The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (288+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Collins, Isaac in signal, the comp in amber.
KC · bats L · 464 PA
Ranked comps for Collins, Isaac
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Marsee, Jakob MIA · L · 535 PA | 0.81 | Max exit velocityChase rateIsolated power | Bat speed -1.1zAvg exit velocity -0.8zHard-hit rate -0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Bazzana, Travis CLE · L · 444 PA | 0.80 | xwOBA on contactAvg exit velocityBarrel rate | Bat speed -1.1zChase rate +0.8zIn-zone contact -0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Kelly, Carson CHC · R · 381 PA | 0.72 | xwOBA on contactAvg exit velocitySweet-spot rate | Sprint speed -1.3zGround-ball rate +1.0zStrikeout rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Thomas, Lane KC · R · 387 PA | 0.70 | Chase rateWhiff rateHard-hit rate | Sprint speed +1.2zSweet-spot rate +1.1zOppo rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Langford, Wyatt TEX · R · 387 PA | 0.69 | Sweet-spot rateHard-hit ratePull rate | Isolated power +1.7zChase rate +0.9zAvg exit velocity +0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Tucker, Kyle LAD · L · 547 PA | 0.65 | Whiff rateBarrel rateGround-ball rate | Swing length +1.4zFly-ball rate +1.1zSweet-spot rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Garcia, Maikel KC · R · 319 PA | 0.65 | Barrel rateBat speedIsolated power | Fly-ball rate -1.1zWalk rate -1.1zStrikeout rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Carter, Evan TEX · L · 401 PA | 0.64 | Isolated powerWalk rateBarrel rate | In-zone contact -1.5zWhiff rate +1.1zMax exit velocity -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Springer, George TOR · R · 459 PA | 0.63 | Pull rateBat speedFly-ball rate | Swing length +1.8zIsolated power +1.4zOppo rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Chapman, Matt SF · R · 364 PA | 0.63 | Strikeout ratePull ratexwOBA on contact | Swing length +1.6zBat speed +1.4zIn-zone contact -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Bogaerts, Xander SD · R · 535 PA | 0.62 | Bat speedIsolated powerMax exit velocity | Ground-ball rate +2.1zSwing length +1.6zIn-zone contact -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Young, Cole SEA · L · 574 PA | 0.62 | Fly-ball rateMax exit velocityBarrel rate | Walk rate -1.7zChase rate +1.5zOppo rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.