Mithrandir Metrics

HITS 2026-08-13 · saved artifact ROWS 45 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist

Lane Health 2026-09-01

Palantir 673 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Hits

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Hits board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	Prop	Hits proj	Line prob	PA	Recent	Pitch mix	Best line
01	Dominic CanzoneSEA	SEA vs NYY	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	35.1%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.264count	98.0%selected	1.25role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
02	Seiya SuzukiCHC	CHC vs WSH	P 3.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	96.4%Under prob · Palantir	27.8%no-vig	+96.37%	1+ Hitline	0.381count	96.4%selected	1.6role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 195 avg 1 books
03	Trent GrishamNYY	NYY vs SEA	P 10.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	90.0%Under prob · Palantir	32.3%no-vig	+89.96%	1+ Hitline	0.572count	90.0%selected	3.66role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
04	Dylan CrewsWSH	WSH vs CHC	P 10.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	89.7%Under prob · Palantir	33.3%no-vig	+89.71%	1+ Hitline	0.597count	89.7%selected	3.23role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
05	Pete Crow-ArmstrongCHC	CHC vs WSH	P 17.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.6%Under prob · Palantir	64.9%no-vig	+82.57%	2+ Hitsline	0.783count	82.6%selected	3.5role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 185 avg 1 books
06	Jo AdellLAA	LAA vs TEX	P 13.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	86.4%Under prob · Palantir	31.2%no-vig	+86.35%	1+ Hitline	0.68count	86.4%selected	3.66role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
07	Masataka YoshidaBOS	BOS vs TOR	P 20.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.5%Under prob · Palantir	63.6%no-vig	+79.45%	2+ Hitsline	0.863count	79.5%selected	3.61role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 175 avg 1 books
08	Ben RiceNYY	NYY vs SEA	P 14.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	86.1%Under prob · Palantir	31.2%no-vig	+86.05%	1+ Hitline	0.688count	86.1%selected	3.81role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
09	Ryan JeffersMIN	MIN vs PHI	P 14.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	85.4%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+85.42%	2+ Hitsline	0.722count	85.4%selected	3.42role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
10	Chase MeidrothCWS	CWS vs CIN	P 23.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.0%Under prob · Palantir	66.1%no-vig	+77.03%	2+ Hitsline	0.923count	77.0%selected	4.19role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 195 avg 1 books
11	Colson MontgomeryCWS	CWS vs CIN	P 11.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	88.1%Under prob · Palantir	37.7%no-vig	+88.07%	1+ Hitline	0.646count	88.1%selected	3.34role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 380 avg 1 books
12	Caleb DurbinBOS	BOS vs TOR	P 13.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	86.4%Under prob · Palantir	76.2%no-vig	+86.38%	2+ Hitsline	0.695count	86.4%selected	3.28role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
13	Jj BledayCIN	CIN vs CWS	P 15.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	84.8%Under prob · Palantir	35.1%no-vig	+84.82%	1+ Hitline	0.722count	84.8%selected	3.75role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
14	Wilyer AbreuBOS	BOS vs TOR	P 18.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.3%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+81.26%	2+ Hitsline	0.817count	81.3%selected	3.96role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
15	Jacob YoungWSH	WSH vs CHC	P 11.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	88.4%Under prob · Palantir	39.2%no-vig	+88.43%	1+ Hitline	0.636count	88.4%selected	2.92role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 390 avg 1 books
16	Trevor LarnachMIN	MIN vs PHI	P 15.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	84.5%Under prob · Palantir	35.1%no-vig	+84.50%	1+ Hitline	0.731count	84.5%selected	3.6role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
17	Byron BuxtonMIN	MIN vs PHI	P 20.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.1%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+79.14%	2+ Hitsline	0.871count	79.1%selected	4.01role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
18	Michael BuschCHC	CHC vs WSH	P 21.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.1%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+78.10%	2+ Hitsline	0.897count	78.1%selected	4.25role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
19	Randy ArozarenaSEA	SEA vs NYY	P 19.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.9%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+80.94%	2+ Hitsline	0.825count	80.9%selected	4.33role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
20	Tyler StephensonCIN	CIN vs CWS	P 16.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	83.5%Under prob · Palantir	34.5%no-vig	+83.47%	1+ Hitline	0.759count	83.5%selected	3.63role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
21	Bryson StottPHI	PHI vs MIN	P 18.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.6%Under prob · Palantir	73.0%no-vig	+81.58%	2+ Hitsline	0.809count	81.6%selected	3.78role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
22	J.t. RealmutoPHI	PHI vs MIN	P 18.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.2%Under prob · Palantir	73.0%no-vig	+81.22%	2+ Hitsline	0.818count	81.2%selected	3.63role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
23	Royce LewisMIN	MIN vs PHI	P 16.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	84.0%Under prob · Palantir	35.7%no-vig	+83.98%	1+ Hitline	0.745count	84.0%selected	3.64role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
24	Kyle SchwarberPHI	PHI vs MIN	P 17.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.3%Under prob · Palantir	75.6%no-vig	+82.28%	2+ Hitsline	0.783count	82.3%selected	4.67role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
25	Cj AbramsWSH	WSH vs CHC	P 26.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	73.3%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+73.33%	2+ Hitsline	1.01count	73.3%selected	4.59role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
26	Edgar QueroCWS	CWS vs CIN	P 17.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	82.2%Under prob · Palantir	35.1%no-vig	+82.20%	1+ Hitline	0.793count	82.2%selected	3.5role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 330 avg 1 books
27	Keibert RuizWSH	WSH vs CHC	P 17.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	82.2%Under prob · Palantir	35.1%no-vig	+82.18%	1+ Hitline	0.793count	82.2%selected	3.86role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
28	Alex BregmanCHC	CHC vs WSH	P 27.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	72.9%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+72.86%	2+ Hitsline	1.023count	72.9%selected	4.26role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
29	Alec BohmPHI	PHI vs MIN	P 24.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.8%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+75.76%	2+ Hitsline	0.954count	75.8%selected	4.21role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
30	Daylen LileWSH	WSH vs CHC	P 23.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.1%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+76.07%	2+ Hitsline	0.946count	76.1%selected	4.01role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
31	Trea TurnerPHI	PHI vs MIN	P 31.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	68.6%Under prob · Palantir	63.6%no-vig	+68.64%	2+ Hitsline	1.123count	68.6%selected	4.67role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 175 avg 1 books
32	Brandon MarshPHI	PHI vs MIN	P 20.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.2%Under prob · Palantir	74.4%no-vig	+79.16%	2+ Hitsline	0.87count	79.2%selected	3.87role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
33	Matt McLainCIN	CIN vs CWS	P 13.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	86.2%Under prob · Palantir	81.5%no-vig	+86.15%	2+ Hitsline	0.701count	86.2%selected	3.43role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 440 avg 1 books
34	Nico HoernerCHC	CHC vs WSH	P 38.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 1.5 2 of 2	38.2%Over prob · Palantir	34.5%no-vig	+61.80%	2+ Hitsline	1.285count	38.2%selected	4.66role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 190 avg 1 books
35	Luke KeaschallMIN	MIN vs PHI	P 23.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.8%Under prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+76.84%	2+ Hitsline	0.928count	76.8%selected	4.0role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
36	Elly De La CruzCIN	CIN vs CWS	P 30.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	69.7%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+69.72%	2+ Hitsline	1.097count	69.7%selected	4.72role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
37	Steven KwanCLE	CLE vs DET	P 29.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	70.8%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+70.78%	2+ Hitsline	1.072count	70.8%selected	4.47role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
38	Josh BellMIN	MIN vs PHI	P 21.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.5%Under prob · Palantir	75.6%no-vig	+78.52%	2+ Hitsline	0.886count	78.5%selected	4.27role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
39	Cal RaleighSEA	SEA vs NYY	P 16.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.8%Under prob · Palantir	81.1%no-vig	+83.82%	2+ Hitsline	0.75count	83.8%selected	4.3role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 430 avg 1 books
40	Willson ContrerasBOS	BOS vs TOR	P 24.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.8%Under prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+75.78%	2+ Hitsline	0.953count	75.8%selected	4.24role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
41	Dansby SwansonCHC	CHC vs WSH	P 22.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.6%Under prob · Palantir	75.6%no-vig	+77.62%	2+ Hitsline	0.909count	77.6%selected	4.08role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
42	Jarren DuranBOS	BOS vs TOR	P 29.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	29.8%Over prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+70.22%	1+ Hitline	1.085count	29.8%selected	4.79role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
43	Josh NaylorSEA	SEA vs NYY	P 23.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	23.3%Over prob · Palantir	63.6%no-vig	+76.69%	1+ Hitline	0.931count	23.3%selected	4.13role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 340 avg 1 books
44	Ian HappCHC	CHC vs WSH	P 24.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	76.0%Under prob · Palantir	33.9%no-vig	+75.97%	1+ Hitline	0.945count	76.0%selected	4.56role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
45	Bryce HarperPHI	PHI vs MIN	P 28.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	71.3%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+71.28%	2+ Hitsline	1.059count	71.3%selected	4.74role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books