The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Carter, Evan in signal, the comp in amber.

TEX · bats L · 399 PA

Ranked comps for Carter, Evan

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Bazzana, Travis CLE · L · 444 PA 0.70 Pull rateSwing lengthOppo rate Max exit velocity +1.6zChase rate +1.0zAvg exit velocity +0.9z
02 Norby, Connor MIA · R · 311 PA 0.67 Pull rateSwing lengthWalk rate Sweet-spot rate +1.1zChase rate +1.1zxwOBA on contact +1.0z
03 Collins, Isaac KC · L · 464 PA 0.65 Isolated powerWalk rateGround-ball rate In-zone contact +1.5zWhiff rate -1.1zMax exit velocity +1.0z
04 Holliday, Jackson BAL · L · 301 PA 0.61 Isolated powerSwing lengthSprint speed Sweet-spot rate +2.2zFly-ball rate -1.4zMax exit velocity -0.9z
05 Tucker, Kyle LAD · L · 547 PA 0.57 Oppo rateMax exit velocityHard-hit rate Sprint speed -1.8zAvg exit velocity +1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.3z
06 Gelof, Zack ATH · R · 342 PA 0.57 Pull rateStrikeout rateSprint speed Isolated power +1.4zWalk rate -1.4zBat speed +1.3z
07 Taveras, Leody BAL · L · 442 PA 0.57 Barrel rateSprint speedStrikeout rate Chase rate +1.9zMax exit velocity +1.6zFly-ball rate -1.2z
08 Thomas, Lane KC · R · 387 PA 0.57 Strikeout rateChase rateWalk rate Avg exit velocity +1.6zSweet-spot rate +1.4zFly-ball rate -1.2z
09 Mullins, Cedric TB · L · 466 PA 0.55 Oppo rateAvg exit velocityBarrel rate Chase rate +1.7zGround-ball rate -1.4zPull rate +1.2z
10 Young, Jacob WSH · R · 431 PA 0.54 Swing lengthGround-ball rateSprint speed Sweet-spot rate +1.8zWalk rate -1.4zStrikeout rate -1.3z
11 Marsee, Jakob MIA · L · 531 PA 0.54 xwOBA on contactAvg exit velocityHard-hit rate In-zone contact +2.0zWhiff rate -1.5zFly-ball rate -1.4z
12 Schneemann, Daniel CLE · L · 290 PA 0.53 Max exit velocityIsolated powerFly-ball rate Chase rate +2.2zPull rate +1.1zSweet-spot rate +1.0z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.