The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Crawford, Justin in signal, the comp in amber.
PHI · bats L · 417 PA
Ranked comps for Crawford, Justin
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Williamson, Ben TB · R · 290 PA | 0.80 | Max exit velocityBarrel ratexwOBA on contact | Sprint speed -1.2zChase rate -1.0zFly-ball rate -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Mangum, Jake PIT · L · 428 PA | 0.69 | xwOBA on contactSweet-spot rateIsolated power | Chase rate +1.3zHard-hit rate -1.1zAvg exit velocity -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Freeman, Tyler COL · R · 292 PA | 0.62 | Barrel rateHard-hit rateOppo rate | Sprint speed -1.5zChase rate -1.3zGround-ball rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Gonzales, Nick PIT · R · 547 PA | 0.60 | Isolated powerStrikeout rateWalk rate | Sweet-spot rate +1.6zSwing length +1.2zPull rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Ortiz, Joey MIL · R · 364 PA | 0.55 | Hard-hit rateStrikeout ratexwOBA on contact | Bat speed +1.5zSwing length +1.3zGround-ball rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Cronenworth, Jake SD · L · 351 PA | 0.53 | Avg exit velocityMax exit velocityxwOBA on contact | Ground-ball rate -1.6zChase rate -1.4zOppo rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Lukes, Nathan TOR · L · 381 PA | 0.53 | Walk ratexwOBA on contactWhiff rate | Sprint speed -2.1zSwing length -1.4zOppo rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Rengifo, Luis MIL · L · 374 PA | 0.50 | Max exit velocitySweet-spot rateIn-zone contact | Sprint speed -2.0zPull rate +1.7zOppo rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Triolo, Jared PIT · R · 336 PA | 0.47 | Hard-hit rateAvg exit velocityIn-zone contact | Chase rate -1.9zOppo rate -1.8zPull rate +1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Hamilton, David MIL · L · 353 PA | 0.46 | Oppo ratexwOBA on contactSweet-spot rate | Avg exit velocity -1.9zFly-ball rate +1.6zGround-ball rate -1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Lopez, Otto MIA · R · 593 PA | 0.45 | Swing lengthWhiff rateWalk rate | Barrel rate +1.8zMax exit velocity +1.3zGround-ball rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Church, Nathan STL · L · 400 PA | 0.44 | Strikeout ratexwOBA on contactBat speed | Ground-ball rate -2.2zBarrel rate +1.5zPull rate +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.