The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (307+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Beavers, Dylan in signal, the comp in amber.
BAL · bats L · 308 PA
Ranked comps for Beavers, Dylan
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | McLain, Matt CIN · R · 475 PA | 0.76 | Hard-hit rateStrikeout ratexwOBA on contact | Swing length -1.2zFly-ball rate +1.0zPull rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Carrigg, Cole COL · L · 312 PA | 0.72 | Barrel rateWalk rateBat speed | Chase rate +1.8zIsolated power +1.0zOppo rate -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 429 PA | 0.70 | Pull rateWhiff ratexwOBA on contact | Sweet-spot rate -1.4zGround-ball rate +1.1zChase rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Thomas, Lane KC · R · 393 PA | 0.70 | Barrel ratexwOBA on contactSprint speed | Sweet-spot rate -1.3zOppo rate -1.2zSwing length -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Holliday, Jackson BAL · L · 338 PA | 0.67 | xwOBA on contactSweet-spot rateBarrel rate | Max exit velocity -1.4zFly-ball rate -1.3zGround-ball rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Young, Jacob WSH · R · 452 PA | 0.67 | Barrel rateIsolated powerSprint speed | Strikeout rate -1.5zBat speed -1.2zSweet-spot rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Marsh, Brandon PHI · L · 549 PA | 0.65 | Pull rateBat speedWhiff rate | Chase rate +2.0zWalk rate -1.2zSweet-spot rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Benge, Carson NYM · L · 596 PA | 0.65 | Hard-hit rateMax exit velocityIsolated power | Swing length -2.0zGround-ball rate +1.4zPull rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 419 PA | 0.65 | Fly-ball ratePull rateWhiff rate | Sprint speed -1.6zChase rate +1.3zSweet-spot rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Steer, Spencer CIN · R · 405 PA | 0.65 | In-zone contactWhiff rateSwing length | Barrel rate +1.6zIsolated power +1.2zGround-ball rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Yastrzemski, Mike ATL · L · 374 PA | 0.64 | In-zone contactxwOBA on contactBarrel rate | Oppo rate -1.5zSprint speed -1.4zPull rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Norby, Connor MIA · R · 343 PA | 0.63 | Ground-ball ratexwOBA on contactOppo rate | In-zone contact -1.3zSweet-spot rate -1.3zWhiff rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.