Mithrandir Metrics
Fangorn lane 2026-06-07 Refreshed Sep 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs

Home run board.

Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.

Rows
96
Matched
324
Lineups
261
HR BOARD 2026-06-07 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay PALANTIR production FANGORN nonlinear lane VALINOR calibrated lane LINEUP FILTER active
Lane Health 2026-09-02
Palantir 18081 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 18081 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12423 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.004 14d stable

Model Lane

Home Runs

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn production Valinor rebadged research
Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.
Home-run board · largest Fangorn gap versus market
# Player Matchup Sim Implied Gap Three lanes · P/F/V Spread Park Weather Recent Best line
01
Christian Yelich MIL
Lineup pending
MIL vs COLKyle Freeland · slot 2
 26.0%Fangorn 15.5%market +10.5pp
P 24.8
F 26.0
V 26.0
1.2pp 1.173xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 520 avg 3 books
02
James Wood WSH
IN
WSH vs AZMichael Soroka · slot 2
 26.0%Fangorn 16.4%market +9.5pp
P 22.3
F 26.0
V 26.0
3.7pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 485 avg 3 books
03
José Tena WSH
IN
WSH vs AZMichael Soroka · slot 6
 17.2%Fangorn 7.7%market +9.5pp
P 14.0
F 17.2
V 17.2
3.2pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
04
Brice Turang MIL
IN
MIL vs COLKyle Freeland · slot 1
 17.9%Fangorn 8.7%market +9.2pp
P 19.1
F 17.9
V 17.9
1.2pp 1.173xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 1010 avg 3 books
05
Nathan Lukes TOR
Lineup pending
TOR vs BALShane Baz · slot 6
 17.9%Fangorn 9.1%market +8.8pp
P 17.9
F 17.9
V 17.9
0.0pp 0.995xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 960 avg 3 books
06
Geraldo Perdomo AZ
IN
AZ vs WSHCade Cavalli · slot 3
 17.2%Fangorn 9.3%market +7.9pp
P 16.9
F 17.2
V 17.2
0.4pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 935 avg 3 books
07
Edgar Quero CWS
Lineup pending
CWS vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 6
 14.2%Fangorn 7.7%market +6.5pp
P 12.8
F 14.2
V 14.2
1.4pp 1.139xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
08
Spencer Horwitz PIT
Lineup pending
PIT vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 6
 17.2%Fangorn 11.3%market +5.9pp
P 16.5
F 17.2
V 17.2
0.7pp 1.108xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 750 avg 3 books
09
Jesús Sánchez TOR
IN
TOR vs BALShane Baz · slot 5
 17.9%Fangorn 12.3%market +5.6pp
P 16.0
F 17.9
V 17.9
1.9pp 0.995xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 685 avg 3 books
10
Steven Kwan CLE
IN
CLE vs TEXJacob deGrom · slot 2
 14.2%Fangorn 8.7%market +5.5pp
P 14.2
F 14.2
V 14.2
0.0pp 1.099xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 1010 avg 3 books
11
Bo Bichette NYM
IN
NYM vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 3
 17.2%Fangorn 11.7%market +5.5pp
P 18.2
F 17.2
V 17.2
1.0pp 0.976xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 725 avg 3 books
12
Jonathan Aranda TB
IN
TB vs MIASandy Alcantara · slot 3
 17.9%Fangorn 12.7%market +5.2pp
P 17.9
F 17.9
V 17.9
0.1pp 0.920xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 655 avg 3 books
13
William Contreras MIL
IN
MIL vs COLKyle Freeland · slot 3
 17.9%Fangorn 12.9%market +5.0pp
P 22.5
F 17.9
V 17.9
4.5pp 1.173xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 645 avg 3 books
14
Andrew Benintendi CWS
IN
CWS vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 4
 17.9%Fangorn 13.0%market +4.9pp
P 21.1
F 17.9
V 17.9
3.2pp 1.139xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 640 avg 3 books
15
Ryan O'Hearn PIT
Lineup pending
PIT vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 3
 17.9%Fangorn 13.0%market +4.9pp
P 19.4
F 17.9
V 17.9
1.5pp 1.108xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 640 avg 3 books
16
Nolan Schanuel LAA
IN
LAA vs LADEmmet Sheehan · slot 7
 13.4%Fangorn 8.5%market +4.9pp
P 13.3
F 13.4
V 13.4
0.0pp 0.991xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 1035 avg 3 books
17
Luis García Jr. WSH
IN
WSH vs AZMichael Soroka · slot 4
 17.2%Fangorn 12.4%market +4.8pp
P 18.5
F 17.2
V 17.2
1.3pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 675 avg 3 books
18
Keibert Ruiz WSH
IN
WSH vs AZMichael Soroka · slot 5
 14.2%Fangorn 9.8%market +4.4pp
P 13.9
F 14.2
V 14.2
0.3pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 880 avg 3 books
19
Cj Abrams WSH
IN
WSH vs AZMichael Soroka · slot 1
 17.9%Fangorn 13.9%market +4.0pp
P 22.4
F 17.9
V 17.9
4.5pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 590 avg 3 books
20
Tyler Soderstrom ATH
IN
ATH vs HOUMike Burrows · slot 5
 17.9%Fangorn 14.0%market +3.9pp
P 23.5
F 17.9
V 17.9
5.6pp 1.062xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 585 avg 3 books
21
Jarren Duran BOS
IN
BOS vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 1
 15.5%Fangorn 11.8%market +3.7pp
P 18.7
F 15.5
V 15.5
3.2pp 1.123xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 715 avg 3 books
22
Yandy Díaz TB
IN
TB vs MIASandy Alcantara · slot 2
 17.9%Fangorn 14.2%market +3.7pp
P 18.0
F 17.9
V 17.9
0.1pp 0.920xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 575 avg 3 books
23
Spencer Steer CIN
IN
CIN vs STLMichael McGreevy · slot 4
 17.2%Fangorn 13.7%market +3.5pp
P 19.0
F 17.2
V 17.2
1.8pp 1.070xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 600 avg 3 books
24
Jung Hoo Lee SF
IN
SF vs CHCJameson Taillon · slot 7
 11.1%Fangorn 7.7%market +3.4pp
P 11.8
F 11.1
V 11.1
0.7pp 0.993xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
25
José Caballero NYY
IN
NYY vs BOSRanger Suarez · slot 1
 11.1%Fangorn 7.9%market +3.2pp
P 12.1
F 11.1
V 11.1
1.1pp 1.123xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 1130 avg 3 books
26
Josh Jung TEX
IN
TEX vs CLEJoey Cantillo · slot 7
 15.7%Fangorn 12.6%market +3.2pp
P 16.2
F 15.7
V 15.7
0.5pp 1.099xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 665 avg 3 books
27
Wyatt Langford TEX
IN
TEX vs CLEJoey Cantillo · slot 1
 17.9%Fangorn 14.9%market +3.0pp
P 23.3
F 17.9
V 17.9
5.4pp 1.099xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 545 avg 3 books
28
Lawrence Butler ATH
IN
ATH vs HOUMike Burrows · slot 4
 17.9%Fangorn 14.9%market +3.0pp
P 21.3
F 17.9
V 17.9
3.4pp 1.062xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 545 avg 3 books
29
Brandon Nimmo TEX
IN
TEX vs CLEJoey Cantillo · slot 3
 17.9%Fangorn 14.9%market +3.0pp
P 20.3
F 17.9
V 17.9
2.4pp 1.099xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 545 avg 3 books
30
Elly De La Cruz CIN
Lineup pending
CIN vs STLMichael McGreevy · slot 1
 17.9%Fangorn 15.0%market +2.9pp
P 22.5
F 17.9
V 17.9
4.6pp 1.070xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 540 avg 3 books
31
Chase Meidroth CWS
IN
CWS vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 1
 10.3%Fangorn 7.7%market +2.7pp
P 9.7
F 10.3
V 10.3
0.7pp 1.139xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
32
Matt Chapman SF
IN
SF vs CHCJameson Taillon · slot 3
 17.9%Fangorn 15.4%market +2.5pp
P 18.4
F 17.9
V 17.9
0.4pp 0.993xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 525 avg 3 books
33
Josh Bell MIN
IN
MIN vs KCNoah Cameron · slot 4
 17.2%Fangorn 14.7%market +2.5pp
P 18.5
F 17.2
V 17.2
1.3pp 1.042xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 555 avg 3 books
34
Bryan Reynolds PIT
Lineup pending
PIT vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 5
 15.7%Fangorn 13.5%market +2.3pp
P 18.9
F 15.7
V 15.7
3.1pp 1.108xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 615 avg 3 books
35
Daylen Lile WSH
IN
WSH vs AZMichael Soroka · slot 3
 13.4%Fangorn 11.1%market +2.3pp
P 21.8
F 13.4
V 13.4
8.4pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 770 avg 3 books
36
Tyler Stephenson CIN
IN
CIN vs STLMichael McGreevy · slot 5
 14.2%Fangorn 12.3%market +1.9pp
P 15.1
F 14.2
V 14.2
0.9pp 1.070xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 685 avg 3 books
37
Adley Rutschman BAL
IN
BAL vs TORKevin Gausman · slot 5
 13.6%Fangorn 11.9%market +1.7pp
P 14.4
F 13.6
V 13.6
0.9pp 0.995xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 710 avg 3 books
38
Cody Bellinger NYY
IN
NYY vs BOSRanger Suarez · slot 3
 17.2%Fangorn 16.2%market +1.0pp
P 20.8
F 17.2
V 17.2
3.6pp 1.123xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 495 avg 3 books
39
Colt Keith DET
IN
DET vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 6
 11.4%Fangorn 10.5%market +0.9pp
P 12.5
F 11.4
V 11.4
1.1pp 0.905xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 820 avg 3 books
40
Willson Contreras BOS
IN
BOS vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 3
 15.7%Fangorn 15.2%market +0.6pp
P 19.7
F 15.7
V 15.7
3.9pp 1.123xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 535 avg 3 books
41
Daniel Schneemann CLE
IN
CLE vs TEXJacob deGrom · slot 6
 10.3%Fangorn 11.1%market -0.8pp
P 16.3
F 10.3
V 10.3
6.0pp 1.099xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 800 avg 3 books
42
Jj Bleday CIN
IN
CIN vs STLMichael McGreevy · slot 6
 11.1%Fangorn 13.4%market -2.3pp
P 16.7
F 11.1
V 11.1
5.6pp 1.070xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 645 avg 3 books
43
Marcus Semien NYM
IN
NYM vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 5
 11.4%Fangorn 13.8%market -2.4pp
P 14.1
F 11.4
V 11.4
2.7pp 0.976xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 625 avg 3 books
44
José Ramírez CLE
IN
CLE vs TEXJacob deGrom · slot 1
 17.9%Fangorn 20.4%market -2.5pp
P 22.3
F 17.9
V 17.9
4.4pp 1.099xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 390 avg 3 books
45
Carlos Santana AZ
Lineup pending
AZ vs WSHCade Cavalli · slot 5
 11.4%Fangorn 14.2%market -2.8pp
P 14.0
F 11.4
V 11.4
2.6pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 605 avg 3 books
46
Luke Keaschall MIN
IN
MIN vs KCNoah Cameron · slot 1
 6.6%Fangorn 11.4%market -4.8pp
P 15.4
F 6.6
V 6.6
8.7pp 1.042xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 775 avg 3 books
47
Jacob Wilson ATH
Lineup pending
ATH vs HOUMike Burrows · slot 6
 0.0%Fangorn 9.2%market -9.2pp
P 12.2
F 0.0
V 0.0
12.2pp 1.062xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 985 avg 3 books
48
Luis Arraez SF
IN
SF vs CHCJameson Taillon · slot 1
 13.4%Fangorn 7.7%market +5.7pp
P 11.0
F 13.4
V 13.4
2.3pp 0.993xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
49
Jake Mangum PIT
Lineup pending
PIT vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 1
 11.1%Fangorn 7.7%market +3.4pp
P 10.9
F 11.1
V 11.1
0.2pp 1.108xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
50
Zach McKinstry DET
IN
DET vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 1
 11.4%Fangorn 8.7%market +2.7pp
P 11.0
F 11.4
V 11.4
0.4pp 0.905xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 1010 avg 3 books
51
Wilyer Abreu BOS
IN
BOS vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 4
 17.9%Fangorn 15.5%market +2.4pp
P 20.6
F 17.9
V 17.9
2.7pp 1.123xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 520 avg 3 books
52
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR
IN
TOR vs BALShane Baz · slot 2
 17.9%Fangorn 16.2%market +1.8pp
P 18.1
F 17.9
V 17.9
0.2pp 0.995xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 495 avg 3 books
53
Randy Arozarena SEA
IN
SEA vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 5
 15.5%Fangorn 13.8%market +1.7pp
P 17.4
F 15.5
V 15.5
1.9pp 0.905xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 595 avg 3 books
54
Zach Neto LAA
IN
LAA vs LADEmmet Sheehan · slot 1
 17.9%Fangorn 16.3%market +1.6pp
P 20.1
F 17.9
V 17.9
2.1pp 0.991xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 490 avg 3 books
55
Jorge Polanco NYM
Lineup pending
NYM vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 4
 17.2%Fangorn 16.2%market +1.0pp
P 17.7
F 17.2
V 17.2
0.5pp 0.976xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 495 avg 3 books
56
Cedric Mullins TB
IN
TB vs MIASandy Alcantara · slot 5
 14.2%Fangorn 13.6%market +0.6pp
P 14.8
F 14.2
V 14.2
0.6pp 0.920xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 605 avg 3 books
57
Kyle Manzardo CLE
IN
CLE vs TEXJacob deGrom · slot 3
 17.2%Fangorn 16.7%market +0.5pp
P 20.5
F 17.2
V 17.2
3.3pp 1.099xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 475 avg 3 books
58
Logan O'Hoppe LAA
Lineup pending
LAA vs LADEmmet Sheehan · slot 5
 15.7%Fangorn 15.2%market +0.5pp
P 14.6
F 15.7
V 15.7
1.1pp 0.991xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 530 avg 3 books
59
Corbin Carroll AZ
IN
AZ vs WSHCade Cavalli · slot 1
 17.9%Fangorn 17.5%market +0.5pp
P 20.8
F 17.9
V 17.9
2.9pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 450 avg 3 books
60
George Springer TOR
IN
TOR vs BALShane Baz · slot 1
 17.2%Fangorn 17.7%market -0.5pp
P 19.7
F 17.2
V 17.2
2.5pp 0.995xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 465 avg 3 books
61
Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY
IN
NYY vs BOSRanger Suarez · slot 5
 17.2%Fangorn 17.9%market -0.7pp
P 17.9
F 17.2
V 17.2
0.7pp 1.123xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 460 avg 3 books
62
Taylor Ward BAL
IN
BAL vs TORKevin Gausman · slot 4
 17.2%Fangorn 18.0%market -0.8pp
P 18.8
F 17.2
V 17.2
1.6pp 0.995xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 455 avg 3 books
63
Freddie Freeman LAD
IN
LAD vs LAAJosé Soriano · slot 2
 15.7%Fangorn 17.0%market -1.2pp
P 19.7
F 15.7
V 15.7
3.9pp 0.991xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 490 avg 3 books
64
Spencer Torkelson DET
IN
DET vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 5
 15.7%Fangorn 17.0%market -1.2pp
P 17.6
F 15.7
V 15.7
1.9pp 0.905xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 490 avg 3 books
65
Riley Greene DET
IN
DET vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 4
 17.2%Fangorn 18.5%market -1.3pp
P 19.1
F 17.2
V 17.2
1.9pp 0.905xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 440 avg 3 books
66
Mike Trout LAA
IN
LAA vs LADEmmet Sheehan · slot 2
 17.9%Fangorn 19.2%market -1.3pp
P 19.3
F 17.9
V 17.9
1.4pp 0.991xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 420 avg 3 books
67
Josh Naylor SEA
IN
SEA vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 4
 15.5%Fangorn 17.0%market -1.5pp
P 17.1
F 15.5
V 15.5
1.6pp 0.905xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 490 avg 3 books
68
Mookie Betts LAD
Lineup pending
LAD vs LAAJosé Soriano · slot 5
 14.2%Fangorn 16.1%market -1.9pp
P 17.2
F 14.2
V 14.2
3.0pp 0.991xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 520 avg 3 books
69
Willy Adames SF
IN
SF vs CHCJameson Taillon · slot 4
 15.7%Fangorn 17.7%market -2.0pp
P 20.1
F 15.7
V 15.7
4.3pp 0.993xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 465 avg 3 books
70
Jo Adell LAA
IN
LAA vs LADEmmet Sheehan · slot 4
 17.2%Fangorn 19.6%market -2.4pp
P 17.1
F 17.2
V 17.2
0.1pp 0.991xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 410 avg 3 books
71
Royce Lewis MIN
IN
MIN vs KCNoah Cameron · slot 5
 14.2%Fangorn 16.7%market -2.4pp
P 15.1
F 14.2
V 14.2
0.9pp 1.042xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 500 avg 3 books
72
Brandon Lowe PIT
Lineup pending
PIT vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 4
 17.9%Fangorn 20.4%market -2.5pp
P 21.6
F 17.9
V 17.9
3.7pp 1.108xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 390 avg 3 books
73
Kerry Carpenter DET
IN
DET vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 3
 17.2%Fangorn 20.2%market -3.0pp
P 15.2
F 17.2
V 17.2
2.0pp 0.905xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 395 avg 3 books
74
Daulton Varsho TOR
Lineup pending
TOR vs BALShane Baz · slot 4
 14.2%Fangorn 17.5%market -3.3pp
P 16.7
F 14.2
V 14.2
2.4pp 0.995xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 470 avg 3 books
75
Tyler O'Neill BAL
IN
BAL vs TORKevin Gausman · slot 3
 14.2%Fangorn 17.7%market -3.5pp
P 14.4
F 14.2
V 14.2
0.2pp 0.995xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 465 avg 3 books
76
Julio Rodríguez SEA
IN
SEA vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 1
 14.2%Fangorn 18.0%market -3.8pp
P 18.1
F 14.2
V 14.2
3.8pp 0.905xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 455 avg 3 books
77
Ketel Marte AZ
IN
AZ vs WSHCade Cavalli · slot 2
 17.2%Fangorn 21.1%market -3.8pp
P 18.8
F 17.2
V 17.2
1.6pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 375 avg 3 books
78
Byron Buxton MIN
Lineup pending
MIN vs KCNoah Cameron · slot 3
 17.9%Fangorn 22.0%market -4.1pp
P 19.5
F 17.9
V 17.9
1.6pp 1.042xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 355 avg 3 books
79
Gunnar Henderson BAL
IN
BAL vs TORKevin Gausman · slot 1
 14.2%Fangorn 18.4%market -4.1pp
P 17.5
F 14.2
V 14.2
3.3pp 0.995xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 445 avg 3 books
80
Kyle Tucker LAD
IN
LAD vs LAAJosé Soriano · slot 3
 14.2%Fangorn 19.1%market -4.8pp
P 17.8
F 14.2
V 14.2
3.6pp 0.991xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 425 avg 3 books
81
Rafael Devers SF
IN
SF vs CHCJameson Taillon · slot 2
 15.7%Fangorn 20.8%market -5.1pp
P 20.7
F 15.7
V 15.7
4.9pp 0.993xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 380 avg 3 books
82
Shea Langeliers ATH
IN
ATH vs HOUMike Burrows · slot 3
 15.5%Fangorn 20.8%market -5.3pp
P 19.2
F 15.5
V 15.5
3.7pp 1.062xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 380 avg 3 books
83
Brent Rooker ATH
IN
ATH vs HOUMike Burrows · slot 2
 15.7%Fangorn 21.5%market -5.8pp
P 20.1
F 15.7
V 15.7
4.4pp 1.062xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 365 avg 3 books
84
Max Muncy LAD
IN
LAD vs LAAJosé Soriano · slot 6
 13.4%Fangorn 19.2%market -5.9pp
P 14.1
F 13.4
V 13.4
0.7pp 0.991xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 420 avg 3 books
85
Corey Seager TEX
Lineup pending
TEX vs CLEJoey Cantillo · slot 2
 15.7%Fangorn 21.7%market -6.0pp
P 17.6
F 15.7
V 15.7
1.9pp 1.099xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 360 avg 3 books
86
Juan Soto NYM
IN
NYM vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 1
 17.9%Fangorn 24.1%market -6.2pp
P 19.4
F 17.9
V 17.9
1.5pp 0.976xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 315 avg 3 books
87
Jake Burger TEX
IN
TEX vs CLEJoey Cantillo · slot 4
 14.2%Fangorn 20.4%market -6.2pp
P 15.1
F 14.2
V 14.2
0.9pp 1.099xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 390 avg 3 books
88
Junior Caminero TB
IN
TB vs MIASandy Alcantara · slot 4
 15.7%Fangorn 22.0%market -6.2pp
P 15.7
F 15.7
V 15.7
0.1pp 0.920xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 355 avg 3 books
89
Marcell Ozuna PIT
Lineup pending
PIT vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 2
 14.2%Fangorn 21.1%market -6.8pp
P 17.9
F 14.2
V 14.2
3.6pp 1.108xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 375 avg 3 books
90
Eugenio Suárez CIN
Lineup pending
CIN vs STLMichael McGreevy · slot 3
 14.2%Fangorn 21.7%market -7.5pp
P 18.3
F 14.2
V 14.2
4.1pp 1.070xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 360 avg 3 books
91
Chandler Simpson TB
Lineup pending
TB vs MIASandy Alcantara · slot 1
 0.0%Fangorn 8.0%market -8.0pp
P 3.7
F 0.0
V 0.0
3.7pp 0.920xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Strong Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
92
Pete Alonso BAL
IN
BAL vs TORKevin Gausman · slot 2
 14.2%Fangorn 23.0%market -8.8pp
P 17.6
F 14.2
V 14.2
3.4pp 0.995xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 335 avg 3 books
93
Colson Montgomery CWS
IN
CWS vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 3
 14.2%Fangorn 23.3%market -9.0pp
P 17.9
F 14.2
V 14.2
3.7pp 1.139xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 330 avg 3 books
94
Shohei Ohtani LAD
IN
LAD vs LAAJosé Soriano · slot 1
 17.2%Fangorn 29.8%market -12.6pp
P 17.5
F 17.2
V 17.2
0.3pp 0.991xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 235 avg 3 books
95
Nick Kurtz ATH
IN
ATH vs HOUMike Burrows · slot 1
 13.4%Fangorn 27.0%market -13.7pp
P 20.4
F 13.4
V 13.4
7.0pp 1.062xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 270 avg 3 books
96
Cal Raleigh SEA
Lineup pending
SEA vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 3
 11.4%Fangorn 26.3%market -14.9pp
P 18.1
F 11.4
V 11.4
6.6pp 0.905xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 280 avg 3 books

Data context

780 sample flags
Status1589roster/transaction rows
Lineups261confirmed starters
Triple0cross-domain rows

Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.