The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Holliday, Jackson in signal, the comp in amber.
BAL · bats L · 301 PA
Ranked comps for Holliday, Jackson
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Winn, Masyn STL · R · 507 PA | 0.68 | Hard-hit rateGround-ball rateSprint speed | Oppo rate +1.2zSweet-spot rate -1.1zMax exit velocity +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Young, Jacob WSH · R · 431 PA | 0.62 | Swing lengthAvg exit velocityxwOBA on contact | Max exit velocity +1.6zWalk rate -1.3zStrikeout rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Ewing, A.J. NYM · L · 396 PA | 0.62 | Ground-ball rateIsolated powerChase rate | Max exit velocity +1.7zSwing length -1.4zHard-hit rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Martin, Austin MIN · R · 348 PA | 0.61 | Fly-ball ratePull rateOppo rate | Chase rate -1.2zWhiff rate -1.1zSwing length -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Carter, Evan TEX · L · 399 PA | 0.61 | Isolated powerSwing lengthSprint speed | Sweet-spot rate -2.2zFly-ball rate +1.4zMax exit velocity +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Crawford, J.P. SEA · L · 381 PA | 0.60 | Barrel rateIsolated powerSweet-spot rate | Sprint speed -2.0zWhiff rate -1.5zChase rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Palacios, Richie TB · L · 344 PA | 0.60 | Walk rateIsolated powerSwing length | Sprint speed -1.4zSweet-spot rate -1.2zChase rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Benge, Carson NYM · L · 555 PA | 0.60 | Bat speedSprint speedPull rate | Max exit velocity +1.5zWalk rate -1.3zSwing length -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Norby, Connor MIA · R · 311 PA | 0.59 | Bat speedSwing lengthOppo rate | Fly-ball rate +2.2zStrikeout rate +1.1zSweet-spot rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Turang, Brice MIL · L · 587 PA | 0.59 | Fly-ball rateSprint speedChase rate | Max exit velocity +1.5zIsolated power +1.2zOppo rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Cronenworth, Jake SD · L · 351 PA | 0.57 | Bat speedStrikeout rateSwing length | Sweet-spot rate -1.6zIn-zone contact +1.6zMax exit velocity +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Cortes, Carlos ATH · L · 334 PA | 0.57 | Swing lengthIn-zone contactBat speed | Sprint speed -2.0zMax exit velocity +1.7zStrikeout rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.