Mithrandir Metrics

HITS 2026-08-17 · saved artifact ROWS 47 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist

Lane Health 2026-09-01

Palantir 673 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Hits

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Hits board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	Prop	Hits proj	Line prob	PA	Recent	Pitch mix	Best line
01	Jahmai JonesDET	DET vs PIT	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	34.5%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.195count	98.0%selected	0.79role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
02	Liam HicksMIA	MIA vs PHI	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	33.3%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.257count	98.0%selected	1.19role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
03	Taylor WallsTB	TB vs BAL	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	42.6%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.239count	98.0%selected	1.23role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 480 avg 1 books
04	Zack GelofATH	ATH vs KC	P 9.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	90.7%Under prob · Palantir	31.2%no-vig	+90.72%	1+ Hitline	0.564count	90.7%selected	3.08role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
05	Dillon DinglerDET	DET vs PIT	P 15.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.3%Under prob · Palantir	63.6%no-vig	+84.30%	2+ Hitsline	0.752count	84.3%selected	3.2role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 175 avg 1 books
06	Otto LopezMIA	MIA vs PHI	P 18.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.7%Under prob · Palantir	64.9%no-vig	+81.68%	2+ Hitsline	0.82count	81.7%selected	3.49role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 185 avg 1 books
07	Brandon LowePIT	PIT vs DET	P 12.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	87.9%Under prob · Palantir	32.3%no-vig	+87.94%	1+ Hitline	0.65count	87.9%selected	3.19role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
08	Jacob WilsonATH	ATH vs KC	P 22.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.3%Under prob · Palantir	63.6%no-vig	+77.26%	2+ Hitsline	0.917count	77.3%selected	3.57role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 175 avg 1 books
09	Gleyber TorresDET	DET vs PIT	P 19.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.1%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+80.11%	2+ Hitsline	0.847count	80.1%selected	3.56role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
10	Jeff McNeilATH	ATH vs KC	P 16.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.1%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+83.07%	2+ Hitsline	0.784count	83.1%selected	3.49role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
11	Michael Harris IIATL	ATL vs MIN	P 21.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.2%Under prob · Palantir	64.9%no-vig	+78.19%	2+ Hitsline	0.895count	78.2%selected	3.84role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 185 avg 1 books
12	Bryan ReynoldsPIT	PIT vs DET	P 20.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.5%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+79.54%	2+ Hitsline	0.861count	79.5%selected	4.1role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
13	Kyle SchwarberPHI	PHI vs MIA	P 20.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.0%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+79.05%	2+ Hitsline	0.867count	79.0%selected	4.67role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
14	Drake BaldwinATL	ATL vs MIN	P 24.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.3%Under prob · Palantir	63.6%no-vig	+75.29%	2+ Hitsline	0.965count	75.3%selected	4.05role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 175 avg 1 books
15	Austin MartinMIN	MIN vs ATL	P 18.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.3%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+81.31%	2+ Hitsline	0.829count	81.3%selected	3.39role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
16	Junior CamineroTB	TB vs BAL	P 22.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.0%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+77.99%	2+ Hitsline	0.899count	78.0%selected	3.86role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
17	Ryan JeffersMIN	MIN vs ATL	P 20.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.8%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+79.79%	2+ Hitsline	0.854count	79.8%selected	3.8role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
18	Bryson StottPHI	PHI vs MIA	P 22.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.5%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+77.48%	2+ Hitsline	0.912count	77.5%selected	3.78role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
19	Byron BuxtonMIN	MIN vs ATL	P 25.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	74.6%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+74.63%	2+ Hitsline	0.981count	74.6%selected	4.24role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
20	Lawrence ButlerATH	ATH vs KC	P 18.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.8%Under prob · Palantir	75.6%no-vig	+81.78%	2+ Hitsline	0.804count	81.8%selected	3.89role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
21	Royce LewisMIN	MIN vs ATL	P 20.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.5%Under prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+79.54%	2+ Hitsline	0.861count	79.5%selected	3.89role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
22	Ozzie AlbiesATL	ATL vs MIN	P 24.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.5%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+75.51%	2+ Hitsline	0.96count	75.5%selected	4.41role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
23	Francisco AlvarezNYM	NYM vs SD	P 13.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	86.4%Under prob · Palantir	80.8%no-vig	+86.37%	2+ Hitsline	0.695count	86.4%selected	3.19role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 420 avg 1 books
24	Mike YastrzemskiATL	ATL vs MIN	P 16.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	83.8%Under prob · Palantir	38.5%no-vig	+83.79%	1+ Hitline	0.751count	83.8%selected	3.96role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 390 avg 1 books
25	Spencer TorkelsonDET	DET vs PIT	P 17.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	82.2%Under prob · Palantir	36.4%no-vig	+82.17%	1+ Hitline	0.793count	82.2%selected	4.04role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 350 avg 1 books
26	Matt OlsonATL	ATL vs MIN	P 27.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	72.3%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+72.31%	2+ Hitsline	1.035count	72.3%selected	4.74role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
27	Jorge PolancoNYM	NYM vs SD	P 22.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	22.8%Over prob · Palantir	60.8%no-vig	+77.20%	1+ Hitline	0.919count	22.8%selected	4.19role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 410 avg 1 books
28	Austin RileyATL	ATL vs MIN	P 23.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.1%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+76.15%	2+ Hitsline	0.944count	76.1%selected	4.24role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
29	J.t. RealmutoPHI	PHI vs MIA	P 22.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.1%Under prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+77.11%	2+ Hitsline	0.921count	77.1%selected	3.63role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
30	Colt KeithDET	DET vs PIT	P 21.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.8%Under prob · Palantir	75.6%no-vig	+78.84%	2+ Hitsline	0.878count	78.8%selected	3.84role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
31	Jonathan ArandaTB	TB vs BAL	P 26.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	73.6%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+73.61%	2+ Hitsline	1.005count	73.6%selected	3.92role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
32	Jake MangumPIT	PIT vs DET	P 26.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	73.8%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+73.81%	2+ Hitsline	1.0count	73.8%selected	3.91role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
33	Chandler SimpsonTB	TB vs BAL	P 35.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	35.7%Over prob · Palantir	74.4%no-vig	+64.34%	1+ Hitline	1.219count	35.7%selected	4.36role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 180 avg 1 books
34	Jakob MarseeMIA	MIA vs PHI	P 20.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.5%Under prob · Palantir	77.3%no-vig	+79.54%	2+ Hitsline	0.861count	79.5%selected	3.68role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 340 avg 1 books
35	Alec BohmPHI	PHI vs MIA	P 31.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	31.0%Over prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+69.01%	1+ Hitline	1.112count	31.0%selected	4.21role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
36	Josh BellMIN	MIN vs ATL	P 23.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.5%Under prob · Palantir	74.4%no-vig	+76.49%	2+ Hitsline	0.936count	76.5%selected	4.21role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
37	Luke KeaschallMIN	MIN vs ATL	P 28.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	28.8%Over prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+71.20%	1+ Hitline	1.062count	28.8%selected	4.2role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
38	Bo BichetteNYM	NYM vs SD	P 32.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	32.7%Over prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+67.26%	1+ Hitline	1.152count	32.7%selected	4.29role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
39	Brett BatyNYM	NYM vs SD	P 15.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.2%Under prob · Palantir	82.5%no-vig	+84.18%	2+ Hitsline	0.755count	84.2%selected	3.49role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 470 avg 1 books
40	Francisco LindorNYM	NYM vs SD	P 30.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	30.7%Over prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+69.30%	1+ Hitline	1.107count	30.7%selected	4.69role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
41	Trea TurnerPHI	PHI vs MIA	P 37.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	37.0%Over prob · Palantir	75.0%no-vig	+62.95%	1+ Hitline	1.258count	37.0%selected	4.67role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 175 avg 1 books
42	Marcus SemienNYM	NYM vs SD	P 22.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.7%Under prob · Palantir	76.2%no-vig	+77.68%	2+ Hitsline	0.907count	77.7%selected	4.21role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
43	Cedric MullinsTB	TB vs BAL	P 17.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	82.9%Under prob · Palantir	40.8%no-vig	+82.90%	1+ Hitline	0.774count	82.9%selected	3.89role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 440 avg 1 books
44	Xavier EdwardsMIA	MIA vs PHI	P 28.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	28.5%Over prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+71.47%	1+ Hitline	1.055count	28.5%selected	4.15role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
45	Zach McKinstryDET	DET vs PIT	P 22.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.1%Under prob · Palantir	76.2%no-vig	+77.07%	2+ Hitsline	0.922count	77.1%selected	4.07role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
46	Brandon MarshPHI	PHI vs MIA	P 25.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	25.1%Over prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+74.87%	1+ Hitline	0.975count	25.1%selected	3.87role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
47	Bryce HarperPHI	PHI vs MIA	P 34.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	34.9%Over prob · Palantir	74.4%no-vig	+65.10%	1+ Hitline	1.207count	34.9%selected	4.74role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 185 avg 1 books