The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Crawford, Justin in signal, the comp in amber.

PHI · bats L · 489 PA

Ranked comps for Crawford, Justin

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Mangum, Jake PIT · L · 496 PA 0.66 Sprint speedFly-ball ratexwOBA on contact Oppo rate +1.6zChase rate +1.2zHard-hit rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Lukes, Nathan TOR · L · 467 PA 0.60 xwOBA on contactAvg exit velocityWalk rate Sprint speed -2.0zSwing length -1.4zGround-ball rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Gonzales, Nick PIT · R · 626 PA 0.60 Isolated powerMax exit velocityHard-hit rate Sweet-spot rate +1.7zGround-ball rate -1.4zSwing length +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Ortiz, Joey MIL · R · 453 PA 0.57 Hard-hit ratePull rateSweet-spot rate Bat speed +1.6zGround-ball rate -1.5zSwing length +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Cronenworth, Jake SD · L · 464 PA 0.56 Avg exit velocityMax exit velocityIsolated power Ground-ball rate -2.0zChase rate -1.5zSprint speed -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Rengifo, Luis MIL · L · 374 PA 0.55 Max exit velocityIsolated powerSweet-spot rate Sprint speed -1.9zPull rate +1.3zWalk rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Triolo, Jared PIT · R · 376 PA 0.53 xwOBA on contactBarrel rateAvg exit velocity Chase rate -1.9zGround-ball rate -1.4zSwing length +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Church, Nathan STL · L · 487 PA 0.48 xwOBA on contactBat speedWalk rate Ground-ball rate -2.5zSweet-spot rate +1.7zFly-ball rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Lopez, Otto MIA · R · 703 PA 0.47 Walk rateOppo rateWhiff rate Ground-ball rate -1.5zBarrel rate +1.5zMax exit velocity +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Hamilton, David MIL · L · 417 PA 0.45 xwOBA on contactSprint speedMax exit velocity Avg exit velocity -1.9zGround-ball rate -1.8zFly-ball rate +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Frelick, Sal MIL · L · 423 PA 0.45 Isolated powerBarrel rateSwing length Chase rate -2.0zGround-ball rate -1.4zPull rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Montgomery, Braden CWS · L · 389 PA 0.43 Ground-ball rateMax exit velocitySweet-spot rate Whiff rate +2.2zIn-zone contact -1.6zWalk rate +1.5z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.