The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Holliday, Jackson in signal, the comp in amber.
BAL · bats L · 355 PA
Ranked comps for Holliday, Jackson
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Young, Jacob WSH · R · 488 PA | 0.69 | Oppo rateAvg exit velocitySwing length | Max exit velocity +1.6zStrikeout rate -1.2zWalk rate -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Winn, Masyn STL · R · 549 PA | 0.67 | Ground-ball rateWalk rateHard-hit rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.4zOppo rate +1.3zMax exit velocity +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Benge, Carson NYM · L · 668 PA | 0.63 | Ground-ball rateBat speedChase rate | Max exit velocity +1.4zxwOBA on contact +1.2zSwing length -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Ewing, A.J. NYM · L · 494 PA | 0.63 | Chase rateIn-zone contactFly-ball rate | Max exit velocity +1.7zSwing length -1.4zHard-hit rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Monasterio, Andruw BOS · R · 363 PA | 0.60 | Avg exit velocityBarrel rateChase rate | Ground-ball rate -1.6zFly-ball rate +1.5zSprint speed -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Beavers, Dylan BAL · L · 368 PA | 0.60 | Walk rateIn-zone contactSprint speed | Fly-ball rate +1.6zGround-ball rate -1.5zMax exit velocity +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Norby, Connor MIA · R · 395 PA | 0.59 | Swing lengthOppo rateChase rate | Fly-ball rate +2.5zGround-ball rate -1.2zStrikeout rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Meckler, Wade LAA · L · 341 PA | 0.59 | Max exit velocityHard-hit ratexwOBA on contact | Ground-ball rate +1.7zSweet-spot rate -1.4zFly-ball rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Martin, Austin MIN · R · 372 PA | 0.58 | Oppo ratePull rateFly-ball rate | Chase rate -1.4zWalk rate +1.2zSwing length -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 472 PA | 0.58 | Bat speedGround-ball rateStrikeout rate | Sprint speed -1.7zIsolated power +1.2zHard-hit rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Cronenworth, Jake SD · L · 464 PA | 0.58 | Swing lengthBat speedStrikeout rate | Sweet-spot rate -2.1zIn-zone contact +1.2zMax exit velocity +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Gonzales, Nick PIT · R · 626 PA | 0.58 | Sprint speedBat speedAvg exit velocity | Max exit velocity +1.4zGround-ball rate +1.2zStrikeout rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.