The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (290+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Wells, Austin in signal, the comp in amber.

NYY · bats L · 341 PA

Ranked comps for Wells, Austin

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Manzardo, Kyle CLE · L · 378 PA 0.73 Fly-ball rateMax exit velocityWalk rate Barrel rate +1.0zOppo rate -0.9zStrikeout rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Yastrzemski, Mike ATL · L · 357 PA 0.70 Barrel rateOppo ratexwOBA on contact Max exit velocity -1.3zWhiff rate -0.9zSprint speed +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
03 McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 331 PA 0.68 Sprint speedChase rateFly-ball rate Oppo rate +1.3zxwOBA on contact +0.9zPull rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Schneemann, Daniel CLE · L · 290 PA 0.67 Isolated powerBarrel rateSweet-spot rate Sprint speed +1.3zGround-ball rate +1.3zSwing length -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Tucker, Kyle LAD · L · 552 PA 0.67 Fly-ball rateIsolated powerAvg exit velocity Strikeout rate -1.5zWhiff rate -1.1zIn-zone contact +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Swanson, Dansby CHC · R · 478 PA 0.65 Swing lengthxwOBA on contactMax exit velocity Sprint speed +1.8zIsolated power +1.2zGround-ball rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Lewis, Royce MIN · R · 447 PA 0.64 Sweet-spot rateOppo rateIn-zone contact Sprint speed +1.4zBarrel rate +1.3zSwing length +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Adames, Willy SF · R · 517 PA 0.63 Bat speedFly-ball rateWhiff rate Sprint speed +1.5zSwing length +1.4zIsolated power +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Lindor, Francisco NYM · L · 375 PA 0.63 Chase rateWalk rateBat speed Sweet-spot rate -1.5zStrikeout rate -1.3zIsolated power +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Suárez, Eugenio CIN · R · 438 PA 0.63 Avg exit velocityChase rateSprint speed Isolated power +1.5zSweet-spot rate +1.4zStrikeout rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Benintendi, Andrew CWS · L · 432 PA 0.61 Avg exit velocityWhiff rateHard-hit rate Pull rate +1.2zSwing length -1.2zIsolated power +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Castro, Willi COL · L · 498 PA 0.61 Strikeout rateBat speedWhiff rate Sprint speed +1.7zChase rate +1.5zMax exit velocity +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.