Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs
Home run board.
Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.
HR BOARD 2026-06-09 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay
PALANTIR production
FANGORN nonlinear lane
VALINOR calibrated lane
LINEUP FILTER active
Lane Health
2026-09-01
Palantir
17901 props
Brier 0.117
ECE 0.008
14d stable
Fangorn
17901 props
Brier 0.118
ECE 0.009
14d stable
Valinor
12243 props
Brier 0.112
ECE 0.005
14d stable
Model Lane
Home Runs
Choose the model that drives this board.
Home-run board · largest Valinor gap versus market
| # | Player | Matchup | Sim | Implied | Gap | Three lanes · P/F/V | Spread | Park | Weather | Recent | Best line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 |
Bryan Reynolds
PIT
IN
|
PIT vs LADEric Lauer · slot 5 |
17.2%Valinor | 13.5%market | +8.3pp |
P
20.1
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
2.8pp | 1.062xHR pf | Neutralweather | Strong Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 615 avg 3 books |
| 02 |
Willi Castro
COL
IN
|
COL vs CHCColin Rea · slot 1 |
14.2%Valinor | 9.8%market | +8.1pp |
P
16.3
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
2.1pp | 1.067xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 885 avg 3 books |
| 03 |
Edouard Julien
COL
IN
|
COL vs CHCColin Rea · slot 6 |
14.2%Valinor | 10.9%market | +7.7pp |
P
15.8
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
1.6pp | 1.067xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 790 avg 3 books |
| 04 |
Ezequiel Tovar
COL
IN
|
COL vs CHCColin Rea · slot 4 |
13.6%Valinor | 12.5%market | +7.7pp |
P
18.5
F
13.6
V
13.6
|
4.9pp | 1.067xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 670 avg 3 books |
| 05 |
Brice Turang
MIL
Lineup pending
|
MIL vs ATHJ.t. Ginn · slot 1 |
17.9%Valinor | 10.0%market | +7.5pp |
P
20.5
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
2.6pp | 1.030xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 865 avg 3 books |
| 06 |
Ian Happ
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs COLTomoyuki Sugano · slot 4 |
17.9%Valinor | 14.8%market | +7.4pp |
P
22.3
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
4.4pp | 1.067xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 550 avg 3 books |
| 07 |
Adley Rutschman
BAL
Lineup pending
|
BAL vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 5 |
14.2%Valinor | 11.9%market | +7.4pp |
P
15.6
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
1.4pp | 1.010xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 710 avg 3 books |
| 08 | Lineup pending | MIL vs ATHJ.t. Ginn · slot 3 |
17.9%Valinor | 12.5%market | +6.8pp |
P
18.9
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
0.9pp | 1.030xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 670 avg 3 books |
| 09 |
Colt Keith
DET
IN
|
DET vs MINTaj Bradley · slot 6 |
14.2%Valinor | 10.5%market | +6.4pp |
P
15.1
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
0.9pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 820 avg 3 books |
| 10 |
Dansby Swanson
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs COLTomoyuki Sugano · slot 6 |
17.9%Valinor | 13.1%market | +6.0pp |
P
19.5
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
1.6pp | 1.067xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 635 avg 3 books |
| 11 | IN | CWS vs ATLGrant Holmes · slot 4 |
17.9%Valinor | 13.0%market | +5.9pp |
P
18.5
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
0.5pp | 0.979xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 640 avg 3 books |
| 12 |
Wyatt Langford
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs KCStephen Kolek · slot 1 |
17.9%Valinor | 14.4%market | +5.9pp |
P
21.9
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
4.0pp | 1.133xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 570 avg 3 books |
| 13 |
Evan Carter
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs KCStephen Kolek · slot 6 |
17.9%Valinor | 11.0%market | +5.8pp |
P
21.1
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
3.2pp | 1.133xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 780 avg 3 books |
| 14 |
Brandon Nimmo
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs KCStephen Kolek · slot 3 |
17.9%Valinor | 15.6%market | +5.6pp |
P
22.2
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
4.3pp | 1.133xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 515 avg 3 books |
| 15 |
Alex Bregman
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs COLTomoyuki Sugano · slot 5 |
17.2%Valinor | 14.6%market | +5.6pp |
P
18.6
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
1.4pp | 1.067xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 560 avg 3 books |
| 16 |
Christian Yelich
MIL
Lineup pending
|
MIL vs ATHJ.t. Ginn · slot 2 |
26.0%Valinor | 16.4%market | +5.2pp |
P
24.9
F
26.0
V
26.0
|
1.1pp | 1.030xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 485 avg 3 books |
| 17 | IN | AZ vs MIAMax Meyer · slot 3 |
17.9%Valinor | 9.3%market | +5.1pp |
P
18.6
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
0.7pp | 0.952xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 935 avg 3 books |
| 18 |
Jarren Duran
BOS
IN
|
BOS vs TBNick Martinez · slot 1 |
14.2%Valinor | 11.8%market | +5.1pp |
P
17.5
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
3.3pp | 0.970xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 715 avg 3 books |
| 19 |
Elly De La Cruz
CIN
Lineup pending
|
CIN vs SDLucas Giolito · slot 1 |
17.9%Valinor | 15.0%market | +5.0pp |
P
21.2
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
3.3pp | 0.938xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 540 avg 3 books |
| 20 |
Alec Burleson
STL
IN
|
STL vs NYMFreddy Peralta · slot 3 |
17.9%Valinor | 13.3%market | +4.8pp |
P
18.6
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
0.7pp | 0.964xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 625 avg 3 books |
| 21 |
Lane Thomas
KC
Lineup pending
|
KC vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 5 |
13.4%Valinor | 12.5%market | +4.8pp |
P
13.9
F
13.4
V
13.4
|
0.5pp | 1.133xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 670 avg 3 books |
| 22 |
Zach McKinstry
DET
IN
|
DET vs MINTaj Bradley · slot 1 |
14.2%Valinor | 8.7%market | +4.7pp |
P
13.4
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
0.8pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1010 avg 3 books |
| 23 |
Ozzie Albies
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs CWSErick Fedde · slot 5 |
14.2%Valinor | 13.5%market | +4.6pp |
P
15.9
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
1.7pp | 0.979xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 615 avg 3 books |
| 24 |
Bo Bichette
NYM
IN
|
NYM vs STLDustin May · slot 3 |
17.2%Valinor | 11.7%market | +4.6pp |
P
17.9
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
0.7pp | 0.964xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 725 avg 3 books |
| 25 | Lineup pending | AZ vs MIAMax Meyer · slot 5 |
13.4%Valinor | 13.5%market | +4.4pp |
P
14.6
F
13.4
V
13.4
|
1.3pp | 0.952xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 610 avg 3 books |
| 26 | IN | KC vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 1 |
17.2%Valinor | 16.9%market | +4.3pp |
P
21.3
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
4.1pp | 1.133xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 470 avg 3 books |
| 27 |
Brandon Marsh
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs TORDylan Cease · slot 6 |
15.5%Valinor | 11.0%market | +4.2pp |
P
13.5
F
15.5
V
15.5
|
2.0pp | 0.940xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 780 avg 3 books |
| 28 | IN | KC vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 3 |
26.0%Valinor | 16.7%market | +4.2pp |
P
23.8
F
26.0
V
26.0
|
2.1pp | 1.133xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 475 avg 3 books |
| 29 |
Jj Bleday
CIN
Lineup pending
|
CIN vs SDLucas Giolito · slot 6 |
10.3%Valinor | 12.8%market | +4.0pp |
P
15.7
F
10.3
V
10.3
|
5.4pp | 0.938xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 650 avg 3 books |
| 30 |
Cody Bellinger
NYY
IN
|
NYY vs CLESlade Cecconi · slot 3 |
17.9%Valinor | 16.9%market | +4.0pp |
P
22.6
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
4.7pp | 1.035xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 470 avg 3 books |
| 31 |
Spencer Steer
CIN
Lineup pending
|
CIN vs SDLucas Giolito · slot 4 |
15.7%Valinor | 13.7%market | +3.9pp |
P
17.9
F
15.7
V
15.7
|
2.2pp | 0.938xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 600 avg 3 books |
| 32 |
Freddie Freeman
LAD
IN
|
LAD vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 2 |
17.2%Valinor | 16.2%market | +3.8pp |
P
21.0
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
3.8pp | 1.062xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 495 avg 3 books |
| 33 |
Marcus Semien
NYM
IN
|
NYM vs STLDustin May · slot 5 |
11.4%Valinor | 13.2%market | +3.7pp |
P
14.0
F
11.4
V
11.4
|
2.6pp | 0.964xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 630 avg 3 books |
| 34 |
Joc Pederson
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs KCStephen Kolek · slot 5 |
17.2%Valinor | 14.1%market | +3.7pp |
P
15.0
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
2.2pp | 1.133xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 580 avg 3 books |
| 35 |
Jesús Sánchez
TOR
IN
|
TOR vs PHIZack Wheeler · slot 5 |
17.2%Valinor | 12.3%market | +3.7pp |
P
14.6
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
2.6pp | 0.940xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 685 avg 3 books |
| 36 |
Tyler Stephenson
CIN
Lineup pending
|
CIN vs SDLucas Giolito · slot 5 |
14.2%Valinor | 12.3%market | +3.6pp |
P
14.2
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
0.0pp | 0.938xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 685 avg 3 books |
| 37 |
Gunnar Henderson
BAL
IN
|
BAL vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 1 |
14.2%Valinor | 17.3%market | +3.5pp |
P
19.0
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
4.8pp | 1.010xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 455 avg 3 books |
| 38 |
Mike Yastrzemski
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs CWSErick Fedde · slot 6 |
15.7%Valinor | 13.5%market | +3.4pp |
P
16.5
F
15.7
V
15.7
|
0.8pp | 0.979xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 615 avg 3 books |
| 39 |
Rob Refsnyder
SEA
IN
|
SEA vs BALTrevor Rogers · slot 2 |
17.9%Valinor | 12.2%market | +3.2pp |
P
17.2
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
0.7pp | 1.010xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 695 avg 3 books |
| 40 |
Nico Hoerner
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs COLTomoyuki Sugano · slot 1 |
13.4%Valinor | 7.7%market | +3.2pp |
P
12.3
F
13.4
V
13.4
|
1.1pp | 1.067xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 41 |
Randy Arozarena
SEA
IN
|
SEA vs BALTrevor Rogers · slot 5 |
17.2%Valinor | 14.4%market | +3.1pp |
P
19.2
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
2.0pp | 1.010xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 570 avg 3 books |
| 42 |
Michael Busch
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs COLTomoyuki Sugano · slot 3 |
26.0%Valinor | 17.8%market | +3.0pp |
P
23.9
F
26.0
V
26.0
|
2.1pp | 1.067xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 440 avg 3 books |
| 43 |
Trea Turner
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs TORDylan Cease · slot 1 |
14.2%Valinor | 14.1%market | +3.0pp |
P
16.7
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
2.5pp | 0.940xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 580 avg 3 books |
| 44 |
Nathan Lukes
TOR
IN
|
TOR vs PHIZack Wheeler · slot 6 |
17.2%Valinor | 9.1%market | +2.9pp |
P
15.2
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
2.0pp | 0.940xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 960 avg 3 books |
| 45 |
Cj Abrams
WSH
Lineup pending
|
WSH vs SFAdrian Houser · slot 1 |
17.2%Valinor | 13.9%market | +2.9pp |
P
18.2
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
1.0pp | 0.891xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 590 avg 3 books |
| 46 |
Iván Herrera
STL
IN
|
STL vs NYMFreddy Peralta · slot 2 |
17.9%Valinor | 12.5%market | +2.9pp |
P
21.2
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
3.3pp | 0.964xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 670 avg 3 books |
| 47 |
Jakob Marsee
MIA
IN
|
MIA vs AZZac Gallen · slot 2 |
13.6%Valinor | 10.1%market | +2.8pp |
P
14.2
F
13.6
V
13.6
|
0.7pp | 0.952xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 855 avg 3 books |
| 48 |
Luis García Jr.
WSH
Lineup pending
|
WSH vs SFAdrian Houser · slot 4 |
14.2%Valinor | 12.4%market | +2.5pp |
P
14.8
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
0.6pp | 0.891xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 675 avg 3 books |
| 49 | IN | AZ vs MIAMax Meyer · slot 1 |
17.9%Valinor | 17.5%market | +2.4pp |
P
21.7
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
3.7pp | 0.952xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 450 avg 3 books |
| 50 |
Mookie Betts
LAD
IN
|
LAD vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 5 |
15.5%Valinor | 15.4%market | +2.3pp |
P
18.4
F
15.5
V
15.5
|
2.9pp | 1.062xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 525 avg 3 books |
| 51 | IN | KC vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 4 |
17.2%Valinor | 17.2%market | +2.3pp |
P
20.2
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
3.0pp | 1.133xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 460 avg 3 books |
| 52 |
Edgar Quero
CWS
Lineup pending
|
CWS vs ATLGrant Holmes · slot 6 |
13.4%Valinor | 7.7%market | +2.3pp |
P
10.4
F
13.4
V
13.4
|
2.9pp | 0.979xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 53 |
Alec Bohm
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs TORDylan Cease · slot 5 |
11.4%Valinor | 10.7%market | +2.2pp |
P
11.1
F
11.4
V
11.4
|
0.3pp | 0.940xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 805 avg 3 books |
| 54 |
Marcell Ozuna
PIT
IN
|
PIT vs LADEric Lauer · slot 2 |
15.7%Valinor | 20.9%market | +2.0pp |
P
20.5
F
15.7
V
15.7
|
4.8pp | 1.062xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 360 avg 3 books |
| 55 |
Riley Greene
DET
IN
|
DET vs MINTaj Bradley · slot 4 |
17.9%Valinor | 17.6%market | +1.9pp |
P
21.3
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
3.4pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 445 avg 3 books |
| 56 |
Jake Mangum
PIT
Lineup pending
|
PIT vs LADEric Lauer · slot 1 |
11.1%Valinor | 7.7%market | +1.7pp |
P
11.9
F
11.1
V
11.1
|
0.8pp | 1.062xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 57 |
Taylor Ward
BAL
IN
|
BAL vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 4 |
17.9%Valinor | 17.2%market | +1.4pp |
P
20.4
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
2.5pp | 1.010xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 460 avg 3 books |
| 58 | IN | DET vs MINTaj Bradley · slot 5 |
17.2%Valinor | 16.2%market | +1.4pp |
P
19.6
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
2.4pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 495 avg 3 books |
| 59 | IN | BOS vs TBNick Martinez · slot 3 |
14.2%Valinor | 15.2%market | +1.4pp |
P
18.0
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
3.8pp | 0.970xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 535 avg 3 books |
| 60 |
Ben Rice
NYY
IN
|
NYY vs CLESlade Cecconi · slot 6 |
17.9%Valinor | 15.5%market | +1.2pp |
P
18.1
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
0.2pp | 1.035xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 520 avg 3 books |
| 61 |
Julio Rodríguez
SEA
IN
|
SEA vs BALTrevor Rogers · slot 1 |
17.2%Valinor | 17.8%market | +1.2pp |
P
19.9
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
2.7pp | 1.010xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 440 avg 3 books |
| 62 |
Daylen Lile
WSH
Lineup pending
|
WSH vs SFAdrian Houser · slot 3 |
9.1%Valinor | 11.1%market | +1.1pp |
P
14.9
F
9.1
V
9.1
|
5.8pp | 0.891xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 770 avg 3 books |
| 63 |
Keibert Ruiz
WSH
Lineup pending
|
WSH vs SFAdrian Houser · slot 5 |
11.1%Valinor | 9.8%market | +1.1pp |
P
9.8
F
11.1
V
11.1
|
1.4pp | 0.891xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 880 avg 3 books |
| 64 |
Jorge Polanco
NYM
Lineup pending
|
NYM vs STLDustin May · slot 4 |
17.2%Valinor | 16.2%market | +1.0pp |
P
17.6
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
0.4pp | 0.964xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 495 avg 3 books |
| 65 | IN | NYY vs CLESlade Cecconi · slot 5 |
17.9%Valinor | 18.1%market | +0.8pp |
P
20.1
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
2.2pp | 1.035xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 430 avg 3 books |
| 66 |
Josh Naylor
SEA
IN
|
SEA vs BALTrevor Rogers · slot 4 |
14.2%Valinor | 15.4%market | +0.8pp |
P
16.1
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
1.9pp | 1.010xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 525 avg 3 books |
| 67 |
Kyle Tucker
LAD
IN
|
LAD vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 3 |
15.7%Valinor | 18.1%market | +0.6pp |
P
19.1
F
15.7
V
15.7
|
3.3pp | 1.062xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 430 avg 3 books |
| 68 |
Austin Riley
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs CWSErick Fedde · slot 4 |
13.6%Valinor | 16.2%market | +0.6pp |
P
14.0
F
13.6
V
13.6
|
0.4pp | 0.979xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 495 avg 3 books |
| 69 | IN | TOR vs PHIZack Wheeler · slot 2 |
17.2%Valinor | 16.2%market | +0.6pp |
P
16.6
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
0.6pp | 0.940xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 495 avg 3 books |
| 70 |
Wilyer Abreu
BOS
IN
|
BOS vs TBNick Martinez · slot 4 |
17.2%Valinor | 15.5%market | +0.4pp |
P
18.9
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
1.6pp | 0.970xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 520 avg 3 books |
| 71 |
Hunter Goodman
COL
IN
|
COL vs CHCColin Rea · slot 2 |
17.9%Valinor | 17.0%market | +0.3pp |
P
20.6
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
2.6pp | 1.067xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 465 avg 3 books |
| 72 |
Chase Meidroth
CWS
IN
|
CWS vs ATLGrant Holmes · slot 1 |
4.7%Valinor | 7.7%market | -0.1pp |
P
7.1
F
4.7
V
4.7
|
2.3pp | 0.979xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 73 |
José Tena
WSH
Lineup pending
|
WSH vs SFAdrian Houser · slot 6 |
13.4%Valinor | 7.7%market | -0.2pp |
P
10.0
F
13.4
V
13.4
|
3.4pp | 0.891xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 74 |
George Springer
TOR
Lineup pending
|
TOR vs PHIZack Wheeler · slot 1 |
15.5%Valinor | 17.1%market | -0.3pp |
P
18.0
F
15.5
V
15.5
|
2.5pp | 0.940xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 465 avg 3 books |
| 75 |
James Wood
WSH
Lineup pending
|
WSH vs SFAdrian Houser · slot 2 |
17.9%Valinor | 16.8%market | -0.9pp |
P
18.4
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
0.5pp | 0.891xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 475 avg 3 books |
| 76 |
Corey Seager
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs KCStephen Kolek · slot 2 |
17.2%Valinor | 22.0%market | -0.9pp |
P
19.1
F
17.2
V
17.2
|
1.9pp | 1.133xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 340 avg 3 books |
| 77 |
Tyler O'Neill
BAL
IN
|
BAL vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 3 |
15.7%Valinor | 17.1%market | -1.0pp |
P
15.6
F
15.7
V
15.7
|
0.1pp | 1.010xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 465 avg 3 books |
| 78 |
Bryce Harper
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs TORDylan Cease · slot 2 |
15.7%Valinor | 19.1%market | -1.1pp |
P
18.8
F
15.7
V
15.7
|
3.1pp | 0.940xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 405 avg 3 books |
| 79 |
Daulton Varsho
TOR
Lineup pending
|
TOR vs PHIZack Wheeler · slot 4 |
14.2%Valinor | 17.1%market | -1.2pp |
P
15.2
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
1.0pp | 0.940xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 465 avg 3 books |
| 80 |
Jake Burger
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs KCStephen Kolek · slot 4 |
13.6%Valinor | 18.8%market | -1.3pp |
P
13.9
F
13.6
V
13.6
|
0.3pp | 1.133xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 415 avg 3 books |
| 81 |
Kerry Carpenter
DET
IN
|
DET vs MINTaj Bradley · slot 3 |
17.9%Valinor | 19.7%market | -1.3pp |
P
16.9
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
1.0pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 390 avg 3 books |
| 82 |
Ronald Acuña Jr.
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs CWSErick Fedde · slot 1 |
14.2%Valinor | 18.8%market | -1.5pp |
P
17.3
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
3.0pp | 0.979xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 415 avg 3 books |
| 83 |
Adolis García
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs TORDylan Cease · slot 4 |
14.2%Valinor | 17.4%market | -1.5pp |
P
14.1
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
0.1pp | 0.940xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 455 avg 3 books |
| 84 |
Ketel Marte
AZ
IN
|
AZ vs MIAMax Meyer · slot 2 |
17.9%Valinor | 20.5%market | -1.7pp |
P
19.6
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
1.6pp | 0.952xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 370 avg 3 books |
| 85 |
Matt Olson
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs CWSErick Fedde · slot 2 |
15.5%Valinor | 21.2%market | -1.8pp |
P
18.8
F
15.5
V
15.5
|
3.3pp | 0.979xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 355 avg 3 books |
| 86 |
Eugenio Suárez
CIN
Lineup pending
|
CIN vs SDLucas Giolito · slot 3 |
14.2%Valinor | 21.7%market | -2.6pp |
P
17.2
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
3.0pp | 0.938xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 360 avg 3 books |
| 87 |
Max Muncy
LAD
IN
|
LAD vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 6 |
13.6%Valinor | 19.2%market | -2.6pp |
P
15.1
F
13.6
V
13.6
|
1.5pp | 1.062xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 420 avg 3 books |
| 88 |
Pete Alonso
BAL
IN
|
BAL vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 2 |
14.2%Valinor | 23.0%market | -3.1pp |
P
19.0
F
14.2
V
14.2
|
4.8pp | 1.010xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 335 avg 3 books |
| 89 |
Xavier Edwards
MIA
IN
|
MIA vs AZZac Gallen · slot 1 |
4.7%Valinor | 8.0%market | -4.0pp |
P
7.4
F
4.7
V
4.7
|
2.7pp | 0.952xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books |
| 90 |
Juan Soto
NYM
IN
|
NYM vs STLDustin May · slot 1 |
17.9%Valinor | 24.1%market | -4.3pp |
P
19.1
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
1.2pp | 0.964xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 315 avg 3 books |
| 91 | Lineup pending | CWS vs ATLGrant Holmes · slot 3 |
11.4%Valinor | 23.3%market | -5.4pp |
P
15.0
F
11.4
V
11.4
|
3.6pp | 0.979xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 330 avg 3 books |
| 92 |
Cal Raleigh
SEA
Lineup pending
|
SEA vs BALTrevor Rogers · slot 3 |
13.4%Valinor | 25.6%market | -7.0pp |
P
18.3
F
13.4
V
13.4
|
5.0pp | 1.010xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 290 avg 3 books |
| 93 |
Kyle Schwarber
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs TORDylan Cease · slot 3 |
15.5%Valinor | 27.0%market | -9.1pp |
P
17.1
F
15.5
V
15.5
|
1.6pp | 0.940xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 270 avg 3 books |
| 94 |
Shohei Ohtani
LAD
IN
|
LAD vs PITPaul Skenes · slot 1 |
17.9%Valinor | 29.8%market | -9.7pp |
P
18.7
F
17.9
V
17.9
|
0.8pp | 1.062xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 235 avg 3 books |
Data context
779 sample flagsStatus1596roster/transaction rows
Lineups198confirmed starters
Triple0cross-domain rows
Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.