The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (288+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Adames, Willy in signal, the comp in amber.

SF · bats R · 517 PA

Ranked comps for Adames, Willy

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Lewis, Royce MIN · R · 442 PA 0.76 Sprint speedOppo ratePull rate Max exit velocity +1.1zFly-ball rate -0.9zSweet-spot rate -0.8z
02 Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 586 PA 0.68 Bat speedBarrel rateWhiff rate Swing length -1.3zSweet-spot rate -1.1zOppo rate +0.9z
03 Torkelson, Spencer DET · R · 546 PA 0.66 Ground-ball rateIn-zone contactPull rate Chase rate -1.6zWalk rate +1.1zSweet-spot rate +1.1z
04 Suárez, Eugenio CIN · R · 438 PA 0.66 Isolated powerxwOBA on contactPull rate Sprint speed -1.4zStrikeout rate +1.2zWalk rate +1.2z
05 Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 557 PA 0.65 Fly-ball rateBat speedOppo rate Max exit velocity +1.2zSprint speed -1.1zAvg exit velocity +1.0z
06 Semien, Marcus NYM · R · 480 PA 0.63 Sweet-spot rateWalk rateSprint speed Bat speed -1.4zIsolated power -1.2zStrikeout rate -1.1z
07 Wells, Austin NYY · L · 338 PA 0.61 Fly-ball rateBat speedOppo rate Sprint speed -1.5zSwing length -1.4zIsolated power -1.4z
08 Lowe, Josh LAA · L · 306 PA 0.61 Avg exit velocityWalk rateMax exit velocity Swing length -1.9zPull rate -1.3zIn-zone contact -1.3z
09 Merrill, Jackson SD · L · 587 PA 0.61 Sweet-spot rateIn-zone contactWalk rate Swing length -1.7zChase rate +1.0zHard-hit rate +1.0z
10 Moniak, Mickey COL · L · 389 PA 0.60 Whiff rateGround-ball rateStrikeout rate Chase rate +1.8zSweet-spot rate -1.5zIsolated power +0.9z
11 Neto, Zach LAA · R · 612 PA 0.59 Isolated powerIn-zone contactSprint speed Swing length -2.7zChase rate +1.0zWhiff rate +0.7z
12 Yastrzemski, Mike ATL · L · 357 PA 0.58 Oppo ratexwOBA on contactPull rate Swing length -1.8zWhiff rate -1.0zAvg exit velocity +1.0z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.