Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs
Home run board.
Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.
HR BOARD 2026-07-20 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay
PALANTIR production
FANGORN nonlinear lane
VALINOR calibrated lane
LINEUP FILTER active
Lane Health
2026-09-01
Palantir
17901 props
Brier 0.117
ECE 0.008
14d stable
Fangorn
17901 props
Brier 0.118
ECE 0.009
14d stable
Valinor
12243 props
Brier 0.112
ECE 0.005
14d stable
Model Lane
Home Runs
Choose the model that drives this board.
Home-run board · largest Valinor gap versus market
| # | Player | Matchup | Sim | Implied | Gap | Three lanes · P/F/V | Spread | Park | Weather | Recent | Best line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 |
Jakob Marsee
MIA
IN
|
MIA vs HOURonel Blanco · slot 2 |
15.9%Valinor | 10.1%market | +5.4pp |
P
15.4
F
14.9
V
15.9
|
1.0pp | 1.102xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 855 avg 3 books |
| 02 |
Zach McKinstry
DET
IN
|
DET vs CHCJameson Taillon · slot 1 |
13.6%Valinor | 8.7%market | +4.6pp |
P
13.7
F
13.6
V
13.6
|
0.1pp | 1.074xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1010 avg 3 books |
| 03 |
Brice Turang
MIL
IN
|
MIL vs NYMFreddy Peralta · slot 1 |
14.5%Valinor | 10.0%market | +4.2pp |
P
16.6
F
15.5
V
14.5
|
2.1pp | 1.149xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 865 avg 3 books |
| 04 | IN | MIL vs NYMFreddy Peralta · slot 3 |
16.8%Valinor | 12.5%market | +3.8pp |
P
15.9
F
15.5
V
16.8
|
1.3pp | 1.149xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 670 avg 3 books |
| 05 |
Steven Kwan
CLE
IN
|
CLE vs MINJoe Ryan · slot 2 |
11.6%Valinor | 8.7%market | +2.6pp |
P
11.1
F
11.4
V
11.6
|
0.6pp | 0.981xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 1010 avg 3 books |
| 06 |
Ozzie Albies
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs SDJp Sears · slot 5 |
16.3%Valinor | 13.5%market | +2.3pp |
P
15.5
F
13.6
V
16.3
|
2.7pp | 1.088xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 615 avg 3 books |
| 07 |
Brendan Donovan
SEA
Lineup pending
|
SEA vs CINAndrew Abbott · slot 6 |
11.1%Valinor | 9.2%market | +1.7pp |
P
10.3
F
11.6
V
11.1
|
1.3pp | 0.953xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 955 avg 3 books |
| 08 |
Rob Refsnyder
SEA
Lineup pending
|
SEA vs CINAndrew Abbott · slot 2 |
14.2%Valinor | 12.2%market | +1.6pp |
P
14.6
F
15.5
V
14.2
|
1.4pp | 0.953xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 695 avg 3 books |
| 09 |
Christian Yelich
MIL
IN
|
MIL vs NYMFreddy Peralta · slot 2 |
18.6%Valinor | 16.4%market | +1.5pp |
P
19.3
F
22.3
V
18.6
|
3.7pp | 1.149xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Elite Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 485 avg 3 books |
| 10 |
Colt Keith
DET
IN
|
DET vs CHCJameson Taillon · slot 6 |
12.2%Valinor | 10.5%market | +1.4pp |
P
14.2
F
12.2
V
12.2
|
2.0pp | 1.074xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 820 avg 3 books |
| 11 | Lineup pending | AZ vs ATHJeffrey Springs · slot 3 |
10.3%Valinor | 8.9%market | +1.1pp |
P
14.6
F
14.9
V
10.3
|
4.6pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 990 avg 3 books |
| 12 |
Keibert Ruiz
WSH
Lineup pending
|
WSH vs COLKyle Freeland · slot 5 |
10.6%Valinor | 9.7%market | +0.6pp |
P
13.8
F
14.9
V
10.6
|
4.3pp | 1.167xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 900 avg 3 books |
| 13 |
Agustín Ramírez
MIA
Lineup pending
|
MIA vs HOURonel Blanco · slot 4 |
15.1%Valinor | 14.0%market | +0.5pp |
P
15.7
F
14.9
V
15.1
|
0.8pp | 1.102xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 585 avg 3 books |
| 14 |
Nathan Lukes
TOR
IN
|
TOR vs TBNick Martinez · slot 6 |
9.8%Valinor | 9.1%market | +0.4pp |
P
13.6
F
14.9
V
9.8
|
5.1pp | 0.949xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 960 avg 3 books |
| 15 |
Jeremy Peña
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs MIAJanson Junk · slot 1 |
11.9%Valinor | 11.2%market | +0.4pp |
P
14.9
F
15.5
V
11.9
|
3.6pp | 1.102xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 765 avg 3 books |
| 16 |
Randy Arozarena
SEA
Lineup pending
|
SEA vs CINAndrew Abbott · slot 5 |
15.1%Valinor | 14.4%market | +0.1pp |
P
15.7
F
14.9
V
15.1
|
0.8pp | 0.953xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 570 avg 3 books |
| 17 |
Jarren Duran
BOS
IN
|
BOS vs BALShane Baz · slot 1 |
12.4%Valinor | 11.8%market | +0.1pp |
P
17.0
F
14.9
V
12.4
|
4.6pp | 1.111xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 715 avg 3 books |
| 18 |
Evan Carter
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs CWSErick Fedde · slot 6 |
11.4%Valinor | 11.0%market | -0.1pp |
P
17.7
F
15.5
V
11.4
|
6.3pp | 1.207xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 775 avg 3 books |
| 19 |
Alec Bohm
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs LADEmmet Sheehan · slot 5 |
11.1%Valinor | 10.7%market | -0.1pp |
P
13.0
F
12.2
V
11.1
|
1.9pp | 1.038xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 795 avg 3 books |
| 20 | IN | DET vs CHCJameson Taillon · slot 5 |
16.9%Valinor | 16.5%market | -0.1pp |
P
16.8
F
15.5
V
16.9
|
1.4pp | 1.074xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 485 avg 3 books |
| 21 | IN | CLE vs MINJoe Ryan · slot 6 |
10.8%Valinor | 10.7%market | -0.3pp |
P
12.9
F
7.4
V
10.8
|
5.4pp | 0.981xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 800 avg 3 books |
| 22 |
Bryan Reynolds
PIT
IN
|
PIT vs NYYRyan Weathers · slot 5 |
13.7%Valinor | 13.6%market | -0.4pp |
P
15.0
F
13.4
V
13.7
|
1.6pp | 1.045xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 610 avg 3 books |
| 23 |
Daylen Lile
WSH
Lineup pending
|
WSH vs COLKyle Freeland · slot 3 |
10.5%Valinor | 10.6%market | -0.5pp |
P
17.7
F
11.4
V
10.5
|
7.2pp | 1.167xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 810 avg 3 books |
| 24 |
Bo Naylor
CLE
Lineup pending
Triple
|
CLE vs MINJoe Ryan · slot 4 |
13.4%Valinor | 13.4%market | -0.5pp |
P
14.6
F
14.9
V
13.4
|
1.5pp | 0.981xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 620 avg 3 books |
| 25 |
Jose Altuve
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs MIAJanson Junk · slot 3 |
15.3%Valinor | 15.3%market | -0.5pp |
P
16.5
F
14.9
V
15.3
|
1.5pp | 1.102xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 530 avg 3 books |
| 26 |
Heliot Ramos
SF
IN
|
SF vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 5 |
12.9%Valinor | 13.2%market | -0.8pp |
P
16.4
F
15.5
V
12.9
|
3.6pp | 1.141xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 630 avg 3 books |
| 27 | IN | BOS vs BALShane Baz · slot 3 |
15.0%Valinor | 15.3%market | -0.8pp |
P
16.4
F
14.9
V
15.0
|
1.5pp | 1.111xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 530 avg 3 books |
| 28 |
Trea Turner
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs LADEmmet Sheehan · slot 1 |
13.8%Valinor | 14.3%market | -1.0pp |
P
15.7
F
13.6
V
13.8
|
2.2pp | 1.038xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 575 avg 3 books |
| 29 |
Joc Pederson
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs CWSErick Fedde · slot 5 |
13.8%Valinor | 14.3%market | -1.1pp |
P
13.7
F
14.9
V
13.8
|
1.2pp | 1.207xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 575 avg 3 books |
| 30 | IN | SD vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 7 |
9.0%Valinor | 9.7%market | -1.1pp |
P
13.6
F
12.2
V
9.0
|
4.6pp | 1.088xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 890 avg 3 books |
| 31 |
Alex Bregman
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 5 |
14.2%Valinor | 14.8%market | -1.1pp |
P
14.3
F
13.6
V
14.2
|
0.7pp | 1.074xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 555 avg 3 books |
| 32 |
Wyatt Langford
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs CWSErick Fedde · slot 1 |
13.9%Valinor | 14.5%market | -1.1pp |
P
18.1
F
15.5
V
13.9
|
4.2pp | 1.207xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 565 avg 3 books |
| 33 |
Austin Riley
ATL
IN
|
ATL vs SDJp Sears · slot 4 |
16.5%Valinor | 17.1%market | -1.2pp |
P
14.8
F
13.6
V
16.5
|
2.9pp | 1.088xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 465 avg 3 books |
| 34 |
Brandon Marsh
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs LADEmmet Sheehan · slot 6 |
10.2%Valinor | 11.0%market | -1.3pp |
P
13.5
F
14.9
V
10.2
|
4.7pp | 1.038xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 770 avg 3 books |
| 35 |
Ian Happ
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 4 |
13.9%Valinor | 15.0%market | -1.6pp |
P
16.4
F
14.9
V
13.9
|
2.5pp | 1.074xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 545 avg 3 books |
| 36 |
Cj Abrams
WSH
IN
|
WSH vs COLKyle Freeland · slot 1 |
12.2%Valinor | 13.4%market | -1.7pp |
P
18.2
F
22.3
V
12.2
|
10.0pp | 1.167xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 620 avg 3 books |
| 37 |
Dansby Swanson
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 6 |
11.9%Valinor | 13.1%market | -1.7pp |
P
14.9
F
14.9
V
11.9
|
3.0pp | 1.074xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 635 avg 3 books |
| 38 |
Riley Greene
DET
IN
Triple
|
DET vs CHCJameson Taillon · slot 4 |
16.9%Valinor | 18.1%market | -1.8pp |
P
17.9
F
17.0
V
16.9
|
0.9pp | 1.074xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 435 avg 3 books |
| 39 |
Josh Bell
MIN
IN
|
MIN vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 4 |
13.7%Valinor | 15.0%market | -1.8pp |
P
14.5
F
13.4
V
13.7
|
1.1pp | 0.981xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 545 avg 3 books |
| 40 |
Tj Friedl
CIN
Lineup pending
|
CIN vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 2 |
11.5%Valinor | 13.3%market | -1.8pp |
P
13.1
F
11.6
V
11.5
|
1.6pp | 0.953xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 650 avg 3 books |
| 41 | IN | SD vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 3 |
14.2%Valinor | 15.7%market | -2.0pp |
P
16.0
F
11.4
V
14.2
|
4.6pp | 1.088xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 515 avg 3 books |
| 42 |
Marcus Semien
NYM
Lineup pending
|
NYM vs MILJacob Misiorowski · slot 5 |
11.7%Valinor | 13.3%market | -2.1pp |
P
14.0
F
11.6
V
11.7
|
2.4pp | 1.149xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 625 avg 3 books |
| 43 |
Brandon Nimmo
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs CWSErick Fedde · slot 3 |
14.4%Valinor | 16.0%market | -2.1pp |
P
18.3
F
17.0
V
14.4
|
3.8pp | 1.207xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 505 avg 3 books |
| 44 |
Alec Burleson
STL
Lineup pending
|
STL vs LAAJosé Soriano · slot 3 |
11.7%Valinor | 13.3%market | -2.1pp |
P
14.4
F
14.9
V
11.7
|
3.2pp | 1.009xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 625 avg 3 books |
| 45 | Lineup pending | AZ vs ATHJeffrey Springs · slot 5 |
12.3%Valinor | 14.0%market | -2.1pp |
P
13.1
F
11.4
V
12.3
|
1.7pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 590 avg 3 books |
| 46 |
Trevor Larnach
MIN
IN
|
MIN vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 7 |
10.4%Valinor | 12.5%market | -2.1pp |
P
13.4
F
13.4
V
10.4
|
3.0pp | 0.981xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 700 avg 3 books |
| 47 |
Bo Bichette
NYM
IN
|
NYM vs MILJacob Misiorowski · slot 3 |
10.0%Valinor | 11.7%market | -2.2pp |
P
17.6
F
22.3
V
10.0
|
12.3pp | 1.149xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 720 avg 3 books |
| 48 | IN | SD vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 1 |
14.9%Valinor | 16.7%market | -2.3pp |
P
16.5
F
15.5
V
14.9
|
1.6pp | 1.088xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 480 avg 3 books |
| 49 |
James Wood
WSH
IN
|
WSH vs COLKyle Freeland · slot 2 |
13.5%Valinor | 16.2%market | -3.3pp |
P
18.2
F
22.3
V
13.5
|
8.8pp | 1.167xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 495 avg 3 books |
| 50 | IN | CWS vs TEXJacob deGrom · slot 4 |
10.1%Valinor | 13.0%market | -3.4pp |
P
16.8
F
15.5
V
10.1
|
6.6pp | 1.207xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 640 avg 3 books |
| 51 |
Ronald Acuña Jr.
ATL
Lineup pending
|
ATL vs SDJp Sears · slot 1 |
16.5%Valinor | 19.3%market | -3.5pp |
P
17.3
F
15.5
V
16.5
|
1.8pp | 1.088xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 400 avg 3 books |
| 52 |
Elly De La Cruz
CIN
Lineup pending
|
CIN vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 1 |
12.1%Valinor | 15.3%market | -3.8pp |
P
15.8
F
15.5
V
12.1
|
3.7pp | 0.953xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 530 avg 3 books |
| 53 |
Jorge Polanco
NYM
IN
|
NYM vs MILJacob Misiorowski · slot 4 |
12.8%Valinor | 16.5%market | -4.3pp |
P
16.5
F
15.5
V
12.8
|
3.7pp | 1.149xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 485 avg 3 books |
| 54 |
Francisco Lindor
NYM
IN
|
NYM vs MILJacob Misiorowski · slot 2 |
13.4%Valinor | 18.9%market | -6.2pp |
P
17.9
F
15.5
V
13.4
|
4.5pp | 1.149xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 410 avg 3 books |
| 55 | IN Triple | TB vs TORDylan Cease · slot 4 |
11.6%Valinor | 21.5%market | -10.6pp |
P
13.3
F
13.6
V
11.6
|
2.0pp | 0.949xHR pf | Neutralweather | Strong Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 350 avg 3 books |
| 56 |
Cal Raleigh
SEA
Lineup pending
|
SEA vs CINAndrew Abbott · slot 3 |
15.3%Valinor | 25.1%market | -10.6pp |
P
15.0
F
11.2
V
15.3
|
4.1pp | 0.953xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Strong Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 285 avg 3 books |
| 57 |
Shohei Ohtani
LAD
IN
|
LAD vs PHICristopher Sánchez · slot 1 |
18.4%Valinor | 28.4%market | -11.0pp |
P
14.4
F
14.9
V
18.4
|
4.1pp | 1.038xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 240 avg 3 books |
| 58 |
Kyle Schwarber
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs LADEmmet Sheehan · slot 3 |
14.5%Valinor | 26.5%market | -12.9pp |
P
15.9
F
14.9
V
14.5
|
1.4pp | 1.038xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 265 avg 3 books |
| 59 |
Jake Mangum
PIT
Lineup pending
|
PIT vs NYYRyan Weathers · slot 1 |
13.0%Valinor | 7.7%market | +5.0pp |
P
10.1
F
8.6
V
13.0
|
4.4pp | 1.045xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 60 |
Nico Hoerner
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 1 |
12.7%Valinor | 7.7%market | +4.7pp |
P
9.2
F
9.3
V
12.7
|
3.5pp | 1.074xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 61 |
Xavier Edwards
MIA
IN
|
MIA vs HOURonel Blanco · slot 1 |
12.0%Valinor | 7.7%market | +4.0pp |
P
9.7
F
9.3
V
12.0
|
2.7pp | 1.102xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 62 |
Luis Arraez
SF
IN
|
SF vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 1 |
11.3%Valinor | 7.7%market | +3.3pp |
P
9.9
F
10.6
V
11.3
|
1.4pp | 1.141xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 63 |
Luke Keaschall
MIN
Lineup pending
|
MIN vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 1 |
13.6%Valinor | 10.5%market | +2.7pp |
P
10.5
F
1.8
V
13.6
|
11.7pp | 0.981xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 820 avg 3 books |
| 64 | IN | TB vs TORDylan Cease · slot 1 |
10.6%Valinor | 7.7%market | +2.6pp |
P
4.1
F
0.0
V
10.6
|
10.6pp | 0.949xHR pf | Neutralweather | Strong Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 65 |
Chase Meidroth
CWS
IN
|
CWS vs TEXJacob deGrom · slot 1 |
10.0%Valinor | 7.7%market | +2.0pp |
P
8.5
F
7.4
V
10.0
|
2.6pp | 1.207xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 66 |
Jung Hoo Lee
SF
IN
|
SF vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 7 |
9.1%Valinor | 7.7%market | +1.1pp |
P
10.3
F
9.3
V
9.1
|
1.3pp | 1.141xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books |
| 67 |
Tyler Stephenson
CIN
Lineup pending
|
CIN vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 5 |
11.9%Valinor | 12.3%market | -0.9pp |
P
11.7
F
11.8
V
11.9
|
0.2pp | 0.953xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 680 avg 3 books |
| 68 |
Wilyer Abreu
BOS
IN
|
BOS vs BALShane Baz · slot 4 |
14.7%Valinor | 15.7%market | -1.6pp |
P
16.9
F
15.5
V
14.7
|
2.2pp | 1.111xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 515 avg 3 books |
| 69 |
Iván Herrera
STL
Lineup pending
|
STL vs LAAJosé Soriano · slot 2 |
11.4%Valinor | 12.5%market | -1.6pp |
P
15.9
F
14.9
V
11.4
|
4.5pp | 1.009xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 670 avg 3 books |
| 70 |
Isaac Paredes
HOU
IN
Triple
|
HOU vs MIAJanson Junk · slot 5 |
14.4%Valinor | 15.5%market | -1.6pp |
P
13.7
F
13.4
V
14.4
|
1.0pp | 1.102xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 525 avg 3 books |
| 71 |
Royce Lewis
MIN
IN
|
MIN vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 5 |
13.9%Valinor | 15.2%market | -1.8pp |
P
11.4
F
11.4
V
13.9
|
2.6pp | 0.981xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 535 avg 3 books |
| 72 |
Freddie Freeman
LAD
IN
|
LAD vs PHICristopher Sánchez · slot 2 |
14.4%Valinor | 15.8%market | -2.0pp |
P
15.6
F
13.6
V
14.4
|
2.0pp | 1.038xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 510 avg 3 books |
| 73 |
Josh Naylor
SEA
Lineup pending
|
SEA vs CINAndrew Abbott · slot 4 |
14.0%Valinor | 15.6%market | -2.1pp |
P
13.8
F
12.2
V
14.0
|
1.8pp | 0.953xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 520 avg 3 books |
| 74 |
Mookie Betts
LAD
IN
|
LAD vs PHICristopher Sánchez · slot 5 |
14.5%Valinor | 16.2%market | -2.3pp |
P
15.7
F
13.6
V
14.5
|
2.1pp | 1.038xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 495 avg 3 books |
| 75 |
Spencer Steer
CIN
Lineup pending
Triple
|
CIN vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 4 |
11.8%Valinor | 14.4%market | -2.6pp |
P
13.9
F
12.2
V
11.8
|
2.1pp | 0.953xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 595 avg 3 books |
| 76 | IN | TB vs TORDylan Cease · slot 3 |
10.7%Valinor | 13.3%market | -2.6pp |
P
14.6
F
15.5
V
10.7
|
4.8pp | 0.949xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 650 avg 3 books |
| 77 |
Jj Bleday
CIN
Lineup pending
|
CIN vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 6 |
10.6%Valinor | 13.0%market | -2.9pp |
P
12.5
F
7.4
V
10.6
|
5.1pp | 0.953xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 645 avg 3 books |
| 78 |
Andy Pages
LAD
IN
|
LAD vs PHICristopher Sánchez · slot 7 |
11.0%Valinor | 13.4%market | -2.9pp |
P
14.1
F
11.4
V
11.0
|
3.1pp | 1.038xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 620 avg 3 books |
| 79 | IN | TB vs TORDylan Cease · slot 5 |
11.1%Valinor | 13.6%market | -3.0pp |
P
12.6
F
11.6
V
11.1
|
1.5pp | 0.949xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 605 avg 3 books |
| 80 |
Yandy Díaz
TB
IN
|
TB vs TORDylan Cease · slot 2 |
11.8%Valinor | 14.4%market | -3.1pp |
P
14.7
F
15.5
V
11.8
|
3.7pp | 0.949xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 570 avg 3 books |
| 81 | IN | TOR vs TBNick Martinez · slot 2 |
13.5%Valinor | 16.4%market | -3.4pp |
P
14.1
F
14.9
V
13.5
|
1.4pp | 0.949xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 490 avg 3 books |
| 82 |
Christian Walker
HOU
Lineup pending
|
HOU vs MIAJanson Junk · slot 4 |
14.9%Valinor | 17.7%market | -3.5pp |
P
15.4
F
13.6
V
14.9
|
1.8pp | 1.102xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 445 avg 3 books |
| 83 |
Kyle Manzardo
CLE
Lineup pending
|
CLE vs MINJoe Ryan · slot 3 |
14.0%Valinor | 17.1%market | -3.7pp |
P
15.1
F
13.4
V
14.0
|
1.8pp | 0.981xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 465 avg 3 books |
| 84 |
Daulton Varsho
TOR
IN
Triple
|
TOR vs TBNick Martinez · slot 4 |
14.0%Valinor | 17.1%market | -3.7pp |
P
13.3
F
12.2
V
14.0
|
1.8pp | 0.949xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 465 avg 3 books |
| 85 |
Kyle Tucker
LAD
Lineup pending
|
LAD vs PHICristopher Sánchez · slot 3 |
14.6%Valinor | 17.7%market | -3.8pp |
P
14.5
F
12.2
V
14.6
|
2.4pp | 1.038xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 445 avg 3 books |
| 86 | Lineup pending | AZ vs ATHJeffrey Springs · slot 1 |
13.0%Valinor | 16.4%market | -4.0pp |
P
15.6
F
14.9
V
13.0
|
2.7pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 490 avg 3 books |
| 87 |
Willy Adames
SF
IN
|
SF vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 4 |
13.6%Valinor | 17.1%market | -4.1pp |
P
16.3
F
13.6
V
13.6
|
2.7pp | 1.141xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 465 avg 3 books |
| 88 |
George Springer
TOR
IN
|
TOR vs TBNick Martinez · slot 1 |
13.5%Valinor | 17.1%market | -4.2pp |
P
15.1
F
13.4
V
13.5
|
1.7pp | 0.949xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 465 avg 3 books |
| 89 |
Kerry Carpenter
DET
IN
|
DET vs CHCJameson Taillon · slot 3 |
16.2%Valinor | 19.7%market | -4.2pp |
P
15.1
F
15.5
V
16.2
|
1.1pp | 1.074xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 390 avg 3 books |
| 90 | IN | LAD vs PHICristopher Sánchez · slot 4 |
15.0%Valinor | 18.6%market | -4.2pp |
P
14.3
F
12.2
V
15.0
|
2.8pp | 1.038xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 420 avg 3 books |
| 91 |
Michael Busch
CHC
IN
|
CHC vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 3 |
14.3%Valinor | 18.2%market | -4.6pp |
P
17.2
F
20.2
V
14.3
|
5.9pp | 1.074xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 430 avg 3 books |
| 92 | IN | SD vs ATLBryce Elder · slot 2 |
14.5%Valinor | 18.4%market | -4.6pp |
P
15.8
F
14.9
V
14.5
|
1.4pp | 1.088xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 425 avg 3 books |
| 93 |
Julio Rodríguez
SEA
Lineup pending
|
SEA vs CINAndrew Abbott · slot 1 |
14.3%Valinor | 18.2%market | -4.6pp |
P
16.2
F
14.9
V
14.3
|
2.0pp | 0.953xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 430 avg 3 books |
| 94 |
Matt Olson
ATL
IN
Triple
|
ATL vs SDJp Sears · slot 2 |
16.4%Valinor | 20.3%market | -4.7pp |
P
16.5
F
14.9
V
16.4
|
1.6pp | 1.088xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 375 avg 3 books |
| 95 |
Bryce Harper
PHI
IN
|
PHI vs LADEmmet Sheehan · slot 2 |
14.6%Valinor | 19.1%market | -5.2pp |
P
17.1
F
15.5
V
14.6
|
2.4pp | 1.038xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 405 avg 3 books |
| 96 |
Matt Wallner
MIN
Lineup pending
|
MIN vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 2 |
14.7%Valinor | 19.5%market | -5.5pp |
P
14.3
F
14.9
V
14.7
|
0.6pp | 0.981xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 395 avg 3 books |
| 97 |
Yordan Alvarez
HOU
IN
|
HOU vs MIAJanson Junk · slot 2 |
15.5%Valinor | 20.3%market | -5.6pp |
P
15.0
F
14.9
V
15.5
|
0.6pp | 1.102xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 375 avg 3 books |
| 98 |
Jake Burger
TEX
IN
|
TEX vs CWSErick Fedde · slot 4 |
13.5%Valinor | 18.8%market | -5.9pp |
P
12.9
F
12.2
V
13.5
|
1.3pp | 1.207xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 415 avg 3 books |
| 99 |
Byron Buxton
MIN
IN
Triple
|
MIN vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 3 |
14.7%Valinor | 20.5%market | -6.6pp |
P
14.2
F
14.9
V
14.7
|
0.7pp | 0.981xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 370 avg 3 books |
| 100 | IN | SF vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 2 |
14.2%Valinor | 20.3%market | -6.8pp |
P
16.6
F
13.6
V
14.2
|
3.0pp | 1.141xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 375 avg 3 books |
| 101 |
Ketel Marte
AZ
Lineup pending
|
AZ vs ATHJeffrey Springs · slot 2 |
14.1%Valinor | 20.8%market | -7.4pp |
P
16.1
F
15.5
V
14.1
|
2.0pp | 0.998xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 365 avg 3 books |
| 102 |
Marcell Ozuna
PIT
IN
|
PIT vs NYYRyan Weathers · slot 2 |
14.0%Valinor | 21.5%market | -8.2pp |
P
15.3
F
12.2
V
14.0
|
3.1pp | 1.045xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 350 avg 3 books |
| 103 |
Eugenio Suárez
CIN
Lineup pending
|
CIN vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 3 |
13.4%Valinor | 21.2%market | -8.6pp |
P
13.5
F
11.6
V
13.4
|
1.9pp | 0.953xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 355 avg 3 books |
| 104 |
Juan Soto
NYM
IN
|
NYM vs MILJacob Misiorowski · slot 1 |
13.5%Valinor | 23.6%market | -10.9pp |
P
17.4
F
22.3
V
13.5
|
8.7pp | 1.149xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 310 avg 3 books |
| 105 | IN | CWS vs TEXJacob deGrom · slot 3 |
11.7%Valinor | 22.7%market | -11.8pp |
P
14.8
F
12.2
V
11.7
|
3.1pp | 1.207xHR pf | Hitter-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 DraftKings 325 avg 3 books |
Data context
780 sample flagsStatus1858roster/transaction rows
Lineups216confirmed starters
Triple8cross-domain rows
Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.