The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (208+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Carter, Evan in signal, the comp in amber.

TEX · bats L · 279 PA

Ranked comps for Carter, Evan

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Norby, Connor MIA · R · 244 PA 0.74 Pull rateHard-hit rateIsolated power Chase rate +1.1zIn-zone contact -1.1zFly-ball rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Bazzana, Travis CLE · L · 294 PA 0.71 xwOBA on contactHard-hit rateOppo rate Max exit velocity +1.5zAvg exit velocity +1.1zChase rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Collins, Isaac KC · L · 332 PA 0.69 Chase rateOppo rateBarrel rate In-zone contact +1.3zSprint speed -1.1zWhiff rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Taveras, Leody BAL · L · 305 PA 0.62 Strikeout rateSprint speedIsolated power Chase rate +1.8zFly-ball rate -1.4zWalk rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Freeland, Alex LAD · L · 241 PA 0.58 Hard-hit rateBat speedBarrel rate Sprint speed -1.6zOppo rate +1.6zGround-ball rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Matthews, Brice HOU · R · 241 PA 0.56 Hard-hit rateSweet-spot ratePull rate Ground-ball rate +1.5zWalk rate -1.5zIn-zone contact -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Tucker, Kyle LAD · L · 404 PA 0.55 Isolated powerBarrel rateBat speed Sprint speed -2.0zAvg exit velocity +1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Gelof, Zack ATH · R · 259 PA 0.55 Oppo rateMax exit velocityStrikeout rate Walk rate -2.2zBat speed +1.3zIsolated power +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Young, Jacob WSH · R · 310 PA 0.54 Swing lengthHard-hit rateIsolated power Walk rate -2.1zAvg exit velocity +1.1zChase rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Thomas, Lane KC · R · 293 PA 0.54 Max exit velocityWalk rateSprint speed Sweet-spot rate +1.7zAvg exit velocity +1.6zOppo rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Marsee, Jakob MIA · L · 404 PA 0.54 Avg exit velocityxwOBA on contactWalk rate In-zone contact +1.9zWhiff rate -1.5zFly-ball rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Mullins, Cedric TB · L · 341 PA 0.54 Avg exit velocityFly-ball rateIsolated power Chase rate +1.7zGround-ball rate -1.5zPull rate +1.5z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.