Mithrandir Metrics

STRIKEOUTS 2026-09-11 · saved artifact ROWS 20 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist

Lane Health 2026-09-11

Palantir 1750 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.010 14d stable

Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building

Valinor 1246 props Brier 0.249 ECE 0.020 14d stable

Model Lane

Strikeouts

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Strikeouts board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	K proj	5+	6+	7+	Opp K%	Recent K%	Best line
01	Cade CavalliWSH	WSH vs LAAneutral	P 11.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 6.5 4 of 5	88.5%Under prob · Palantir	46.3%no-vig	+1.48%	3.83count	34.1%ladder	20.6%ladder	11.5%ladder	25.4%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -132 avg 1 books
02	Matthew LiberatoreSTL	STL vs CWSneutral	P 20.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 5.5	79.8%Under prob · Palantir	52.1%no-vig	+0.93%	3.80count	33.5%ladder	20.2%ladder	11.2%ladder	23.4%lineup	0.0%form	DraftKings -103 avg 1 books
03	Drew RasmussenTB	TB vs HOUneutral	P 26.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 5.5 3 of 5	73.7%Under prob · Palantir	52.4%no-vig	+9.15%	4.22count	40.8%ladder	26.3%ladder	15.7%ladder	20.3%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -102 avg 1 books
04	Dustin MayMIL	MIL vs CINneutral	P 32.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 5.5 3 of 5	67.4%Under prob · Palantir	46.7%no-vig	+2.25%	4.63count	47.8%ladder	32.6%ladder	20.7%ladder	23.9%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -130 avg 1 books
05	Max ScherzerTOR	TOR vs BALneutral	P 24.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 5.5 3 of 5	75.2%Under prob · Palantir	57.5%no-vig	+10.87%	4.12count	39.1%ladder	24.8%ladder	14.6%ladder	23.0%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel 122 avg 1 books
06	Ryan GustoMIA	MIA vs LADneutral	P 64.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 3.5 1 of 3	64.3%Over prob · Palantir	49.6%no-vig	+2.58%	4.61count	47.4%ladder	32.3%ladder	20.4%ladder	21.6%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -111 avg 1 books
07	Shota ImanagaCHC	CHC vs PITneutral	P 30.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 6.5 4 of 5	69.6%Under prob · Palantir	55.9%no-vig	+6.25%	5.36count	58.9%ladder	43.8%ladder	30.4%ladder	24.1%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel 114 avg 1 books
08	Yusei KikuchiLAA	LAA vs WSHneutral	P 37.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 5.5 3 of 5	62.6%Under prob · Palantir	50.4%no-vig	+2.69%	4.94count	52.7%ladder	37.4%ladder	24.7%ladder	20.9%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -111 avg 1 books
09	Seth LugoKC	KC vs BOSneutral	P 51.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 4.5 2 of 4	51.1%Over prob · Palantir	40.3%no-vig	+1.12%	4.84count	51.1%ladder	35.8%ladder	23.4%ladder	23.5%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel 134 avg 1 books
10	Chris SaleATL	ATL vs PHIneutral	P 37.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 7.5 4 of 4	62.7%Under prob · Palantir	52.4%no-vig	+0.25%	6.79count	75.7%ladder	63.0%ladder	49.8%ladder	22.4%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -102 avg 1 books
11	Aaron NolaPHI	PHI vs ATLneutral	P 41.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 5.5 3 of 5	59.0%Under prob · Palantir	50.4%no-vig	+8.96%	5.18count	56.3%ladder	41.0%ladder	28.0%ladder	22.4%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -111 avg 1 books
12	Robbie RaySD	SD vs SFpitcher-friendly	P 58.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 4.5	58.5%Over prob · Palantir	50.0%no-vig	+6.70%	5.33count	58.5%ladder	43.3%ladder	30.0%ladder	23.6%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -113 avg 1 books
13	George KirbySEA	SEA vs ATHneutral	P 62.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 4.5	62.5%Over prob · Palantir	54.4%no-vig	+2.43%	5.62count	62.5%ladder	47.6%ladder	34.0%ladder	24.1%lineup	0.0%form	DraftKings -136 avg 1 books
14	Jeffrey SpringsATH	ATH vs SEAneutral	P 64.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 3.5 1 of 2	64.9%Over prob · Palantir	57.2%no-vig	+1.93%	4.65count	48.1%ladder	32.9%ladder	21.0%ladder	25.1%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -154 avg 1 books
15	Carlos RodónNYY	NYY vs NYMhitter-friendly	P 50.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 5.5	50.8%Over prob · Palantir	44.1%no-vig	+0.85%	5.85count	65.5%ladder	50.8%ladder	37.2%ladder	21.9%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel 114 avg 1 books
16	Framber ValdezDET	DET vs COLneutral	P 63.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 4.5 2 of 5	63.1%Over prob · Palantir	58.3%no-vig	+1.70%	5.67count	63.1%ladder	48.3%ladder	34.7%ladder	26.1%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -162 avg 1 books
17	Chris BassittBAL	BAL vs TORneutral	P 51.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 3.5 1 of 3	51.3%Over prob · Palantir	48.1%no-vig	+1.30%	3.82count	33.9%ladder	20.5%ladder	11.4%ladder	19.4%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -104 avg 1 books
18	Andrew AbbottCIN	CIN vs MILneutral	P 54.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 3.5 1 of 4	45.5%Under prob · Palantir	42.5%no-vig	+12.96%	4.00count	37.0%ladder	23.1%ladder	13.3%ladder	22.1%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -156 avg 1 books
19	Taj BradleyMIN	MIN vs CLEneutral	P 57.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 5.5 2 of 2	42.4%Under prob · Palantir	55.3%no-vig	+7.60%	5.27count	57.6%ladder	42.4%ladder	29.2%ladder	20.8%lineup	0.0%form	BetMGM -160 avg 1 books
20	Sonny GrayBOS	BOS vs KCneutral	P 42.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 5.5 3 of 5	57.8%Under prob · Palantir	55.9%no-vig	+7.75%	5.26count	57.5%ladder	42.2%ladder	29.0%ladder	19.9%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel 114 avg 1 books