The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (288+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Ortiz, Joey in signal, the comp in amber.
MIL · bats R · 365 PA
Ranked comps for Ortiz, Joey
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Taveras, Leody BAL · L · 445 PA | 0.70 | xwOBA on contactWalk rateBarrel rate | Ground-ball rate -1.2zStrikeout rate +1.1zPull rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Gonzales, Nick PIT · R · 547 PA | 0.66 | Ground-ball rateFly-ball rateHard-hit rate | Sweet-spot rate +2.0zMax exit velocity -0.9zWalk rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Rengifo, Luis MIL · L · 374 PA | 0.66 | Walk rateChase rateHard-hit rate | Sprint speed -1.5zPull rate +1.3zMax exit velocity -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Chapman, Matt SF · R · 364 PA | 0.65 | Sweet-spot rateFly-ball ratexwOBA on contact | Pull rate +1.5zGround-ball rate -1.1zIn-zone contact -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Cronenworth, Jake SD · L · 356 PA | 0.64 | In-zone contactFly-ball rateWalk rate | Sweet-spot rate +1.2zMax exit velocity -1.2zSwing length -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Lopez, Otto MIA · R · 597 PA | 0.63 | Oppo rateGround-ball rateWhiff rate | Swing length -1.7zWalk rate -1.5zSweet-spot rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Turner, Trea PHI · R · 615 PA | 0.62 | Isolated powerBat speedxwOBA on contact | Whiff rate +1.3zSweet-spot rate +1.1zFly-ball rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Garcia, Maikel KC · R · 319 PA | 0.59 | Isolated powerFly-ball rateBarrel rate | Sweet-spot rate +1.7zChase rate -1.2zAvg exit velocity +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Winn, Masyn STL · R · 507 PA | 0.59 | Pull rateWalk rateHard-hit rate | Sweet-spot rate +1.7zMax exit velocity -1.4zGround-ball rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Herrera, Iván STL · R · 620 PA | 0.59 | Max exit velocityStrikeout rateBat speed | Sprint speed -2.3zPull rate +1.3zOppo rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Triolo, Jared PIT · R · 336 PA | 0.58 | xwOBA on contactHard-hit rateSwing length | Sweet-spot rate +1.4zMax exit velocity -1.3zPull rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Crawford, Justin PHI · L · 421 PA | 0.54 | Hard-hit rateStrikeout ratexwOBA on contact | Bat speed -1.5zSwing length -1.3zChase rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.