Mithrandir Metrics

HR BOARD 2026-05-26 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay PALANTIR production FANGORN nonlinear lane VALINOR calibrated lane LINEUP FILTER armed; waiting on confirmed lineups

Lane Health 2026-09-01

Palantir 17901 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable

Fangorn 17901 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable

Valinor 12243 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.005 14d stable

Model Lane

Home Runs

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn production Valinor rebadged research

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Lineups not posted

The in-lineup filter is armed, but no confirmed lineup artifact exists for this date yet. The board is showing the projected pool honestly.

Home-run board · largest Fangorn gap versus market

#	Player	Matchup	Sim	Implied	Gap	Three lanes · P/F/V	Spread	Park	Weather	Recent	Best line
01	Roman Anthony BOS IL10	BOS vs ATLSpencer Strider · slot 2	26.0%Fangorn	12.0%market	+13.9pp	P 17.3 F 26.0 V 19.5	8.6pp	1.111xHR pf	Hitter-Friendlyweather	Strong Damageform	FanDuel 700 avg 3 books
02	Nathan Lukes TOR Lineup pending	TOR vs MIASandy Alcantara · slot 6	17.9%Fangorn	9.1%market	+8.8pp	P 4.1 F 17.9 V 13.4	13.8pp	0.998xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	DraftKings 960 avg 3 books
03	Evan Carter TEX Lineup pending	TEX vs HOUJason Alexander · slot 6	17.9%Fangorn	11.0%market	+6.9pp	P 11.6 F 17.9 V 13.4	6.3pp	1.023xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	DraftKings 780 avg 3 books
04	Jonathan Aranda TB Lineup pending	TB vs BALShane Baz · slot 3	19.6%Fangorn	12.7%market	+6.8pp	P 16.8 F 19.6 V 14.7	2.8pp	0.984xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	FanDuel 655 avg 3 books
05	Jarren Duran BOS Lineup pending	BOS vs ATLSpencer Strider · slot 1	17.9%Fangorn	11.8%market	+6.1pp	P 17.0 F 17.9 V 13.5	0.9pp	1.111xHR pf	Hitter-Friendlyweather	Strong Damageform	FanDuel 715 avg 3 books
06	Carlos Correa HOU IL10	HOU vs TEXJack Leiter · slot 6	17.2%Fangorn	11.1%market	+6.1pp	P 11.4 F 17.2 V 12.9	5.8pp	1.023xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	DraftKings 770 avg 3 books
07	Jeremy Peña HOU Lineup pending	HOU vs TEXJack Leiter · slot 1	17.2%Fangorn	11.2%market	+6.0pp	P 11.4 F 17.2 V 12.9	5.8pp	1.023xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	DraftKings 765 avg 3 books
08	Brice Turang MIL Lineup pending	MIL vs STLMichael McGreevy · slot 1	15.7%Fangorn	10.0%market	+5.7pp	P 13.0 F 15.7 V 11.8	2.7pp	0.915xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	DraftKings 865 avg 3 books
09	Edgar Quero CWS Lineup pending	CWS vs MINJoe Ryan · slot 6	13.4%Fangorn	7.7%market	+5.7pp	P 2.3 F 13.4 V 10.0	11.1pp	0.994xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
10	Jesús Sánchez TOR Lineup pending	TOR vs MIASandy Alcantara · slot 5	17.9%Fangorn	12.3%market	+5.6pp	P 12.8 F 17.9 V 13.5	5.1pp	0.998xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	DraftKings 685 avg 3 books
11	Zach McKinstry DET Lineup pending	DET vs LAAJack Kochanowicz · slot 1	14.2%Fangorn	8.7%market	+5.5pp	P 9.3 F 14.2 V 10.7	5.0pp	0.993xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	DraftKings 1010 avg 3 books
12	Trevor Larnach MIN Lineup pending	MIN vs CWSSean Burke · slot 7	17.2%Fangorn	11.9%market	+5.3pp	P 12.2 F 17.2 V 12.9	5.0pp	0.994xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	FanDuel 705 avg 3 books
13	Ramón Urías STL IL10	STL vs MILKyle Harrison · slot 5	15.5%Fangorn	10.4%market	+5.1pp	P 11.1 F 15.5 V 11.6	4.4pp	0.915xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	DraftKings 830 avg 3 books
14	Andrew Benintendi CWS Lineup pending	CWS vs MINJoe Ryan · slot 4	17.9%Fangorn	13.0%market	+4.9pp	P 14.0 F 17.9 V 13.5	3.9pp	0.994xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	FanDuel 640 avg 3 books
15	Nolan Schanuel LAA Lineup pending	LAA vs DETKeider Montero · slot 7	13.4%Fangorn	8.5%market	+4.9pp	P 4.3 F 13.4 V 10.0	9.1pp	0.993xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	DraftKings 1035 avg 3 books
16	Iván Herrera STL Lineup pending	STL vs MILKyle Harrison · slot 2	17.9%Fangorn	13.1%market	+4.8pp	P 16.5 F 17.9 V 13.5	1.4pp	0.915xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	FanDuel 635 avg 3 books
17	Brandon Marsh PHI Lineup pending	PHI vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 6	15.7%Fangorn	11.0%market	+4.8pp	P 11.9 F 15.7 V 11.8	3.8pp	0.927xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	DraftKings 780 avg 3 books
18	Cj Abrams WSH Lineup pending	WSH vs CLEJoey Cantillo · slot 1	17.9%Fangorn	13.3%market	+4.6pp	P 14.0 F 17.9 V 13.4	4.0pp	0.957xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	FanDuel 625 avg 3 books
19	Yoán Moncada LAA IL10	LAA vs DETKeider Montero · slot 6	17.2%Fangorn	12.8%market	+4.5pp	P 7.7 F 17.2 V 12.9	9.5pp	0.993xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	FanDuel 655 avg 3 books
20	Brendan Donovan SEA IL10	SEA vs ATHLuis Severino · slot 6	14.2%Fangorn	9.8%market	+4.5pp	P 7.6 F 14.2 V 10.7	6.6pp	0.959xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	DraftKings 890 avg 3 books
21	Willi Castro COL Lineup pending	COL vs LADEric Lauer · slot 1	14.2%Fangorn	9.9%market	+4.3pp	P 5.8 F 14.2 V 10.7	8.4pp	0.912xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	DraftKings 875 avg 3 books
22	Heliot Ramos SF IL10	SF vs AZEduardo Rodriguez · slot 5	17.9%Fangorn	13.7%market	+4.2pp	P 11.6 F 17.9 V 13.5	6.4pp	0.907xHR pf	Pitcher-Friendlyweather	Moderate Damageform	FanDuel 600 avg 3 books
23	Tyler Soderstrom ATH Lineup pending	ATH vs SEAEmerson Hancock · slot 5	17.9%Fangorn	14.0%market	+3.9pp	P 15.4 F 17.9 V 13.5	2.5pp	0.959xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	FanDuel 585 avg 3 books
24	Jake Cronenworth SD IL10	SD vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 7	13.4%Fangorn	9.6%market	+3.7pp	P 6.6 F 13.4 V 10.0	6.8pp	0.927xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	DraftKings 905 avg 3 books
25	Colt Keith DET Lineup pending	DET vs LAAJack Kochanowicz · slot 6	14.2%Fangorn	10.5%market	+3.7pp	P 9.8 F 14.2 V 10.7	4.4pp	0.993xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	DraftKings 820 avg 3 books
26	Keibert Ruiz WSH Lineup pending	WSH vs CLEJoey Cantillo · slot 5	13.4%Fangorn	9.7%market	+3.7pp	P 5.0 F 13.4 V 10.0	8.4pp	0.957xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	DraftKings 900 avg 3 books
27	Yandy Díaz TB Lineup pending	TB vs BALShane Baz · slot 2	17.9%Fangorn	14.2%market	+3.7pp	P 14.3 F 17.9 V 13.5	3.6pp	0.984xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	FanDuel 575 avg 3 books
28	Wyatt Langford TEX IL10	TEX vs HOUJason Alexander · slot 1	17.9%Fangorn	14.4%market	+3.6pp	P 16.3 F 17.9 V 13.5	1.6pp	1.023xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	FanDuel 570 avg 3 books
29	José Caballero NYY Lineup pending	NYY vs KCBailey Falter · slot 1	11.1%Fangorn	7.9%market	+3.2pp	P 6.4 F 11.1 V 8.3	4.7pp	0.986xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	DraftKings 1130 avg 3 books
30	Joc Pederson TEX Lineup pending	TEX vs HOUJason Alexander · slot 5	17.2%Fangorn	14.1%market	+3.1pp	P 14.7 F 17.2 V 12.9	2.5pp	1.023xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	FanDuel 580 avg 3 books
31	Lawrence Butler ATH Lineup pending	ATH vs SEAEmerson Hancock · slot 4	17.9%Fangorn	14.9%market	+3.0pp	P 13.9 F 17.9 V 13.5	4.0pp	0.959xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	FanDuel 545 avg 3 books
32	Alec Bohm PHI Lineup pending	PHI vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 5	13.4%Fangorn	10.7%market	+2.7pp	P 5.7 F 13.4 V 10.0	7.6pp	0.927xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	DraftKings 805 avg 3 books
33	Josh Bell MIN Lineup pending	MIN vs CWSSean Burke · slot 4	17.2%Fangorn	14.8%market	+2.4pp	P 12.2 F 17.2 V 12.9	5.0pp	0.994xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	FanDuel 550 avg 3 books
34	Wilyer Abreu BOS Lineup pending	BOS vs ATLSpencer Strider · slot 4	17.9%Fangorn	15.5%market	+2.4pp	P 21.5 F 17.9 V 13.5	3.6pp	1.111xHR pf	Hitter-Friendlyweather	Moderate Damageform	FanDuel 520 avg 3 books
35	Bo Naylor CLE OUT	CLE vs WSHCade Cavalli · slot 4	15.7%Fangorn	13.4%market	+2.4pp	P 12.5 F 15.7 V 11.8	3.2pp	0.957xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	FanDuel 620 avg 3 books
36	Brandon Nimmo TEX Lineup pending	TEX vs HOUJason Alexander · slot 3	17.9%Fangorn	15.6%market	+2.3pp	P 14.8 F 17.9 V 13.5	3.1pp	1.023xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	FanDuel 515 avg 3 books
37	Jose Altuve HOU IL10	HOU vs TEXJack Leiter · slot 3	17.2%Fangorn	15.0%market	+2.2pp	P 10.7 F 17.2 V 12.9	6.6pp	1.023xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	FanDuel 540 avg 3 books
38	Willson Contreras BOS Lineup pending	BOS vs ATLSpencer Strider · slot 3	17.2%Fangorn	15.2%market	+2.1pp	P 13.3 F 17.2 V 12.9	3.9pp	1.111xHR pf	Hitter-Friendlyweather	Moderate Damageform	FanDuel 535 avg 3 books
39	Randy Arozarena SEA Lineup pending	SEA vs ATHLuis Severino · slot 5	15.7%Fangorn	13.8%market	+1.9pp	P 11.8 F 15.7 V 11.8	3.9pp	0.959xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	FanDuel 595 avg 3 books
40	William Contreras MIL Lineup pending	MIL vs STLMichael McGreevy · slot 3	14.2%Fangorn	12.5%market	+1.7pp	P 10.3 F 14.2 V 10.7	3.9pp	0.915xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	FanDuel 670 avg 3 books
41	Brenton Doyle COL IL10	COL vs LADEric Lauer · slot 5	14.2%Fangorn	12.7%market	+1.5pp	P 8.8 F 14.2 V 10.7	5.4pp	0.912xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	FanDuel 655 avg 3 books
42	Mookie Betts LAD Lineup pending	LAD vs COLKyle Freeland · slot 5	17.2%Fangorn	15.9%market	+1.3pp	P 11.4 F 17.2 V 12.9	5.8pp	0.912xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	FanDuel 505 avg 3 books
43	Ozzie Albies ATL Lineup pending	ATL vs BOSRanger Suarez · slot 5	14.2%Fangorn	13.5%market	+0.8pp	P 13.1 F 14.2 V 10.7	1.1pp	1.111xHR pf	Hitter-Friendlyweather	Moderate Damageform	FanDuel 615 avg 3 books
44	Ezequiel Tovar COL Lineup pending	COL vs LADEric Lauer · slot 4	13.6%Fangorn	12.9%market	+0.6pp	P 8.2 F 13.6 V 10.2	5.4pp	0.912xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 645 avg 3 books
45	Cedric Mullins TB Lineup pending	TB vs BALShane Baz · slot 5	14.2%Fangorn	13.6%market	+0.6pp	P 11.1 F 14.2 V 10.7	3.1pp	0.984xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	FanDuel 605 avg 3 books
46	Jordan Beck COL IL10	COL vs LADEric Lauer · slot 7	10.3%Fangorn	10.0%market	+0.4pp	P 7.7 F 10.3 V 7.8	2.7pp	0.912xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	DraftKings 870 avg 3 books
47	Trea Turner PHI Lineup pending	PHI vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 1	14.2%Fangorn	14.8%market	-0.6pp	P 10.7 F 14.2 V 10.7	3.6pp	0.927xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 575 avg 3 books
48	Freddie Freeman LAD Lineup pending	LAD vs COLKyle Freeland · slot 2	15.7%Fangorn	16.4%market	-0.7pp	P 12.6 F 15.7 V 11.8	3.1pp	0.912xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 510 avg 3 books
49	Nick Castellanos SD Lineup pending	SD vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 4	14.2%Fangorn	14.9%market	-0.7pp	P 9.6 F 14.2 V 10.7	4.6pp	0.927xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 570 avg 3 books
50	Daylen Lile WSH Lineup pending	WSH vs CLEJoey Cantillo · slot 3	9.1%Fangorn	11.0%market	-1.9pp	P 3.6 F 9.1 V 6.8	5.5pp	0.957xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 810 avg 3 books
51	Daniel Schneemann CLE Lineup pending	CLE vs WSHCade Cavalli · slot 6	9.1%Fangorn	11.1%market	-2.0pp	P 8.9 F 9.1 V 6.8	0.2pp	0.957xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 800 avg 3 books
52	Jackson Merrill SD Lineup pending	SD vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 3	13.4%Fangorn	16.3%market	-2.9pp	P 11.6 F 13.4 V 10.0	1.8pp	0.927xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 515 avg 3 books
53	Austin Riley ATL Lineup pending	ATL vs BOSRanger Suarez · slot 4	14.2%Fangorn	17.5%market	-3.3pp	P 11.0 F 14.2 V 10.7	3.2pp	1.111xHR pf	Hitter-Friendlyweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 470 avg 3 books
54	Luke Keaschall MIN Lineup pending	MIN vs CWSSean Burke · slot 1	4.7%Fangorn	11.0%market	-6.3pp	P 3.1 F 4.7 V 3.5	1.6pp	0.994xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 810 avg 3 books
55	Tyler Fitzgerald SF Lineup pending	SF vs AZEduardo Rodriguez · slot 6	0.0%Fangorn	12.1%market	-12.1pp	P 2.8 F 0.0 V 0.0	2.8pp	0.907xHR pf	Pitcher-Friendlyweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 725 avg 3 books
56	Geraldo Perdomo AZ Lineup pending	AZ vs SFTyler Mahle · slot 3	14.2%Fangorn	9.3%market	+4.9pp	P 7.9 F 14.2 V 10.7	6.3pp	0.907xHR pf	Pitcher-Friendlyweather	Moderate Damageform	DraftKings 935 avg 3 books
57	Steven Kwan CLE Lineup pending	CLE vs WSHCade Cavalli · slot 2	11.1%Fangorn	8.7%market	+2.4pp	P 4.5 F 11.1 V 8.3	6.5pp	0.957xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	DraftKings 1010 avg 3 books
58	James Wood WSH Lineup pending	WSH vs CLEJoey Cantillo · slot 2	17.9%Fangorn	15.9%market	+2.0pp	P 15.5 F 17.9 V 13.5	2.4pp	0.957xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	FanDuel 505 avg 3 books
59	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR Lineup pending	TOR vs MIASandy Alcantara · slot 2	17.9%Fangorn	16.2%market	+1.8pp	P 12.8 F 17.9 V 13.5	5.1pp	0.998xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	FanDuel 495 avg 3 books
60	Zach Neto LAA Lineup pending	LAA vs DETKeider Montero · slot 1	17.9%Fangorn	16.3%market	+1.6pp	P 14.4 F 17.9 V 13.5	3.5pp	0.993xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	FanDuel 490 avg 3 books
61	Fernando Tatis Jr. SD Lineup pending	SD vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 1	17.9%Fangorn	16.4%market	+1.5pp	P 15.9 F 17.9 V 13.5	2.0pp	0.927xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	FanDuel 485 avg 3 books
62	Christian Yelich MIL Lineup pending	MIL vs STLMichael McGreevy · slot 2	17.9%Fangorn	16.4%market	+1.5pp	P 13.7 F 17.9 V 13.5	4.2pp	0.915xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	FanDuel 485 avg 3 books
63	Matt Chapman SF Lineup pending	SF vs AZEduardo Rodriguez · slot 3	17.2%Fangorn	15.9%market	+1.3pp	P 14.0 F 17.2 V 12.9	3.2pp	0.907xHR pf	Pitcher-Friendlyweather	Moderate Damageform	FanDuel 505 avg 3 books
64	Vinnie Pasquantino KC Lineup pending	KC vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 3	17.9%Fangorn	16.7%market	+1.2pp	P 14.9 F 17.9 V 13.5	3.0pp	0.986xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	FanDuel 475 avg 3 books
65	Cody Bellinger NYY Lineup pending	NYY vs KCBailey Falter · slot 3	17.2%Fangorn	16.2%market	+1.0pp	P 13.6 F 17.2 V 12.9	3.6pp	0.986xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	FanDuel 495 avg 3 books
66	Spencer Torkelson DET Lineup pending	DET vs LAAJack Kochanowicz · slot 5	17.2%Fangorn	16.2%market	+1.0pp	P 14.2 F 17.2 V 12.9	3.0pp	0.993xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	FanDuel 495 avg 3 books
67	Logan O'Hoppe LAA Lineup pending	LAA vs DETKeider Montero · slot 5	15.5%Fangorn	16.0%market	-0.5pp	P 10.8 F 15.5 V 11.6	4.7pp	0.993xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 525 avg 3 books
68	Andy Pages LAD Lineup pending	LAD vs COLKyle Freeland · slot 7	13.4%Fangorn	13.9%market	-0.5pp	P 9.0 F 13.4 V 10.0	4.3pp	0.912xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 620 avg 3 books
69	Riley Greene DET Lineup pending	DET vs LAAJack Kochanowicz · slot 4	17.9%Fangorn	18.5%market	-0.6pp	P 13.2 F 17.9 V 13.5	4.7pp	0.993xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 440 avg 3 books
70	Jonathan India KC IL10	KC vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 6	9.1%Fangorn	10.0%market	-0.9pp	P 5.6 F 9.1 V 6.8	3.5pp	0.986xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 905 avg 3 books
71	Corbin Carroll AZ Lineup pending	AZ vs SFTyler Mahle · slot 1	17.2%Fangorn	18.4%market	-1.1pp	P 16.5 F 17.2 V 12.9	0.7pp	0.907xHR pf	Pitcher-Friendlyweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 445 avg 3 books
72	Josh Naylor SEA Lineup pending	SEA vs ATHLuis Severino · slot 4	15.7%Fangorn	17.0%market	-1.2pp	P 11.5 F 15.7 V 11.8	4.3pp	0.959xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 490 avg 3 books
73	Mike Trout LAA Lineup pending	LAA vs DETKeider Montero · slot 2	17.9%Fangorn	19.2%market	-1.3pp	P 16.2 F 17.9 V 13.5	1.8pp	0.993xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 420 avg 3 books
74	Luis Arraez SF Lineup pending	SF vs AZEduardo Rodriguez · slot 1	6.6%Fangorn	8.0%market	-1.4pp	P 1.5 F 6.6 V 5.0	5.2pp	0.907xHR pf	Pitcher-Friendlyweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
75	Hunter Goodman COL Lineup pending	COL vs LADEric Lauer · slot 2	17.9%Fangorn	19.4%market	-1.5pp	P 15.4 F 17.9 V 13.5	2.5pp	0.912xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 415 avg 3 books
76	Royce Lewis MIN OUT	MIN vs CWSSean Burke · slot 5	14.2%Fangorn	15.8%market	-1.5pp	P 9.2 F 14.2 V 10.7	5.0pp	0.994xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 535 avg 3 books
77	Isaac Paredes HOU Lineup pending	HOU vs TEXJack Leiter · slot 5	14.2%Fangorn	16.0%market	-1.8pp	P 11.1 F 14.2 V 10.7	3.1pp	1.023xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 525 avg 3 books
78	Lane Thomas KC Lineup pending	KC vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 5	11.1%Fangorn	13.0%market	-1.9pp	P 3.2 F 11.1 V 8.3	7.8pp	0.986xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 670 avg 3 books
79	George Springer TOR Lineup pending	TOR vs MIASandy Alcantara · slot 1	15.7%Fangorn	17.7%market	-2.0pp	P 13.7 F 15.7 V 11.8	2.0pp	0.998xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 465 avg 3 books
80	Matt Wallner MIN OUT	MIN vs CWSSean Burke · slot 2	17.9%Fangorn	20.0%market	-2.1pp	P 15.1 F 17.9 V 13.5	2.8pp	0.994xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 400 avg 3 books
81	Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY Lineup pending	NYY vs KCBailey Falter · slot 5	15.7%Fangorn	17.9%market	-2.1pp	P 15.5 F 15.7 V 11.8	0.2pp	0.986xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 460 avg 3 books
82	Kerry Carpenter DET IL10	DET vs LAAJack Kochanowicz · slot 3	17.9%Fangorn	20.2%market	-2.3pp	P 13.9 F 17.9 V 13.5	4.0pp	0.993xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 395 avg 3 books
83	Julio Rodríguez SEA Lineup pending	SEA vs ATHLuis Severino · slot 1	15.7%Fangorn	18.0%market	-2.3pp	P 14.0 F 15.7 V 11.8	1.8pp	0.959xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 455 avg 3 books
84	Jo Adell LAA Lineup pending	LAA vs DETKeider Montero · slot 4	17.2%Fangorn	19.6%market	-2.4pp	P 16.2 F 17.2 V 12.9	1.0pp	0.993xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 410 avg 3 books
85	Bryce Harper PHI Lineup pending	PHI vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 2	17.2%Fangorn	19.6%market	-2.4pp	P 13.2 F 17.2 V 12.9	4.0pp	0.927xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 410 avg 3 books
86	Christian Walker HOU Lineup pending	HOU vs TEXJack Leiter · slot 4	15.5%Fangorn	18.2%market	-2.7pp	P 11.7 F 15.5 V 11.7	3.8pp	1.023xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 450 avg 3 books
87	Ronald Acuña Jr. ATL Lineup pending	ATL vs BOSRanger Suarez · slot 1	17.2%Fangorn	20.0%market	-2.8pp	P 14.0 F 17.2 V 12.9	3.2pp	1.111xHR pf	Hitter-Friendlyweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 400 avg 3 books
88	Carlos Santana AZ Lineup pending	AZ vs SFTyler Mahle · slot 5	11.1%Fangorn	14.2%market	-3.0pp	P 8.2 F 11.1 V 8.4	3.0pp	0.907xHR pf	Pitcher-Friendlyweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 605 avg 3 books
89	Byron Buxton MIN Lineup pending	MIN vs CWSSean Burke · slot 3	17.9%Fangorn	21.1%market	-3.1pp	P 15.2 F 17.9 V 13.5	2.7pp	0.994xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 375 avg 3 books
90	Manny Machado SD Lineup pending	SD vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 2	15.7%Fangorn	18.9%market	-3.1pp	P 12.3 F 15.7 V 11.8	3.4pp	0.927xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 430 avg 3 books
91	José Ramírez CLE Lineup pending	CLE vs WSHCade Cavalli · slot 1	17.2%Fangorn	20.4%market	-3.2pp	P 16.1 F 17.2 V 12.9	1.1pp	0.957xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 390 avg 3 books
92	Chase Meidroth CWS Lineup pending	CWS vs MINJoe Ryan · slot 1	4.7%Fangorn	8.0%market	-3.3pp	P 1.9 F 4.7 V 3.5	2.8pp	0.994xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
93	Kyle Manzardo CLE Lineup pending	CLE vs WSHCade Cavalli · slot 3	14.2%Fangorn	17.5%market	-3.3pp	P 13.6 F 14.2 V 10.7	0.7pp	0.957xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 470 avg 3 books
94	Daulton Varsho TOR Lineup pending	TOR vs MIASandy Alcantara · slot 4	14.2%Fangorn	17.5%market	-3.3pp	P 9.7 F 14.2 V 10.7	4.6pp	0.998xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 470 avg 3 books
95	Bobby Witt Jr. KC Lineup pending	KC vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 1	14.2%Fangorn	17.7%market	-3.5pp	P 13.8 F 14.2 V 10.7	0.4pp	0.986xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 465 avg 3 books
96	Adolis García PHI Lineup pending	PHI vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 4	14.2%Fangorn	18.0%market	-3.8pp	P 9.6 F 14.2 V 10.7	4.7pp	0.927xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 455 avg 3 books
97	Salvador Perez KC Lineup pending	KC vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 4	14.2%Fangorn	18.0%market	-3.8pp	P 10.8 F 14.2 V 10.7	3.4pp	0.986xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 455 avg 3 books
98	Jorge Soler LAA Lineup pending	LAA vs DETKeider Montero · slot 3	13.4%Fangorn	17.2%market	-3.9pp	P 5.8 F 13.4 V 10.0	7.6pp	0.993xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 480 avg 3 books
99	Kyle Tucker LAD Lineup pending	LAD vs COLKyle Freeland · slot 3	14.2%Fangorn	18.4%market	-4.1pp	P 13.5 F 14.2 V 10.7	0.7pp	0.912xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 445 avg 3 books
100	Willy Adames SF Lineup pending	SF vs AZEduardo Rodriguez · slot 4	14.2%Fangorn	18.4%market	-4.1pp	P 14.1 F 14.2 V 10.7	0.1pp	0.907xHR pf	Pitcher-Friendlyweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 445 avg 3 books
101	Junior Caminero TB Lineup pending	TB vs BALShane Baz · slot 4	17.2%Fangorn	22.0%market	-4.8pp	P 18.2 F 17.2 V 12.9	1.0pp	0.984xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 355 avg 3 books
102	Teoscar Hernández LAD Lineup pending	LAD vs COLKyle Freeland · slot 4	14.2%Fangorn	19.1%market	-4.8pp	P 11.8 F 14.2 V 10.7	2.4pp	0.912xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 425 avg 3 books
103	Yordan Alvarez HOU Lineup pending	HOU vs TEXJack Leiter · slot 2	15.7%Fangorn	20.8%market	-5.1pp	P 11.9 F 15.7 V 11.8	3.8pp	1.023xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 380 avg 3 books
104	Corey Seager TEX IL10	TEX vs HOUJason Alexander · slot 2	17.2%Fangorn	22.5%market	-5.3pp	P 15.6 F 17.2 V 12.9	1.7pp	1.023xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 345 avg 3 books
105	Ketel Marte AZ Lineup pending	AZ vs SFTyler Mahle · slot 2	15.7%Fangorn	21.1%market	-5.3pp	P 14.0 F 15.7 V 11.8	1.7pp	0.907xHR pf	Pitcher-Friendlyweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 375 avg 3 books
106	Matt Olson ATL Lineup pending	ATL vs BOSRanger Suarez · slot 2	15.5%Fangorn	20.8%market	-5.3pp	P 14.1 F 15.5 V 11.7	1.4pp	1.111xHR pf	Hitter-Friendlyweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 380 avg 3 books
107	Giancarlo Stanton NYY IL10	NYY vs KCBailey Falter · slot 4	17.9%Fangorn	23.5%market	-5.6pp	P 17.5 F 17.9 V 13.5	0.4pp	0.986xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 325 avg 3 books
108	Jake Burger TEX Lineup pending	TEX vs HOUJason Alexander · slot 4	13.6%Fangorn	19.2%market	-5.7pp	P 9.9 F 13.6 V 10.2	3.6pp	1.023xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 420 avg 3 books
109	Rafael Devers SF Lineup pending	SF vs AZEduardo Rodriguez · slot 2	14.2%Fangorn	20.2%market	-6.0pp	P 13.4 F 14.2 V 10.7	0.8pp	0.907xHR pf	Pitcher-Friendlyweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 395 avg 3 books
110	Shea Langeliers ATH Lineup pending	ATH vs SEAEmerson Hancock · slot 3	14.2%Fangorn	20.8%market	-6.6pp	P 11.5 F 14.2 V 10.7	2.7pp	0.959xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 380 avg 3 books
111	Brent Rooker ATH Lineup pending	ATH vs SEAEmerson Hancock · slot 2	14.2%Fangorn	21.5%market	-7.3pp	P 12.3 F 14.2 V 10.7	1.9pp	0.959xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 365 avg 3 books
112	Chandler Simpson TB Lineup pending	TB vs BALShane Baz · slot 1	0.0%Fangorn	8.0%market	-8.0pp	P 0.9 F 0.0 V 0.0	0.9pp	0.984xHR pf	Neutralweather	Strong Damageform	BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
113	Jacob Wilson ATH IL10	ATH vs SEAEmerson Hancock · slot 6	0.0%Fangorn	9.2%market	-9.2pp	P 2.4 F 0.0 V 0.0	2.4pp	0.959xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 985 avg 3 books
114	Colson Montgomery CWS Lineup pending	CWS vs MINJoe Ryan · slot 3	13.4%Fangorn	23.3%market	-9.9pp	P 10.0 F 13.4 V 10.1	3.3pp	0.994xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 330 avg 3 books
115	Kyle Schwarber PHI Lineup pending	PHI vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 3	15.7%Fangorn	27.0%market	-11.3pp	P 13.9 F 15.7 V 11.9	1.9pp	0.927xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 270 avg 3 books
116	Shohei Ohtani LAD Lineup pending	LAD vs COLKyle Freeland · slot 1	17.2%Fangorn	29.0%market	-11.8pp	P 15.6 F 17.2 V 13.0	1.6pp	0.912xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 245 avg 3 books
117	Cal Raleigh SEA IL10	SEA vs ATHLuis Severino · slot 3	13.4%Fangorn	26.3%market	-13.0pp	P 16.0 F 13.4 V 10.1	2.6pp	0.959xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 280 avg 3 books
118	Aaron Judge NYY Lineup pending	NYY vs KCBailey Falter · slot 2	17.9%Fangorn	31.2%market	-13.3pp	P 17.7 F 17.9 V 13.6	0.2pp	0.986xHR pf	Neutralweather	Moderate Damageform	BetMGM 220 avg 3 books
119	Nick Kurtz ATH Lineup pending	ATH vs SEAEmerson Hancock · slot 1	13.4%Fangorn	27.0%market	-13.7pp	P 12.0 F 13.4 V 10.1	1.4pp	0.959xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 270 avg 3 books

Top saved signals

5 value rows

01 Jarren DuranBOS vs ATL · DraftKings

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0.0pp 02 Brandon NimmoTEX vs HOU · FanDuel

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0.0pp 03 Ezequiel TovarCOL vs LAD · FanDuel

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0.0pp 04 Wyatt LangfordTEX vs HOU · FanDuel

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0.0pp 05 Andrew BenintendiCWS vs MIN · DraftKings

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0.0pp

Data context

779 sample flags

Status1508roster/transaction rows

Lineups0confirmed starters

Triple0cross-domain rows

Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.