The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Busch, Michael in signal, the comp in amber.

CHC · bats L · 626 PA

Ranked comps for Busch, Michael

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Tucker, Kyle LAD · L · 547 PA 0.74 Chase rateWalk rateAvg exit velocity Max exit velocity -0.8zBat speed +0.8zStrikeout rate -0.8z
02 Aranda, Jonathan TB · L · 598 PA 0.74 Strikeout rateIn-zone contactSprint speed Avg exit velocity +1.1zWhiff rate -0.9zPull rate -0.9z
03 Karros, Kyle COL · R · 424 PA 0.66 Isolated powerSwing lengthxwOBA on contact Fly-ball rate -1.9zSweet-spot rate +1.5zSprint speed +0.8z
04 McLain, Matt CIN · R · 443 PA 0.66 Fly-ball rateWhiff rateChase rate Sprint speed +2.1zSweet-spot rate +1.2zBat speed +0.9z
05 O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 419 PA 0.66 Ground-ball ratePull ratexwOBA on contact Walk rate -1.6zMax exit velocity -1.0zChase rate +1.0z
06 Freeman, Freddie LAD · L · 593 PA 0.64 Barrel rateIn-zone contactIsolated power Sweet-spot rate +1.5zFly-ball rate -1.4zStrikeout rate -1.1z
07 Rutschman, Adley BAL · L · 358 PA 0.64 Swing lengthGround-ball rateIsolated power Whiff rate -1.7zStrikeout rate -1.2zSweet-spot rate +1.2z
08 Bazzana, Travis CLE · L · 444 PA 0.63 Swing lengthPull rateChase rate Sprint speed +1.8zSweet-spot rate -1.4zFly-ball rate -1.3z
09 Smith, Dominic ATL · L · 302 PA 0.60 Ground-ball rateSprint speedSweet-spot rate Walk rate -1.7zStrikeout rate -1.3zChase rate +1.0z
10 Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 527 PA 0.60 Avg exit velocityWalk rateHard-hit rate Bat speed +1.6zSprint speed +1.4zIsolated power +1.2z
11 Wells, Austin NYY · L · 335 PA 0.59 Avg exit velocitySprint speedMax exit velocity Swing length +1.5zBat speed +1.4zPull rate +1.3z
12 Larnach, Trevor MIN · L · 416 PA 0.59 In-zone contactIsolated powerBarrel rate Fly-ball rate -1.9zOppo rate -1.6zBat speed +1.3z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.