The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Herrera, Iván in signal, the comp in amber.

STL · bats R · 725 PA

Ranked comps for Herrera, Iván

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Sheets, Gavin SD · L · 442 PA 0.79 Sweet-spot rateStrikeout rateHard-hit rate Isolated power +1.3zFly-ball rate +0.7zIn-zone contact +0.5z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Springer, George TOR · R · 536 PA 0.78 In-zone contactSweet-spot rateStrikeout rate Fly-ball rate +1.2zOppo rate -1.0zGround-ball rate -0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Bogaerts, Xander SD · R · 646 PA 0.76 Barrel rateMax exit velocityAvg exit velocity Sweet-spot rate -0.9zChase rate -0.9zPull rate +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Chapman, Matt SF · R · 364 PA 0.72 Walk rateIsolated powerBarrel rate Sprint speed +1.5zBat speed +1.0zSweet-spot rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Vaughn, Andrew MIL · R · 363 PA 0.72 Walk rateIsolated powerBarrel rate Oppo rate +1.2zSwing length -1.2zPull rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Contreras, William MIL · R · 688 PA 0.70 In-zone contactChase rateSprint speed Ground-ball rate -1.3zFly-ball rate +1.2zBarrel rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Butler, Lawrence ATH · L · 554 PA 0.69 Avg exit velocityBat speedMax exit velocity Swing length -1.5zIn-zone contact -1.3zStrikeout rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 492 PA 0.68 Hard-hit rateAvg exit velocityBat speed Sprint speed +1.5zFly-ball rate +1.2zSweet-spot rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Cortes, Carlos ATH · L · 392 PA 0.68 Sprint speedBarrel rateChase rate Swing length -1.5zSweet-spot rate +1.3zWalk rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Bell, Josh MIN · L · 650 PA 0.68 Hard-hit rateStrikeout rateSprint speed Fly-ball rate +1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.1zGround-ball rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 474 PA 0.68 Isolated powerWhiff ratePull rate Walk rate -1.4zSwing length -1.0zFly-ball rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Machado, Manny SD · R · 713 PA 0.65 Max exit velocityPull rateAvg exit velocity Fly-ball rate +1.5zGround-ball rate -1.3zBarrel rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.