Mithrandir Metrics

HITS 2026-07-20 · saved artifact ROWS 69 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist

Lane Health 2026-09-01

Palantir 673 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Hits

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Hits board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	Prop	Hits proj	Line prob	PA	Recent	Pitch mix	Best line
01	Jackson ChourioMIL	MIL vs NYM	P 2.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	97.6%Under prob · Palantir	29.4%no-vig	+97.62%	1+ Hitline	0.309count	97.6%selected	1.53role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
02	Taylor WallsTB	TB vs TOR	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	45.5%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.205count	98.0%selected	1.23role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 550 avg 1 books
03	Casey SchmittSF	SF vs KC	P 10.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	89.2%Under prob · Palantir	59.2%no-vig	+89.25%	2+ Hitsline	0.611count	89.2%selected	2.8role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 145 avg 1 books
04	Drake BaldwinATL	ATL vs SD	P 9.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	90.9%Under prob · Palantir	63.6%no-vig	+90.89%	2+ Hitsline	0.604count	90.9%selected	2.44role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 175 avg 1 books
05	Ryan O'HearnPIT	PIT vs NYY	P 7.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	92.5%Under prob · Palantir	32.3%no-vig	+92.50%	1+ Hitline	0.548count	92.5%selected	2.28role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
06	Jung Hoo LeeSF	SF vs KC	P 19.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.9%Under prob · Palantir	62.3%no-vig	+80.93%	2+ Hitsline	0.826count	80.9%selected	3.62role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 165 avg 1 books
07	Heliot RamosSF	SF vs KC	P 20.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.2%Under prob · Palantir	60.8%no-vig	+79.23%	2+ Hitsline	0.869count	79.2%selected	3.84role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 155 avg 1 books
08	Caleb DurbinBOS	BOS vs BAL	P 13.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	86.5%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+86.53%	2+ Hitsline	0.691count	86.5%selected	3.28role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
09	Ryan JeffersMIN	MIN vs CLE	P 14.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	85.8%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+85.79%	2+ Hitsline	0.711count	85.8%selected	3.42role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
10	Trevor LarnachMIN	MIN vs CLE	P 15.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.9%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+84.87%	2+ Hitsline	0.721count	84.9%selected	3.6role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
11	Jake BauersMIL	MIL vs NYM	P 8.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	91.5%Under prob · Palantir	39.2%no-vig	+91.45%	1+ Hitline	0.54count	91.5%selected	3.39role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 410 avg 1 books
12	Gabriel AriasCLE	CLE vs MIN	P 8.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	91.6%Under prob · Palantir	42.6%no-vig	+91.58%	1+ Hitline	0.535count	91.6%selected	2.96role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 480 avg 1 books
13	Wilyer AbreuBOS	BOS vs BAL	P 18.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.5%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+81.45%	2+ Hitsline	0.812count	81.5%selected	3.96role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
14	Alejandro KirkTOR	TOR vs TB	P 14.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	85.3%Under prob · Palantir	73.0%no-vig	+85.30%	2+ Hitsline	0.725count	85.3%selected	3.22role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
15	Michael Harris IIATL	ATL vs SD	P 21.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.5%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+78.47%	2+ Hitsline	0.888count	78.5%selected	3.64role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
16	Xander BogaertsSD	SD vs ATL	P 22.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.7%Under prob · Palantir	66.1%no-vig	+77.68%	2+ Hitsline	0.907count	77.7%selected	3.56role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 195 avg 1 books
17	Fernando Tatis Jr.SD	SD vs ATL	P 28.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	71.5%Under prob · Palantir	60.0%no-vig	+71.49%	2+ Hitsline	1.055count	71.5%selected	4.5role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 150 avg 1 books
18	Junior CamineroTB	TB vs TOR	P 17.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	83.0%Under prob · Palantir	31.2%no-vig	+83.02%	1+ Hitline	0.771count	83.0%selected	3.86role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
19	Nathan LukesTOR	TOR vs TB	P 18.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.7%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+81.67%	2+ Hitsline	0.806count	81.7%selected	3.68role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
20	Royce LewisMIN	MIN vs CLE	P 15.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	84.4%Under prob · Palantir	33.3%no-vig	+84.37%	1+ Hitline	0.735count	84.4%selected	3.64role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
21	Andy PagesLAD	LAD vs PHI	P 22.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.6%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+77.64%	2+ Hitsline	0.908count	77.6%selected	3.99role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
22	Willy AdamesSF	SF vs KC	P 19.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.7%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+80.67%	2+ Hitsline	0.832count	80.7%selected	4.16role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
23	Rafael DeversSF	SF vs KC	P 25.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.0%Under prob · Palantir	64.9%no-vig	+75.00%	2+ Hitsline	0.969count	75.0%selected	4.53role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 185 avg 1 books
24	Josh BellMIN	MIN vs CLE	P 21.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.0%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+79.02%	2+ Hitsline	0.874count	79.0%selected	4.27role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
25	Masataka YoshidaBOS	BOS vs BAL	P 20.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.7%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+79.65%	2+ Hitsline	0.858count	79.7%selected	3.61role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
26	Kyle ManzardoCLE	CLE vs MIN	P 14.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	85.5%Under prob · Palantir	37.0%no-vig	+85.45%	1+ Hitline	0.705count	85.5%selected	3.83role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 340 avg 1 books
27	Brandon LowePIT	PIT vs NYY	P 13.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	86.7%Under prob · Palantir	37.0%no-vig	+86.67%	1+ Hitline	0.687count	86.7%selected	3.19role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 360 avg 1 books
28	Bryan ReynoldsPIT	PIT vs NYY	P 23.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.5%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+76.48%	2+ Hitsline	0.936count	76.5%selected	4.1role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
29	Bryson StottPHI	PHI vs LAD	P 17.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.0%Under prob · Palantir	74.4%no-vig	+83.03%	2+ Hitsline	0.771count	83.0%selected	3.78role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
30	Willson ContrerasBOS	BOS vs BAL	P 24.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.0%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+76.01%	2+ Hitsline	0.948count	76.0%selected	4.24role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
31	Brandon MarshPHI	PHI vs LAD	P 19.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.8%Under prob · Palantir	73.0%no-vig	+80.78%	2+ Hitsline	0.829count	80.8%selected	3.87role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
32	Freddie FreemanLAD	LAD vs PHI	P 35.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 1.5 2 of 2	35.4%Over prob · Palantir	27.8%no-vig	+64.63%	2+ Hitsline	1.218count	35.4%selected	4.74role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
33	Kyle SchwarberPHI	PHI vs LAD	P 16.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	83.7%Under prob · Palantir	37.0%no-vig	+83.65%	1+ Hitline	0.746count	83.7%selected	4.67role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 360 avg 1 books
34	Gavin SheetsSD	SD vs ATL	P 17.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	82.5%Under prob · Palantir	34.5%no-vig	+82.47%	1+ Hitline	0.786count	82.5%selected	3.53role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
35	Cedric MullinsTB	TB vs TOR	P 12.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	87.2%Under prob · Palantir	41.7%no-vig	+87.15%	1+ Hitline	0.657count	87.2%selected	3.89role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 420 avg 1 books
36	William ContrerasMIL	MIL vs NYM	P 23.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.7%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+76.71%	2+ Hitsline	0.931count	76.7%selected	4.45role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
37	Miguel AndujarSD	SD vs ATL	P 21.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.1%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+78.14%	2+ Hitsline	0.906count	78.1%selected	3.29role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
38	Ozzie AlbiesATL	ATL vs SD	P 26.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	73.3%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+73.29%	2+ Hitsline	1.013count	73.3%selected	4.41role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
39	Francisco LindorNYM	NYM vs MIL	P 23.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	23.9%Over prob · Palantir	58.3%no-vig	+76.08%	1+ Hitline	0.942count	23.9%selected	4.69role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 440 avg 1 books
40	Alec BohmPHI	PHI vs LAD	P 22.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.6%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+77.60%	2+ Hitsline	0.909count	77.6%selected	4.21role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
41	Luis ArraezSF	SF vs KC	P 38.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	61.7%Under prob · Palantir	55.6%no-vig	+61.72%	2+ Hitsline	1.287count	61.7%selected	4.59role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 125 avg 1 books
42	Jake MangumPIT	PIT vs NYY	P 28.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	71.8%Under prob · Palantir	66.1%no-vig	+71.84%	2+ Hitsline	1.047count	71.8%selected	3.91role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 195 avg 1 books
43	Jarren DuranBOS	BOS vs BAL	P 29.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 1.5 2 of 2	29.5%Over prob · Palantir	23.8%no-vig	+70.49%	2+ Hitsline	1.078count	29.5%selected	4.79role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
44	Marcell OzunaPIT	PIT vs NYY	P 23.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	23.5%Over prob · Palantir	60.0%no-vig	+76.46%	1+ Hitline	0.937count	23.5%selected	4.37role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 410 avg 1 books
45	Austin RileyATL	ATL vs SD	P 27.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	27.6%Over prob · Palantir	64.3%no-vig	+72.44%	1+ Hitline	1.033count	27.6%selected	4.42role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
46	Daulton VarshoTOR	TOR vs TB	P 19.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	81.0%Under prob · Palantir	34.5%no-vig	+81.01%	1+ Hitline	0.823count	81.0%selected	4.07role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
47	Jake CronenworthSD	SD vs ATL	P 17.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	82.4%Under prob · Palantir	36.4%no-vig	+82.38%	1+ Hitline	0.788count	82.4%selected	3.9role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 340 avg 1 books
48	Jonathan ArandaTB	TB vs TOR	P 19.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.1%Under prob · Palantir	75.0%no-vig	+80.13%	2+ Hitsline	0.846count	80.1%selected	3.92role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
49	Mookie BettsLAD	LAD vs PHI	P 28.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	71.6%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+71.62%	2+ Hitsline	1.051count	71.6%selected	4.62role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
50	Trea TurnerPHI	PHI vs LAD	P 29.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	70.8%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+70.84%	2+ Hitsline	1.07count	70.8%selected	4.67role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
51	Jorge PolancoNYM	NYM vs MIL	P 17.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	17.0%Over prob · Palantir	53.5%no-vig	+82.99%	1+ Hitline	0.772count	17.0%selected	4.19role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 550 avg 1 books
52	Juan SotoNYM	NYM vs MIL	P 23.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	23.0%Over prob · Palantir	60.0%no-vig	+77.03%	1+ Hitline	0.918count	23.0%selected	4.79role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 400 avg 1 books
53	Manny MachadoSD	SD vs ATL	P 27.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	72.4%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+72.43%	2+ Hitsline	1.033count	72.4%selected	4.45role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
54	Bryce HarperPHI	PHI vs LAD	P 26.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	73.3%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+73.34%	2+ Hitsline	1.009count	73.3%selected	4.74role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
55	George SpringerTOR	TOR vs TB	P 25.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	74.1%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+74.13%	2+ Hitsline	0.993count	74.1%selected	4.45role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
56	Francisco AlvarezNYM	NYM vs MIL	P 9.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	90.1%Under prob · Palantir	86.7%no-vig	+90.14%	2+ Hitsline	0.583count	90.1%selected	3.18role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 650 avg 1 books
57	Joey BartPIT	PIT vs NYY	P 15.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.8%Under prob · Palantir	81.5%no-vig	+84.76%	2+ Hitsline	0.74count	84.8%selected	3.35role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 440 avg 1 books
58	Christian YelichMIL	MIL vs NYM	P 23.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.2%Under prob · Palantir	73.0%no-vig	+76.23%	2+ Hitsline	0.938count	76.2%selected	4.62role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
59	Jackson MerrillSD	SD vs ATL	P 31.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	68.4%Under prob · Palantir	65.5%no-vig	+68.44%	2+ Hitsline	1.126count	68.4%selected	4.4role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 190 avg 1 books
60	Kyle TuckerLAD	LAD vs PHI	P 24.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	24.2%Over prob · Palantir	63.6%no-vig	+75.77%	1+ Hitline	0.954count	24.2%selected	4.48role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
61	Chandler SimpsonTB	TB vs TOR	P 28.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	28.1%Over prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+71.92%	1+ Hitline	1.045count	28.1%selected	4.36role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
62	Brice TurangMIL	MIL vs NYM	P 23.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	76.3%Under prob · Palantir	33.3%no-vig	+76.34%	1+ Hitline	0.936count	76.3%selected	4.73role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
63	Bo BichetteNYM	NYM vs MIL	P 25.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	74.4%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+74.36%	2+ Hitsline	0.987count	74.4%selected	4.29role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
64	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.TOR	TOR vs TB	P 33.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	66.7%Under prob · Palantir	64.9%no-vig	+66.71%	2+ Hitsline	1.165count	66.7%selected	4.46role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 185 avg 1 books
65	Luke KeaschallMIN	MIN vs CLE	P 22.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.4%Under prob · Palantir	75.6%no-vig	+77.38%	2+ Hitsline	0.915count	77.4%selected	4.0role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
66	Marcus SemienNYM	NYM vs MIL	P 17.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.3%Under prob · Palantir	80.8%no-vig	+82.26%	2+ Hitsline	0.791count	82.3%selected	4.21role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 420 avg 1 books
67	Steven KwanCLE	CLE vs MIN	P 24.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.7%Under prob · Palantir	74.4%no-vig	+75.66%	2+ Hitsline	0.956count	75.7%selected	4.47role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
68	Shohei OhtaniLAD	LAD vs PHI	P 30.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	30.0%Over prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+70.01%	1+ Hitline	1.09count	30.0%selected	4.84role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
69	Matt OlsonATL	ATL vs SD	P 26.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	73.1%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+73.07%	2+ Hitsline	1.016count	73.1%selected	4.54role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books