The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Contreras, Willson in signal, the comp in amber.

BOS · bats R · 560 PA

Ranked comps for Contreras, Willson

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Mayo, Coby BAL · R · 468 PA 0.73 xwOBA on contactBarrel rateIsolated power Fly-ball rate +1.4zSwing length -1.2zWalk rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Canzone, Dominic SEA · L · 548 PA 0.69 Hard-hit rateFly-ball rateChase rate Swing length -1.0zGround-ball rate +1.0zPull rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 650 PA 0.67 Sweet-spot ratePull rateBarrel rate Bat speed -1.3zMax exit velocity -1.2zFly-ball rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Ohtani, Shohei LAD · L · 662 PA 0.67 Strikeout rateWhiff ratePull rate Avg exit velocity +1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.3zHard-hit rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Harper, Bryce PHI · L · 715 PA 0.66 In-zone contactSprint speedWhiff rate Walk rate +1.4zSwing length -1.2zPull rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Goodman, Hunter COL · R · 599 PA 0.66 Sprint speedMax exit velocityHard-hit rate Swing length -1.2zFly-ball rate +1.2zWalk rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Burger, Jake TEX · R · 638 PA 0.64 Sprint speedBarrel rateHard-hit rate Sweet-spot rate -1.6zxwOBA on contact -1.3zIsolated power -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Langeliers, Shea ATH · R · 480 PA 0.62 Hard-hit rateChase rateBat speed Pull rate -1.7zSwing length -1.4zWalk rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Crow-Armstrong, Pete CHC · L · 742 PA 0.61 Avg exit velocityBarrel rateChase rate Sprint speed +1.7zGround-ball rate -1.2zFly-ball rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 675 PA 0.60 Avg exit velocityIsolated powerFly-ball rate Max exit velocity -1.9zBat speed -1.2zxwOBA on contact -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Caglianone, Jac KC · L · 562 PA 0.60 Sweet-spot ratePull rateMax exit velocity Walk rate -1.8zAvg exit velocity +1.3zHard-hit rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Montgomery, Colson CWS · L · 688 PA 0.60 Bat speedPull rateChase rate Strikeout rate +1.8zFly-ball rate +1.1zGround-ball rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.