Mithrandir Metrics
Fangorn lane 2026-07-11 Refreshed Sep 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs

Home run board.

Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.

Rows
89
Matched
303
Lineups
279
HR BOARD 2026-07-11 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay PALANTIR production FANGORN nonlinear lane VALINOR calibrated lane LINEUP FILTER active
Lane Health 2026-09-01
Palantir 17901 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 17901 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12243 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.005 14d stable

Model Lane

Home Runs

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn production Valinor rebadged research
Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.
Home-run board · largest Fangorn gap versus market
# Player Matchup Sim Implied Gap Three lanes · P/F/V Spread Park Weather Recent Best line
01
Jonathan Aranda TB
IN
TB vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 3
 21.1%Fangorn 12.7%market +8.4pp
P 19.3
F 21.1
V 13.0
8.1pp 1.109xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 655 avg 3 books
02
Nathan Lukes TOR
IN
TOR vs SDWalker Buehler · slot 6
 16.6%Fangorn 9.1%market +7.5pp
P 15.8
F 16.6
V 10.4
6.2pp 0.966xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 960 avg 3 books
03
Yandy Díaz TB
IN
TB vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 2
 21.1%Fangorn 14.2%market +6.9pp
P 19.5
F 21.1
V 14.2
6.9pp 1.109xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 575 avg 3 books
04
Nolan Schanuel LAA
IN
LAA vs MINJoe Ryan · slot 7
 14.9%Fangorn 8.5%market +6.4pp
P 14.5
F 14.9
V 11.1
3.9pp 1.138xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 1035 avg 3 books
05
Jeremy Peña HOU
IN
HOU vs TEXKumar Rocker · slot 1
 16.6%Fangorn 11.2%market +5.5pp
P 17.2
F 16.6
V 12.3
4.9pp 1.101xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 765 avg 3 books
06
Steven Kwan CLE
IN
CLE vs MIAEury Pérez · slot 2
 13.7%Fangorn 8.7%market +5.0pp
P 10.7
F 13.7
V 11.6
3.0pp 0.975xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 1010 avg 3 books
07
Jakob Marsee MIA
IN
MIA vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 2
 14.9%Fangorn 10.1%market +4.8pp
P 13.3
F 14.9
V 13.1
1.9pp 0.975xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 855 avg 3 books
08
Ryan Mountcastle BAL
Lineup pending
BAL vs KCNoah Cameron · slot 7
 14.9%Fangorn 10.4%market +4.5pp
P 13.7
F 14.9
V 13.2
1.8pp 0.981xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 830 avg 3 books
09
Brandon Marsh PHI
IN
PHI vs DETCasey Mize · slot 6
 15.5%Fangorn 11.0%market +4.5pp
P 12.8
F 15.5
V 11.2
4.3pp 0.931xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 780 avg 3 books
10
Willi Castro COL
Lineup pending
COL vs SFTyler Mahle · slot 1
 13.7%Fangorn 9.8%market +3.9pp
P 10.7
F 13.7
V 11.4
3.0pp 0.943xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 885 avg 3 books
11
Jarren Duran BOS
IN
BOS vs NYMFreddy Peralta · slot 1
 15.5%Fangorn 11.8%market +3.7pp
P 16.8
F 15.5
V 13.8
3.0pp 0.991xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 715 avg 3 books
12
Edouard Julien COL
IN
COL vs SFTyler Mahle · slot 6
 14.5%Fangorn 10.9%market +3.7pp
P 11.9
F 14.5
V 11.8
2.7pp 0.943xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 790 avg 3 books
13
Alec Bohm PHI
IN
PHI vs DETCasey Mize · slot 5
 13.7%Fangorn 10.7%market +3.0pp
P 10.8
F 13.7
V 11.4
2.9pp 0.931xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 805 avg 3 books
14
Dansby Swanson CHC
IN
CHC vs CINNick Lodolo · slot 6
 16.6%Fangorn 13.6%market +3.0pp
P 17.5
F 16.6
V 12.8
4.7pp 1.035xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 605 avg 3 books
15
Adley Rutschman BAL
IN
BAL vs KCNoah Cameron · slot 5
 14.9%Fangorn 11.9%market +3.0pp
P 13.8
F 14.9
V 13.4
1.6pp 0.981xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 710 avg 3 books
16
Bo Naylor CLE
Lineup pending
CLE vs MIAEury Pérez · slot 4
 16.3%Fangorn 13.4%market +2.9pp
P 15.7
F 16.3
V 12.7
3.6pp 0.975xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 620 avg 3 books
17
Heliot Ramos SF
IN
SF vs COLKyle Freeland · slot 5
 16.6%Fangorn 13.7%market +2.9pp
P 18.8
F 16.6
V 13.1
5.6pp 0.943xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 600 avg 3 books
18
Tj Friedl CIN
IN
CIN vs CHCJavier Assad · slot 2
 15.6%Fangorn 12.7%market +2.9pp
P 17.1
F 15.6
V 14.4
2.7pp 1.035xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Strong Damageform FanDuel 655 avg 3 books
19
Cj Abrams WSH
IN
WSH vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 1
 16.6%Fangorn 13.9%market +2.7pp
P 17.1
F 16.6
V 12.6
4.5pp 1.006xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 590 avg 3 books
20
Tyler Stephenson CIN
Lineup pending
CIN vs CHCJavier Assad · slot 5
 14.9%Fangorn 12.3%market +2.6pp
P 13.6
F 14.9
V 14.3
1.3pp 1.035xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 685 avg 3 books
21
Spencer Steer CIN
IN
CIN vs CHCJavier Assad · slot 4
 16.3%Fangorn 13.7%market +2.6pp
P 16.8
F 16.3
V 14.4
2.5pp 1.035xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 600 avg 3 books
22
Brenton Doyle COL
Lineup pending
COL vs SFTyler Mahle · slot 5
 14.5%Fangorn 12.0%market +2.5pp
P 12.6
F 14.5
V 13.1
1.9pp 0.943xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 700 avg 3 books
23
Luis García Jr. WSH
IN
WSH vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 4
 14.9%Fangorn 12.4%market +2.5pp
P 14.3
F 14.9
V 12.2
2.7pp 1.006xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 675 avg 3 books
24
Daniel Schneemann CLE
Lineup pending
CLE vs MIAEury Pérez · slot 6
 12.8%Fangorn 10.6%market +2.1pp
P 13.3
F 12.8
V 11.3
2.1pp 0.975xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 810 avg 3 books
25
Cedric Mullins TB
IN
TB vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 5
 15.6%Fangorn 13.6%market +2.0pp
P 16.4
F 15.6
V 13.5
2.9pp 1.109xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 605 avg 3 books
26
Daylen Lile WSH
IN
WSH vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 3
 12.8%Fangorn 11.1%market +1.7pp
P 15.2
F 12.8
V 11.3
3.9pp 1.006xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 770 avg 3 books
27
Elly De La Cruz CIN
IN
CIN vs CHCJavier Assad · slot 1
 16.6%Fangorn 15.0%market +1.6pp
P 19.5
F 16.6
V 14.9
4.6pp 1.035xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 540 avg 3 books
28
Jose Altuve HOU
IN
HOU vs TEXKumar Rocker · slot 3
 16.6%Fangorn 15.0%market +1.6pp
P 19.0
F 16.6
V 15.1
3.9pp 1.101xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 540 avg 3 books
29
Ian Happ CHC
IN
CHC vs CINNick Lodolo · slot 4
 16.3%Fangorn 14.8%market +1.5pp
P 18.3
F 16.3
V 14.8
3.5pp 1.035xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 550 avg 3 books
30
Ozzie Albies ATL
IN
ATL vs STLMatthew Liberatore · slot 5
 14.9%Fangorn 13.5%market +1.5pp
P 14.6
F 14.9
V 13.0
2.0pp 0.976xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 615 avg 3 books
31
Zach Neto LAA
IN
LAA vs MINJoe Ryan · slot 1
 17.5%Fangorn 16.3%market +1.2pp
P 20.2
F 17.5
V 14.6
5.5pp 1.138xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 490 avg 3 books
32
Alex Bregman CHC
IN
CHC vs CINNick Lodolo · slot 5
 16.3%Fangorn 15.1%market +1.2pp
P 16.5
F 16.3
V 14.5
2.1pp 1.035xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 535 avg 3 books
33
Logan O'Hoppe LAA
IN
LAA vs MINJoe Ryan · slot 5
 16.3%Fangorn 15.2%market +1.0pp
P 15.3
F 16.3
V 14.2
2.1pp 1.138xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 530 avg 3 books
34
Trea Turner PHI
IN
PHI vs DETCasey Mize · slot 1
 14.9%Fangorn 14.1%market +0.8pp
P 15.5
F 14.9
V 13.2
2.3pp 0.931xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 580 avg 3 books
35
Jj Bleday CIN
IN
CIN vs CHCJavier Assad · slot 6
 13.3%Fangorn 12.8%market +0.4pp
P 14.8
F 13.3
V 12.8
2.0pp 1.035xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 650 avg 3 books
36
Isaac Paredes HOU
IN Triple
HOU vs TEXKumar Rocker · slot 5
 15.6%Fangorn 16.0%market -0.4pp
P 15.1
F 15.6
V 14.4
1.2pp 1.101xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 525 avg 3 books
37
Carlos Santana AZ
Lineup pending
AZ vs LADYoshinobu Yamamoto · slot 5
 13.7%Fangorn 14.2%market -0.5pp
P 12.6
F 13.7
V 11.7
2.0pp 0.982xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 605 avg 3 books
38
Mookie Betts LAD
IN
LAD vs AZBrandon Pfaadt · slot 5
 15.6%Fangorn 16.1%market -0.5pp
P 17.4
F 15.6
V 13.6
3.8pp 0.982xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 520 avg 3 books
39
Freddie Freeman LAD
IN
LAD vs AZBrandon Pfaadt · slot 2
 16.3%Fangorn 17.0%market -0.7pp
P 19.5
F 16.3
V 14.0
5.4pp 0.982xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 490 avg 3 books
40
Cody Bellinger NYY
IN
NYY vs WSHMiles Mikolas · slot 3
 16.6%Fangorn 17.7%market -1.1pp
P 19.5
F 16.6
V 15.8
3.7pp 1.006xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 465 avg 3 books
41
Tyler Fitzgerald SF
Lineup pending
SF vs COLKyle Freeland · slot 6
 10.2%Fangorn 12.1%market -1.9pp
P 13.6
F 10.2
V 12.0
3.4pp 0.943xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 725 avg 3 books
42
Jorge Soler LAA
IN
LAA vs MINJoe Ryan · slot 3
 14.9%Fangorn 17.2%market -2.3pp
P 14.9
F 14.9
V 14.4
0.5pp 1.138xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 480 avg 3 books
43
José Tena WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 6
 14.6%Fangorn 7.7%market +6.9pp
P 9.8
F 14.6
V 11.7
4.8pp 1.006xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
44
Nico Hoerner CHC
IN
CHC vs CINNick Lodolo · slot 1
 14.5%Fangorn 7.7%market +6.8pp
P 10.7
F 14.5
V 12.7
3.8pp 1.035xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
45
Geraldo Perdomo AZ
IN
AZ vs LADYoshinobu Yamamoto · slot 3
 14.9%Fangorn 9.3%market +5.6pp
P 13.6
F 14.9
V 10.4
4.5pp 0.982xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 935 avg 3 books
46
Luis Arraez SF
IN
SF vs COLKyle Freeland · slot 1
 13.3%Fangorn 7.7%market +5.6pp
P 7.9
F 13.3
V 13.1
5.4pp 0.943xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
47
Xavier Edwards MIA
IN
MIA vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 1
 11.8%Fangorn 7.7%market +4.1pp
P 7.2
F 11.8
V 11.8
4.6pp 0.975xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
48
Keibert Ruiz WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 5
 13.7%Fangorn 9.8%market +3.9pp
P 9.7
F 13.7
V 10.8
4.0pp 1.006xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 880 avg 3 books
49
Mike Trout LAA
IN
LAA vs MINJoe Ryan · slot 2
 21.1%Fangorn 18.3%market +2.8pp
P 19.6
F 21.1
V 14.3
6.8pp 1.138xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 425 avg 3 books
50
Ben Rice NYY
IN
NYY vs WSHMiles Mikolas · slot 6
 16.6%Fangorn 15.5%market +1.1pp
P 15.9
F 16.6
V 14.0
2.6pp 1.006xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 520 avg 3 books
51
Ezequiel Tovar COL
IN
COL vs SFTyler Mahle · slot 4
 13.6%Fangorn 12.5%market +1.1pp
P 12.7
F 13.6
V 13.1
0.9pp 0.943xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 670 avg 3 books
52
Lane Thomas KC
IN
KC vs BALKyle Bradish · slot 5
 13.6%Fangorn 12.5%market +1.1pp
P 10.7
F 13.6
V 14.6
3.9pp 0.981xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 670 avg 3 books
53
Agustín Ramírez MIA
Lineup pending
MIA vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 4
 14.9%Fangorn 14.0%market +0.9pp
P 15.0
F 14.9
V 12.9
2.1pp 0.975xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 585 avg 3 books
54
Wilyer Abreu BOS
IN
BOS vs NYMFreddy Peralta · slot 4
 16.3%Fangorn 15.5%market +0.8pp
P 17.7
F 16.3
V 16.0
1.7pp 0.991xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 520 avg 3 books
55
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR
IN
TOR vs SDWalker Buehler · slot 2
 16.6%Fangorn 16.2%market +0.5pp
P 16.6
F 16.6
V 13.3
3.4pp 0.966xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 495 avg 3 books
56
James Wood WSH
IN
WSH vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 2
 16.6%Fangorn 17.4%market -0.8pp
P 18.2
F 16.6
V 14.0
4.2pp 1.006xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 475 avg 3 books
57
Vinnie Pasquantino KC
IN
KC vs BALKyle Bradish · slot 3
 16.6%Fangorn 17.7%market -1.1pp
P 18.1
F 16.6
V 15.8
2.3pp 0.981xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 465 avg 3 books
58
George Springer TOR
IN
TOR vs SDWalker Buehler · slot 1
 16.3%Fangorn 17.7%market -1.4pp
P 17.9
F 16.3
V 13.3
4.6pp 0.966xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 465 avg 3 books
59
Hunter Goodman COL
IN Triple
COL vs SFTyler Mahle · slot 2
 16.3%Fangorn 18.0%market -1.7pp
P 15.6
F 16.3
V 14.2
2.1pp 0.943xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 455 avg 3 books
60
Riley Greene DET
IN Triple
DET vs PHICristopher Sánchez · slot 4
 15.5%Fangorn 17.4%market -1.9pp
P 15.0
F 15.5
V 14.1
1.4pp 0.931xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 475 avg 3 books
61
Corbin Carroll AZ
IN
AZ vs LADYoshinobu Yamamoto · slot 1
 16.3%Fangorn 18.4%market -2.1pp
P 18.0
F 16.3
V 12.4
5.5pp 0.982xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 445 avg 3 books
62
Taylor Ward BAL
IN
BAL vs KCNoah Cameron · slot 4
 16.6%Fangorn 18.7%market -2.1pp
P 18.7
F 16.6
V 15.0
3.6pp 0.981xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 435 avg 3 books
63
Spencer Torkelson DET
IN
DET vs PHICristopher Sánchez · slot 5
 15.6%Fangorn 17.7%market -2.1pp
P 16.2
F 15.6
V 14.3
2.0pp 0.931xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 465 avg 3 books
64
Christian Walker HOU
IN
HOU vs TEXKumar Rocker · slot 4
 15.6%Fangorn 18.2%market -2.6pp
P 17.5
F 15.6
V 14.8
2.7pp 1.101xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 450 avg 3 books
65
Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY
IN
NYY vs WSHMiles Mikolas · slot 5
 16.6%Fangorn 19.2%market -2.6pp
P 17.6
F 16.6
V 16.4
1.1pp 1.006xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 420 avg 3 books
66
Austin Riley ATL
IN
ATL vs STLMatthew Liberatore · slot 4
 14.9%Fangorn 17.5%market -2.6pp
P 13.8
F 14.9
V 13.3
1.6pp 0.976xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 470 avg 3 books
67
Daulton Varsho TOR
IN Triple
TOR vs SDWalker Buehler · slot 4
 14.9%Fangorn 17.5%market -2.6pp
P 15.4
F 14.9
V 13.8
1.6pp 0.966xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 470 avg 3 books
68
Kyle Manzardo CLE
IN
CLE vs MIAEury Pérez · slot 3
 14.9%Fangorn 17.5%market -2.6pp
P 16.4
F 14.9
V 13.3
3.1pp 0.975xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 470 avg 3 books
69
Willy Adames SF
IN
SF vs COLKyle Freeland · slot 4
 15.6%Fangorn 18.4%market -2.7pp
P 18.3
F 15.6
V 14.0
4.3pp 0.943xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 445 avg 3 books
70
Tyler O'Neill BAL
IN
BAL vs KCNoah Cameron · slot 3
 16.3%Fangorn 19.1%market -2.8pp
P 15.3
F 16.3
V 14.5
1.8pp 0.981xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 425 avg 3 books
71
Kyle Tucker LAD
IN
LAD vs AZBrandon Pfaadt · slot 3
 16.3%Fangorn 19.1%market -2.8pp
P 18.0
F 16.3
V 14.4
3.5pp 0.982xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 425 avg 3 books
72
Gunnar Henderson BAL
IN
BAL vs KCNoah Cameron · slot 1
 14.6%Fangorn 17.4%market -2.8pp
P 15.2
F 14.6
V 14.2
0.9pp 0.981xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 475 avg 3 books
73
Bobby Witt Jr. KC
IN
KC vs BALKyle Bradish · slot 1
 14.9%Fangorn 17.7%market -2.8pp
P 16.2
F 14.9
V 15.7
1.3pp 0.981xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 465 avg 3 books
74
Jo Adell LAA
IN
LAA vs MINJoe Ryan · slot 4
 16.6%Fangorn 19.6%market -3.0pp
P 17.6
F 16.6
V 13.8
3.8pp 1.138xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 410 avg 3 books
75
Salvador Perez KC
IN
KC vs BALKyle Bradish · slot 4
 14.9%Fangorn 18.0%market -3.1pp
P 15.4
F 14.9
V 15.5
0.6pp 0.981xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 455 avg 3 books
76
Chandler Simpson TB
IN
TB vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 1
 4.8%Fangorn 8.0%market -3.2pp
P 5.2
F 4.8
V 9.2
4.3pp 1.109xHR pf Neutralweather Strong Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
77
Teoscar Hernández LAD
IN Triple
LAD vs AZBrandon Pfaadt · slot 4
 14.9%Fangorn 18.4%market -3.4pp
P 15.4
F 14.9
V 13.9
1.6pp 0.982xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 445 avg 3 books
78
Bryce Harper PHI
IN
PHI vs DETCasey Mize · slot 2
 15.6%Fangorn 19.6%market -4.0pp
P 17.2
F 15.6
V 13.6
3.6pp 0.931xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 410 avg 3 books
79
Max Muncy LAD
IN
LAD vs AZBrandon Pfaadt · slot 6
 14.9%Fangorn 19.2%market -4.3pp
P 14.5
F 14.9
V 11.9
3.0pp 0.982xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 420 avg 3 books
80
Yordan Alvarez HOU
IN
HOU vs TEXKumar Rocker · slot 2
 16.3%Fangorn 20.8%market -4.5pp
P 17.0
F 16.3
V 15.3
1.7pp 1.101xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 380 avg 3 books
81
Ketel Marte AZ
IN
AZ vs LADYoshinobu Yamamoto · slot 2
 16.3%Fangorn 21.1%market -4.8pp
P 16.4
F 16.3
V 12.9
3.5pp 0.982xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 375 avg 3 books
82
Rafael Devers SF
IN
SF vs COLKyle Freeland · slot 2
 14.9%Fangorn 20.2%market -5.3pp
P 16.6
F 14.9
V 14.5
2.1pp 0.943xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 395 avg 3 books
83
Junior Caminero TB
IN
TB vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 4
 16.6%Fangorn 22.0%market -5.3pp
P 17.4
F 16.6
V 13.5
3.9pp 1.109xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 355 avg 3 books
84
Matt Olson ATL
IN
ATL vs STLMatthew Liberatore · slot 2
 14.9%Fangorn 20.8%market -5.9pp
P 15.9
F 14.9
V 13.2
2.7pp 0.976xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 380 avg 3 books
85
Giancarlo Stanton NYY
Lineup pending Triple
NYY vs WSHMiles Mikolas · slot 4
 16.3%Fangorn 22.2%market -5.9pp
P 14.8
F 16.3
V 15.6
1.5pp 1.006xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 350 avg 3 books
86
Eugenio Suárez CIN
IN
CIN vs CHCJavier Assad · slot 3
 14.9%Fangorn 21.7%market -6.8pp
P 16.4
F 14.9
V 15.6
1.5pp 1.035xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 360 avg 3 books
87
Pete Alonso BAL
IN
BAL vs KCNoah Cameron · slot 2
 14.9%Fangorn 23.8%market -8.9pp
P 17.5
F 14.9
V 15.0
2.6pp 0.981xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 320 avg 3 books
88
Kyle Schwarber PHI
IN
PHI vs DETCasey Mize · slot 3
 15.5%Fangorn 27.0%market -11.5pp
P 15.7
F 15.5
V 13.5
2.2pp 0.931xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 270 avg 3 books
89
Shohei Ohtani LAD
IN
LAD vs AZBrandon Pfaadt · slot 1
 16.6%Fangorn 29.8%market -13.2pp
P 17.6
F 16.6
V 16.1
1.5pp 0.982xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 235 avg 3 books

Data context

777 sample flags
Status1667roster/transaction rows
Lineups279confirmed starters
Triple7cross-domain rows

Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.