Mithrandir Metrics
Fangorn lane 2026-06-09 Refreshed Sep 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs

Home run board.

Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.

Rows
94
Matched
318
Lineups
198
HR BOARD 2026-06-09 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay PALANTIR production FANGORN nonlinear lane VALINOR calibrated lane LINEUP FILTER active
Lane Health 2026-09-01
Palantir 17901 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 17901 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12243 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.005 14d stable

Model Lane

Home Runs

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn production Valinor rebadged research
Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.
Home-run board · largest Fangorn gap versus market
# Player Matchup Sim Implied Gap Three lanes · P/F/V Spread Park Weather Recent Best line
01
Christian Yelich MIL
Lineup pending
MIL vs ATHJ.t. Ginn · slot 2
 26.0%Fangorn 16.4%market +9.5pp
P 24.9
F 26.0
V 26.0
1.1pp 1.030xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 485 avg 3 books
02
Vinnie Pasquantino KC
IN
KC vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 3
 26.0%Fangorn 16.7%market +9.2pp
P 23.8
F 26.0
V 26.0
2.1pp 1.133xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 475 avg 3 books
03
Geraldo Perdomo AZ
IN
AZ vs MIAMax Meyer · slot 3
 17.9%Fangorn 9.3%market +8.6pp
P 18.6
F 17.9
V 17.9
0.7pp 0.952xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 935 avg 3 books
04
Michael Busch CHC
IN
CHC vs COLTomoyuki Sugano · slot 3
 26.0%Fangorn 17.8%market +8.2pp
P 23.9
F 26.0
V 26.0
2.1pp 1.067xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 440 avg 3 books
05
Nathan Lukes TOR
IN
TOR vs PHIZack Wheeler · slot 6
 17.2%Fangorn 9.1%market +8.1pp
P 15.2
F 17.2
V 17.2
2.0pp 0.940xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 960 avg 3 books
06
Brice Turang MIL
Lineup pending
MIL vs ATHJ.t. Ginn · slot 1
 17.9%Fangorn 10.0%market +7.9pp
P 20.5
F 17.9
V 17.9
2.6pp 1.030xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 865 avg 3 books
07
Evan Carter TEX
IN
TEX vs KCStephen Kolek · slot 6
 17.9%Fangorn 11.0%market +6.9pp
P 21.1
F 17.9
V 17.9
3.2pp 1.133xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 780 avg 3 books
08
Rob Refsnyder SEA
IN
SEA vs BALTrevor Rogers · slot 2
 17.9%Fangorn 12.2%market +5.8pp
P 17.2
F 17.9
V 17.9
0.7pp 1.010xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 695 avg 3 books
09
Nico Hoerner CHC
IN
CHC vs COLTomoyuki Sugano · slot 1
 13.4%Fangorn 7.7%market +5.7pp
P 12.3
F 13.4
V 13.4
1.1pp 1.067xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
10
Zach McKinstry DET
IN
DET vs MINTaj Bradley · slot 1
 14.2%Fangorn 8.7%market +5.5pp
P 13.4
F 14.2
V 14.2
0.8pp 0.991xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 1010 avg 3 books
11
Bo Bichette NYM
IN
NYM vs STLDustin May · slot 3
 17.2%Fangorn 11.7%market +5.5pp
P 17.9
F 17.2
V 17.2
0.7pp 0.964xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 725 avg 3 books
12
William Contreras MIL
Lineup pending
MIL vs ATHJ.t. Ginn · slot 3
 17.9%Fangorn 12.5%market +5.4pp
P 18.9
F 17.9
V 17.9
0.9pp 1.030xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 670 avg 3 books
13
Iván Herrera STL
IN
STL vs NYMFreddy Peralta · slot 2
 17.9%Fangorn 12.5%market +5.4pp
P 21.2
F 17.9
V 17.9
3.3pp 0.964xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 670 avg 3 books
14
Andrew Benintendi CWS
IN
CWS vs ATLGrant Holmes · slot 4
 17.9%Fangorn 13.0%market +4.9pp
P 18.5
F 17.9
V 17.9
0.5pp 0.979xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 640 avg 3 books
15
Jesús Sánchez TOR
IN
TOR vs PHIZack Wheeler · slot 5
 17.2%Fangorn 12.3%market +4.9pp
P 14.6
F 17.2
V 17.2
2.6pp 0.940xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 685 avg 3 books
16
Dansby Swanson CHC
IN
CHC vs COLTomoyuki Sugano · slot 6
 17.9%Fangorn 13.1%market +4.8pp
P 19.5
F 17.9
V 17.9
1.6pp 1.067xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 635 avg 3 books
17
Alec Burleson STL
IN
STL vs NYMFreddy Peralta · slot 3
 17.9%Fangorn 13.3%market +4.7pp
P 18.6
F 17.9
V 17.9
0.7pp 0.964xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 625 avg 3 books
18
Brandon Marsh PHI
IN
PHI vs TORDylan Cease · slot 6
 15.5%Fangorn 11.0%market +4.5pp
P 13.5
F 15.5
V 15.5
2.0pp 0.940xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 780 avg 3 books
19
Willi Castro COL
IN
COL vs CHCColin Rea · slot 1
 14.2%Fangorn 9.8%market +4.4pp
P 16.3
F 14.2
V 14.2
2.1pp 1.067xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 885 avg 3 books
20
Bryan Reynolds PIT
IN
PIT vs LADEric Lauer · slot 5
 17.2%Fangorn 13.5%market +3.8pp
P 20.1
F 17.2
V 17.2
2.8pp 1.062xHR pf Neutralweather Strong Damageform FanDuel 615 avg 3 books
21
Colt Keith DET
IN
DET vs MINTaj Bradley · slot 6
 14.2%Fangorn 10.5%market +3.7pp
P 15.1
F 14.2
V 14.2
0.9pp 0.991xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 820 avg 3 books
22
Wyatt Langford TEX
IN
TEX vs KCStephen Kolek · slot 1
 17.9%Fangorn 14.4%market +3.6pp
P 21.9
F 17.9
V 17.9
4.0pp 1.133xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 570 avg 3 books
23
Jakob Marsee MIA
IN
MIA vs AZZac Gallen · slot 2
 13.6%Fangorn 10.1%market +3.4pp
P 14.2
F 13.6
V 13.6
0.7pp 0.952xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 855 avg 3 books
24
Edouard Julien COL
IN
COL vs CHCColin Rea · slot 6
 14.2%Fangorn 10.9%market +3.4pp
P 15.8
F 14.2
V 14.2
1.6pp 1.067xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 790 avg 3 books
25
Cj Abrams WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs SFAdrian Houser · slot 1
 17.2%Fangorn 13.9%market +3.3pp
P 18.2
F 17.2
V 17.2
1.0pp 0.891xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 590 avg 3 books
26
Ian Happ CHC
IN
CHC vs COLTomoyuki Sugano · slot 4
 17.9%Fangorn 14.8%market +3.1pp
P 22.3
F 17.9
V 17.9
4.4pp 1.067xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 550 avg 3 books
27
Joc Pederson TEX
IN
TEX vs KCStephen Kolek · slot 5
 17.2%Fangorn 14.1%market +3.1pp
P 15.0
F 17.2
V 17.2
2.2pp 1.133xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 580 avg 3 books
28
Elly De La Cruz CIN
Lineup pending
CIN vs SDLucas Giolito · slot 1
 17.9%Fangorn 15.0%market +2.9pp
P 21.2
F 17.9
V 17.9
3.3pp 0.938xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 540 avg 3 books
29
Randy Arozarena SEA
IN
SEA vs BALTrevor Rogers · slot 5
 17.2%Fangorn 14.4%market +2.8pp
P 19.2
F 17.2
V 17.2
2.0pp 1.010xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 570 avg 3 books
30
Alex Bregman CHC
IN
CHC vs COLTomoyuki Sugano · slot 5
 17.2%Fangorn 14.6%market +2.6pp
P 18.6
F 17.2
V 17.2
1.4pp 1.067xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 560 avg 3 books
31
Jarren Duran BOS
IN
BOS vs TBNick Martinez · slot 1
 14.2%Fangorn 11.8%market +2.4pp
P 17.5
F 14.2
V 14.2
3.3pp 0.970xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 715 avg 3 books
32
Adley Rutschman BAL
Lineup pending
BAL vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 5
 14.2%Fangorn 11.9%market +2.3pp
P 15.6
F 14.2
V 14.2
1.4pp 1.010xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 710 avg 3 books
33
Mike Yastrzemski ATL
IN
ATL vs CWSErick Fedde · slot 6
 15.7%Fangorn 13.5%market +2.3pp
P 16.5
F 15.7
V 15.7
0.8pp 0.979xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 615 avg 3 books
34
Brandon Nimmo TEX
IN
TEX vs KCStephen Kolek · slot 3
 17.9%Fangorn 15.6%market +2.3pp
P 22.2
F 17.9
V 17.9
4.3pp 1.133xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 515 avg 3 books
35
Spencer Steer CIN
Lineup pending
CIN vs SDLucas Giolito · slot 4
 15.7%Fangorn 13.7%market +2.0pp
P 17.9
F 15.7
V 15.7
2.2pp 0.938xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 600 avg 3 books
36
Tyler Stephenson CIN
Lineup pending
CIN vs SDLucas Giolito · slot 5
 14.2%Fangorn 12.3%market +1.9pp
P 14.2
F 14.2
V 14.2
0.0pp 0.938xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 685 avg 3 books
37
Luis García Jr. WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs SFAdrian Houser · slot 4
 14.2%Fangorn 12.4%market +1.8pp
P 14.8
F 14.2
V 14.2
0.6pp 0.891xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 675 avg 3 books
38
Ezequiel Tovar COL
IN
COL vs CHCColin Rea · slot 4
 13.6%Fangorn 12.5%market +1.1pp
P 18.5
F 13.6
V 13.6
4.9pp 1.067xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 670 avg 3 books
39
Cody Bellinger NYY
IN
NYY vs CLESlade Cecconi · slot 3
 17.9%Fangorn 16.9%market +1.1pp
P 22.6
F 17.9
V 17.9
4.7pp 1.035xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 470 avg 3 books
40
Freddie Freeman LAD
IN
LAD vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 2
 17.2%Fangorn 16.2%market +1.0pp
P 21.0
F 17.2
V 17.2
3.8pp 1.062xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 495 avg 3 books
41
Lane Thomas KC
Lineup pending
KC vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 5
 13.4%Fangorn 12.5%market +0.9pp
P 13.9
F 13.4
V 13.4
0.5pp 1.133xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 670 avg 3 books
42
Ozzie Albies ATL
IN
ATL vs CWSErick Fedde · slot 5
 14.2%Fangorn 13.5%market +0.8pp
P 15.9
F 14.2
V 14.2
1.7pp 0.979xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 615 avg 3 books
43
Bobby Witt Jr. KC
IN
KC vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 1
 17.2%Fangorn 17.7%market -0.5pp
P 21.3
F 17.2
V 17.2
4.1pp 1.133xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 465 avg 3 books
44
Trea Turner PHI
IN
PHI vs TORDylan Cease · slot 1
 14.2%Fangorn 14.8%market -0.6pp
P 16.7
F 14.2
V 14.2
2.5pp 0.940xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 575 avg 3 books
45
Carlos Santana AZ
Lineup pending
AZ vs MIAMax Meyer · slot 5
 13.4%Fangorn 14.2%market -0.8pp
P 14.6
F 13.4
V 13.4
1.3pp 0.952xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 605 avg 3 books
46
Marcus Semien NYM
IN
NYM vs STLDustin May · slot 5
 11.4%Fangorn 13.8%market -2.4pp
P 14.0
F 11.4
V 11.4
2.6pp 0.964xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 625 avg 3 books
47
Jj Bleday CIN
Lineup pending
CIN vs SDLucas Giolito · slot 6
 10.3%Fangorn 13.4%market -3.1pp
P 15.7
F 10.3
V 10.3
5.4pp 0.938xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 645 avg 3 books
48
Gunnar Henderson BAL
IN
BAL vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 1
 14.2%Fangorn 18.4%market -4.1pp
P 19.0
F 14.2
V 14.2
4.8pp 1.010xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 445 avg 3 books
49
Edgar Quero CWS
Lineup pending
CWS vs ATLGrant Holmes · slot 6
 13.4%Fangorn 7.7%market +5.7pp
P 10.4
F 13.4
V 13.4
2.9pp 0.979xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
50
José Tena WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs SFAdrian Houser · slot 6
 13.4%Fangorn 7.7%market +5.7pp
P 10.0
F 13.4
V 13.4
3.4pp 0.891xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
51
Jake Mangum PIT
Lineup pending
PIT vs LADEric Lauer · slot 1
 11.1%Fangorn 7.7%market +3.5pp
P 11.9
F 11.1
V 11.1
0.8pp 1.062xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
52
Ben Rice NYY
IN
NYY vs CLESlade Cecconi · slot 6
 17.9%Fangorn 15.5%market +2.4pp
P 18.1
F 17.9
V 17.9
0.2pp 1.035xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 520 avg 3 books
53
Wilyer Abreu BOS
IN
BOS vs TBNick Martinez · slot 4
 17.2%Fangorn 15.5%market +1.7pp
P 18.9
F 17.2
V 17.2
1.6pp 0.970xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 520 avg 3 books
54
James Wood WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs SFAdrian Houser · slot 2
 17.9%Fangorn 16.4%market +1.5pp
P 18.4
F 17.9
V 17.9
0.5pp 0.891xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 485 avg 3 books
55
Keibert Ruiz WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs SFAdrian Houser · slot 5
 11.1%Fangorn 9.8%market +1.3pp
P 9.8
F 11.1
V 11.1
1.4pp 0.891xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 880 avg 3 books
56
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR
IN
TOR vs PHIZack Wheeler · slot 2
 17.2%Fangorn 16.2%market +1.1pp
P 16.6
F 17.2
V 17.2
0.6pp 0.940xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 495 avg 3 books
57
Spencer Torkelson DET
IN
DET vs MINTaj Bradley · slot 5
 17.2%Fangorn 16.2%market +1.0pp
P 19.6
F 17.2
V 17.2
2.4pp 0.991xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 495 avg 3 books
58
Jorge Polanco NYM
Lineup pending
NYM vs STLDustin May · slot 4
 17.2%Fangorn 16.2%market +1.0pp
P 17.6
F 17.2
V 17.2
0.4pp 0.964xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 495 avg 3 books
59
Hunter Goodman COL
IN
COL vs CHCColin Rea · slot 2
 17.9%Fangorn 17.0%market +0.9pp
P 20.6
F 17.9
V 17.9
2.6pp 1.067xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 465 avg 3 books
60
Taylor Ward BAL
IN
BAL vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 4
 17.9%Fangorn 17.2%market +0.8pp
P 20.4
F 17.9
V 17.9
2.5pp 1.010xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 460 avg 3 books
61
Alec Bohm PHI
IN
PHI vs TORDylan Cease · slot 5
 11.4%Fangorn 10.7%market +0.7pp
P 11.1
F 11.4
V 11.4
0.3pp 0.940xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 805 avg 3 books
62
Corbin Carroll AZ
IN
AZ vs MIAMax Meyer · slot 1
 17.9%Fangorn 17.5%market +0.5pp
P 21.7
F 17.9
V 17.9
3.7pp 0.952xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 450 avg 3 books
63
Riley Greene DET
IN
DET vs MINTaj Bradley · slot 4
 17.9%Fangorn 18.5%market -0.6pp
P 21.3
F 17.9
V 17.9
3.4pp 0.991xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 440 avg 3 books
64
Mookie Betts LAD
IN
LAD vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 5
 15.5%Fangorn 16.1%market -0.6pp
P 18.4
F 15.5
V 15.5
2.9pp 1.062xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 520 avg 3 books
65
Salvador Perez KC
IN
KC vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 4
 17.2%Fangorn 18.0%market -0.8pp
P 20.2
F 17.2
V 17.2
3.0pp 1.133xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 455 avg 3 books
66
Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY
IN
NYY vs CLESlade Cecconi · slot 5
 17.9%Fangorn 19.2%market -1.3pp
P 20.1
F 17.9
V 17.9
2.2pp 1.035xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 420 avg 3 books
67
Julio Rodríguez SEA
IN
SEA vs BALTrevor Rogers · slot 1
 17.2%Fangorn 18.7%market -1.5pp
P 19.9
F 17.2
V 17.2
2.7pp 1.010xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 435 avg 3 books
68
Willson Contreras BOS
IN
BOS vs TBNick Martinez · slot 3
 14.2%Fangorn 15.9%market -1.7pp
P 18.0
F 14.2
V 14.2
3.8pp 0.970xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 530 avg 3 books
69
Josh Naylor SEA
IN
SEA vs BALTrevor Rogers · slot 4
 14.2%Fangorn 16.1%market -1.9pp
P 16.1
F 14.2
V 14.2
1.9pp 1.010xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 520 avg 3 books
70
Tyler O'Neill BAL
IN
BAL vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 3
 15.7%Fangorn 17.7%market -2.0pp
P 15.6
F 15.7
V 15.7
0.1pp 1.010xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 465 avg 3 books
71
George Springer TOR
Lineup pending
TOR vs PHIZack Wheeler · slot 1
 15.5%Fangorn 17.7%market -2.2pp
P 18.0
F 15.5
V 15.5
2.5pp 0.940xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 465 avg 3 books
72
Kerry Carpenter DET
IN
DET vs MINTaj Bradley · slot 3
 17.9%Fangorn 20.2%market -2.3pp
P 16.9
F 17.9
V 17.9
1.0pp 0.991xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 395 avg 3 books
73
Daylen Lile WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs SFAdrian Houser · slot 3
 9.1%Fangorn 11.6%market -2.5pp
P 14.9
F 9.1
V 9.1
5.8pp 0.891xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 765 avg 3 books
74
Ketel Marte AZ
IN
AZ vs MIAMax Meyer · slot 2
 17.9%Fangorn 21.1%market -3.1pp
P 19.6
F 17.9
V 17.9
1.6pp 0.952xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 375 avg 3 books
75
Xavier Edwards MIA
IN
MIA vs AZZac Gallen · slot 1
 4.7%Fangorn 8.0%market -3.3pp
P 7.4
F 4.7
V 4.7
2.7pp 0.952xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
76
Chase Meidroth CWS
IN
CWS vs ATLGrant Holmes · slot 1
 4.7%Fangorn 8.0%market -3.3pp
P 7.1
F 4.7
V 4.7
2.3pp 0.979xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
77
Daulton Varsho TOR
Lineup pending
TOR vs PHIZack Wheeler · slot 4
 14.2%Fangorn 17.5%market -3.3pp
P 15.2
F 14.2
V 14.2
1.0pp 0.940xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 470 avg 3 books
78
Kyle Tucker LAD
IN
LAD vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 3
 15.7%Fangorn 19.1%market -3.3pp
P 19.1
F 15.7
V 15.7
3.3pp 1.062xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 425 avg 3 books
79
Austin Riley ATL
IN
ATL vs CWSErick Fedde · slot 4
 13.6%Fangorn 17.0%market -3.4pp
P 14.0
F 13.6
V 13.6
0.4pp 0.979xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 490 avg 3 books
80
Adolis García PHI
IN
PHI vs TORDylan Cease · slot 4
 14.2%Fangorn 18.0%market -3.8pp
P 14.1
F 14.2
V 14.2
0.1pp 0.940xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 455 avg 3 books
81
Bryce Harper PHI
IN
PHI vs TORDylan Cease · slot 2
 15.7%Fangorn 19.6%market -3.9pp
P 18.8
F 15.7
V 15.7
3.1pp 0.940xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 410 avg 3 books
82
Ronald Acuña Jr. ATL
IN
ATL vs CWSErick Fedde · slot 1
 14.2%Fangorn 19.4%market -5.2pp
P 17.3
F 14.2
V 14.2
3.0pp 0.979xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 415 avg 3 books
83
Corey Seager TEX
IN
TEX vs KCStephen Kolek · slot 2
 17.2%Fangorn 22.5%market -5.3pp
P 19.1
F 17.2
V 17.2
1.9pp 1.133xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 345 avg 3 books
84
Max Muncy LAD
IN
LAD vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 6
 13.6%Fangorn 19.2%market -5.7pp
P 15.1
F 13.6
V 13.6
1.5pp 1.062xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 420 avg 3 books
85
Jake Burger TEX
IN
TEX vs KCStephen Kolek · slot 4
 13.6%Fangorn 19.2%market -5.7pp
P 13.9
F 13.6
V 13.6
0.3pp 1.133xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 420 avg 3 books
86
Juan Soto NYM
IN
NYM vs STLDustin May · slot 1
 17.9%Fangorn 24.1%market -6.2pp
P 19.1
F 17.9
V 17.9
1.2pp 0.964xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 315 avg 3 books
87
Matt Olson ATL
IN
ATL vs CWSErick Fedde · slot 2
 15.5%Fangorn 21.7%market -6.2pp
P 18.8
F 15.5
V 15.5
3.3pp 0.979xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 360 avg 3 books
88
Marcell Ozuna PIT
IN
PIT vs LADEric Lauer · slot 2
 15.7%Fangorn 22.0%market -6.2pp
P 20.5
F 15.7
V 15.7
4.8pp 1.062xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 355 avg 3 books
89
Eugenio Suárez CIN
Lineup pending
CIN vs SDLucas Giolito · slot 3
 14.2%Fangorn 21.7%market -7.5pp
P 17.2
F 14.2
V 14.2
3.0pp 0.938xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 360 avg 3 books
90
Pete Alonso BAL
IN
BAL vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 2
 14.2%Fangorn 23.0%market -8.8pp
P 19.0
F 14.2
V 14.2
4.8pp 1.010xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 335 avg 3 books
91
Kyle Schwarber PHI
IN
PHI vs TORDylan Cease · slot 3
 15.5%Fangorn 27.0%market -11.5pp
P 17.1
F 15.5
V 15.5
1.6pp 0.940xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 270 avg 3 books
92
Colson Montgomery CWS
Lineup pending
CWS vs ATLGrant Holmes · slot 3
 11.4%Fangorn 23.3%market -11.8pp
P 15.0
F 11.4
V 11.4
3.6pp 0.979xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 330 avg 3 books
93
Shohei Ohtani LAD
IN
LAD vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 1
 17.9%Fangorn 29.8%market -11.9pp
P 18.7
F 17.9
V 17.9
0.8pp 1.062xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 235 avg 3 books
94
Cal Raleigh SEA
Lineup pending
SEA vs BALTrevor Rogers · slot 3
 13.4%Fangorn 25.6%market -12.3pp
P 18.3
F 13.4
V 13.4
5.0pp 1.010xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 290 avg 3 books

Data context

779 sample flags
Status1596roster/transaction rows
Lineups198confirmed starters
Triple0cross-domain rows

Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.