Mithrandir Metrics

TOTAL BASES 2026-07-14 · saved artifact ROWS 18 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist LINES 0.5

Lane Health 2026-09-02

Palantir 8613 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.047 14d error rising

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Total Bases

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Total Bases board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	TB proj	2+ TB	Hits	TB mult	Best line
01	Freddie FreemanNL	NL vs ALDylan Cease	P 70.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	29.1%Under prob · Palantir	16.4%no-vig	-0.98%	2.7446count	0.693prob	1.4545proj	1.007context	BetMGM -510 avg 1 books
02	Bobby Witt Jr.AL	AL vs NLCristopher Sánchez	P 70.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	29.6%Under prob · Palantir	16.9%no-vig	-1.01%	2.7162count	0.692prob	1.4155proj	1.007context	BetMGM -490 avg 1 books
03	Yordan AlvarezAL	AL vs NLCristopher Sánchez	P 69.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	30.1%Under prob · Palantir	17.7%no-vig	-1.02%	2.8396count	0.6896prob	1.4087proj	1.007context	BetMGM -465 avg 1 books
04	Juan SotoNL	NL vs ALDylan Cease	P 67.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	32.4%Under prob · Palantir	20.8%no-vig	-1.09%	2.824count	0.6835prob	1.2966proj	1.007context	BetMGM -380 avg 1 books
05	Junior CamineroAL	AL vs NLCristopher Sánchez	P 67.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	32.5%Under prob · Palantir	21.1%no-vig	-0.92%	2.7355count	0.665prob	1.284proj	1.007context	BetMGM -375 avg 1 books
06	Cj AbramsNL	NL vs ALDylan Cease	P 66.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	33.8%Under prob · Palantir	22.7%no-vig	-1.11%	2.3078count	0.62prob	1.2256proj	1.007context	BetMGM -340 avg 1 books
07	Cody BellingerAL	AL vs NLCristopher Sánchez	P 66.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	33.8%Under prob · Palantir	23.0%no-vig	-0.88%	2.2156count	0.5837prob	1.2069proj	1.007context	BetMGM -335 avg 1 books
08	Drake BaldwinNL	NL vs ALDylan Cease	P 65.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	34.4%Under prob · Palantir	23.5%no-vig	-1.07%	2.2576count	0.5953prob	1.1794proj	1.007context	BetMGM -325 avg 1 books
09	Shea LangeliersAL	AL vs NLCristopher Sánchez	P 65.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	34.1%Under prob · Palantir	23.3%no-vig	-0.91%	2.6302count	0.655prob	1.221proj	1.007context	BetMGM -330 avg 1 books
10	Brandon MarshNL	NL vs ALDylan Cease	P 65.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	34.5%Under prob · Palantir	23.8%no-vig	-0.96%	2.1411count	0.5882prob	1.1776proj	1.007context	BetMGM -320 avg 1 books
11	Ozzie AlbiesNL	NL vs ALDylan Cease	P 65.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	34.7%Under prob · Palantir	24.1%no-vig	-0.93%	2.126count	0.5745prob	1.1732proj	1.007context	BetMGM -315 avg 1 books
12	Kyle SchwarberNL	NL vs ALDylan Cease	P 64.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	35.8%Under prob · Palantir	25.6%no-vig	-0.94%	2.8306count	0.6808prob	1.1577proj	1.007context	BetMGM -290 avg 1 books
13	Mike TroutAL	AL vs NLCristopher Sánchez	P 64.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	35.8%Under prob · Palantir	25.6%no-vig	-0.90%	2.4283count	0.6112prob	1.159proj	1.007context	BetMGM -290 avg 1 books
14	Ernie ClementAL	AL vs NLCristopher Sánchez	P 63.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	36.1%Under prob · Palantir	26.0%no-vig	-1.01%	1.7935count	0.5011prob	1.1141proj	1.007context	BetMGM -285 avg 1 books
15	Riley GreeneAL	AL vs NLCristopher Sánchez	P 63.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	36.8%Under prob · Palantir	27.0%no-vig	-0.88%	2.1341count	0.5716prob	1.0909proj	1.007context	BetMGM -270 avg 1 books
16	Andy PagesNL	NL vs ALDylan Cease	P 62.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	37.5%Under prob · Palantir	27.8%no-vig	-1.02%	1.9174count	0.5185prob	1.0681proj	1.007context	BetMGM -260 avg 1 books
17	Max MuncyNL	NL vs ALDylan Cease	P 61.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	38.1%Under prob · Palantir	28.6%no-vig	-1.15%	2.4087count	0.6303prob	1.0576proj	1.007context	BetMGM -250 avg 1 books
18	Ben RiceAL	AL vs NLCristopher Sánchez	P 61.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 3	38.2%Under prob · Palantir	29.0%no-vig	-0.87%	2.2167count	0.6022prob	1.0426proj	1.007context	BetMGM -245 avg 1 books