Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs
Home run board.
Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.
HR BOARD 2026-07-11 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay
PALANTIR production
FANGORN nonlinear lane
VALINOR calibrated lane
LINEUP FILTER active
Lane Health
2026-09-01
Palantir
17901 props
Brier 0.117
ECE 0.008
14d stable
Fangorn
17901 props
Brier 0.118
ECE 0.009
14d stable
Valinor
12243 props
Brier 0.112
ECE 0.005
14d stable
Model Lane
Home Runs
Choose the model that drives this board.
Home-run board · largest Valinor gap versus market
| # | Player | Matchup | Sim | Implied | Gap | Three lanes · P/F/V | Spread | Park | Weather | Recent | Best line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 |
Jakob Marsee
MIA
IN
|
MIA vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 2 |
13.1%Valinor | 10.1%market | +2.6pp |
P
13.3
F
14.9
V
13.1
|
1.9pp | 0.975xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 855 avg 3 books |
| 02 |
Steven Kwan
CLE
IN
|
CLE vs MIAEury Pérez · slot 2 |
11.6%Valinor | 8.7%market | +2.6pp |
P
10.7
F
13.7
V
11.6
|
3.0pp | 0.975xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1010 avg 3 books |
| 03 |
Ryan Mountcastle
BAL
Lineup pending
|
BAL vs KCNoah Cameron · slot 7 |
13.2%Valinor | 10.4%market | +2.4pp |
P
13.7
F
14.9
V
13.2
|
1.8pp | 0.981xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 830 avg 3 books |
| 04 |
Nolan Schanuel
LAA
IN
|
LAA vs MINJoe Ryan · slot 7 |
11.1%Valinor | 8.5%market | +2.2pp |
P
14.5
F
14.9
V
11.1
|
3.9pp | 1.138xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1035 avg 3 books |
| 05 |
Tyler Stephenson
CIN
Lineup pending
|
CIN vs CHCJavier Assad · slot 5 |
14.3%Valinor | 12.3%market | +1.6pp |
P
13.6
F
14.9
V
14.3
|
1.3pp | 1.035xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 685 avg 3 books |
| 06 |
Jarren Duran
BOS
IN
|
BOS vs NYMFreddy Peralta · slot 1 |
13.8%Valinor | 11.8%market | +1.5pp |
P
16.8
F
15.5
V
13.8
|
3.0pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 715 avg 3 books |
| 07 |
Willi Castro
COL
Lineup pending
|
COL vs SFTyler Mahle · slot 1 |
11.4%Valinor | 9.8%market | +1.2pp |
P
10.7
F
13.7
V
11.4
|
3.0pp | 0.943xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 885 avg 3 books |
| 08 |
Tj Friedl
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs CHCJavier Assad · slot 2 |
14.4%Valinor | 12.7%market | +1.1pp |
P
17.1
F
15.6
V
14.4
|
2.7pp | 1.035xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Strong Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 655 avg 3 books |
| 09 |
Adley Rutschman
BAL
IN
|
BAL vs KCNoah Cameron · slot 5 |
13.4%Valinor | 11.9%market | +1.0pp |
P
13.8
F
14.9
V
13.4
|
1.6pp | 0.981xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 710 avg 3 books |
| 10 |
Nathan Lukes
TOR
IN
|
TOR vs SDWalker Buehler · slot 6 |
10.4%Valinor | 9.1%market | +1.0pp |
P
15.8
F
16.6
V
10.4
|
6.2pp | 0.966xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 960 avg 3 books |
| 11 |
Jeremy Peña
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs TEXKumar Rocker · slot 1 |
12.3%Valinor | 11.2%market | +0.8pp |
P
17.2
F
16.6
V
12.3
|
4.9pp | 1.101xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 765 avg 3 books |
| 12 |
Brenton Doyle
COL
Lineup pending
|
COL vs SFTyler Mahle · slot 5 |
13.1%Valinor | 12.0%market | +0.6pp |
P
12.6
F
14.5
V
13.1
|
1.9pp | 0.943xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 700 avg 3 books |
| 13 |
Edouard Julien
COL
IN
|
COL vs SFTyler Mahle · slot 6 |
11.8%Valinor | 10.9%market | +0.5pp |
P
11.9
F
14.5
V
11.8
|
2.7pp | 0.943xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 790 avg 3 books |
| 14 |
Alec Bohm
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs DETCasey Mize · slot 5 |
11.4%Valinor | 10.7%market | +0.3pp |
P
10.8
F
13.7
V
11.4
|
2.9pp | 0.931xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 805 avg 3 books |
| 15 | Lineup pending | CLE vs MIAEury Pérez · slot 6 |
11.3%Valinor | 10.6%market | +0.3pp |
P
13.3
F
12.8
V
11.3
|
2.1pp | 0.975xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 810 avg 3 books |
| 16 |
Spencer Steer
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs CHCJavier Assad · slot 4 |
14.4%Valinor | 13.7%market | +0.1pp |
P
16.8
F
16.3
V
14.4
|
2.5pp | 1.035xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 600 avg 3 books |
| 17 | Lineup pending | SF vs COLKyle Freeland · slot 6 |
12.0%Valinor | 12.1%market | -0.1pp |
P
13.6
F
10.2
V
12.0
|
3.4pp | 0.943xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 725 avg 3 books |
| 18 |
Brandon Marsh
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs DETCasey Mize · slot 6 |
11.2%Valinor | 11.0%market | -0.2pp |
P
12.8
F
15.5
V
11.2
|
4.3pp | 0.931xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 770 avg 3 books |
| 19 | IN | TB vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 3 |
13.0%Valinor | 13.3%market | -0.4pp |
P
19.3
F
21.1
V
13.0
|
8.1pp | 1.109xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 650 avg 3 books |
| 20 |
Jj Bleday
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs CHCJavier Assad · slot 6 |
12.8%Valinor | 13.0%market | -0.6pp |
P
14.8
F
13.3
V
12.8
|
2.0pp | 1.035xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 645 avg 3 books |
| 21 |
Ian Happ
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs CINNick Lodolo · slot 4 |
14.8%Valinor | 15.0%market | -0.7pp |
P
18.3
F
16.3
V
14.8
|
3.5pp | 1.035xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 545 avg 3 books |
| 22 |
Yandy Díaz
TB
IN
|
TB vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 2 |
14.2%Valinor | 14.4%market | -0.7pp |
P
19.5
F
21.1
V
14.2
|
6.9pp | 1.109xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 570 avg 3 books |
| 23 | IN | TB vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 5 |
13.5%Valinor | 13.6%market | -0.7pp |
P
16.4
F
15.6
V
13.5
|
2.9pp | 1.109xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 605 avg 3 books |
| 24 |
Jose Altuve
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs TEXKumar Rocker · slot 3 |
15.1%Valinor | 15.3%market | -0.8pp |
P
19.0
F
16.6
V
15.1
|
3.9pp | 1.101xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 530 avg 3 books |
| 25 |
Luis García Jr.
WSH
IN
|
WSH vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 4 |
12.2%Valinor | 13.0%market | -0.8pp |
P
14.3
F
14.9
V
12.2
|
2.7pp | 1.006xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 670 avg 3 books |
| 26 |
Elly De La Cruz
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs CHCJavier Assad · slot 1 |
14.9%Valinor | 15.3%market | -1.0pp |
P
19.5
F
16.6
V
14.9
|
4.6pp | 1.035xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 530 avg 3 books |
| 27 |
Ozzie Albies
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs STLMatthew Liberatore · slot 5 |
13.0%Valinor | 14.1%market | -1.1pp |
P
14.6
F
14.9
V
13.0
|
2.0pp | 0.976xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 610 avg 3 books |
| 28 |
Heliot Ramos
SF
IN
|
SF vs COLKyle Freeland · slot 5 |
13.1%Valinor | 13.7%market | -1.1pp |
P
18.8
F
16.6
V
13.1
|
5.6pp | 0.943xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 600 avg 3 books |
| 29 |
Bo Naylor
CLE
Lineup pending
|
CLE vs MIAEury Pérez · slot 4 |
12.7%Valinor | 13.4%market | -1.2pp |
P
15.7
F
16.3
V
12.7
|
3.6pp | 0.975xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 620 avg 3 books |
| 30 |
Alex Bregman
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs CINNick Lodolo · slot 5 |
14.5%Valinor | 15.3%market | -1.4pp |
P
16.5
F
16.3
V
14.5
|
2.1pp | 1.035xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 530 avg 3 books |
| 31 |
Dansby Swanson
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs CINNick Lodolo · slot 6 |
12.8%Valinor | 13.8%market | -1.5pp |
P
17.5
F
16.6
V
12.8
|
4.7pp | 1.035xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 600 avg 3 books |
| 32 |
Isaac Paredes
HOU
IN
Triple
|
HOU vs TEXKumar Rocker · slot 5 |
14.4%Valinor | 15.5%market | -1.6pp |
P
15.1
F
15.6
V
14.4
|
1.2pp | 1.101xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 525 avg 3 books |
| 33 |
Trea Turner
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs DETCasey Mize · slot 1 |
13.2%Valinor | 14.3%market | -1.6pp |
P
15.5
F
14.9
V
13.2
|
2.3pp | 0.931xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 575 avg 3 books |
| 34 |
Cj Abrams
WSH
IN
|
WSH vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 1 |
12.6%Valinor | 14.1%market | -2.0pp |
P
17.1
F
16.6
V
12.6
|
4.5pp | 1.006xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 585 avg 3 books |
| 35 |
Cody Bellinger
NYY
IN
|
NYY vs WSHMiles Mikolas · slot 3 |
15.8%Valinor | 17.2%market | -2.0pp |
P
19.5
F
16.6
V
15.8
|
3.7pp | 1.006xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 460 avg 3 books |
| 36 | Lineup pending | AZ vs LADYoshinobu Yamamoto · slot 5 |
11.7%Valinor | 13.7%market | -2.5pp |
P
12.6
F
13.7
V
11.7
|
2.0pp | 0.982xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 605 avg 3 books |
| 37 |
Zach Neto
LAA
IN
|
LAA vs MINJoe Ryan · slot 1 |
14.6%Valinor | 16.7%market | -2.6pp |
P
20.2
F
17.5
V
14.6
|
5.5pp | 1.138xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 480 avg 3 books |
| 38 |
Mookie Betts
LAD
IN
|
LAD vs AZBrandon Pfaadt · slot 5 |
13.6%Valinor | 15.7%market | -2.6pp |
P
17.4
F
15.6
V
13.6
|
3.8pp | 0.982xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 515 avg 3 books |
| 39 |
Jorge Soler
LAA
IN
|
LAA vs MINJoe Ryan · slot 3 |
14.4%Valinor | 16.8%market | -2.9pp |
P
14.9
F
14.9
V
14.4
|
0.5pp | 1.138xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 475 avg 3 books |
| 40 |
Freddie Freeman
LAD
IN
|
LAD vs AZBrandon Pfaadt · slot 2 |
14.0%Valinor | 16.5%market | -3.0pp |
P
19.5
F
16.3
V
14.0
|
5.4pp | 0.982xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 485 avg 3 books |
| 41 |
Kyle Schwarber
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs DETCasey Mize · slot 3 |
13.5%Valinor | 26.5%market | -13.9pp |
P
15.7
F
15.5
V
13.5
|
2.2pp | 0.931xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 265 avg 3 books |
| 42 |
Shohei Ohtani
LAD
IN
|
LAD vs AZBrandon Pfaadt · slot 1 |
16.1%Valinor | 29.3%market | -14.2pp |
P
17.6
F
16.6
V
16.1
|
1.5pp | 0.982xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 230 avg 3 books |
| 43 |
Luis Arraez
SF
IN
|
SF vs COLKyle Freeland · slot 1 |
13.1%Valinor | 7.7%market | +5.1pp |
P
7.9
F
13.3
V
13.1
|
5.4pp | 0.943xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 44 |
Nico Hoerner
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs CINNick Lodolo · slot 1 |
12.7%Valinor | 7.7%market | +4.7pp |
P
10.7
F
14.5
V
12.7
|
3.8pp | 1.035xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 45 |
Xavier Edwards
MIA
IN
|
MIA vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 1 |
11.8%Valinor | 7.7%market | +3.8pp |
P
7.2
F
11.8
V
11.8
|
4.6pp | 0.975xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 46 |
José Tena
WSH
Lineup pending
|
WSH vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 6 |
11.7%Valinor | 7.7%market | +3.7pp |
P
9.8
F
14.6
V
11.7
|
4.8pp | 1.006xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 47 |
Lane Thomas
KC
IN
|
KC vs BALKyle Bradish · slot 5 |
14.6%Valinor | 12.5%market | +1.7pp |
P
10.7
F
13.6
V
14.6
|
3.9pp | 0.981xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 670 avg 3 books |
| 48 | IN | TB vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 1 |
9.2%Valinor | 7.7%market | +1.2pp |
P
5.2
F
4.8
V
9.2
|
4.3pp | 1.109xHR pf | Neutralweather | Strong Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 49 | IN | AZ vs LADYoshinobu Yamamoto · slot 3 |
10.4%Valinor | 9.3%market | +0.7pp |
P
13.6
F
14.9
V
10.4
|
4.5pp | 0.982xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 935 avg 3 books |
| 50 |
Keibert Ruiz
WSH
Lineup pending
|
WSH vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 5 |
10.8%Valinor | 9.8%market | +0.6pp |
P
9.7
F
13.7
V
10.8
|
4.0pp | 1.006xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 880 avg 3 books |
| 51 |
Ezequiel Tovar
COL
IN
|
COL vs SFTyler Mahle · slot 4 |
13.1%Valinor | 12.5%market | +0.1pp |
P
12.7
F
13.6
V
13.1
|
0.9pp | 0.943xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 670 avg 3 books |
| 52 |
Wilyer Abreu
BOS
IN
|
BOS vs NYMFreddy Peralta · slot 4 |
16.0%Valinor | 15.7%market | -0.3pp |
P
17.7
F
16.3
V
16.0
|
1.7pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 515 avg 3 books |
| 53 |
Daylen Lile
WSH
IN
|
WSH vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 3 |
11.3%Valinor | 11.1%market | -0.3pp |
P
15.2
F
12.8
V
11.3
|
3.9pp | 1.006xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 765 avg 3 books |
| 54 |
Agustín Ramírez
MIA
Lineup pending
|
MIA vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 4 |
12.9%Valinor | 14.2%market | -1.8pp |
P
15.0
F
14.9
V
12.9
|
2.1pp | 0.975xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 580 avg 3 books |
| 55 |
Logan O'Hoppe
LAA
IN
|
LAA vs MINJoe Ryan · slot 5 |
14.2%Valinor | 15.5%market | -1.8pp |
P
15.3
F
16.3
V
14.2
|
2.1pp | 1.138xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 525 avg 3 books |
| 56 | IN | KC vs BALKyle Bradish · slot 3 |
15.8%Valinor | 17.1%market | -1.9pp |
P
18.1
F
16.6
V
15.8
|
2.3pp | 0.981xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 465 avg 3 books |
| 57 | IN | KC vs BALKyle Bradish · slot 1 |
15.7%Valinor | 17.1%market | -2.0pp |
P
16.2
F
14.9
V
15.7
|
1.3pp | 0.981xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 465 avg 3 books |
| 58 |
Ben Rice
NYY
IN
|
NYY vs WSHMiles Mikolas · slot 6 |
14.0%Valinor | 15.7%market | -2.2pp |
P
15.9
F
16.6
V
14.0
|
2.6pp | 1.006xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 515 avg 3 books |
| 59 | IN | KC vs BALKyle Bradish · slot 4 |
15.5%Valinor | 17.5%market | -2.6pp |
P
15.4
F
14.9
V
15.5
|
0.6pp | 0.981xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 450 avg 3 books |
| 60 | IN | NYY vs WSHMiles Mikolas · slot 5 |
16.4%Valinor | 18.6%market | -2.8pp |
P
17.6
F
16.6
V
16.4
|
1.1pp | 1.006xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 420 avg 3 books |
| 61 |
Gunnar Henderson
BAL
IN
|
BAL vs KCNoah Cameron · slot 1 |
14.2%Valinor | 16.8%market | -3.1pp |
P
15.2
F
14.6
V
14.2
|
0.9pp | 0.981xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 475 avg 3 books |
| 62 |
Riley Greene
DET
IN
Triple
|
DET vs PHICristopher Sánchez · slot 4 |
14.1%Valinor | 16.8%market | -3.3pp |
P
15.0
F
15.5
V
14.1
|
1.4pp | 0.931xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 475 avg 3 books |
| 63 |
James Wood
WSH
IN
|
WSH vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 2 |
14.0%Valinor | 16.8%market | -3.4pp |
P
18.2
F
16.6
V
14.0
|
4.2pp | 1.006xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 475 avg 3 books |
| 64 | IN | DET vs PHICristopher Sánchez · slot 5 |
14.3%Valinor | 17.1%market | -3.4pp |
P
16.2
F
15.6
V
14.3
|
2.0pp | 0.931xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 465 avg 3 books |
| 65 |
Christian Walker
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs TEXKumar Rocker · slot 4 |
14.8%Valinor | 17.7%market | -3.5pp |
P
17.5
F
15.6
V
14.8
|
2.7pp | 1.101xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 445 avg 3 books |
| 66 | IN | TOR vs SDWalker Buehler · slot 2 |
13.3%Valinor | 16.4%market | -3.7pp |
P
16.6
F
16.6
V
13.3
|
3.4pp | 0.966xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 490 avg 3 books |
| 67 |
Hunter Goodman
COL
IN
Triple
|
COL vs SFTyler Mahle · slot 2 |
14.2%Valinor | 17.4%market | -3.8pp |
P
15.6
F
16.3
V
14.2
|
2.1pp | 0.943xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 455 avg 3 books |
| 68 |
Taylor Ward
BAL
IN
|
BAL vs KCNoah Cameron · slot 4 |
15.0%Valinor | 18.2%market | -3.8pp |
P
18.7
F
16.6
V
15.0
|
3.6pp | 0.981xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 430 avg 3 books |
| 69 |
Daulton Varsho
TOR
IN
Triple
|
TOR vs SDWalker Buehler · slot 4 |
13.8%Valinor | 17.1%market | -3.9pp |
P
15.4
F
14.9
V
13.8
|
1.6pp | 0.966xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 465 avg 3 books |
| 70 |
Kyle Manzardo
CLE
IN
|
CLE vs MIAEury Pérez · slot 3 |
13.3%Valinor | 17.1%market | -4.4pp |
P
16.4
F
14.9
V
13.3
|
3.1pp | 0.975xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 465 avg 3 books |
| 71 |
Willy Adames
SF
IN
|
SF vs COLKyle Freeland · slot 4 |
14.0%Valinor | 17.7%market | -4.4pp |
P
18.3
F
15.6
V
14.0
|
4.3pp | 0.943xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 445 avg 3 books |
| 72 |
George Springer
TOR
IN
|
TOR vs SDWalker Buehler · slot 1 |
13.3%Valinor | 17.1%market | -4.4pp |
P
17.9
F
16.3
V
13.3
|
4.6pp | 0.966xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 465 avg 3 books |
| 73 |
Austin Riley
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs STLMatthew Liberatore · slot 4 |
13.3%Valinor | 17.1%market | -4.4pp |
P
13.8
F
14.9
V
13.3
|
1.6pp | 0.976xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 465 avg 3 books |
| 74 | IN Triple | LAD vs AZBrandon Pfaadt · slot 4 |
13.9%Valinor | 17.9%market | -4.7pp |
P
15.4
F
14.9
V
13.9
|
1.6pp | 0.982xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 440 avg 3 books |
| 75 |
Tyler O'Neill
BAL
IN
|
BAL vs KCNoah Cameron · slot 3 |
14.5%Valinor | 18.6%market | -4.7pp |
P
15.3
F
16.3
V
14.5
|
1.8pp | 0.981xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 420 avg 3 books |
| 76 |
Kyle Tucker
LAD
IN
|
LAD vs AZBrandon Pfaadt · slot 3 |
14.4%Valinor | 18.6%market | -4.8pp |
P
18.0
F
16.3
V
14.4
|
3.5pp | 0.982xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 420 avg 3 books |
| 77 |
Mike Trout
LAA
IN
|
LAA vs MINJoe Ryan · slot 2 |
14.3%Valinor | 18.8%market | -5.1pp |
P
19.6
F
21.1
V
14.3
|
6.8pp | 1.138xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 415 avg 3 books |
| 78 |
Yordan Alvarez
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs TEXKumar Rocker · slot 2 |
15.3%Valinor | 20.3%market | -5.8pp |
P
17.0
F
16.3
V
15.3
|
1.7pp | 1.101xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 375 avg 3 books |
| 79 | IN | SF vs COLKyle Freeland · slot 2 |
14.5%Valinor | 19.7%market | -5.9pp |
P
16.6
F
14.9
V
14.5
|
2.1pp | 0.943xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 390 avg 3 books |
| 80 |
Jo Adell
LAA
IN
|
LAA vs MINJoe Ryan · slot 4 |
13.8%Valinor | 19.1%market | -6.0pp |
P
17.6
F
16.6
V
13.8
|
3.8pp | 1.138xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 405 avg 3 books |
| 81 | IN | AZ vs LADYoshinobu Yamamoto · slot 1 |
12.4%Valinor | 17.9%market | -6.1pp |
P
18.0
F
16.3
V
12.4
|
5.5pp | 0.982xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 440 avg 3 books |
| 82 |
Bryce Harper
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs DETCasey Mize · slot 2 |
13.6%Valinor | 19.1%market | -6.2pp |
P
17.2
F
15.6
V
13.6
|
3.6pp | 0.931xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 405 avg 3 books |
| 83 |
Eugenio Suárez
CIN
IN
|
CIN vs CHCJavier Assad · slot 3 |
15.6%Valinor | 21.2%market | -6.4pp |
P
16.4
F
14.9
V
15.6
|
1.5pp | 1.035xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 355 avg 3 books |
| 84 | Lineup pending Triple | NYY vs WSHMiles Mikolas · slot 4 |
15.6%Valinor | 21.7%market | -6.8pp |
P
14.8
F
16.3
V
15.6
|
1.5pp | 1.006xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 345 avg 3 books |
| 85 |
Max Muncy
LAD
IN
|
LAD vs AZBrandon Pfaadt · slot 6 |
11.9%Valinor | 18.8%market | -7.5pp |
P
14.5
F
14.9
V
11.9
|
3.0pp | 0.982xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 415 avg 3 books |
| 86 |
Matt Olson
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs STLMatthew Liberatore · slot 2 |
13.2%Valinor | 20.3%market | -7.8pp |
P
15.9
F
14.9
V
13.2
|
2.7pp | 0.976xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 375 avg 3 books |
| 87 |
Ketel Marte
AZ
IN
|
AZ vs LADYoshinobu Yamamoto · slot 2 |
12.9%Valinor | 20.5%market | -8.4pp |
P
16.4
F
16.3
V
12.9
|
3.5pp | 0.982xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 370 avg 3 books |
| 88 | IN | TB vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 4 |
13.5%Valinor | 21.5%market | -8.7pp |
P
17.4
F
16.6
V
13.5
|
3.9pp | 1.109xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 350 avg 3 books |
| 89 |
Pete Alonso
BAL
IN
|
BAL vs KCNoah Cameron · slot 2 |
15.0%Valinor | 23.3%market | -9.1pp |
P
17.5
F
14.9
V
15.0
|
2.6pp | 0.981xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 315 avg 3 books |
Data context
777 sample flagsStatus1667roster/transaction rows
Lineups279confirmed starters
Triple7cross-domain rows
Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.