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The Mirror is being actively tuned right now. Some live figures may lag or look off while we work through a few issues, so treat numbers here as provisional. Full accuracy back shortly.
The Mirror / 2026-09-08 beta
TEX 10, SEA 5. Final.
The Mirror’s record: every call graded →
Batter-by-batter Monte Carlo: each plate appearance is a real matchup probability, played through a full base-out state machine with starter fatigue and bullpen chains. Validated against 358 completed games before launch.
Final
TEX 10, SEA 5
The final result has replaced the last live pitch state. Published 04:48:57Z UTC · back to slate
10 – 5final score
15total runs
50% → 0%SEA win prob, pregame → final
Pregame baseline
Texas Rangers @ Seattle Mariners
Quantrill, Cal vs Miller, Bryce · engine 0.1.13 · back to slate
TEX 50.5%SEA 49.5%
3.71 – 3.51mean score
7.23mean total
59%NRFI
11.7%extra innings
5.4 / 6.54starter K means
Run distributions
Total runs across 8,000 sims
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Hover a bar for the probability of that exact total.
Team run distributions
TEX (gold) vs SEA (cyan)
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Paired bars per run count.
Projected batting lines
TEX per-game means
| Batter | PA | H | HR | TB | BB | K | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pederson, Joc | 4.657 | 0.973 | 0.242 | 1.935 | 0.418 | 1.389 | 0.505 |
| Seager, Corey | 4.545 | 0.935 | 0.174 | 1.663 | 0.41 | 1.289 | 0.429 |
| Duran, Ezequiel | 4.438 | 1.08 | 0.146 | 1.782 | 0.301 | 1.241 | 0.441 |
| Nimmo, Brandon | 4.335 | 1.023 | 0.103 | 1.556 | 0.307 | 1.109 | 0.427 |
| Langford, Wyatt | 4.232 | 0.923 | 0.152 | 1.599 | 0.357 | 1.078 | 0.499 |
| Carter, Evan | 4.13 | 0.731 | 0.096 | 1.153 | 0.361 | 1.236 | 0.342 |
| Burger, Jake | 4.012 | 0.845 | 0.167 | 1.531 | 0.276 | 1.268 | 0.476 |
| Lopez, Nicky | 3.897 | 0.909 | 0.048 | 1.173 | 0.213 | 0.848 | 0.284 |
| Jansen, Danny | 3.782 | 0.676 | 0.109 | 1.141 | 0.275 | 1.193 | 0.312 |
Projected batting lines
SEA per-game means
| Batter | PA | H | HR | TB | BB | K | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arozarena, Randy | 4.484 | 1.124 | 0.148 | 1.843 | 0.377 | 1.068 | 0.454 |
| Canzone, Dominic | 4.378 | 1.024 | 0.16 | 1.772 | 0.326 | 0.979 | 0.491 |
| Rodríguez, Julio | 4.278 | 0.959 | 0.119 | 1.523 | 0.283 | 1.021 | 0.428 |
| Raleigh, Cal | 4.178 | 0.728 | 0.15 | 1.33 | 0.42 | 1.312 | 0.431 |
| Crawford, J.P. | 4.076 | 0.822 | 0.086 | 1.223 | 0.447 | 0.896 | 0.337 |
| Naylor, Josh | 3.974 | 0.983 | 0.063 | 1.323 | 0.243 | 0.603 | 0.325 |
| Young, Cole | 3.857 | 0.873 | 0.092 | 1.329 | 0.228 | 0.744 | 0.362 |
| Montes, Lazaro | 3.736 | 0.707 | 0.142 | 1.304 | 0.349 | 1.333 | 0.401 |
| Rodden, Brock | 3.604 | 0.749 | 0.058 | 1.066 | 0.322 | 0.942 | 0.285 |
One representative simulation
A median-outcome game, batter by batter
This is the play-by-play of one sim whose final total matched the median across all runs — a preview of the most typical version of tonight.
— Top 1 —
Pederson, Joc vs Miller, Bryce: 1B
Seager, Corey vs Miller, Bryce: 2B
Duran, Ezequiel vs Miller, Bryce: OUT AIR
Nimmo, Brandon vs Miller, Bryce: OUT AIR
Langford, Wyatt vs Miller, Bryce: OUT GB
— Bottom 1 —
Arozarena, Randy vs Quantrill, Cal: 1B
Canzone, Dominic vs Quantrill, Cal: BB
Rodríguez, Julio vs Quantrill, Cal: OUT AIR
Raleigh, Cal vs Quantrill, Cal: OUT AIR
Crawford, J.P. vs Quantrill, Cal: K
— Top 2 —
Carter, Evan vs Miller, Bryce: BB
Burger, Jake vs Miller, Bryce: 1B
Lopez, Nicky vs Miller, Bryce: K
Jansen, Danny vs Miller, Bryce: OUT AIR
Pederson, Joc vs Miller, Bryce: K
— Bottom 2 —
Naylor, Josh vs Quantrill, Cal: OUT AIR
Young, Cole vs Quantrill, Cal: OUT GB
Montes, Lazaro vs Quantrill, Cal: OUT GB
— Top 3 —
Seager, Corey vs Miller, Bryce: OUT GB
Duran, Ezequiel vs Miller, Bryce: K
Nimmo, Brandon vs Miller, Bryce: OUT AIR
— Bottom 3 —
Rodden, Brock vs Quantrill, Cal: K
Arozarena, Randy vs Quantrill, Cal: BB
Canzone, Dominic vs Quantrill, Cal: 1B
Rodríguez, Julio vs Quantrill, Cal: OUT AIR
Raleigh, Cal vs Quantrill, Cal: 1B +1 run (0-1)
Crawford, J.P. vs Quantrill, Cal: 2B +1 run (0-2)
Naylor, Josh vs Quantrill, Cal: OUT AIR
— Top 4 —
Langford, Wyatt vs Miller, Bryce: K
Carter, Evan vs Miller, Bryce: OUT AIR
Burger, Jake vs Miller, Bryce: OUT GB
— Bottom 4 —
Young, Cole vs Quantrill, Cal: 1B
Montes, Lazaro vs Quantrill, Cal: OUT GB
Rodden, Brock vs Quantrill, Cal: OUT GB
Arozarena, Randy vs Quantrill, Cal: 2B
Canzone, Dominic vs Quantrill, Cal: BB
Rodríguez, Julio vs Quantrill, Cal: BB +1 run (0-3)
Raleigh, Cal vs Quantrill, Cal: OUT AIR
— Top 5 —
Lopez, Nicky vs Miller, Bryce: K
Jansen, Danny vs Miller, Bryce: OUT AIR
Pederson, Joc vs Miller, Bryce: K
— Bottom 5 —
Crawford, J.P. vs Quantrill, Cal: K
Naylor, Josh vs Quantrill, Cal: OUT AIR
Young, Cole vs Montgomery, Jordan: K
— Top 6 —
Seager, Corey vs Miller, Bryce: OUT AIR
Duran, Ezequiel vs Miller, Bryce: 2B
Nimmo, Brandon vs Miller, Bryce: K
Langford, Wyatt vs Miller, Bryce: BB
Carter, Evan vs Simpson, Josh: OUT GB
— Bottom 6 —
Montes, Lazaro vs Montgomery, Jordan: HR +1 run (0-4)
Rodden, Brock vs Montgomery, Jordan: BB
Arozarena, Randy vs Montgomery, Jordan: 1B
Canzone, Dominic vs Montgomery, Jordan: K
Rodríguez, Julio vs Montgomery, Jordan: 1B
Raleigh, Cal vs Ahlstrom, Robby: OUT AIR
Crawford, J.P. vs Ahlstrom, Robby: OUT GB
— Top 7 —
Burger, Jake vs Simpson, Josh: K
Lopez, Nicky vs Simpson, Josh: 1B
Jansen, Danny vs Simpson, Josh: HR +2 runs (2-4)
Pederson, Joc vs Speier, Gabe: BB
Seager, Corey vs Speier, Gabe: OUT AIR
Duran, Ezequiel vs Speier, Gabe: K
— Bottom 7 —
Naylor, Josh vs Ahlstrom, Robby: K
Young, Cole vs Ahlstrom, Robby: OUT GB
Montes, Lazaro vs Gray, Peyton: BB
Rodden, Brock vs Gray, Peyton: K
— Top 8 —
Nimmo, Brandon vs Speier, Gabe: OUT AIR
Langford, Wyatt vs Rucker, Michael: 2B
Carter, Evan vs Rucker, Michael: OUT AIR
Burger, Jake vs Rucker, Michael: OUT AIR
— Bottom 8 —
Arozarena, Randy vs Gray, Peyton: BB
Canzone, Dominic vs Gray, Peyton: 1B
Rodríguez, Julio vs Latz, Jacob: 1B
Raleigh, Cal vs Latz, Jacob: BB +1 run (2-5)
Crawford, J.P. vs Latz, Jacob: K
Naylor, Josh vs Latz, Jacob: OUT AIR
Young, Cole vs Winn, Cole: OUT AIR
— Top 9 —
Lopez, Nicky vs Rucker, Michael: OUT GB
Jansen, Danny vs Rucker, Michael: K
Pederson, Joc vs Rucker, Michael: OUT GB