The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. McMahon, Ryan in signal, the comp in amber.
NYY · bats L · 326 PA
Ranked comps for McMahon, Ryan
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Riley, Austin ATL · R · 557 PA | 0.80 | Max exit velocitySweet-spot rateOppo rate | Sprint speed +1.4zBat speed +0.7zGround-ball rate -0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Baty, Brett NYM · L · 430 PA | 0.77 | Chase rateBarrel rateOppo rate | Sweet-spot rate +0.9zFly-ball rate -0.9zHard-hit rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Alvarez, Francisco NYM · R · 364 PA | 0.72 | Pull rateSweet-spot rateSwing length | Oppo rate -1.3zBarrel rate +1.0zWalk rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 382 PA | 0.69 | Fly-ball rateBat speedSprint speed | Walk rate +1.9zIsolated power +0.8zxwOBA on contact +0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Sánchez, Jesús TOR · L · 305 PA | 0.68 | Max exit velocityAvg exit velocityxwOBA on contact | Strikeout rate -1.2zChase rate +1.2zSwing length -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Walker, Christian HOU · R · 556 PA | 0.68 | Sprint speedBat speedWalk rate | Isolated power +1.2zStrikeout rate -1.1zHard-hit rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Burger, Jake TEX · R · 535 PA | 0.67 | Walk ratePull rateHard-hit rate | Chase rate +1.1zSweet-spot rate -1.1zSprint speed +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Wells, Austin NYY · L · 335 PA | 0.67 | Chase rateSweet-spot rateIn-zone contact | Oppo rate -1.1zWalk rate +1.1zAvg exit velocity -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Greene, Riley DET · L · 515 PA | 0.66 | Hard-hit rateIn-zone contactSwing length | Walk rate +1.5zSweet-spot rate +1.4zxwOBA on contact +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Jensen, Carter KC · L · 531 PA | 0.65 | Bat speedAvg exit velocityBarrel rate | Sprint speed +1.4zWalk rate +1.4zFly-ball rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Machado, Manny SD · R · 584 PA | 0.64 | Max exit velocityChase rateBarrel rate | Swing length +1.4zStrikeout rate -1.4zWalk rate +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Devers, Rafael SF · L · 590 PA | 0.64 | Ground-ball rateSprint speedxwOBA on contact | Isolated power +1.7zIn-zone contact -1.3zPull rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.