Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs
Home run board.
Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.
HR BOARD 2026-07-20 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay
PALANTIR production
FANGORN nonlinear lane
VALINOR calibrated lane
LINEUP FILTER active
Lane Health
2026-09-01
Palantir
17901 props
Brier 0.117
ECE 0.008
14d stable
Fangorn
17901 props
Brier 0.118
ECE 0.009
14d stable
Valinor
12243 props
Brier 0.112
ECE 0.005
14d stable
Model Lane
Home Runs
Choose the model that drives this board.
Home-run board · largest Fangorn gap versus market
| # | Player | Matchup | Sim | Implied | Gap | Three lanes · P/F/V | Spread | Park | Weather | Recent | Best line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 |
Bo Bichette
NYM
IN
|
NYM vs MILJacob Misiorowski · slot 3 |
22.3%Fangorn | 11.7%market | +10.5pp |
P
17.6
F
22.3
V
10.0
|
12.3pp | 1.149xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Strong Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 725 avg 3 books |
| 02 |
Cj Abrams
WSH
IN
|
WSH vs COLKyle Freeland · slot 1 |
22.3%Fangorn | 13.3%market | +9.0pp |
P
18.2
F
22.3
V
12.2
|
10.0pp | 1.167xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 625 avg 3 books |
| 03 |
James Wood
WSH
IN
|
WSH vs COLKyle Freeland · slot 2 |
22.3%Fangorn | 15.9%market | +6.4pp |
P
18.2
F
22.3
V
13.5
|
8.8pp | 1.167xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 505 avg 3 books |
| 04 | Lineup pending | AZ vs ATHJeffrey Springs · slot 3 |
14.9%Fangorn | 8.9%market | +6.0pp |
P
14.6
F
14.9
V
10.3
|
4.6pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 990 avg 3 books |
| 05 |
Christian Yelich
MIL
IN
|
MIL vs NYMFreddy Peralta · slot 2 |
22.3%Fangorn | 16.4%market | +5.8pp |
P
19.3
F
22.3
V
18.6
|
3.7pp | 1.149xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Elite Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 485 avg 3 books |
| 06 |
Nathan Lukes
TOR
IN
|
TOR vs TBNick Martinez · slot 6 |
14.9%Fangorn | 9.1%market | +5.8pp |
P
13.6
F
14.9
V
9.8
|
5.1pp | 0.949xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 960 avg 3 books |
| 07 |
Brice Turang
MIL
IN
|
MIL vs NYMFreddy Peralta · slot 1 |
15.5%Fangorn | 10.0%market | +5.5pp |
P
16.6
F
15.5
V
14.5
|
2.1pp | 1.149xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 865 avg 3 books |
| 08 |
Keibert Ruiz
WSH
Lineup pending
|
WSH vs COLKyle Freeland · slot 5 |
14.9%Fangorn | 9.7%market | +5.2pp |
P
13.8
F
14.9
V
10.6
|
4.3pp | 1.167xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 900 avg 3 books |
| 09 |
Zach McKinstry
DET
IN
|
DET vs CHCJameson Taillon · slot 1 |
13.6%Fangorn | 8.7%market | +4.9pp |
P
13.7
F
13.6
V
13.6
|
0.1pp | 1.074xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1010 avg 3 books |
| 10 |
Jakob Marsee
MIA
IN
|
MIA vs HOURonel Blanco · slot 2 |
14.9%Fangorn | 10.1%market | +4.8pp |
P
15.4
F
14.9
V
15.9
|
1.0pp | 1.102xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 855 avg 3 books |
| 11 |
Evan Carter
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs CWSErick Fedde · slot 6 |
15.5%Fangorn | 11.0%market | +4.6pp |
P
17.7
F
15.5
V
11.4
|
6.3pp | 1.207xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 780 avg 3 books |
| 12 |
Jeremy Peña
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs MIAJanson Junk · slot 1 |
15.5%Fangorn | 11.2%market | +4.4pp |
P
14.9
F
15.5
V
11.9
|
3.6pp | 1.102xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 765 avg 3 books |
| 13 |
Brandon Marsh
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs LADEmmet Sheehan · slot 6 |
14.9%Fangorn | 11.0%market | +3.9pp |
P
13.5
F
14.9
V
10.2
|
4.7pp | 1.038xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 780 avg 3 books |
| 14 |
Rob Refsnyder
SEA
Lineup pending
|
SEA vs CINAndrew Abbott · slot 2 |
15.5%Fangorn | 12.2%market | +3.4pp |
P
14.6
F
15.5
V
14.2
|
1.4pp | 0.953xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 695 avg 3 books |
| 15 |
Jarren Duran
BOS
IN
|
BOS vs BALShane Baz · slot 1 |
14.9%Fangorn | 11.8%market | +3.1pp |
P
17.0
F
14.9
V
12.4
|
4.6pp | 1.111xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 715 avg 3 books |
| 16 | IN | MIL vs NYMFreddy Peralta · slot 3 |
15.5%Fangorn | 12.5%market | +3.0pp |
P
15.9
F
15.5
V
16.8
|
1.3pp | 1.149xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 670 avg 3 books |
| 17 |
Steven Kwan
CLE
IN
|
CLE vs MINJoe Ryan · slot 2 |
11.4%Fangorn | 8.7%market | +2.7pp |
P
11.1
F
11.4
V
11.6
|
0.6pp | 0.981xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1010 avg 3 books |
| 18 | IN | SD vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 7 |
12.2%Fangorn | 9.6%market | +2.6pp |
P
13.6
F
12.2
V
9.0
|
4.6pp | 1.088xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 905 avg 3 books |
| 19 | IN | CWS vs TEXJacob deGrom · slot 4 |
15.5%Fangorn | 13.0%market | +2.5pp |
P
16.8
F
15.5
V
10.1
|
6.6pp | 1.207xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 640 avg 3 books |
| 20 |
Heliot Ramos
SF
IN
|
SF vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 5 |
15.5%Fangorn | 13.1%market | +2.4pp |
P
16.4
F
15.5
V
12.9
|
3.6pp | 1.141xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 635 avg 3 books |
| 21 |
Brendan Donovan
SEA
Lineup pending
|
SEA vs CINAndrew Abbott · slot 6 |
11.6%Fangorn | 9.2%market | +2.4pp |
P
10.3
F
11.6
V
11.1
|
1.3pp | 0.953xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 955 avg 3 books |
| 22 |
Dansby Swanson
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 6 |
14.9%Fangorn | 13.1%market | +1.8pp |
P
14.9
F
14.9
V
11.9
|
3.0pp | 1.074xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 635 avg 3 books |
| 23 |
Colt Keith
DET
IN
|
DET vs CHCJameson Taillon · slot 6 |
12.2%Fangorn | 10.5%market | +1.7pp |
P
14.2
F
12.2
V
12.2
|
2.0pp | 1.074xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 820 avg 3 books |
| 24 |
Alec Burleson
STL
Lineup pending
|
STL vs LAAJosé Soriano · slot 3 |
14.9%Fangorn | 13.3%market | +1.6pp |
P
14.4
F
14.9
V
11.7
|
3.2pp | 1.009xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 625 avg 3 books |
| 25 |
Bo Naylor
CLE
Lineup pending
Triple
|
CLE vs MINJoe Ryan · slot 4 |
14.9%Fangorn | 13.4%market | +1.6pp |
P
14.6
F
14.9
V
13.4
|
1.5pp | 0.981xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 620 avg 3 books |
| 26 |
Alec Bohm
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs LADEmmet Sheehan · slot 5 |
12.2%Fangorn | 10.7%market | +1.5pp |
P
13.0
F
12.2
V
11.1
|
1.9pp | 1.038xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 805 avg 3 books |
| 27 |
Trevor Larnach
MIN
IN
|
MIN vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 7 |
13.4%Fangorn | 11.9%market | +1.4pp |
P
13.4
F
13.4
V
10.4
|
3.0pp | 0.981xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 705 avg 3 books |
| 28 |
Brandon Nimmo
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs CWSErick Fedde · slot 3 |
17.0%Fangorn | 15.6%market | +1.3pp |
P
18.3
F
17.0
V
14.4
|
3.8pp | 1.207xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 515 avg 3 books |
| 29 |
Wyatt Langford
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs CWSErick Fedde · slot 1 |
15.5%Fangorn | 14.4%market | +1.2pp |
P
18.1
F
15.5
V
13.9
|
4.2pp | 1.207xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 570 avg 3 books |
| 30 |
Daylen Lile
WSH
Lineup pending
|
WSH vs COLKyle Freeland · slot 3 |
11.4%Fangorn | 10.5%market | +0.9pp |
P
17.7
F
11.4
V
10.5
|
7.2pp | 1.167xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 820 avg 3 books |
| 31 |
Agustín Ramírez
MIA
Lineup pending
|
MIA vs HOURonel Blanco · slot 4 |
14.9%Fangorn | 14.0%market | +0.9pp |
P
15.7
F
14.9
V
15.1
|
0.8pp | 1.102xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 585 avg 3 books |
| 32 |
Joc Pederson
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs CWSErick Fedde · slot 5 |
14.9%Fangorn | 14.1%market | +0.8pp |
P
13.7
F
14.9
V
13.8
|
1.2pp | 1.207xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 580 avg 3 books |
| 33 |
Randy Arozarena
SEA
Lineup pending
|
SEA vs CINAndrew Abbott · slot 5 |
14.9%Fangorn | 14.4%market | +0.5pp |
P
15.7
F
14.9
V
15.1
|
0.8pp | 0.953xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 570 avg 3 books |
| 34 |
Elly De La Cruz
CIN
Lineup pending
|
CIN vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 1 |
15.5%Fangorn | 15.0%market | +0.5pp |
P
15.8
F
15.5
V
12.1
|
3.7pp | 0.953xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 540 avg 3 books |
| 35 |
Ozzie Albies
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs SDJp Sears · slot 5 |
13.6%Fangorn | 14.1%market | -0.5pp |
P
15.5
F
13.6
V
16.3
|
2.7pp | 1.088xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 610 avg 3 books |
| 36 |
Ian Happ
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 4 |
14.9%Fangorn | 15.5%market | -0.6pp |
P
16.4
F
14.9
V
13.9
|
2.5pp | 1.074xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 545 avg 3 books |
| 37 |
Bryan Reynolds
PIT
IN
|
PIT vs NYYRyan Weathers · slot 5 |
13.4%Fangorn | 14.1%market | -0.7pp |
P
15.0
F
13.4
V
13.7
|
1.6pp | 1.045xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 610 avg 3 books |
| 38 |
Jose Altuve
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs MIAJanson Junk · slot 3 |
14.9%Fangorn | 15.8%market | -0.8pp |
P
16.5
F
14.9
V
15.3
|
1.5pp | 1.102xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 535 avg 3 books |
| 39 | IN | BOS vs BALShane Baz · slot 3 |
14.9%Fangorn | 15.9%market | -1.0pp |
P
16.4
F
14.9
V
15.0
|
1.5pp | 1.111xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 530 avg 3 books |
| 40 |
Trea Turner
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs LADEmmet Sheehan · slot 1 |
13.6%Fangorn | 14.8%market | -1.2pp |
P
15.7
F
13.6
V
13.8
|
2.2pp | 1.038xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 575 avg 3 books |
| 41 | IN | DET vs CHCJameson Taillon · slot 5 |
15.5%Fangorn | 17.0%market | -1.4pp |
P
16.8
F
15.5
V
16.9
|
1.4pp | 1.074xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 490 avg 3 books |
| 42 |
Riley Greene
DET
IN
Triple
|
DET vs CHCJameson Taillon · slot 4 |
17.0%Fangorn | 18.5%market | -1.5pp |
P
17.9
F
17.0
V
16.9
|
0.9pp | 1.074xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 440 avg 3 books |
| 43 |
Jorge Polanco
NYM
IN
|
NYM vs MILJacob Misiorowski · slot 4 |
15.5%Fangorn | 17.1%market | -1.6pp |
P
16.5
F
15.5
V
12.8
|
3.7pp | 1.149xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 485 avg 3 books |
| 44 |
Alex Bregman
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 5 |
13.6%Fangorn | 15.3%market | -1.7pp |
P
14.3
F
13.6
V
14.2
|
0.7pp | 1.074xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 555 avg 3 books |
| 45 | IN | SD vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 1 |
15.5%Fangorn | 17.2%market | -1.7pp |
P
16.5
F
15.5
V
14.9
|
1.6pp | 1.088xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 480 avg 3 books |
| 46 |
Tj Friedl
CIN
Lineup pending
|
CIN vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 2 |
11.6%Fangorn | 13.3%market | -1.7pp |
P
13.1
F
11.6
V
11.5
|
1.6pp | 0.953xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 650 avg 3 books |
| 47 |
Josh Bell
MIN
IN
|
MIN vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 4 |
13.4%Fangorn | 15.5%market | -2.1pp |
P
14.5
F
13.4
V
13.7
|
1.1pp | 0.981xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 545 avg 3 books |
| 48 |
Marcus Semien
NYM
Lineup pending
|
NYM vs MILJacob Misiorowski · slot 5 |
11.6%Fangorn | 13.8%market | -2.2pp |
P
14.0
F
11.6
V
11.7
|
2.4pp | 1.149xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 625 avg 3 books |
| 49 | Lineup pending | AZ vs ATHJeffrey Springs · slot 5 |
11.4%Fangorn | 14.5%market | -3.1pp |
P
13.1
F
11.4
V
12.3
|
1.7pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 590 avg 3 books |
| 50 |
Mookie Betts
LAD
IN
|
LAD vs PHICristopher Sánchez · slot 5 |
13.6%Fangorn | 16.7%market | -3.1pp |
P
15.7
F
13.6
V
14.5
|
2.1pp | 1.038xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 500 avg 3 books |
| 51 | IN | CLE vs MINJoe Ryan · slot 6 |
7.4%Fangorn | 11.1%market | -3.7pp |
P
12.9
F
7.4
V
10.8
|
5.4pp | 0.981xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 800 avg 3 books |
| 52 |
Francisco Lindor
NYM
IN
|
NYM vs MILJacob Misiorowski · slot 2 |
15.5%Fangorn | 19.4%market | -3.9pp |
P
17.9
F
15.5
V
13.4
|
4.5pp | 1.149xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 415 avg 3 books |
| 53 |
Austin Riley
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs SDJp Sears · slot 4 |
13.6%Fangorn | 17.5%market | -4.0pp |
P
14.8
F
13.6
V
16.5
|
2.9pp | 1.088xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 470 avg 3 books |
| 54 |
Ronald Acuña Jr.
ATL
Lineup pending
|
ATL vs SDJp Sears · slot 1 |
15.5%Fangorn | 20.0%market | -4.5pp |
P
17.3
F
15.5
V
16.5
|
1.8pp | 1.088xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 400 avg 3 books |
| 55 | IN | SD vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 3 |
11.4%Fangorn | 16.3%market | -4.8pp |
P
16.0
F
11.4
V
14.2
|
4.6pp | 1.088xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 515 avg 3 books |
| 56 |
Luis Arraez
SF
IN
|
SF vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 1 |
10.6%Fangorn | 7.7%market | +2.9pp |
P
9.9
F
10.6
V
11.3
|
1.4pp | 1.141xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 57 | IN | TB vs TORDylan Cease · slot 3 |
15.5%Fangorn | 12.7%market | +2.8pp |
P
14.6
F
15.5
V
10.7
|
4.8pp | 0.949xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 655 avg 3 books |
| 58 |
Iván Herrera
STL
Lineup pending
|
STL vs LAAJosé Soriano · slot 2 |
14.9%Fangorn | 12.5%market | +2.4pp |
P
15.9
F
14.9
V
11.4
|
4.5pp | 1.009xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 670 avg 3 books |
| 59 |
Michael Busch
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 3 |
20.2%Fangorn | 17.8%market | +2.4pp |
P
17.2
F
20.2
V
14.3
|
5.9pp | 1.074xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 440 avg 3 books |
| 60 |
Xavier Edwards
MIA
IN
|
MIA vs HOURonel Blanco · slot 1 |
9.3%Fangorn | 7.7%market | +1.6pp |
P
9.7
F
9.3
V
12.0
|
2.7pp | 1.102xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 61 |
Jung Hoo Lee
SF
IN
|
SF vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 7 |
9.3%Fangorn | 7.7%market | +1.6pp |
P
10.3
F
9.3
V
9.1
|
1.3pp | 1.141xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 62 |
Nico Hoerner
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 1 |
9.3%Fangorn | 7.7%market | +1.6pp |
P
9.2
F
9.3
V
12.7
|
3.5pp | 1.074xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 63 |
Yandy Díaz
TB
IN
|
TB vs TORDylan Cease · slot 2 |
15.5%Fangorn | 14.2%market | +1.3pp |
P
14.7
F
15.5
V
11.8
|
3.7pp | 0.949xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 575 avg 3 books |
| 64 |
Jake Mangum
PIT
Lineup pending
|
PIT vs NYYRyan Weathers · slot 1 |
8.6%Fangorn | 7.7%market | +0.9pp |
P
10.1
F
8.6
V
13.0
|
4.4pp | 1.045xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 65 |
Chase Meidroth
CWS
IN
|
CWS vs TEXJacob deGrom · slot 1 |
7.4%Fangorn | 8.0%market | -0.6pp |
P
8.5
F
7.4
V
10.0
|
2.6pp | 1.207xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books |
| 66 |
Wilyer Abreu
BOS
IN
|
BOS vs BALShane Baz · slot 4 |
15.5%Fangorn | 16.3%market | -0.7pp |
P
16.9
F
15.5
V
14.7
|
2.2pp | 1.111xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 515 avg 3 books |
| 67 |
Tyler Stephenson
CIN
Lineup pending
|
CIN vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 5 |
11.8%Fangorn | 12.8%market | -1.1pp |
P
11.7
F
11.8
V
11.9
|
0.2pp | 0.953xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 680 avg 3 books |
| 68 |
Juan Soto
NYM
IN
|
NYM vs MILJacob Misiorowski · slot 1 |
22.3%Fangorn | 24.1%market | -1.8pp |
P
17.4
F
22.3
V
13.5
|
8.7pp | 1.149xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 315 avg 3 books |
| 69 | Lineup pending | AZ vs ATHJeffrey Springs · slot 1 |
14.9%Fangorn | 17.0%market | -2.0pp |
P
15.6
F
14.9
V
13.0
|
2.7pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 490 avg 3 books |
| 70 | IN | TOR vs TBNick Martinez · slot 2 |
14.9%Fangorn | 17.0%market | -2.0pp |
P
14.1
F
14.9
V
13.5
|
1.4pp | 0.949xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 490 avg 3 books |
| 71 |
Spencer Steer
CIN
Lineup pending
Triple
|
CIN vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 4 |
12.2%Fangorn | 14.4%market | -2.2pp |
P
13.9
F
12.2
V
11.8
|
2.1pp | 0.953xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 595 avg 3 books |
| 72 |
Andy Pages
LAD
IN
|
LAD vs PHICristopher Sánchez · slot 7 |
11.4%Fangorn | 13.9%market | -2.5pp |
P
14.1
F
11.4
V
11.0
|
3.1pp | 1.038xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 620 avg 3 books |
| 73 | IN | TB vs TORDylan Cease · slot 5 |
11.6%Fangorn | 14.2%market | -2.6pp |
P
12.6
F
11.6
V
11.1
|
1.5pp | 0.949xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 605 avg 3 books |
| 74 |
Isaac Paredes
HOU
IN
Triple
|
HOU vs MIAJanson Junk · slot 5 |
13.4%Fangorn | 16.0%market | -2.6pp |
P
13.7
F
13.4
V
14.4
|
1.0pp | 1.102xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 525 avg 3 books |
| 75 |
Freddie Freeman
LAD
IN
|
LAD vs PHICristopher Sánchez · slot 2 |
13.6%Fangorn | 16.4%market | -2.8pp |
P
15.6
F
13.6
V
14.4
|
2.0pp | 1.038xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 510 avg 3 books |
| 76 |
Julio Rodríguez
SEA
Lineup pending
|
SEA vs CINAndrew Abbott · slot 1 |
14.9%Fangorn | 18.7%market | -3.8pp |
P
16.2
F
14.9
V
14.3
|
2.0pp | 0.953xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 435 avg 3 books |
| 77 |
Josh Naylor
SEA
Lineup pending
|
SEA vs CINAndrew Abbott · slot 4 |
12.2%Fangorn | 16.1%market | -3.9pp |
P
13.8
F
12.2
V
14.0
|
1.8pp | 0.953xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 520 avg 3 books |
| 78 | IN | SD vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 2 |
14.9%Fangorn | 18.9%market | -4.0pp |
P
15.8
F
14.9
V
14.5
|
1.4pp | 1.088xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 430 avg 3 books |
| 79 |
Bryce Harper
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs LADEmmet Sheehan · slot 2 |
15.5%Fangorn | 19.6%market | -4.1pp |
P
17.1
F
15.5
V
14.6
|
2.4pp | 1.038xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 410 avg 3 books |
| 80 |
Willy Adames
SF
IN
|
SF vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 4 |
13.6%Fangorn | 17.7%market | -4.1pp |
P
16.3
F
13.6
V
13.6
|
2.7pp | 1.141xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 465 avg 3 books |
| 81 |
Kyle Manzardo
CLE
Lineup pending
|
CLE vs MINJoe Ryan · slot 3 |
13.4%Fangorn | 17.5%market | -4.2pp |
P
15.1
F
13.4
V
14.0
|
1.8pp | 0.981xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 470 avg 3 books |
| 82 |
George Springer
TOR
IN
|
TOR vs TBNick Martinez · slot 1 |
13.4%Fangorn | 17.7%market | -4.3pp |
P
15.1
F
13.4
V
13.5
|
1.7pp | 0.949xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 465 avg 3 books |
| 83 |
Royce Lewis
MIN
IN
|
MIN vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 5 |
11.4%Fangorn | 15.8%market | -4.3pp |
P
11.4
F
11.4
V
13.9
|
2.6pp | 0.981xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 535 avg 3 books |
| 84 |
Christian Walker
HOU
Lineup pending
|
HOU vs MIAJanson Junk · slot 4 |
13.6%Fangorn | 18.2%market | -4.6pp |
P
15.4
F
13.6
V
14.9
|
1.8pp | 1.102xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 450 avg 3 books |
| 85 |
Kerry Carpenter
DET
IN
|
DET vs CHCJameson Taillon · slot 3 |
15.5%Fangorn | 20.2%market | -4.7pp |
P
15.1
F
15.5
V
16.2
|
1.1pp | 1.074xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 395 avg 3 books |
| 86 |
Matt Wallner
MIN
Lineup pending
|
MIN vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 2 |
14.9%Fangorn | 20.0%market | -5.1pp |
P
14.3
F
14.9
V
14.7
|
0.6pp | 0.981xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 400 avg 3 books |
| 87 |
Daulton Varsho
TOR
IN
Triple
|
TOR vs TBNick Martinez · slot 4 |
12.2%Fangorn | 17.5%market | -5.3pp |
P
13.3
F
12.2
V
14.0
|
1.8pp | 0.949xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 470 avg 3 books |
| 88 |
Matt Olson
ATL
IN
Triple
|
ATL vs SDJp Sears · slot 2 |
14.9%Fangorn | 20.8%market | -5.9pp |
P
16.5
F
14.9
V
16.4
|
1.6pp | 1.088xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 380 avg 3 books |
| 89 |
Yordan Alvarez
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs MIAJanson Junk · slot 2 |
14.9%Fangorn | 20.8%market | -5.9pp |
P
15.0
F
14.9
V
15.5
|
0.6pp | 1.102xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 380 avg 3 books |
| 90 |
Ketel Marte
AZ
Lineup pending
|
AZ vs ATHJeffrey Springs · slot 2 |
15.5%Fangorn | 21.5%market | -6.0pp |
P
16.1
F
15.5
V
14.1
|
2.0pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 365 avg 3 books |
| 91 |
Jj Bleday
CIN
Lineup pending
|
CIN vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 6 |
7.4%Fangorn | 13.4%market | -6.0pp |
P
12.5
F
7.4
V
10.6
|
5.1pp | 0.953xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 645 avg 3 books |
| 92 |
Byron Buxton
MIN
IN
Triple
|
MIN vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 3 |
14.9%Fangorn | 21.1%market | -6.1pp |
P
14.2
F
14.9
V
14.7
|
0.7pp | 0.981xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 375 avg 3 books |
| 93 |
Kyle Tucker
LAD
Lineup pending
|
LAD vs PHICristopher Sánchez · slot 3 |
12.2%Fangorn | 18.4%market | -6.1pp |
P
14.5
F
12.2
V
14.6
|
2.4pp | 1.038xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 445 avg 3 books |
| 94 | IN | LAD vs PHICristopher Sánchez · slot 4 |
12.2%Fangorn | 19.1%market | -6.8pp |
P
14.3
F
12.2
V
15.0
|
2.8pp | 1.038xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 425 avg 3 books |
| 95 |
Jake Burger
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs CWSErick Fedde · slot 4 |
12.2%Fangorn | 19.2%market | -7.0pp |
P
12.9
F
12.2
V
13.5
|
1.3pp | 1.207xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 420 avg 3 books |
| 96 | IN | SF vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 2 |
13.6%Fangorn | 20.8%market | -7.2pp |
P
16.6
F
13.6
V
14.2
|
3.0pp | 1.141xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 380 avg 3 books |
| 97 | IN | TB vs TORDylan Cease · slot 1 |
0.0%Fangorn | 8.0%market | -8.0pp |
P
4.1
F
0.0
V
10.6
|
10.6pp | 0.949xHR pf | Neutralweather | Strong Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books |
| 98 | IN Triple | TB vs TORDylan Cease · slot 4 |
13.6%Fangorn | 22.0%market | -8.4pp |
P
13.3
F
13.6
V
11.6
|
2.0pp | 0.949xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 355 avg 3 books |
| 99 |
Luke Keaschall
MIN
Lineup pending
|
MIN vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 1 |
1.8%Fangorn | 11.0%market | -9.1pp |
P
10.5
F
1.8
V
13.6
|
11.7pp | 0.981xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 810 avg 3 books |
| 100 |
Marcell Ozuna
PIT
IN
|
PIT vs NYYRyan Weathers · slot 2 |
12.2%Fangorn | 22.0%market | -9.8pp |
P
15.3
F
12.2
V
14.0
|
3.1pp | 1.045xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 355 avg 3 books |
| 101 |
Eugenio Suárez
CIN
Lineup pending
|
CIN vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 3 |
11.6%Fangorn | 21.7%market | -10.1pp |
P
13.5
F
11.6
V
13.4
|
1.9pp | 0.953xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 360 avg 3 books |
| 102 | IN | CWS vs TEXJacob deGrom · slot 3 |
12.2%Fangorn | 23.3%market | -11.1pp |
P
14.8
F
12.2
V
11.7
|
3.1pp | 1.207xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 330 avg 3 books |
| 103 |
Kyle Schwarber
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs LADEmmet Sheehan · slot 3 |
14.9%Fangorn | 27.0%market | -12.1pp |
P
15.9
F
14.9
V
14.5
|
1.4pp | 1.038xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 270 avg 3 books |
| 104 |
Shohei Ohtani
LAD
IN
|
LAD vs PHICristopher Sánchez · slot 1 |
14.9%Fangorn | 29.0%market | -14.1pp |
P
14.4
F
14.9
V
18.4
|
4.1pp | 1.038xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 245 avg 3 books |
| 105 |
Cal Raleigh
SEA
Lineup pending
|
SEA vs CINAndrew Abbott · slot 3 |
11.2%Fangorn | 25.6%market | -14.4pp |
P
15.0
F
11.2
V
15.3
|
4.1pp | 0.953xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 290 avg 3 books |
Data context
780 sample flagsStatus1858roster/transaction rows
Lineups216confirmed starters
Triple8cross-domain rows
Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.