Mithrandir Metrics
Valinor lane 2026-06-07 Refreshed Sep 3 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs

Home run board.

Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.

Rows
96
Matched
324
Lineups
261
HR BOARD 2026-06-07 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay PALANTIR production FANGORN nonlinear lane VALINOR calibrated lane LINEUP FILTER active
Lane Health 2026-09-03
Palantir 18276 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 18276 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Valinor 12618 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.004 14d stable

Model Lane

Home Runs

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn production Valinor rebadged research
Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.
Home-run board · largest Valinor gap versus market
# Player Matchup Sim Implied Gap Three lanes · P/F/V Spread Park Weather Recent Best line
01
William Contreras MIL
IN
MIL vs COLKyle Freeland · slot 3
 17.9%Valinor 12.9%market +10.2pp
P 22.5
F 17.9
V 17.9
4.5pp 1.173xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 645 avg 3 books
02
Andrew Benintendi CWS
IN
CWS vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 4
 17.9%Valinor 13.0%market +8.7pp
P 21.1
F 17.9
V 17.9
3.2pp 1.139xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 640 avg 3 books
03
Brice Turang MIL
IN
MIL vs COLKyle Freeland · slot 1
 17.9%Valinor 8.7%market +7.7pp
P 19.1
F 17.9
V 17.9
1.2pp 1.173xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 1010 avg 3 books
04
Ryan O'Hearn PIT
Lineup pending
PIT vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 3
 17.9%Valinor 13.0%market +7.2pp
P 19.4
F 17.9
V 17.9
1.5pp 1.108xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 640 avg 3 books
05
Daniel Schneemann CLE
IN
CLE vs TEXJacob deGrom · slot 6
 10.3%Valinor 10.6%market +7.2pp
P 16.3
F 10.3
V 10.3
6.0pp 1.099xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 810 avg 3 books
06
Bryan Reynolds PIT
Lineup pending
PIT vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 5
 15.7%Valinor 13.5%market +7.0pp
P 18.9
F 15.7
V 15.7
3.1pp 1.108xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 615 avg 3 books
07
Daylen Lile WSH
IN
WSH vs AZMichael Soroka · slot 3
 13.4%Valinor 11.1%market +7.0pp
P 21.8
F 13.4
V 13.4
8.4pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 770 avg 3 books
08
Cj Abrams WSH
IN
WSH vs AZMichael Soroka · slot 1
 17.9%Valinor 13.9%market +7.0pp
P 22.4
F 17.9
V 17.9
4.5pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 590 avg 3 books
09
Spencer Horwitz PIT
Lineup pending
PIT vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 6
 17.2%Valinor 11.3%market +6.7pp
P 16.5
F 17.2
V 17.2
0.7pp 1.108xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 755 avg 3 books
10
Wyatt Langford TEX
IN
TEX vs CLEJoey Cantillo · slot 1
 17.9%Valinor 14.9%market +6.6pp
P 23.3
F 17.9
V 17.9
5.4pp 1.099xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 545 avg 3 books
11
Luis García Jr. WSH
IN
WSH vs AZMichael Soroka · slot 4
 17.2%Valinor 12.4%market +6.4pp
P 18.5
F 17.2
V 17.2
1.3pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 675 avg 3 books
12
Jarren Duran BOS
IN
BOS vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 1
 15.5%Valinor 11.8%market +6.2pp
P 18.7
F 15.5
V 15.5
3.2pp 1.123xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 715 avg 3 books
13
Elly De La Cruz CIN
Lineup pending
CIN vs STLMichael McGreevy · slot 1
 17.9%Valinor 15.0%market +6.2pp
P 22.5
F 17.9
V 17.9
4.6pp 1.070xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 540 avg 3 books
14
Christian Yelich MIL
Lineup pending
MIL vs COLKyle Freeland · slot 2
 26.0%Valinor 15.5%market +6.1pp
P 24.8
F 26.0
V 26.0
1.2pp 1.173xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 520 avg 3 books
15
Adley Rutschman BAL
IN
BAL vs TORKevin Gausman · slot 5
 13.6%Valinor 11.9%market +5.9pp
P 14.4
F 13.6
V 13.6
0.9pp 0.995xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 710 avg 3 books
16
Keibert Ruiz WSH
IN
WSH vs AZMichael Soroka · slot 5
 14.2%Valinor 9.8%market +5.8pp
P 13.9
F 14.2
V 14.2
0.3pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 880 avg 3 books
17
Steven Kwan CLE
IN
CLE vs TEXJacob deGrom · slot 2
 14.2%Valinor 8.7%market +5.6pp
P 14.2
F 14.2
V 14.2
0.0pp 1.099xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 1010 avg 3 books
18
Jesús Sánchez TOR
IN
TOR vs BALShane Baz · slot 5
 17.9%Valinor 12.3%market +5.2pp
P 16.0
F 17.9
V 17.9
1.9pp 0.995xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 685 avg 3 books
19
Nathan Lukes TOR
Lineup pending
TOR vs BALShane Baz · slot 6
 17.9%Valinor 9.1%market +5.2pp
P 17.9
F 17.9
V 17.9
0.0pp 0.995xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 960 avg 3 books
20
Jj Bleday CIN
IN
CIN vs STLMichael McGreevy · slot 6
 11.1%Valinor 12.8%market +5.1pp
P 16.7
F 11.1
V 11.1
5.6pp 1.070xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 650 avg 3 books
21
Spencer Steer CIN
IN
CIN vs STLMichael McGreevy · slot 4
 17.2%Valinor 13.7%market +5.0pp
P 19.0
F 17.2
V 17.2
1.8pp 1.070xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 600 avg 3 books
22
Josh Jung TEX
IN
TEX vs CLEJoey Cantillo · slot 7
 15.7%Valinor 12.6%market +4.9pp
P 16.2
F 15.7
V 15.7
0.5pp 1.099xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 665 avg 3 books
23
Bo Bichette NYM
IN
NYM vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 3
 17.2%Valinor 11.7%market +4.9pp
P 18.2
F 17.2
V 17.2
1.0pp 0.976xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 725 avg 3 books
24
Edgar Quero CWS
Lineup pending
CWS vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 6
 14.2%Valinor 7.7%market +4.6pp
P 12.8
F 14.2
V 14.2
1.4pp 1.139xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
25
Josh Bell MIN
IN
MIN vs KCNoah Cameron · slot 4
 17.2%Valinor 14.7%market +4.6pp
P 18.5
F 17.2
V 17.2
1.3pp 1.042xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 555 avg 3 books
26
Tyler Stephenson CIN
IN
CIN vs STLMichael McGreevy · slot 5
 14.2%Valinor 12.3%market +4.6pp
P 15.1
F 14.2
V 14.2
0.9pp 1.070xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 685 avg 3 books
27
Nolan Schanuel LAA
IN
LAA vs LADEmmet Sheehan · slot 7
 13.4%Valinor 8.5%market +4.5pp
P 13.3
F 13.4
V 13.4
0.0pp 0.991xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 1035 avg 3 books
28
Brandon Nimmo TEX
IN
TEX vs CLEJoey Cantillo · slot 3
 17.9%Valinor 14.9%market +4.5pp
P 20.3
F 17.9
V 17.9
2.4pp 1.099xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 545 avg 3 books
29
Lawrence Butler ATH
IN
ATH vs HOUMike Burrows · slot 4
 17.9%Valinor 14.9%market +4.4pp
P 21.3
F 17.9
V 17.9
3.4pp 1.062xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 545 avg 3 books
30
Marcus Semien NYM
IN
NYM vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 5
 11.4%Valinor 13.2%market +3.8pp
P 14.1
F 11.4
V 11.4
2.7pp 0.976xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 630 avg 3 books
31
Tyler Soderstrom ATH
IN
ATH vs HOUMike Burrows · slot 5
 17.9%Valinor 14.0%market +3.8pp
P 23.5
F 17.9
V 17.9
5.6pp 1.062xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 585 avg 3 books
32
Carlos Santana AZ
Lineup pending
AZ vs WSHCade Cavalli · slot 5
 11.4%Valinor 13.5%market +3.7pp
P 14.0
F 11.4
V 11.4
2.6pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 610 avg 3 books
33
Geraldo Perdomo AZ
IN
AZ vs WSHCade Cavalli · slot 3
 17.2%Valinor 9.3%market +3.7pp
P 16.9
F 17.2
V 17.2
0.4pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 935 avg 3 books
34
Colt Keith DET
IN
DET vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 6
 11.4%Valinor 10.5%market +3.5pp
P 12.5
F 11.4
V 11.4
1.1pp 0.905xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 820 avg 3 books
35
Matt Chapman SF
IN
SF vs CHCJameson Taillon · slot 3
 17.9%Valinor 15.4%market +3.3pp
P 18.4
F 17.9
V 17.9
0.4pp 0.993xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 525 avg 3 books
36
Jacob Wilson ATH
Lineup pending
ATH vs HOUMike Burrows · slot 6
 0.0%Valinor 8.7%market +3.2pp
P 12.2
F 0.0
V 0.0
12.2pp 1.062xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 1005 avg 3 books
37
José Caballero NYY
IN
NYY vs BOSRanger Suarez · slot 1
 11.1%Valinor 7.9%market +3.2pp
P 12.1
F 11.1
V 11.1
1.1pp 1.123xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 1130 avg 3 books
38
Jung Hoo Lee SF
IN
SF vs CHCJameson Taillon · slot 7
 11.1%Valinor 7.7%market +3.0pp
P 11.8
F 11.1
V 11.1
0.7pp 0.993xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
39
Luke Keaschall MIN
IN
MIN vs KCNoah Cameron · slot 1
 6.6%Valinor 10.9%market +3.0pp
P 15.4
F 6.6
V 6.6
8.7pp 1.042xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 785 avg 3 books
40
José Tena WSH
IN
WSH vs AZMichael Soroka · slot 6
 17.2%Valinor 7.7%market +3.0pp
P 14.0
F 17.2
V 17.2
3.2pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
41
James Wood WSH
IN
WSH vs AZMichael Soroka · slot 2
 26.0%Valinor 16.4%market +2.9pp
P 22.3
F 26.0
V 26.0
3.7pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 485 avg 3 books
42
Willson Contreras BOS
IN
BOS vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 3
 15.7%Valinor 15.2%market +2.9pp
P 19.7
F 15.7
V 15.7
3.9pp 1.123xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 535 avg 3 books
43
Cody Bellinger NYY
IN
NYY vs BOSRanger Suarez · slot 3
 17.2%Valinor 16.2%market +2.9pp
P 20.8
F 17.2
V 17.2
3.6pp 1.123xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 495 avg 3 books
44
José Ramírez CLE
IN
CLE vs TEXJacob deGrom · slot 1
 17.9%Valinor 19.4%market +2.9pp
P 22.3
F 17.9
V 17.9
4.4pp 1.099xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 395 avg 3 books
45
Chase Meidroth CWS
IN
CWS vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 1
 10.3%Valinor 7.7%market +2.9pp
P 9.7
F 10.3
V 10.3
0.7pp 1.139xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
46
Jonathan Aranda TB
IN
TB vs MIASandy Alcantara · slot 3
 17.9%Valinor 12.7%market +2.8pp
P 17.9
F 17.9
V 17.9
0.1pp 0.920xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 655 avg 3 books
47
Yandy Díaz TB
IN
TB vs MIASandy Alcantara · slot 2
 17.9%Valinor 14.2%market +2.6pp
P 18.0
F 17.9
V 17.9
0.1pp 0.920xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 575 avg 3 books
48
Freddie Freeman LAD
IN
LAD vs LAAJosé Soriano · slot 2
 15.7%Valinor 16.2%market +2.5pp
P 19.7
F 15.7
V 15.7
3.9pp 0.991xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 495 avg 3 books
49
Luis Arraez SF
IN
SF vs CHCJameson Taillon · slot 1
 13.4%Valinor 7.7%market +2.2pp
P 11.0
F 13.4
V 13.4
2.3pp 0.993xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
50
Zach McKinstry DET
IN
DET vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 1
 11.4%Valinor 8.7%market +2.2pp
P 11.0
F 11.4
V 11.4
0.4pp 0.905xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 1010 avg 3 books
51
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR
IN
TOR vs BALShane Baz · slot 2
 17.9%Valinor 16.2%market +2.2pp
P 18.1
F 17.9
V 17.9
0.2pp 0.995xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 495 avg 3 books
52
Kyle Manzardo CLE
IN
CLE vs TEXJacob deGrom · slot 3
 17.2%Valinor 16.7%market +2.1pp
P 20.5
F 17.2
V 17.2
3.3pp 1.099xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 475 avg 3 books
53
Wilyer Abreu BOS
IN
BOS vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 4
 17.9%Valinor 15.5%market +2.0pp
P 20.6
F 17.9
V 17.9
2.7pp 1.123xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 520 avg 3 books
54
Cedric Mullins TB
IN
TB vs MIASandy Alcantara · slot 5
 14.2%Valinor 13.6%market +1.9pp
P 14.8
F 14.2
V 14.2
0.6pp 0.920xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 605 avg 3 books
55
Gunnar Henderson BAL
IN
BAL vs TORKevin Gausman · slot 1
 14.2%Valinor 17.3%market +1.9pp
P 17.5
F 14.2
V 14.2
3.3pp 0.995xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 455 avg 3 books
56
Randy Arozarena SEA
IN
SEA vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 5
 15.5%Valinor 13.8%market +1.9pp
P 17.4
F 15.5
V 15.5
1.9pp 0.905xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 595 avg 3 books
57
Willy Adames SF
IN
SF vs CHCJameson Taillon · slot 4
 15.7%Valinor 16.7%market +1.9pp
P 20.1
F 15.7
V 15.7
4.3pp 0.993xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 475 avg 3 books
58
Zach Neto LAA
IN
LAA vs LADEmmet Sheehan · slot 1
 17.9%Valinor 16.3%market +1.7pp
P 20.1
F 17.9
V 17.9
2.1pp 0.991xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 490 avg 3 books
59
Corbin Carroll AZ
IN
AZ vs WSHCade Cavalli · slot 1
 17.9%Valinor 17.5%market +1.6pp
P 20.8
F 17.9
V 17.9
2.9pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 450 avg 3 books
60
George Springer TOR
IN
TOR vs BALShane Baz · slot 1
 17.2%Valinor 16.7%market +1.6pp
P 19.7
F 17.2
V 17.2
2.5pp 0.995xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 475 avg 3 books
61
Royce Lewis MIN
IN
MIN vs KCNoah Cameron · slot 5
 14.2%Valinor 15.9%market +1.3pp
P 15.1
F 14.2
V 14.2
0.9pp 1.042xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 505 avg 3 books
62
Jorge Polanco NYM
Lineup pending
NYM vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 4
 17.2%Valinor 16.2%market +1.2pp
P 17.7
F 17.2
V 17.2
0.5pp 0.976xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 495 avg 3 books
63
Mookie Betts LAD
Lineup pending
LAD vs LAAJosé Soriano · slot 5
 14.2%Valinor 15.4%market +1.2pp
P 17.2
F 14.2
V 14.2
3.0pp 0.991xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 525 avg 3 books
64
Rafael Devers SF
IN
SF vs CHCJameson Taillon · slot 2
 15.7%Valinor 19.8%market +1.1pp
P 20.7
F 15.7
V 15.7
4.9pp 0.993xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 385 avg 3 books
65
Josh Naylor SEA
IN
SEA vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 4
 15.5%Valinor 16.2%market +1.0pp
P 17.1
F 15.5
V 15.5
1.6pp 0.905xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 495 avg 3 books
66
Jake Mangum PIT
Lineup pending
PIT vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 1
 11.1%Valinor 7.7%market +0.8pp
P 10.9
F 11.1
V 11.1
0.2pp 1.108xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
67
Daulton Varsho TOR
Lineup pending
TOR vs BALShane Baz · slot 4
 14.2%Valinor 16.7%market +0.6pp
P 16.7
F 14.2
V 14.2
2.4pp 0.995xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 475 avg 3 books
68
Logan O'Hoppe LAA
Lineup pending
LAA vs LADEmmet Sheehan · slot 5
 15.7%Valinor 15.2%market +0.4pp
P 14.6
F 15.7
V 15.7
1.1pp 0.991xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 530 avg 3 books
69
Brandon Lowe PIT
Lineup pending
PIT vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 4
 17.9%Valinor 19.4%market +0.3pp
P 21.6
F 17.9
V 17.9
3.7pp 1.108xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 395 avg 3 books
70
Taylor Ward BAL
IN
BAL vs TORKevin Gausman · slot 4
 17.2%Valinor 17.4%market -0.2pp
P 18.8
F 17.2
V 17.2
1.6pp 0.995xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 455 avg 3 books
71
Julio Rodríguez SEA
IN
SEA vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 1
 14.2%Valinor 17.5%market -0.3pp
P 18.1
F 14.2
V 14.2
3.8pp 0.905xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 450 avg 3 books
72
Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY
IN
NYY vs BOSRanger Suarez · slot 5
 17.2%Valinor 17.4%market -0.5pp
P 17.9
F 17.2
V 17.2
0.7pp 1.123xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 455 avg 3 books
73
Riley Greene DET
IN
DET vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 4
 17.2%Valinor 18.1%market -0.5pp
P 19.1
F 17.2
V 17.2
1.9pp 0.905xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 435 avg 3 books
74
Marcell Ozuna PIT
Lineup pending
PIT vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 2
 14.2%Valinor 20.5%market -0.5pp
P 17.9
F 14.2
V 14.2
3.6pp 1.108xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 370 avg 3 books
75
Jake Burger TEX
IN
TEX vs CLEJoey Cantillo · slot 4
 14.2%Valinor 19.7%market -0.7pp
P 15.1
F 14.2
V 14.2
0.9pp 1.099xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 390 avg 3 books
76
Spencer Torkelson DET
IN
DET vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 5
 15.7%Valinor 16.5%market -0.8pp
P 17.6
F 15.7
V 15.7
1.9pp 0.905xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 485 avg 3 books
77
Brent Rooker ATH
IN
ATH vs HOUMike Burrows · slot 2
 15.7%Valinor 21.0%market -0.8pp
P 20.1
F 15.7
V 15.7
4.4pp 1.062xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 360 avg 3 books
78
Kyle Tucker LAD
IN
LAD vs LAAJosé Soriano · slot 3
 14.2%Valinor 18.6%market -1.0pp
P 17.8
F 14.2
V 14.2
3.6pp 0.991xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 420 avg 3 books
79
Mike Trout LAA
IN
LAA vs LADEmmet Sheehan · slot 2
 17.9%Valinor 18.8%market -1.5pp
P 19.3
F 17.9
V 17.9
1.4pp 0.991xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 415 avg 3 books
80
Eugenio Suárez CIN
Lineup pending
CIN vs STLMichael McGreevy · slot 3
 14.2%Valinor 21.2%market -1.7pp
P 18.3
F 14.2
V 14.2
4.1pp 1.070xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 355 avg 3 books
81
Shea Langeliers ATH
IN
ATH vs HOUMike Burrows · slot 3
 15.5%Valinor 20.8%market -1.7pp
P 19.2
F 15.5
V 15.5
3.7pp 1.062xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 380 avg 3 books
82
Corey Seager TEX
Lineup pending
TEX vs CLEJoey Cantillo · slot 2
 15.7%Valinor 21.2%market -1.8pp
P 17.6
F 15.7
V 15.7
1.9pp 1.099xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 355 avg 3 books
83
Colson Montgomery CWS
IN
CWS vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 3
 14.2%Valinor 23.3%market -2.1pp
P 17.9
F 14.2
V 14.2
3.7pp 1.139xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 330 avg 3 books
84
Ketel Marte AZ
IN
AZ vs WSHCade Cavalli · slot 2
 17.2%Valinor 21.1%market -2.2pp
P 18.8
F 17.2
V 17.2
1.6pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 375 avg 3 books
85
Byron Buxton MIN
Lineup pending
MIN vs KCNoah Cameron · slot 3
 17.9%Valinor 22.0%market -2.2pp
P 19.5
F 17.9
V 17.9
1.6pp 1.042xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 355 avg 3 books
86
Tyler O'Neill BAL
IN
BAL vs TORKevin Gausman · slot 3
 14.2%Valinor 17.7%market -2.3pp
P 14.4
F 14.2
V 14.2
0.2pp 0.995xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 465 avg 3 books
87
Jo Adell LAA
IN
LAA vs LADEmmet Sheehan · slot 4
 17.2%Valinor 19.6%market -2.9pp
P 17.1
F 17.2
V 17.2
0.1pp 0.991xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 410 avg 3 books
88
Kerry Carpenter DET
IN
DET vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 3
 17.2%Valinor 20.2%market -3.0pp
P 15.2
F 17.2
V 17.2
2.0pp 0.905xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 395 avg 3 books
89
Max Muncy LAD
IN
LAD vs LAAJosé Soriano · slot 6
 13.4%Valinor 19.2%market -3.7pp
P 14.1
F 13.4
V 13.4
0.7pp 0.991xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 420 avg 3 books
90
Juan Soto NYM
IN
NYM vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 1
 17.9%Valinor 24.1%market -4.0pp
P 19.4
F 17.9
V 17.9
1.5pp 0.976xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 315 avg 3 books
91
Pete Alonso BAL
IN
BAL vs TORKevin Gausman · slot 2
 14.2%Valinor 23.0%market -4.6pp
P 17.6
F 14.2
V 14.2
3.4pp 0.995xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 335 avg 3 books
92
Chandler Simpson TB
Lineup pending
TB vs MIASandy Alcantara · slot 1
 0.0%Valinor 8.0%market -5.4pp
P 3.7
F 0.0
V 0.0
3.7pp 0.920xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Strong Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
93
Nick Kurtz ATH
IN
ATH vs HOUMike Burrows · slot 1
 13.4%Valinor 27.0%market -6.3pp
P 20.4
F 13.4
V 13.4
7.0pp 1.062xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 270 avg 3 books
94
Junior Caminero TB
IN
TB vs MIASandy Alcantara · slot 4
 15.7%Valinor 22.0%market -7.3pp
P 15.7
F 15.7
V 15.7
0.1pp 0.920xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 355 avg 3 books
95
Cal Raleigh SEA
Lineup pending
SEA vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 3
 11.4%Valinor 26.3%market -8.0pp
P 18.1
F 11.4
V 11.4
6.6pp 0.905xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 280 avg 3 books
96
Shohei Ohtani LAD
IN
LAD vs LAAJosé Soriano · slot 1
 17.2%Valinor 29.8%market -10.9pp
P 17.5
F 17.2
V 17.2
0.3pp 0.991xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 235 avg 3 books

Data context

780 sample flags
Status1589roster/transaction rows
Lineups261confirmed starters
Triple0cross-domain rows

Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.