Mithrandir Metrics

HITS 2026-08-20 · saved artifact ROWS 28 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist

Lane Health 2026-09-01

Palantir 673 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Hits

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Hits board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	Prop	Hits proj	Line prob	PA	Recent	Pitch mix	Best line
01	Jackson ChourioMIL	MIL vs SEA	P 3.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	97.0%Under prob · Palantir	27.0%no-vig	+97.01%	1+ Hitline	0.346count	97.0%selected	1.53role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
02	Andrew VaughnMIL	MIL vs SEA	P 2.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	97.1%Under prob · Palantir	35.7%no-vig	+97.09%	1+ Hitline	0.341count	97.1%selected	1.51role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 330 avg 1 books
03	Taylor WallsTB	TB vs TOR	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	44.4%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.225count	98.0%selected	1.23role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 550 avg 1 books
04	Trent GrishamNYY	NYY vs BAL	P 9.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	90.4%Under prob · Palantir	31.2%no-vig	+90.41%	1+ Hitline	0.557count	90.4%selected	3.66role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
05	Jordan WalkerSTL	STL vs CIN	P 13.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	86.4%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+86.41%	2+ Hitsline	0.694count	86.4%selected	3.24role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
06	Ben RiceNYY	NYY vs BAL	P 13.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	86.3%Under prob · Palantir	29.4%no-vig	+86.30%	1+ Hitline	0.681count	86.3%selected	3.81role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
07	Jake BauersMIL	MIL vs SEA	P 10.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	89.5%Under prob · Palantir	33.3%no-vig	+89.46%	1+ Hitline	0.604count	89.5%selected	3.39role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
08	Heliot RamosSF	SF vs CLE	P 18.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.8%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+81.76%	2+ Hitsline	0.804count	81.8%selected	3.84role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
09	Junior CamineroTB	TB vs TOR	P 19.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.2%Under prob · Palantir	65.5%no-vig	+80.16%	2+ Hitsline	0.845count	80.2%selected	3.86role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 190 avg 1 books
10	Jung Hoo LeeSF	SF vs CLE	P 17.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.6%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+82.63%	2+ Hitsline	0.781count	82.6%selected	3.62role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
11	Jj BledayCIN	CIN vs STL	P 16.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.1%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+83.11%	2+ Hitsline	0.769count	83.1%selected	3.75role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
12	Masyn WinnSTL	STL vs CIN	P 15.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.5%Under prob · Palantir	73.0%no-vig	+84.50%	2+ Hitsline	0.747count	84.5%selected	3.35role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
13	Alec BurlesonSTL	STL vs CIN	P 27.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	73.0%Under prob · Palantir	63.6%no-vig	+73.05%	2+ Hitsline	1.018count	73.0%selected	4.12role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 175 avg 1 books
14	Tyler StephensonCIN	CIN vs STL	P 17.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.3%Under prob · Palantir	73.0%no-vig	+82.32%	2+ Hitsline	0.789count	82.3%selected	3.63role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
15	Andrew BenintendiCWS	CWS vs ATL	P 18.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	82.0%Under prob · Palantir	33.9%no-vig	+82.02%	1+ Hitline	0.797count	82.0%selected	3.89role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
16	Colson MontgomeryCWS	CWS vs ATL	P 14.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	85.3%Under prob · Palantir	39.2%no-vig	+85.30%	1+ Hitline	0.709count	85.3%selected	3.79role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 400 avg 1 books
17	Willy AdamesSF	SF vs CLE	P 17.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.0%Under prob · Palantir	77.3%no-vig	+83.05%	2+ Hitsline	0.77count	83.0%selected	4.16role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 340 avg 1 books
18	Christian YelichMIL	MIL vs SEA	P 28.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	28.3%Over prob · Palantir	63.6%no-vig	+71.65%	1+ Hitline	1.05count	28.3%selected	4.62role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
19	Jonathan ArandaTB	TB vs TOR	P 23.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.1%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+76.14%	2+ Hitsline	0.945count	76.1%selected	3.92role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
20	Chandler SimpsonTB	TB vs TOR	P 32.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	67.6%Under prob · Palantir	62.3%no-vig	+67.57%	2+ Hitsline	1.145count	67.6%selected	4.36role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 165 avg 1 books
21	Chase MeidrothCWS	CWS vs ATL	P 19.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.3%Under prob · Palantir	75.6%no-vig	+80.32%	2+ Hitsline	0.841count	80.3%selected	3.94role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
22	Matt McLainCIN	CIN vs STL	P 16.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.0%Under prob · Palantir	79.6%no-vig	+83.97%	2+ Hitsline	0.761count	84.0%selected	3.43role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 390 avg 1 books
23	Cedric MullinsTB	TB vs TOR	P 15.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	84.6%Under prob · Palantir	41.7%no-vig	+84.63%	1+ Hitline	0.728count	84.6%selected	3.89role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 460 avg 1 books
24	Brice TurangMIL	MIL vs SEA	P 28.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	71.8%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+71.78%	2+ Hitsline	1.047count	71.8%selected	4.73role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
25	Elly De La CruzCIN	CIN vs STL	P 31.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	68.3%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+68.34%	2+ Hitsline	1.13count	68.3%selected	4.72role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
26	William ContrerasMIL	MIL vs SEA	P 28.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	28.7%Over prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+71.27%	1+ Hitline	1.06count	28.7%selected	4.45role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
27	Steven KwanCLE	CLE vs SF	P 29.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	70.6%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+70.63%	2+ Hitsline	1.075count	70.6%selected	4.47role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
28	Rafael DeversSF	SF vs CLE	P 22.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.6%Under prob · Palantir	76.7%no-vig	+77.59%	2+ Hitsline	0.904count	77.6%selected	4.53role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 330 avg 1 books