Mithrandir Metrics

HITS 2026-07-30 · saved artifact ROWS 46 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist

Lane Health 2026-09-01

Palantir 673 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Hits

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Hits board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	Prop	Hits proj	Line prob	PA	Recent	Pitch mix	Best line
01	Lars NootbaarSTL	STL vs CHC	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	28.6%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.233count	98.0%selected	1.19role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
02	Michael MasseyKC	KC vs MIN	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	34.5%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.295count	98.0%selected	1.32role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
03	Seiya SuzukiCHC	CHC vs STL	P 3.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	96.5%Under prob · Palantir	30.3%no-vig	+96.45%	1+ Hitline	0.377count	96.5%selected	1.6role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
04	Dylan CrewsWSH	WSH vs ATL	P 10.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	89.6%Under prob · Palantir	29.4%no-vig	+89.62%	1+ Hitline	0.599count	89.6%selected	3.23role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
05	Jordan WalkerSTL	STL vs CHC	P 14.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	86.0%Under prob · Palantir	64.9%no-vig	+85.98%	2+ Hitsline	0.706count	86.0%selected	3.24role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 185 avg 1 books
06	Austin MartinMIN	MIN vs KC	P 15.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.1%Under prob · Palantir	63.6%no-vig	+84.08%	2+ Hitsline	0.758count	84.1%selected	3.39role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 175 avg 1 books
07	Pete Crow-ArmstrongCHC	CHC vs STL	P 17.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.9%Under prob · Palantir	66.1%no-vig	+82.90%	2+ Hitsline	0.774count	82.9%selected	3.5role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 195 avg 1 books
08	Lane ThomasKC	KC vs MIN	P 15.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	84.8%Under prob · Palantir	28.6%no-vig	+84.75%	1+ Hitline	0.724count	84.8%selected	3.58role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
09	Victor CaratiniMIN	MIN vs KC	P 12.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	87.5%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+87.50%	2+ Hitsline	0.663count	87.5%selected	3.01role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
10	Royce LewisMIN	MIN vs KC	P 17.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	82.5%Under prob · Palantir	27.8%no-vig	+82.45%	1+ Hitline	0.786count	82.5%selected	3.89role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
11	Trent GrishamNYY	NYY vs CWS	P 11.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	88.2%Under prob · Palantir	37.0%no-vig	+88.22%	1+ Hitline	0.625count	88.2%selected	3.66role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 330 avg 1 books
12	Colson MontgomeryCWS	CWS vs NYY	P 12.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	87.5%Under prob · Palantir	33.9%no-vig	+87.52%	1+ Hitline	0.663count	87.5%selected	3.34role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
13	Keibert RuizWSH	WSH vs ATL	P 18.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.0%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+82.04%	2+ Hitsline	0.797count	82.0%selected	3.86role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
14	Austin WynnsATH	ATH vs BOS	P 5.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	94.2%Under prob · Palantir	44.4%no-vig	+94.18%	1+ Hitline	0.483count	94.2%selected	2.21role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 500 avg 1 books
15	Michael Harris IIATL	ATL vs WSH	P 24.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.8%Under prob · Palantir	63.0%no-vig	+75.76%	2+ Hitsline	0.954count	75.8%selected	3.84role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 170 avg 1 books
16	Francisco AlvarezNYM	NYM vs MIA	P 9.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	90.1%Under prob · Palantir	40.0%no-vig	+90.11%	1+ Hitline	0.584count	90.1%selected	3.18role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 430 avg 1 books
17	Ben RiceNYY	NYY vs CWS	P 16.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	83.7%Under prob · Palantir	31.2%no-vig	+83.70%	1+ Hitline	0.753count	83.7%selected	3.81role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
18	Isaac CollinsKC	KC vs MIN	P 14.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	85.5%Under prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+85.53%	2+ Hitsline	0.719count	85.5%selected	3.44role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
19	Jacob YoungWSH	WSH vs ATL	P 11.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	88.3%Under prob · Palantir	37.0%no-vig	+88.34%	1+ Hitline	0.639count	88.3%selected	2.92role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 340 avg 1 books
20	Ryan JeffersMIN	MIN vs KC	P 17.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.3%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+82.26%	2+ Hitsline	0.791count	82.3%selected	3.8role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
21	Paul GoldschmidtNYY	NYY vs CWS	P 17.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.3%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+82.30%	2+ Hitsline	0.79count	82.3%selected	3.59role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
22	James WoodWSH	WSH vs ATL	P 21.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.4%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+78.39%	2+ Hitsline	0.889count	78.4%selected	4.39role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
23	Josh BellMIN	MIN vs KC	P 20.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.5%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+79.48%	2+ Hitsline	0.862count	79.5%selected	4.21role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
24	Masyn WinnSTL	STL vs CHC	P 15.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.3%Under prob · Palantir	75.6%no-vig	+84.31%	2+ Hitsline	0.752count	84.3%selected	3.35role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
25	Salvador PerezKC	KC vs MIN	P 21.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.8%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+78.76%	2+ Hitsline	0.88count	78.8%selected	4.14role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
26	Nico HoernerCHC	CHC vs STL	P 37.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 1.5 2 of 2	37.6%Over prob · Palantir	30.3%no-vig	+62.39%	2+ Hitsline	1.271count	37.6%selected	4.66role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
27	Carson KellyCHC	CHC vs STL	P 15.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	85.0%Under prob · Palantir	77.8%no-vig	+84.96%	2+ Hitsline	0.734count	85.0%selected	3.27role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 350 avg 1 books
28	Michael BuschCHC	CHC vs STL	P 21.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.5%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+78.50%	2+ Hitsline	0.887count	78.5%selected	4.25role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
29	Alec BurlesonSTL	STL vs CHC	P 26.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	73.2%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+73.15%	2+ Hitsline	1.016count	73.2%selected	4.12role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
30	Daylen LileWSH	WSH vs ATL	P 24.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.9%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+75.89%	2+ Hitsline	0.951count	75.9%selected	4.01role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
31	Chase MeidrothCWS	CWS vs NYY	P 23.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.1%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+76.09%	2+ Hitsline	0.946count	76.1%selected	4.19role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
32	Jorge PolancoNYM	NYM vs MIA	P 17.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	82.9%Under prob · Palantir	37.0%no-vig	+82.94%	1+ Hitline	0.773count	82.9%selected	4.19role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 370 avg 1 books
33	Drake BaldwinATL	ATL vs WSH	P 27.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	73.0%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+72.97%	2+ Hitsline	1.02count	73.0%selected	4.05role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
34	Ozzie AlbiesATL	ATL vs WSH	P 27.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	72.5%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+72.50%	2+ Hitsline	1.031count	72.5%selected	4.41role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
35	Bo BichetteNYM	NYM vs MIA	P 25.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	74.3%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+74.29%	2+ Hitsline	0.989count	74.3%selected	4.29role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
36	Brett BatyNYM	NYM vs MIA	P 11.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	88.1%Under prob · Palantir	84.6%no-vig	+88.11%	2+ Hitsline	0.645count	88.1%selected	3.49role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 550 avg 1 books
37	Cj AbramsWSH	WSH vs ATL	P 26.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	73.1%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+73.14%	2+ Hitsline	1.014count	73.1%selected	4.59role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
38	Luke KeaschallMIN	MIN vs KC	P 24.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.5%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+75.55%	2+ Hitsline	0.959count	75.5%selected	4.19role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
39	Mike YastrzemskiATL	ATL vs WSH	P 18.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	81.9%Under prob · Palantir	37.7%no-vig	+81.91%	1+ Hitline	0.8count	81.9%selected	3.96role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 380 avg 1 books
40	Francisco LindorNYM	NYM vs MIA	P 24.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.0%Under prob · Palantir	73.0%no-vig	+76.02%	2+ Hitsline	0.944count	76.0%selected	4.69role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
41	Austin RileyATL	ATL vs WSH	P 26.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	26.6%Over prob · Palantir	66.1%no-vig	+73.45%	1+ Hitline	1.009count	26.6%selected	4.24role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
42	Dansby SwansonCHC	CHC vs STL	P 22.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.0%Under prob · Palantir	76.2%no-vig	+78.02%	2+ Hitsline	0.899count	78.0%selected	4.08role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
43	Edgar QueroCWS	CWS vs NYY	P 18.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.4%Under prob · Palantir	80.0%no-vig	+81.44%	2+ Hitsline	0.812count	81.4%selected	3.5role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 400 avg 1 books
44	Alex BregmanCHC	CHC vs STL	P 26.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	73.3%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+73.34%	2+ Hitsline	1.011count	73.3%selected	4.26role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
45	Matt OlsonATL	ATL vs WSH	P 29.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	70.4%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+70.41%	2+ Hitsline	1.08count	70.4%selected	4.74role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
46	Ian HappCHC	CHC vs STL	P 23.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.4%Under prob · Palantir	76.2%no-vig	+76.39%	2+ Hitsline	0.934count	76.4%selected	4.56role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 320 avg 1 books