The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Adames, Willy in signal, the comp in amber.
SF · bats R · 517 PA
Ranked comps for Adames, Willy
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Carrigg, Cole COL · L · 380 PA | 0.73 | Bat speedPull rateIsolated power | Swing length -1.8zFly-ball rate -0.8zGround-ball rate +0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Lewis, Royce MIN · R · 532 PA | 0.73 | Walk rateHard-hit ratexwOBA on contact | Max exit velocity +1.1zIsolated power -1.0zSweet-spot rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 675 PA | 0.70 | Whiff rateBat speedIn-zone contact | Swing length -1.3zFly-ball rate -0.9zSweet-spot rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Suárez, Eugenio CIN · R · 510 PA | 0.67 | Fly-ball rateGround-ball rateBarrel rate | Walk rate +1.2zSprint speed -1.2zStrikeout rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 650 PA | 0.64 | Fly-ball rateBat speedStrikeout rate | Max exit velocity +1.2zAvg exit velocity +1.1zSprint speed -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Wells, Austin NYY · L · 418 PA | 0.62 | Fly-ball rateBat speedOppo rate | Swing length -1.6zWalk rate +1.6zSprint speed -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Torkelson, Spencer DET · R · 634 PA | 0.62 | Pull rateMax exit velocityGround-ball rate | Chase rate -1.7zWalk rate +1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Moniak, Mickey COL · L · 451 PA | 0.60 | Ground-ball rateWhiff rateMax exit velocity | Chase rate +2.1zSweet-spot rate -1.3zSwing length -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Neto, Zach LAA · R · 721 PA | 0.58 | Isolated powerIn-zone contactPull rate | Swing length -2.7zWalk rate +0.9zChase rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Bellinger, Cody NYY · L · 599 PA | 0.56 | Max exit velocityChase ratePull rate | Strikeout rate -2.0zWhiff rate -1.6zIn-zone contact +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Yastrzemski, Mike ATL · L · 433 PA | 0.56 | Oppo ratePull rateHard-hit rate | Swing length -1.9zSweet-spot rate -1.1zWhiff rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Peña, Jeremy HOU · R · 493 PA | 0.56 | Hard-hit rateOppo rateBat speed | Swing length -1.6zGround-ball rate +1.6zFly-ball rate -1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.