The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (307+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Carrigg, Cole in signal, the comp in amber.

COL · bats L · 312 PA

Ranked comps for Carrigg, Cole

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Varsho, Daulton TOR · L · 518 PA 0.73 Fly-ball rateGround-ball rateAvg exit velocity Sweet-spot rate -1.1zSprint speed -1.1zIsolated power -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Duran, Ezequiel TEX · R · 551 PA 0.73 Isolated powerIn-zone contactSprint speed Ground-ball rate +1.2zOppo rate +1.2zPull rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Beavers, Dylan BAL · L · 308 PA 0.72 Barrel rateWalk rateBat speed Chase rate -1.8zIsolated power -1.0zOppo rate +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Peña, Jeremy HOU · R · 422 PA 0.72 Max exit velocityIsolated powerStrikeout rate Walk rate -1.4zGround-ball rate +1.0zWhiff rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 621 PA 0.71 Pull rateFly-ball rateBat speed Sweet-spot rate -1.3zAvg exit velocity +1.1zIsolated power +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Larnach, Trevor MIN · L · 444 PA 0.71 Max exit velocityBat speedIn-zone contact Sprint speed -1.6zOppo rate -1.1zFly-ball rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 429 PA 0.70 In-zone contactSwing lengthxwOBA on contact Isolated power -1.2zAvg exit velocity +1.1zGround-ball rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
08 O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 419 PA 0.69 Fly-ball ratexwOBA on contactIsolated power Sprint speed -1.4zAvg exit velocity +1.1zHard-hit rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Lile, Daylen WSH · L · 628 PA 0.69 Isolated powerMax exit velocityBat speed Fly-ball rate +1.6zWalk rate -1.1zBarrel rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Castro, Willi COL · L · 498 PA 0.68 Ground-ball rateOppo ratePull rate Max exit velocity +1.5zSweet-spot rate -1.3zWhiff rate +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Marsh, Brandon PHI · L · 549 PA 0.68 Max exit velocityWhiff rateChase rate Sweet-spot rate +1.4zWalk rate -1.1zHard-hit rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Steer, Spencer CIN · R · 405 PA 0.67 Oppo rateSwing lengthIsolated power Barrel rate +1.6zChase rate -1.5zAvg exit velocity +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.