The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Carter, Evan in signal, the comp in amber.
TEX · bats L · 467 PA
Ranked comps for Carter, Evan
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Taveras, Leody BAL · L · 496 PA | 0.61 | Sprint speedBarrel rateSweet-spot rate | Chase rate +1.7zMax exit velocity +1.5zIn-zone contact +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Bazzana, Travis CLE · L · 560 PA | 0.59 | Walk rateBat speedxwOBA on contact | Max exit velocity +1.5zAvg exit velocity +1.3zIn-zone contact +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Collins, Isaac KC · L · 532 PA | 0.58 | xwOBA on contactGround-ball rateChase rate | In-zone contact +1.7zWhiff rate -1.2zAvg exit velocity +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Holliday, Jackson BAL · L · 355 PA | 0.57 | Sprint speedIsolated powerSwing length | Sweet-spot rate +2.4zFly-ball rate -1.1zAvg exit velocity +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Walls, Taylor TB · L · 459 PA | 0.55 | Pull rateMax exit velocityStrikeout rate | Hard-hit rate -1.7zBat speed -1.3zAvg exit velocity -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Norby, Connor MIA · R · 395 PA | 0.54 | Whiff rateIn-zone contactWalk rate | Sweet-spot rate +2.0zFly-ball rate +1.4zAvg exit velocity +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Mullins, Cedric TB · L · 526 PA | 0.53 | Barrel rateBat speedHard-hit rate | Chase rate +1.6zGround-ball rate -1.3zWhiff rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Edman, Tommy LAD · L · 347 PA | 0.53 | Oppo rateSwing lengthxwOBA on contact | In-zone contact +2.0zChase rate +1.6zWalk rate -1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Young, Jacob WSH · R · 488 PA | 0.52 | Ground-ball rateBat speedSprint speed | Sweet-spot rate +1.8zStrikeout rate -1.5zIn-zone contact +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Thomas, Lane KC · R · 400 PA | 0.51 | Strikeout rateChase rateSwing length | Avg exit velocity +2.0zSweet-spot rate +1.6zBat speed +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Cronenworth, Jake SD · L · 464 PA | 0.49 | Barrel rateSwing lengthMax exit velocity | In-zone contact +1.9zFly-ball rate -1.4zPull rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Peters, Tristan CWS · L · 530 PA | 0.49 | Ground-ball rateMax exit velocityHard-hit rate | Chase rate +1.9zPull rate +1.8zSweet-spot rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.