	P 28.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	72.0%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+72.05%	2+ Hitsline	1.042count	72.0%selected	4.01role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
46	Alec BohmPHI	PHI vs BAL	P 28.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	71.8%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+71.78%	2+ Hitsline	1.048count	71.8%selected	4.21role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
47	Alex BregmanCHC	CHC vs NYY	P 24.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.6%Under prob · Palantir	73.0%no-vig	+75.58%	2+ Hitsline	0.958count	75.6%selected	4.26role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
48	Nico HoernerCHC	CHC vs NYY	P 34.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	34.8%Over prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+65.21%	1+ Hitline	1.204count	34.8%selected	4.66role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
49	Geraldo PerdomoAZ	AZ vs CLE	P 25.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	74.4%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+74.43%	2+ Hitsline	0.983count	74.4%selected	4.59role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
50	Ian HappCHC	CHC vs NYY	P 21.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	78.3%Under prob · Palantir	35.7%no-vig	+78.35%	1+ Hitline	0.885count	78.3%selected	4.56role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 330 avg 1 books
51	Bryce HarperPHI	PHI vs BAL	P 33.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	33.1%Over prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+66.91%	1+ Hitline	1.164count	33.1%selected	4.74role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
52	Cj AbramsWSH	WSH vs ATL	P 30.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	30.9%Over prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+69.10%	1+ Hitline	1.112count	30.9%selected	4.59role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
53	Ketel MarteAZ	AZ vs CLE	P 29.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	70.4%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+70.44%	2+ Hitsline	1.08count	70.4%selected	4.66role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
54	Corbin CarrollAZ	AZ vs CLE	P 27.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	72.2%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+72.23%	2+ Hitsline	1.036count	72.2%selected	4.89role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
55	Bo BichetteNYM	NYM vs MIA	P 33.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	33.9%Over prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+66.11%	1+ Hitline	1.179count	33.9%selected	4.29role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
56	Andrew BenintendiCWS	CWS vs TB	P 20.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	20.0%Over prob · Palantir	60.0%no-vig	+80.04%	1+ Hitline	0.848count	20.0%selected	3.89role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 390 avg 1 books
57	Trea TurnerPHI	PHI vs BAL	P 36.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	36.0%Over prob · Palantir	74.4%no-vig	+63.97%	1+ Hitline	1.234count	36.0%selected	4.67role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 180 avg 1 books
58	Elly De La CruzCIN	CIN vs PIT	P 23.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	23.4%Over prob · Palantir	63.0%no-vig	+76.60%	1+ Hitline	0.929count	23.4%selected	4.72role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 330 avg 1 books
59	Dansby SwansonCHC	CHC vs NYY	P 20.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.9%Under prob · Palantir	78.7%no-vig	+79.92%	2+ Hitsline	0.851count	79.9%selected	4.08role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 370 avg 1 books
60	Jorge PolancoNYM	NYM vs MIA	P 22.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.1%Under prob · Palantir	76.2%no-vig	+77.09%	2+ Hitsline	0.921count	77.1%selected	4.19role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
61	Francisco LindorNYM	NYM vs MIA	P 31.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	68.6%Under prob · Palantir	27.8%no-vig	+68.56%	1+ Hitline	1.125count	68.6%selected	4.69role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books