The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Collins, Isaac in signal, the comp in amber.

KC · bats L · 532 PA

Ranked comps for Collins, Isaac

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Kelly, Carson CHC · R · 448 PA 0.71 Avg exit velocityIn-zone contactFly-ball rate Sprint speed -1.4zStrikeout rate -1.1zWalk rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Marsee, Jakob MIA · L · 629 PA 0.70 Max exit velocityChase rateWalk rate Sweet-spot rate +1.8zBat speed -1.2zGround-ball rate -0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Bazzana, Travis CLE · L · 560 PA 0.67 xwOBA on contactPull rateAvg exit velocity Isolated power +1.3zOppo rate -1.2zBat speed -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Cronenworth, Jake SD · L · 464 PA 0.65 Whiff rateStrikeout rateOppo rate Walk rate -1.2zHard-hit rate -1.2zChase rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Garcia, Maikel KC · R · 354 PA 0.64 Sprint speedBarrel rateBat speed Strikeout rate -1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.2zSwing length +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Chapman, Matt SF · R · 364 PA 0.63 xwOBA on contactOppo rateStrikeout rate Swing length +1.6zBat speed +1.4zIn-zone contact -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Bogaerts, Xander SD · R · 646 PA 0.62 Bat speedWalk rateChase rate Ground-ball rate +1.7zSwing length +1.5zOppo rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Taveras, Leody BAL · L · 496 PA 0.61 Barrel rateFly-ball ratePull rate Chase rate +1.7zWalk rate -1.3zSwing length +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Edman, Tommy LAD · L · 347 PA 0.61 Max exit velocityBarrel ratexwOBA on contact Walk rate -2.0zChase rate +1.5zHard-hit rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Crawford, J.P. SEA · L · 489 PA 0.60 Avg exit velocityIn-zone contactPull rate Sweet-spot rate +1.4zSwing length +1.4zMax exit velocity -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Winn, Masyn STL · R · 549 PA 0.60 Bat speedStrikeout rateChase rate Swing length +1.6zPull rate -1.3zSweet-spot rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Vaughn, Andrew MIL · R · 363 PA 0.60 In-zone contactChase rateMax exit velocity Sprint speed -1.4zPull rate -1.3zAvg exit velocity +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.