Mithrandir Metrics

HITS 2026-08-22 · saved artifact ROWS 52 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist

Lane Health 2026-09-01

Palantir 673 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Hits

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Hits board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	Prop	Hits proj	Line prob	PA	Recent	Pitch mix	Best line
01	Jake BauersMIL	MIL vs ATL	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	38.5%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.225count	98.0%selected	1.19role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 380 avg 1 books
02	Jackson ChourioMIL	MIL vs ATL	P 3.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	96.4%Under prob · Palantir	27.0%no-vig	+96.36%	1+ Hitline	0.381count	96.4%selected	1.59role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
03	Dominic CanzoneSEA	SEA vs CHC	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	35.1%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.274count	98.0%selected	1.25role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
04	Andrew VaughnMIL	MIL vs ATL	P 3.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	96.5%Under prob · Palantir	32.3%no-vig	+96.50%	1+ Hitline	0.374count	96.5%selected	1.56role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
05	Taylor WallsTB	TB vs BAL	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	43.5%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.239count	98.0%selected	1.23role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 500 avg 1 books
06	Dillon DinglerDET	DET vs KC	P 14.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	85.6%Under prob · Palantir	64.9%no-vig	+85.58%	2+ Hitsline	0.717count	85.6%selected	3.2role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 185 avg 1 books
07	Dylan CrewsWSH	WSH vs MIA	P 9.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	90.9%Under prob · Palantir	36.4%no-vig	+90.94%	1+ Hitline	0.557count	90.9%selected	3.23role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 330 avg 1 books
08	Otto LopezMIA	MIA vs WSH	P 18.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.5%Under prob · Palantir	64.3%no-vig	+81.55%	2+ Hitsline	0.823count	81.5%selected	3.32role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 180 avg 1 books
09	Oneil CruzPIT	PIT vs LAD	P 7.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	92.4%Under prob · Palantir	40.8%no-vig	+92.36%	1+ Hitline	0.508count	92.4%selected	2.94role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 450 avg 1 books
10	Zack GelofATH	ATH vs HOU	P 8.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	92.0%Under prob · Palantir	40.8%no-vig	+92.03%	1+ Hitline	0.52count	92.0%selected	3.08role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 420 avg 1 books
11	Gleyber TorresDET	DET vs KC	P 18.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.6%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+81.64%	2+ Hitsline	0.807count	81.6%selected	3.56role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
12	Junior CamineroTB	TB vs BAL	P 22.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.0%Under prob · Palantir	63.6%no-vig	+77.96%	2+ Hitsline	0.9count	78.0%selected	3.86role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 175 avg 1 books
13	Francisco AlvarezNYM	NYM vs CWS	P 11.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	88.3%Under prob · Palantir	35.7%no-vig	+88.32%	1+ Hitline	0.639count	88.3%selected	3.19role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 340 avg 1 books
14	Yordan AlvarezHOU	HOU vs ATH	P 22.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.6%Under prob · Palantir	64.9%no-vig	+77.61%	2+ Hitsline	0.909count	77.6%selected	4.2role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 185 avg 1 books
15	Jeff McNeilATH	ATH vs HOU	P 14.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	85.4%Under prob · Palantir	74.4%no-vig	+85.39%	2+ Hitsline	0.723count	85.4%selected	3.49role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
16	Trent GrishamNYY	NYY vs TOR	P 9.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	90.2%Under prob · Palantir	43.5%no-vig	+90.20%	1+ Hitline	0.564count	90.2%selected	3.66role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 490 avg 1 books
17	Alejandro KirkTOR	TOR vs NYY	P 17.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	82.4%Under prob · Palantir	31.2%no-vig	+82.44%	1+ Hitline	0.786count	82.4%selected	3.52role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
18	Jacob YoungWSH	WSH vs MIA	P 10.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	89.4%Under prob · Palantir	40.8%no-vig	+89.40%	1+ Hitline	0.606count	89.4%selected	2.92role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 420 avg 1 books
19	Randy ArozarenaSEA	SEA vs CHC	P 20.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.0%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+80.03%	2+ Hitsline	0.849count	80.0%selected	4.33role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
20	Brandon LowePIT	PIT vs LAD	P 10.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	89.9%Under prob · Palantir	42.6%no-vig	+89.89%	1+ Hitline	0.591count	89.9%selected	3.19role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 460 avg 1 books
21	Brendan DonovanSEA	SEA vs CHC	P 22.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.9%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+77.91%	2+ Hitsline	0.901count	77.9%selected	3.75role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
22	Daulton VarshoTOR	TOR vs NYY	P 11.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	88.5%Under prob · Palantir	40.0%no-vig	+88.49%	1+ Hitline	0.634count	88.5%selected	3.15role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 420 avg 1 books
23	Colt KeithDET	DET vs KC	P 19.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.5%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+80.45%	2+ Hitsline	0.838count	80.5%selected	3.84role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
24	Liam HicksMIA	MIA vs WSH	P 16.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.0%Under prob · Palantir	76.2%no-vig	+83.97%	2+ Hitsline	0.761count	84.0%selected	3.34role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
25	Ben RiceNYY	NYY vs TOR	P 14.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	86.0%Under prob · Palantir	39.2%no-vig	+86.00%	1+ Hitline	0.69count	86.0%selected	3.81role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 400 avg 1 books
26	Jonathan ArandaTB	TB vs BAL	P 26.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	73.6%Under prob · Palantir	66.1%no-vig	+73.57%	2+ Hitsline	1.006count	73.6%selected	3.92role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 195 avg 1 books
27	Spencer TorkelsonDET	DET vs KC	P 16.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	83.6%Under prob · Palantir	36.4%no-vig	+83.56%	1+ Hitline	0.757count	83.6%selected	4.04role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 330 avg 1 books
28	Brett BatyNYM	NYM vs CWS	P 13.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	86.4%Under prob · Palantir	79.6%no-vig	+86.41%	2+ Hitsline	0.694count	86.4%selected	3.49role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 390 avg 1 books
29	Bryan ReynoldsPIT	PIT vs LAD	P 17.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.6%Under prob · Palantir	76.2%no-vig	+82.59%	2+ Hitsline	0.782count	82.6%selected	4.1role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
30	Zach McKinstryDET	DET vs KC	P 21.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.8%Under prob · Palantir	73.0%no-vig	+78.80%	2+ Hitsline	0.879count	78.8%selected	4.07role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
31	Isaac ParedesHOU	HOU vs ATH	P 18.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.2%Under prob · Palantir	75.6%no-vig	+81.17%	2+ Hitsline	0.82count	81.2%selected	4.23role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
32	Francisco LindorNYM	NYM vs CWS	P 27.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	73.0%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+73.01%	2+ Hitsline	1.017count	73.0%selected	4.69role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
33	Cedric MullinsTB	TB vs BAL	P 17.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	82.9%Under prob · Palantir	37.0%no-vig	+82.87%	1+ Hitline	0.775count	82.9%selected	3.89role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 350 avg 1 books
34	Bo BichetteNYM	NYM vs CWS	P 28.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	71.3%Under prob · Palantir	66.1%no-vig	+71.31%	2+ Hitsline	1.059count	71.3%selected	4.29role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 195 avg 1 books
35	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.TOR	TOR vs NYY	P 34.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 1.5 2 of 2	34.5%Over prob · Palantir	30.3%no-vig	+65.54%	2+ Hitsline	1.196count	34.5%selected	4.66role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
36	George SpringerTOR	TOR vs NYY	P 27.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	27.4%Over prob · Palantir	64.3%no-vig	+72.65%	1+ Hitline	1.026count	27.4%selected	4.68role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
37	Yainer DiazHOU	HOU vs ATH	P 19.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.2%Under prob · Palantir	76.2%no-vig	+80.17%	2+ Hitsline	0.845count	80.2%selected	3.76role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
38	Brice TurangMIL	MIL vs ATL	P 24.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.0%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+76.01%	2+ Hitsline	0.948count	76.0%selected	4.03role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
39	Cal RaleighSEA	SEA vs CHC	P 17.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	17.3%Over prob · Palantir	54.5%no-vig	+82.73%	1+ Hitline	0.779count	17.3%selected	4.3role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 550 avg 1 books
40	William ContrerasMIL	MIL vs ATL	P 33.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	33.6%Over prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+66.37%	1+ Hitline	1.177count	33.6%selected	4.65role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
41	Lawrence ButlerATH	ATH vs HOU	P 15.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.2%Under prob · Palantir	81.1%no-vig	+84.15%	2+ Hitsline	0.741count	84.2%selected	3.89role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 430 avg 1 books
42	Cj AbramsWSH	WSH vs MIA	P 24.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.0%Under prob · Palantir	73.0%no-vig	+75.99%	2+ Hitsline	0.944count	76.0%selected	4.59role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
43	Daylen LileWSH	WSH vs MIA	P 21.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.2%Under prob · Palantir	75.6%no-vig	+78.19%	2+ Hitsline	0.894count	78.2%selected	4.01role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
44	Chandler SimpsonTB	TB vs BAL	P 35.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	64.3%Under prob · Palantir	62.3%no-vig	+64.29%	2+ Hitsline	1.22count	64.3%selected	4.36role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 165 avg 1 books
45	Josh NaylorSEA	SEA vs CHC	P 25.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	25.2%Over prob · Palantir	65.5%no-vig	+74.82%	1+ Hitline	0.976count	25.2%selected	4.13role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
46	Jose AltuveHOU	HOU vs ATH	P 28.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 1.5 2 of 2	28.0%Over prob · Palantir	26.3%no-vig	+72.03%	2+ Hitsline	1.041count	28.0%selected	4.55role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
47	Marcus SemienNYM	NYM vs CWS	P 19.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.6%Under prob · Palantir	79.2%no-vig	+80.61%	2+ Hitsline	0.834count	80.6%selected	4.21role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 380 avg 1 books
48	Jake MangumPIT	PIT vs LAD	P 22.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	22.4%Over prob · Palantir	63.0%no-vig	+77.60%	1+ Hitline	0.909count	22.4%selected	3.91role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 340 avg 1 books
49	Davis SchneiderTOR	TOR vs NYY	P 12.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	87.9%Under prob · Palantir	86.7%no-vig	+87.91%	2+ Hitsline	0.634count	87.9%selected	3.56role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 650 avg 1 books
50	Xavier EdwardsMIA	MIA vs WSH	P 31.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	68.7%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+68.72%	2+ Hitsline	1.119count	68.7%selected	4.17role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
51	Christian WalkerHOU	HOU vs ATH	P 21.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	21.2%Over prob · Palantir	62.3%no-vig	+78.78%	1+ Hitline	0.88count	21.2%selected	4.44role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 360 avg 1 books
52	Jakob MarseeMIA	MIA vs WSH	P 25.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	74.4%Under prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+74.35%	2+ Hitsline	0.988count	74.4%selected	4.0role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books