The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. McLain, Matt in signal, the comp in amber.

CIN · bats R · 443 PA

Ranked comps for McLain, Matt

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Busch, Michael CHC · L · 626 PA 0.66 Fly-ball rateWhiff rateChase rate Sprint speed -2.1zSweet-spot rate -1.2zBat speed -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Norby, Connor MIA · R · 311 PA 0.66 Hard-hit rateBat speedWalk rate Sweet-spot rate -1.7zMax exit velocity -1.3zIn-zone contact -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 527 PA 0.64 Barrel rateGround-ball rateHard-hit rate Isolated power +1.1zSwing length +1.0zPull rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Benge, Carson NYM · L · 555 PA 0.64 Sprint speedPull rateBat speed Ground-ball rate +1.8zFly-ball rate -1.4zWalk rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Abreu, Wilyer BOS · L · 600 PA 0.61 Walk rateIn-zone contactOppo rate Avg exit velocity +1.1zBat speed +1.1zStrikeout rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Stephenson, Tyler CIN · R · 411 PA 0.59 Bat speedFly-ball rateWhiff rate Avg exit velocity +1.8zSwing length +1.4zSprint speed -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Young, Jacob WSH · R · 431 PA 0.59 Avg exit velocityMax exit velocityPull rate Strikeout rate -1.7zFly-ball rate -1.3zSweet-spot rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Ewing, A.J. NYM · L · 396 PA 0.59 Max exit velocityIn-zone contactStrikeout rate Fly-ball rate -1.8zGround-ball rate +1.5zSweet-spot rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Aranda, Jonathan TB · L · 598 PA 0.58 Barrel rateWalk rateBat speed Sprint speed -2.2zAvg exit velocity +1.7zHard-hit rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Karros, Kyle COL · R · 424 PA 0.58 xwOBA on contactIsolated powerChase rate Fly-ball rate -2.0zSprint speed -1.2zGround-ball rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Thomas, Lane KC · R · 387 PA 0.57 Isolated powerSwing lengthMax exit velocity Fly-ball rate -1.8zSweet-spot rate -1.4zOppo rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
12 O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 419 PA 0.57 Bat speedxwOBA on contactIsolated power Sprint speed -1.3zAvg exit velocity +1.1zSweet-spot rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.