The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Walls, Taylor in signal, the comp in amber.
TB · bats L · 459 PA
Ranked comps for Walls, Taylor
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Hamilton, David MIL · L · 417 PA | 0.60 | Avg exit velocityBat speedWhiff rate | Oppo rate +1.3zSprint speed +1.2zxwOBA on contact +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Nuñez, Nasim WSH · L · 516 PA | 0.57 | Hard-hit rateIn-zone contactOppo rate | Fly-ball rate -1.8zGround-ball rate +1.6zSprint speed +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Carter, Evan TEX · L · 467 PA | 0.55 | Pull rateMax exit velocityStrikeout rate | Hard-hit rate +1.7zBat speed +1.3zAvg exit velocity +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Martin, Austin MIN · R · 372 PA | 0.55 | Oppo rateSprint speedBarrel rate | Avg exit velocity +1.9zChase rate -1.4zWalk rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Vivas, Jorbit WSH · L · 374 PA | 0.54 | Hard-hit rateGround-ball rateBarrel rate | Strikeout rate -1.6zSwing length +1.6zBat speed +1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Durbin, Caleb BOS · R · 618 PA | 0.54 | Sprint speedMax exit velocityPull rate | Strikeout rate -1.8zFly-ball rate -1.6zIsolated power +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | McKinstry, Zach DET · L · 442 PA | 0.53 | Sprint speedBarrel rateHard-hit rate | In-zone contact +1.6zAvg exit velocity +1.6zSweet-spot rate +1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Caballero, José NYY · R · 475 PA | 0.50 | Strikeout rateSprint speedSweet-spot rate | Chase rate +1.6zFly-ball rate -1.5zxwOBA on contact +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Cronenworth, Jake SD · L · 464 PA | 0.49 | Sprint speedWhiff rateStrikeout rate | Bat speed +1.8zAvg exit velocity +1.8zPull rate -1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Straw, Myles TOR · R · 340 PA | 0.45 | Max exit velocityFly-ball rateBarrel rate | Strikeout rate -1.9zWhiff rate -1.6zAvg exit velocity +1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Loftin, Nick KC · R · 446 PA | 0.44 | Pull rateSprint speedChase rate | Avg exit velocity +1.9zIsolated power +1.6zIn-zone contact +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Palacios, Richie TB · L · 423 PA | 0.44 | Ground-ball rateSweet-spot rateMax exit velocity | Avg exit velocity +1.7zFly-ball rate -1.6zIsolated power +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.