The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (290+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Carter, Evan in signal, the comp in amber.

TEX · bats L · 405 PA

Ranked comps for Carter, Evan

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Bazzana, Travis CLE · L · 446 PA 0.70 Swing lengthOppo rateWalk rate Max exit velocity +1.6zAvg exit velocity +1.1zChase rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Norby, Connor MIA · R · 319 PA 0.67 Swing lengthPull rateHard-hit rate Sweet-spot rate +1.2zFly-ball rate +1.1zAvg exit velocity +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Collins, Isaac KC · L · 468 PA 0.63 Isolated powerWalk rateBarrel rate In-zone contact +1.5zWhiff rate -1.1zAvg exit velocity +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Holliday, Jackson BAL · L · 310 PA 0.60 Sprint speedSwing lengthHard-hit rate Sweet-spot rate +2.4zFly-ball rate -1.1zMax exit velocity -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Taveras, Leody BAL · L · 449 PA 0.60 Avg exit velocityBarrel rateSweet-spot rate Chase rate +1.8zMax exit velocity +1.6zFly-ball rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Gelof, Zack ATH · R · 350 PA 0.59 Sprint speedOppo rateStrikeout rate Isolated power +1.4zBat speed +1.4zWalk rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Mullins, Cedric TB · L · 470 PA 0.56 Oppo rateAvg exit velocityBarrel rate Chase rate +1.7zGround-ball rate -1.5zPull rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Tucker, Kyle LAD · L · 552 PA 0.55 Oppo rateMax exit velocityHard-hit rate Sprint speed -1.7zAvg exit velocity +1.6zSweet-spot rate +1.5z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Walls, Taylor TB · L · 405 PA 0.54 Strikeout rateMax exit velocityPull rate Hard-hit rate -1.6zBat speed -1.6zAvg exit velocity -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Thomas, Lane KC · R · 387 PA 0.53 Strikeout rateChase rateSprint speed Avg exit velocity +1.8zSweet-spot rate +1.6zFly-ball rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Young, Jacob WSH · R · 439 PA 0.53 Ground-ball rateSwing lengthSprint speed Sweet-spot rate +2.0zWalk rate -1.3zStrikeout rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Marsee, Jakob MIA · L · 539 PA 0.53 Hard-hit ratexwOBA on contactIsolated power In-zone contact +2.0zWhiff rate -1.5zFly-ball rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.